大运亨通
公众号（优先生99) 专注 ETH 波段交易，深耕合约市场多空双向机会，精准研判行情脉动为核心。紧盯 K 线形态与量能变化，从均线排列、MACD 背离等技术信号中捕捉短期趋势拐点，结合支撑阻力位研判，在突破与回调中锁定波段空间。全方位获利
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Is it meaningful to enter the crypto market with 3000 capital?
In the crypto market, 3000 yuan is about 440 U. I will share an executable plan. If you can execute it, it is possible to turn 3000 into 1 million.
From 2024 to 2025, I went from 100,000 to around 42 million yuan, using a very simple but practical method for trading cryptocurrencies that allows you to "always profit!" I entered the crypto market with 100,000 and made a profit of 10 million, then went into debt of 8 million, then profited 42 million, and now I am financially free. In the past two years, specifically from 2024 to 2025, I turned less than 200,000 into a return rate of 418134.86%, achieving over 42 million.
Here are some practical and useful tips for newcomers to the crypto market! My trading method is very simple and practical; I turned it into an 8-digit figure in just one year, relying solely on 11 chart patterns to enter the market. I only trade when I see a pattern. I have maintained a win rate of over 90% for five years!
From 2024 to 2025, I went from 100,000 to around 42 million yuan, using a very simple but practical method for trading cryptocurrencies that allows you to "always profit!" I entered the crypto market with 100,000 and made a profit of 10 million, then went into debt of 8 million, then profited 42 million, and now I am financially free. In the past two years, specifically from 2024 to 2025, I turned less than 200,000 into a return rate of 418134.86%, achieving over 42 million.
Here are some practical and useful tips for newcomers to the crypto market! My trading method is very simple and practical; I turned it into an 8-digit figure in just one year, relying solely on 11 chart patterns to enter the market. I only trade when I see a pattern. I have maintained a win rate of over 90% for five years!
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The market is falling as expected, and the midnight phase of the bear market is once again upon us. The previous resistance during the upward trend has become apparent. Zhuowei accurately pointed out that a downward trend is imminent. Bitcoin has recently fallen to the 87800 level, while Ethereum has similarly declined to the 2961 level. Friends who followed along must have seen some gains in their short positions by now. Success is never something that is easily within reach; taking the initiative is the true secret to success. The timing emphasized earlier for layout is the best proof.
Currently, the market is undergoing a corrective fluctuation, with bullish momentum significantly weakened and upward space continuously being contracted. On the four-hour level, the market is hovering around the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with the K-line continuously testing the support of the middle band. A breakdown has already formed, and downward space is clearly opening up. According to MACD technical analysis, a top divergence crossover pattern has formed, with both the fast and slow lines running downward and gaining strength, reinforcing the continuation of the bearish market. The subsequent layout should continue to maintain a high position for shorting during the corrective fluctuation.
Bitcoin short near 89000 Target 87000
Ethereum short near 3040 Target 2900
$BTC $ETH #加密市场观察
Currently, the market is undergoing a corrective fluctuation, with bullish momentum significantly weakened and upward space continuously being contracted. On the four-hour level, the market is hovering around the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with the K-line continuously testing the support of the middle band. A breakdown has already formed, and downward space is clearly opening up. According to MACD technical analysis, a top divergence crossover pattern has formed, with both the fast and slow lines running downward and gaining strength, reinforcing the continuation of the bearish market. The subsequent layout should continue to maintain a high position for shorting during the corrective fluctuation.
Bitcoin short near 89000 Target 87000
Ethereum short near 3040 Target 2900
$BTC $ETH #加密市场观察
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While some are shouting to buy, I see signs of a collapse—Brothers, do you understand this bullish crossover?
Today ETH is hovering around 3030, the MACD has crossed bullish, and various technical indicators are all shouting 'buy quickly.' I estimate that quite a few people can't hold back and want to rush in to make a profit. But I need to give everyone a reminder, this bullish crossover might actually be a trap set by the main forces, rushing in could very well make you the one left holding the bag!
On the news front, it’s all bad news. The Federal Reserve has started to 'hawk' again, with next year's FOMC voting member Harker directly stating that interest rates need to be maintained until spring, and inflation remains a big problem. What does this mean? The possibility of interest rate cuts will have to be pushed back, and high interest rates will have to persist for a while longer. This is a long-term suppression for risk assets like ETH. Don't be fooled by the short-term fluctuations; the overall environment does not support a crazy surge.
On the news front, it’s all bad news. The Federal Reserve has started to 'hawk' again, with next year's FOMC voting member Harker directly stating that interest rates need to be maintained until spring, and inflation remains a big problem. What does this mean? The possibility of interest rate cuts will have to be pushed back, and high interest rates will have to persist for a while longer. This is a long-term suppression for risk assets like ETH. Don't be fooled by the short-term fluctuations; the overall environment does not support a crazy surge.
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Christmas market turns into a 'mirror of truth'? Key positions for Ether under reduced volume, multi-period analysis for Ether on the 22nd!
The daily Ether is now in a pullback phase after a high-level fluctuation. The core area is below 3010-2980, which is not only a psychological barrier but also the upper edge of the daily structure support that has been tested multiple times recently. If the market still has upward momentum, with seasonal buying support, the pullback must hold steady in this range. If it holds, it can maintain the rebound structure and test upward towards the previous pressure zone of 3050-3098. If this position is broken with increased volume, the daily structure will weaken!
Looking at the 4-hour level, if the price falls to the 3003-2977 area, focus on the slope of the decline. Ideally, it should be a slow decline or a pause, rather than a sharp drop with increased volume. Look for stabilization patterns close to the support area, and pay attention to whether a 'downward exhaustion' signal appears on the 4-hour chart, such as: RSI bottom divergence, MACD green bars shrinking, or a clear lower shadow candlestick. If a rebound occurs, the primary observation should be whether it can consistently stay above the 4-hour Bollinger middle track. If it does, the short-term rhythm can turn bullish; if it doesn't, the weakness will continue to fluctuate.
Intraday operation suggestions:
Short positions near 3010-2980, target 3060-3100
Short positions near 3140-3170, target 3080-3050
$ETH #ETH走势分析
The daily Ether is now in a pullback phase after a high-level fluctuation. The core area is below 3010-2980, which is not only a psychological barrier but also the upper edge of the daily structure support that has been tested multiple times recently. If the market still has upward momentum, with seasonal buying support, the pullback must hold steady in this range. If it holds, it can maintain the rebound structure and test upward towards the previous pressure zone of 3050-3098. If this position is broken with increased volume, the daily structure will weaken!
Looking at the 4-hour level, if the price falls to the 3003-2977 area, focus on the slope of the decline. Ideally, it should be a slow decline or a pause, rather than a sharp drop with increased volume. Look for stabilization patterns close to the support area, and pay attention to whether a 'downward exhaustion' signal appears on the 4-hour chart, such as: RSI bottom divergence, MACD green bars shrinking, or a clear lower shadow candlestick. If a rebound occurs, the primary observation should be whether it can consistently stay above the 4-hour Bollinger middle track. If it does, the short-term rhythm can turn bullish; if it doesn't, the weakness will continue to fluctuate.
Intraday operation suggestions:
Short positions near 3010-2980, target 3060-3100
Short positions near 3140-3170, target 3080-3050
$ETH #ETH走势分析
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The market started to change on Monday, and Bitcoin is under pressure from the middle line of the daily Bollinger Bands. Looking at the four-hour chart, there is continuous pressure above. The trend indicates that there will be a short-term pullback.
Bitcoin in the range of 88500-89000, with 89500 as a supplement. Looking below at 87500-87000.
Yita in the range of 3010-3060 in batches, with targets synchronized with Bitcoin.
Bitcoin in the range of 88500-89000, with 89500 as a supplement. Looking below at 87500-87000.
Yita in the range of 3010-3060 in batches, with targets synchronized with Bitcoin.
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ETH Midday Analysis
The hourly chart has shown an extreme narrow range of oscillation, with the candlesticks almost forming a straight line.
This prolonged "compression" pattern is often a prelude to a major market movement. Considering the current pace, the probability of a breakout to the upside next week is very high, and short positions face the risk of being forcibly closed.
Re-entering at 2900-2930 to go long, looking at 3000-3100
The hourly chart has shown an extreme narrow range of oscillation, with the candlesticks almost forming a straight line.
This prolonged "compression" pattern is often a prelude to a major market movement. Considering the current pace, the probability of a breakout to the upside next week is very high, and short positions face the risk of being forcibly closed.
Re-entering at 2900-2930 to go long, looking at 3000-3100
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12.21 Morning Silk Road and Suggestions
Dear family, happy winter solstice
From last night until now, the big pie has been fluctuating within a narrow range, with no significant breakthroughs. Bitcoin is consolidating in the 88000 - 88500 range, while Ethereum is running in the 2970 - 2985 range.
At the hourly level, the price rebounded and closed at a low, without breaking the next higher point, indicating a continuation of market weakness. This rebound is a technical repair, not a reversal signal, with core resistance at the upper Bollinger Band above 88800. It is advisable to pull back and go long in the morning. One can also choose to short for a short period; just be aware that this is only a short-term fluctuation.
Operation Suggestions
The big pie can be bought in the 87500-86000 range, targeting around 88500-89000;
The instrument can be bought in the 2880-2800 range, targeting around 2900-2950.
The above are just personal suggestions; please refer to Hengtong Shipan's layout for specifics $BTC $ETH
Dear family, happy winter solstice
From last night until now, the big pie has been fluctuating within a narrow range, with no significant breakthroughs. Bitcoin is consolidating in the 88000 - 88500 range, while Ethereum is running in the 2970 - 2985 range.
At the hourly level, the price rebounded and closed at a low, without breaking the next higher point, indicating a continuation of market weakness. This rebound is a technical repair, not a reversal signal, with core resistance at the upper Bollinger Band above 88800. It is advisable to pull back and go long in the morning. One can also choose to short for a short period; just be aware that this is only a short-term fluctuation.
Operation Suggestions
The big pie can be bought in the 87500-86000 range, targeting around 88500-89000;
The instrument can be bought in the 2880-2800 range, targeting around 2900-2950.
The above are just personal suggestions; please refer to Hengtong Shipan's layout for specifics $BTC $ETH
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【BTC】4H Market Analysis
The overall trend is dominated by fluctuations up and down, which is quite challenging.
The key support below, marked in yellow, is the level I have been mentioning for the past few days, and it has not been broken yet; it has only shown pin bars followed by rebounds. Green 1 and 2 are resistance levels; if we can break through 1, we can reach 2. Currently, we are mainly fluctuating within a descending blue channel. The black trend line has shown several rebounds after being broken, which indicates corrections. If we test the resistance at level 1 and do not close above the channel, I will consider shorting. If it closes above, I will not consider going short. $BTC #比特币流动性
The overall trend is dominated by fluctuations up and down, which is quite challenging.
The key support below, marked in yellow, is the level I have been mentioning for the past few days, and it has not been broken yet; it has only shown pin bars followed by rebounds. Green 1 and 2 are resistance levels; if we can break through 1, we can reach 2. Currently, we are mainly fluctuating within a descending blue channel. The black trend line has shown several rebounds after being broken, which indicates corrections. If we test the resistance at level 1 and do not close above the channel, I will consider shorting. If it closes above, I will not consider going short. $BTC #比特币流动性
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ETH is surging today, retail investors shouldn't follow blindly! Ruishen will tell you tonight whether it's a rise or a plunge?
Crypto friends, I'm Hengtong! Today’s $ETH market, has it left you confused again? Yesterday's US CPI data just triggered a wave, and today the Bank of Japan raises interest rates, yet ETH didn't drop but instead soared above 2900! Many are starting to feel torn: is this market going to break through 3000 and aim for 3100, or turn around and drop below 2870 to find support at 2770? Don’t rush, pay attention to Ruishen, who will explain it clearly in simple terms and offer some practical advice!
News:
The Bank of Japan raised interest rates by 25 basis points, reaching a 30-year high. Logically, this should be bad news, right? But the market instead surged—why? Because the rate hike was already anticipated, and when bad news is fully priced in, it becomes good news! Additionally, last night's US CPI data was mild, indicating that inflation isn't as scary, allowing capital to come in and play. Therefore, today's rise isn't truly strong; it's more of a rebound from 'news speculation.'
News:
The Bank of Japan raised interest rates by 25 basis points, reaching a 30-year high. Logically, this should be bad news, right? But the market instead surged—why? Because the rate hike was already anticipated, and when bad news is fully priced in, it becomes good news! Additionally, last night's US CPI data was mild, indicating that inflation isn't as scary, allowing capital to come in and play. Therefore, today's rise isn't truly strong; it's more of a rebound from 'news speculation.'
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The 'Sword of Damocles' hanging over the crypto world——The Bank of Japan raises interest rates!
0.75% interest rate decision is the highest point in nearly 30 years.
Core review: Recent two interest rate hikes (7.31/1.24), BTC/ETH trends!
1. July 31, 2024: Epic 'deleveraging' (interest rate raised to 0.25%)
Market: Triggered 'Black Monday 8.5'. BTC plummeted 25% ($66K → $49K), ETH suffered a halving-style drop of 36%.
Truth: Large-scale liquidation of yen arbitrage trades, institutions sell cryptocurrencies at any cost to repay yen.
2. January 24, 2025: High-level 'technical pullback' (interest rate raised to 0.5%)
Market: BTC retraced from $105K to $92K (approximately 12% drop), ETH correlated testing $3100.
Core review: Recent two interest rate hikes (7.31/1.24), BTC/ETH trends!
1. July 31, 2024: Epic 'deleveraging' (interest rate raised to 0.25%)
Market: Triggered 'Black Monday 8.5'. BTC plummeted 25% ($66K → $49K), ETH suffered a halving-style drop of 36%.
Truth: Large-scale liquidation of yen arbitrage trades, institutions sell cryptocurrencies at any cost to repay yen.
2. January 24, 2025: High-level 'technical pullback' (interest rate raised to 0.5%)
Market: BTC retraced from $105K to $92K (approximately 12% drop), ETH correlated testing $3100.
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Huobi Growth Academy | Macro Research Report on the Crypto Market: Liquidity Repricing under the Overlap of Federal Reserve Rate Cuts, Bank of Japan Rate Hikes, and Christmas Holidays
The recent pullback in the crypto market is more akin to a phased repricing triggered by changes in global liquidity pathways, rather than a simple reversal of a trend.
The recent volatility in the crypto market is not an isolated event, but rather a structural adjustment caused by the overlapping of three macro factors over time. First, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts during the Super Central Bank Week did not initiate a clear easing cycle; instead, it signaled a restrained approach to future liquidity through the dot plot and voting structure, correcting market expectations of 'continuous easing.' Second, the upcoming interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan are shaking the yen carry trade structure, which has long served as a basis for low-cost global financing, potentially triggering a phase of deleveraging and synchronized pressure on risk assets. Lastly, the liquidity contraction brought about by the Christmas holidays has significantly reduced the market's ability to absorb the aforementioned macro shocks, amplifying price volatility. With these three factors combined, the crypto market has entered a stage of high volatility and low tolerance, where price behavior exhibits more nonlinear characteristics and needs to be understood from a structural perspective.
The recent volatility in the crypto market is not an isolated event, but rather a structural adjustment caused by the overlapping of three macro factors over time. First, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts during the Super Central Bank Week did not initiate a clear easing cycle; instead, it signaled a restrained approach to future liquidity through the dot plot and voting structure, correcting market expectations of 'continuous easing.' Second, the upcoming interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan are shaking the yen carry trade structure, which has long served as a basis for low-cost global financing, potentially triggering a phase of deleveraging and synchronized pressure on risk assets. Lastly, the liquidity contraction brought about by the Christmas holidays has significantly reduced the market's ability to absorb the aforementioned macro shocks, amplifying price volatility. With these three factors combined, the crypto market has entered a stage of high volatility and low tolerance, where price behavior exhibits more nonlinear characteristics and needs to be understood from a structural perspective.
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Will Japan's interest rate hike 'blood wash' the cryptocurrency circle? A seasoned veteran helps you see through the truth, don’t panic!
Have you come across a bunch of posts saying 'Japan is raising interest rates this week, the cryptocurrency market is going to cool down,' causing you to sweat over your ETH and SOL? Some even pulled out historical data, saying that after the last three rate hikes, Bitcoin dropped by 30%, and this time it might fall below 80,000? Don’t panic! As an old player in the crypto circle who has been through ups and downs for 8 years, today I will help you peel back the surface to see the essence. Is this rate hike really the 'judgment day' or just a 'false alarm'!
First, let's give a class to the new friends. Why does Japan's interest rate hike relate to the cryptocurrency market? In simple terms, previously, many funds were 'borrowing yen to buy cryptocurrency assets' for arbitrage—after all, the yen interest rate is low, borrowing costs are low, and the profit from buying cryptocurrency assets is quite attractive. However, once the Bank of Japan raises interest rates (this Thursday and Friday, which is December 18-19, raising by 25 basis points to 0.75% is basically a done deal), the cost of borrowing yen will increase, and the exchange rate may rise as well, leading these arbitrage funds to quickly close their positions and exit, which could result in capital outflows from the market. This is the mainstream 'bearish logic' in the market.
First, let's give a class to the new friends. Why does Japan's interest rate hike relate to the cryptocurrency market? In simple terms, previously, many funds were 'borrowing yen to buy cryptocurrency assets' for arbitrage—after all, the yen interest rate is low, borrowing costs are low, and the profit from buying cryptocurrency assets is quite attractive. However, once the Bank of Japan raises interest rates (this Thursday and Friday, which is December 18-19, raising by 25 basis points to 0.75% is basically a done deal), the cost of borrowing yen will increase, and the exchange rate may rise as well, leading these arbitrage funds to quickly close their positions and exit, which could result in capital outflows from the market. This is the mainstream 'bearish logic' in the market.
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Last night's 'needle' has unveiled the main force's bottom card; tonight's CPI will trigger the ultimate massacre!
Last night there were no candlesticks, only a hunt targeting everyone. Comrades, what you think you see is volatility; in reality, what you see is the conclusion. Last night, the crypto market once again staged an epic roller coaster, with U.S. stocks opening and the first contract hitting 2880, followed by a violent surge to 3030, and finally crashing back down to 2800 with a needle. It is not the market that is fluctuating; it is the sickle that is drawing the chart.
Every frame pulsates, meticulously laying down a death trap for high-leverage contracts; each reversal is the ultimate exploitation of greed and fear. When you are ecstatic over fleeting profits, the liquidation orders are already on the way; when you panic and cut losses due to a plummet, the bloody chips have been silently collected. This is not a market trend; it is an indiscriminate cleansing of all directions and all holders.
Every frame pulsates, meticulously laying down a death trap for high-leverage contracts; each reversal is the ultimate exploitation of greed and fear. When you are ecstatic over fleeting profits, the liquidation orders are already on the way; when you panic and cut losses due to a plummet, the bloody chips have been silently collected. This is not a market trend; it is an indiscriminate cleansing of all directions and all holders.
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Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Analysis
BTC
The overall direction continues in the evening, with a strategy to short on rallies. The short-term resistance is at 87000; if it doesn't break, the market continues to look bearish. The lower target is in the range of 85000-84000. If it spikes down to 81000 or below, you can go long.
If the rebound breaks the resistance at 87000, arrange long positions with a target of 88000-89000. Short positions should be arranged near 89000.
ETH
The short-term resistance is at 2890; if it doesn't break, the market continues to look bearish. The lower target is in the range of 2700-2600. If it spikes down to 2600 or below, you can go long.
If the rebound breaks the resistance level of 2890, the target is in the range of 2980-3000. Short positions should be arranged near 3000.#BTC #ETH走势分析
The overall direction continues in the evening, with a strategy to short on rallies. The short-term resistance is at 87000; if it doesn't break, the market continues to look bearish. The lower target is in the range of 85000-84000. If it spikes down to 81000 or below, you can go long.
If the rebound breaks the resistance at 87000, arrange long positions with a target of 88000-89000. Short positions should be arranged near 89000.
ETH
The short-term resistance is at 2890; if it doesn't break, the market continues to look bearish. The lower target is in the range of 2700-2600. If it spikes down to 2600 or below, you can go long.
If the rebound breaks the resistance level of 2890, the target is in the range of 2980-3000. Short positions should be arranged near 3000.#BTC #ETH走势分析
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Morning Analysis of BTC and ETH
U.S. stocks have all turned down, leading the mainstream to plunge. Continuing with BTC and ETH technical shorts, if the 'small interest rate' hike lands, the shorts will directly trigger a super market!
The Nasdaq fell by 1.81%, the Dow dropped by 0.47%, the S&P fell by 1.16%. The U.S. stock market's linkage effect connects to the already bearish crypto market.
From a smaller timeframe perspective, this strong downward move has left the support below weak, while the upper levels of 86600--86700--87000--88000 are layered with resistance.
Currently, the auxiliary indicators show a slight decrease in bearish momentum; do not blindly enter short positions. The 4-hour chart is temporarily holding above 85000, and the daytime oscillation market is unlikely to break through.
BTC suggestion: short around 86800, add to short at 87200, target 85800--85000;
The Nasdaq fell by 1.81%, the Dow dropped by 0.47%, the S&P fell by 1.16%. The U.S. stock market's linkage effect connects to the already bearish crypto market.
From a smaller timeframe perspective, this strong downward move has left the support below weak, while the upper levels of 86600--86700--87000--88000 are layered with resistance.
Currently, the auxiliary indicators show a slight decrease in bearish momentum; do not blindly enter short positions. The 4-hour chart is temporarily holding above 85000, and the daytime oscillation market is unlikely to break through.
BTC suggestion: short around 86800, add to short at 87200, target 85800--85000;
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ETH Afternoon Analysis
ETH sideways trading struggle to break the deadlock! 2980 level becomes the lifeline for bulls
ETH continues to move sideways, with last night's rally only reaching the 2980 resistance level before facing pressure and falling back, failing to achieve an effective breakthrough.
The intraday rebound pressure range remains unchanged at 2980-3015. If this range does not break, the strength of the bullish rebound will continue to be limited. Key support below is closely watched at 2880. Once it is lost, the market is likely to begin a new round of decline, with subsequent support targets at 2800, 2700, and 2600.
If the market strongly breaks through the 3015 resistance level, the upper rebound space will be opened, and it can be further looked at around 3100.
ETH continues to move sideways, with last night's rally only reaching the 2980 resistance level before facing pressure and falling back, failing to achieve an effective breakthrough.
The intraday rebound pressure range remains unchanged at 2980-3015. If this range does not break, the strength of the bullish rebound will continue to be limited. Key support below is closely watched at 2880. Once it is lost, the market is likely to begin a new round of decline, with subsequent support targets at 2800, 2700, and 2600.
If the market strongly breaks through the 3015 resistance level, the upper rebound space will be opened, and it can be further looked at around 3100.
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The RSR weekly chart reveals a massive long shadow. Is this the end of retail panic selling or the beginning of a whale's layout?
Opportunities always sprout in neglected places and take shape in fierce battles. The courage and hesitations of both bulls and bears are etched into the K-line.
Opportunities always sprout in neglected places and take shape in fierce battles. This weekly RSR chart captures the courage and hesitations of both bulls and bears, etched into the candlestick.
1. Latest technical analysis!
1. Price and form: The most eye-catching feature is that extremely long upper shadow, which peaked at 0.009511 before being pushed back. This indicates that funds initiated an attack but were countered by stronger selling pressure (possibly from historical trapped positions).
2. Trading volume: This week saw an explosion of about 14.8 billion, which is significantly higher than the 5-week average (about 13.8 billion) and the 10-week average (about 16.1 billion). This indicates a clear increase in volume, marking a shift in market sentiment from silence to fierce competition, and it could be key to a long-term trend reversal.
Opportunities always sprout in neglected places and take shape in fierce battles. This weekly RSR chart captures the courage and hesitations of both bulls and bears, etched into the candlestick.
1. Latest technical analysis!
1. Price and form: The most eye-catching feature is that extremely long upper shadow, which peaked at 0.009511 before being pushed back. This indicates that funds initiated an attack but were countered by stronger selling pressure (possibly from historical trapped positions).
2. Trading volume: This week saw an explosion of about 14.8 billion, which is significantly higher than the 5-week average (about 13.8 billion) and the 10-week average (about 16.1 billion). This indicates a clear increase in volume, marking a shift in market sentiment from silence to fierce competition, and it could be key to a long-term trend reversal.
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Midday Analysis of Ethereum and Bitcoin
The script has already been written in advance, Bitcoin looks at 94000, and Ethereum looks at 3400. Now it is completely following the expected path, after three rounds of pressure, it has all given downward movement, with two instances providing space above 5000 points, it's that simple once the direction is established.
From the current 4-hour level, the market sentiment is in a low-level consolidation phase. The short-term resistance level is around 92600, while the support is near the lower track around 89000. Currently, the price is running near the psychological level of 90000. In the short term, the market is dominated by bullish bars. From the Bollinger Bands perspective, the bands are widening, the three lines are continuing to flatten, and there is a trend of sideways consolidation in the short term. The MACD is above the zero axis, turning downward, with the red volume bars continuing to expand. In the short term, the bullish trend is likely to continue. Looking at the 1-hour level, the bullish positions are slightly rebounding to correct the market, with dense upper and lower wicks on the candlesticks. The short-term support below is solid, and the bulls are still expected to see a bounce back. Therefore, the afternoon operation suggestion is to focus on being bullish around the support point above.
From the current 4-hour level, the market sentiment is in a low-level consolidation phase. The short-term resistance level is around 92600, while the support is near the lower track around 89000. Currently, the price is running near the psychological level of 90000. In the short term, the market is dominated by bullish bars. From the Bollinger Bands perspective, the bands are widening, the three lines are continuing to flatten, and there is a trend of sideways consolidation in the short term. The MACD is above the zero axis, turning downward, with the red volume bars continuing to expand. In the short term, the bullish trend is likely to continue. Looking at the 1-hour level, the bullish positions are slightly rebounding to correct the market, with dense upper and lower wicks on the candlesticks. The short-term support below is solid, and the bulls are still expected to see a bounce back. Therefore, the afternoon operation suggestion is to focus on being bullish around the support point above.
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Afternoon Analysis of Bitcoin and Altcoin
#比特币 From the perspective of the 4-hour level, the market is experiencing back-and-forth fluctuations with decreasing volatility, with prices oscillating in a narrow range between 89000 and 90500. There has not yet been a clear one-sided rise or fall. The candlesticks mostly operate in the middle position to the upper range, and several upward attempts have been pushed back, indicating significant resistance around 91500. Meanwhile, the support around 89000 is quite reliable, having withstood the downward trend multiple times, making it a key position for the battle between bulls and bears. From the 1-hour level, the market has entered a consolidation period, with prices slowly moving below the middle position, and the range of fluctuations is becoming increasingly narrow. The candlesticks show a pattern of stepping down but quickly bouncing back, indicating that there is still buying support at lower levels, although the overall strength is somewhat weak. Now let's look at two key signals: one is that the MACD indicator is clumped together in the middle position, and the other is that the RSI indicator is in the middle area, both indicating that the bulls and bears are currently evenly matched and cannot reverse for the time being. Therefore, the trading strategy for the afternoon is very clear: wait for a pullback to build momentum before entering to go long, and do not blindly chase highs!
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ETH
The current market ETH is in a range-bound fluctuation
Core technical drivers: The BOLL indicator shows that prices are near the middle track, with bandwidth convergence, market sentiment balanced, and the market may continue to fluctuate in the short term.
External environment impact: Market sentiment is neutral, with mixed news, and no significant macro or event-driven factors at play.
Main potential risks: Insufficient trading volume leads to low signal confirmation, and prices may experience false breakouts.
The current ETH market is in a range-bound state, with prices fluctuating between strong support at 3038.82 and strong resistance at 3056.78. Technical indicators show a weakening of short-term momentum, and market sentiment is tending towards balance. The moving average system shows a bullish arrangement, but insufficient trading volume prevents confirmation of trend continuation or reversal. The BOLL indicator further verifies the market's fluctuation pattern, with bandwidth convergence indicating normal volatility, and prices may continue to operate within the range in the short term.
Core technical drivers: The BOLL indicator shows that prices are near the middle track, with bandwidth convergence, market sentiment balanced, and the market may continue to fluctuate in the short term.
External environment impact: Market sentiment is neutral, with mixed news, and no significant macro or event-driven factors at play.
Main potential risks: Insufficient trading volume leads to low signal confirmation, and prices may experience false breakouts.
The current ETH market is in a range-bound state, with prices fluctuating between strong support at 3038.82 and strong resistance at 3056.78. Technical indicators show a weakening of short-term momentum, and market sentiment is tending towards balance. The moving average system shows a bullish arrangement, but insufficient trading volume prevents confirmation of trend continuation or reversal. The BOLL indicator further verifies the market's fluctuation pattern, with bandwidth convergence indicating normal volatility, and prices may continue to operate within the range in the short term.
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