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Bitcoin still maintains its original viewpoint
Another rebound position to short, looking at the range of 80000-75000
#美国非农数据超预期 #长线
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"When will the grapes ripen? You must wait and wait again"
Yesterday's non-farm data support, before the non-farm announcement, Wanxiang predicted it would exceed expectations. As expected, the market experienced a small reversal and pullback.
However, the overall direction of the technical aspect yesterday during the day was firmly grasped by Wanxiang, with at least 50+ friends keeping up.
#美国非农数据超预期

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Binance: The path to treasure of Wanxiang #美国非农数据超预期 #美联储降息

12.17 Morning Gold Analysis
Yesterday, due to the non-farm impact, gold experienced a brief rapid rebound. Today, the daytime market has begun a downward trend.
Here’s a phrase for everyone to keep in mind: "When the good cards are all played, the next will be bad news!"
Suggestion: Short on the rebound
AU: Short near 4325-4335
Target: Near 4310-4280 #美国非农数据超预期 #巨鲸动向

November seasonally adjusted non-farm employment data preview: Gold under short-term pressure, primarily short on rebounds

At 21:30 Beijing time tonight, the market is focused on the U.S. November seasonally adjusted non-farm employment data to be officially released. This data was delayed due to a previous government shutdown, and its results will directly reshape the Federal Reserve's policy expectations and the trends of major assets. Combining leading indicators and market logic, this month's non-farm data is highly likely to exceed expectations, and gold will face significant bearish pressure in the short term.

From the data clues, the October non-farm data has been revised up from 12,000 to 36,000, and with temporary disruptive factors such as hurricanes and strikes dissipating, the November employment market is expected to show a strong rebound. Although some institutions predict an increase of about 50,000 jobs, historically, the dissipation of disruptive factors is often accompanied by a recovery in employment data, and there is strong recruitment demand in industries such as healthcare and leisure hotels, further supporting the likelihood of non-farm data exceeding expectations.

The linkage logic between non-farm data and gold is clear: better-than-expected employment numbers mean that the U.S. economic outlook is improving, which will strengthen market expectations for high interest rates, pushing the U.S. dollar index and U.S. Treasury yields upward, thereby increasing the opportunity cost of holding gold, putting pressure on gold prices. Currently, although gold is supported by medium- to long-term interest rate cut expectations and central bank purchases, short-term data shocks are expected to dominate the market sentiment.

It is recommended to seize the opportunity to short on rebounds: when gold prices rebound to the range of 4300-4310, one can lay out short positions, with lower targets looking towards the 4260-4240 area.

It should be noted that market volatility may intensify after the data release, and strict stop-loss measures should be set to guard against the risk of a rebound caused by sudden variables such as unemployment rates exceeding expectations. The core of the operation lies in relying on data logic, focusing on short-term volatility opportunities, while being cautious of the game between medium- to long-term trends and short-term shocks.
#巨鲸动向 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

Golden European Session:

From the market structure, the price has formed a clear resistance at the 4318 level, with multiple rebounds failing to hold effectively, followed by a quick retreat and breaking below the previous low. The short-term trend has shifted from strong to weak. Currently, around 4191 below is a previous rebound dense trading area, and it is also a key position for short-term long and short competitions. If the price rebounds to this area during the European session and faces resistance, one can consider trying to enter a short position, participating with a light position and controlling defense appropriately.

If the decline during the European session is limited or there is a stop-loss sweep, do not rush to chase the price, but pay attention to the second short-selling opportunity at the 4318 level. This position belongs to the resonance zone of the previous high and trend resistance. Once the rebound is blocked, the bearish momentum is likely to be released again. The overall idea is to maintain a focus on short positions, patiently waiting for the price to reach the position, rather than chasing the market movement.
#BinanceABCs #美联储降息

On the technical front, the short-term moving averages on the 4-hour chart are turning downward, and the K-line continues to be under pressure, presenting an overall weak oscillating pattern; the short-term downside space has not yet been fully released. The hourly chart is hovering at a low level with weak rebound strength, and one must be cautious of a "small adjustment followed by another drop" scenario. Tonight's November non-farm payroll data will be a key variable. If the employment numbers and unemployment rate deviate significantly from expectations, gold is likely to break the 4300–4350 oscillation range, with a high probability of increased volatility.

Operational reference:

Consider setting up a short position around 4320, targeting the 4300–4270 range;

Strictly set stop-loss to guard against risks from unexpected breakouts before the non-farm data.

Crude oil: Downward trend continues, approaching key support requires caution

Crude oil continued its decline yesterday, closing with a long-tailed bearish candle, and the trend's downward characteristics are very apparent. The daily level has broken through previous lined-up support, and the K-line is firmly suppressed by the short-term moving averages, with no signals indicating a reversal of the downward trend. The 4-hour chart shows an even more extreme trend, with the K-line basically following the short-term moving averages downward, with almost no significant rebound during this time, and the bears completely dominate the market.

Going forward, one needs to pay attention: there is a possibility of a technical adjustment in the short term, but the overall direction remains bearish. It is especially important to note that the current price is already close to the lower edge of this year's mid-year oscillation range. If it falls further to around 55, it is advisable to wait and see, being cautious of a technical rebound after an overshoot, and avoid blindly chasing shorts near the support level to prevent a passive situation.

Operational reference:

Consider shorting in the 57–57.1 range, targeting 56–55.2;

While following the trend, it is necessary to leave some margin for error to cope with the repeated oscillations near the support level.
#BinanceABCs

December 15th Silver 💡 XAGUSD Latest Intraday Analysis

From the 1-hour timeframe, after the price surged to a peak of 62.757, it quickly retraced, forming a typical high-low reversal pattern. The short-term bullish momentum has clearly weakened, and the need for a technical correction is very prominent. Moreover, as the price has declined from the highs, it has formed a series of bearish candles, indicating that the downward momentum has been sufficiently released, which means that market selling pressure is continuously increasing, and there are signs of a short-term trend switching to bearish. Additionally, there is a willingness to take profits from the previous upward accumulation, compounded by the need for technical correction after a short-term overbought situation. These factors provide a solid technical basis for us to position for a short.

(For reference only)
Silver is heading south in the range of 62.9-63.5
Targeting around 62.0-61.3
#美联储降息 #加密市场反弹

12.15 Gold bullish trend remains, short-term buy operations

Last Friday, gold surged and then retreated, with profit-taking at the end of the session, significantly pulling back, closing near 4300. The short-term price remains strong, and the decline caused by fund outflow on Friday is unlikely to continue. The fundamental logic remains bullish. Continue with low buy operations during the day, focusing on buying near 4283, with a stop loss at 4270, and looking at 4316 and 4340 as resistance levels.

Short-term buy near 4283, with a defense at 4270 and targets of 4316 and 4340.

If it unexpectedly falls below 4260, then buying will not be considered.
#美联储降息 #加密市场反弹 $BTC

About the white plate, about medium to long-term layout, Wanshi has something to say
The fluctuations over the weekend are still terrifyingly weak, while the sudden rises and falls indeed provide the crypto circle with a breather. However, no profit, no good; the current calm is actually hiding turbulent waves and undercurrents!
Overall, the trend looks bearish. It is highly likely that Bitcoin will break 8 and go below 7 before the end of the month.
There isn't much time left for everyone to escape the peak. Keep it up, kids!
Suggestion: Short at market price, target around 79000
#美联储降息 #加密市场反弹
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