币学研习社浩
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Frequent Trader
11.8 Months
公众号：（币学研习社浩） 深耕加密货币现货合约交易领域多年，擅长运用波段交易、趋势交易等多元化策略，精准掌握市场动态。凭借扎实的技术分析功底，熟练运用 BOLL、KDJ，RSI 等指标结合 K 线形态解读行情。
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$ETH 10 October 2nd band trading operation, continue to take profit at 4400 and stop loss at 4350, steadily making profits from both waves exceeding 4420
Brother Hao's team still has positions, those who want to get on board hurry up
Brother Hao's team still has positions, those who want to get on board hurry up
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$ETH
Brother Hao's Morning Analysis September 30:
On September 25, the market experienced a one-day drop of 277 points, accompanied by a massive volume, which typically indicates panic selling. As a result, the next day immediately closed with a long lower shadow bullish candle, recovering the previous day's losses. This situation is a typical 'bear trap,' where many believe it will continue to fall, but the market rebounds.
Subsequent performance: Recently, three consecutive bullish candles have formed, reclaiming the 4000 integer level.
Key resistance level: There is significant pressure around 4250, as this was the previous swing high. On September 29, it reached 4246 and was knocked down again, leaving a long upper shadow, indicating heavy selling pressure here.
Technical analysis
MACD: Although the daily chart shows a death cross below the waterline, the green bars have shortened, indicating that the downward momentum is weakening. On the hourly chart, MACD has crossed golden, indicating strong short-term momentum.
RSI: The daily RSI is at 47, close to the midpoint and slightly weak; the hourly RSI has reached 65, nearing overbought territory, so caution is advised for short-term pullbacks.
Moving averages EMA: The 7-day line has crossed below the 30-day line, forming a death cross, and the overall trend remains weak. The current price is at 4163, below the 7-day line.
Volume performance
On the day of the significant drop on September 25, the trading volume surged to 8.45 million, which is a typical volume increase on a down day.
During subsequent rebounds, the volume gradually weakened, indicating that selling pressure has not been fully digested.
In the last three days, the volume on the hourly chart was primarily concentrated around the breakout at 4200 (September 30, 04:00 volume 239,000 transactions), indicating that there was capital pushing it up.
Summary
The current market is generally weak, but there is short-term rebound momentum. Recommended actions:
Buying opportunities: Watch for opportunities around 4100 and 4050.
Selling opportunities: There is significant pressure at 4250 and 4300, so partial profit-taking or attempting short positions can be considered.
Stop-loss discipline: Regardless of long or short positions, strict stop-loss measures must be implemented, especially at the 4020 and 4325 levels. Once these levels are broken, do not hesitate.
Brother Hao's Morning Analysis September 30:
On September 25, the market experienced a one-day drop of 277 points, accompanied by a massive volume, which typically indicates panic selling. As a result, the next day immediately closed with a long lower shadow bullish candle, recovering the previous day's losses. This situation is a typical 'bear trap,' where many believe it will continue to fall, but the market rebounds.
Subsequent performance: Recently, three consecutive bullish candles have formed, reclaiming the 4000 integer level.
Key resistance level: There is significant pressure around 4250, as this was the previous swing high. On September 29, it reached 4246 and was knocked down again, leaving a long upper shadow, indicating heavy selling pressure here.
Technical analysis
MACD: Although the daily chart shows a death cross below the waterline, the green bars have shortened, indicating that the downward momentum is weakening. On the hourly chart, MACD has crossed golden, indicating strong short-term momentum.
RSI: The daily RSI is at 47, close to the midpoint and slightly weak; the hourly RSI has reached 65, nearing overbought territory, so caution is advised for short-term pullbacks.
Moving averages EMA: The 7-day line has crossed below the 30-day line, forming a death cross, and the overall trend remains weak. The current price is at 4163, below the 7-day line.
Volume performance
On the day of the significant drop on September 25, the trading volume surged to 8.45 million, which is a typical volume increase on a down day.
During subsequent rebounds, the volume gradually weakened, indicating that selling pressure has not been fully digested.
In the last three days, the volume on the hourly chart was primarily concentrated around the breakout at 4200 (September 30, 04:00 volume 239,000 transactions), indicating that there was capital pushing it up.
Summary
The current market is generally weak, but there is short-term rebound momentum. Recommended actions:
Buying opportunities: Watch for opportunities around 4100 and 4050.
Selling opportunities: There is significant pressure at 4250 and 4300, so partial profit-taking or attempting short positions can be considered.
Stop-loss discipline: Regardless of long or short positions, strict stop-loss measures must be implemented, especially at the 4020 and 4325 levels. Once these levels are broken, do not hesitate.
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$SOL
Analysis by Brother Hao on the evening of October 3: Short-term fluctuations stabilize, accumulating strength to break through key resistance.
From the perspective of five-minute K-line, the price peaked at 234.77 on October 3 and then fell under pressure, reaching a low of 227.42. Subsequently, a contraction in volume occurred with fluctuations, gradually showing a rebound from the low. Currently, the SOL price is around 231.31, showing signs of low-level stabilization.
Highest point: 234.77
Lowest point: 227.42
Current price: 231.31
Short-term support: 230.00, 227.40
Short-term resistance: 232.50, 234.80
Technical analysis:
Moving average trends
MA(7) has crossed above MA(30) again, forming certain bullish signals in the short term.
The price is running above the moving average support, indicating some rebound momentum.
Trading volume
The volume was significantly increased when probing the bottom near 227.42, indicating active funding support below.
The trading volume weakened during the rebound phase, and there is still a lack of sustained volume breakout momentum in the short term.
Key intervals
The upper range of 232.5—234.8 is strong resistance; if effectively broken, it will open up space to impact 236—238.
The lower range of 230 serves as short-term support; if broken, it may retest the 227 area.
Trend judgment:
In the short term, SOL has completed initial stabilization after a rapid decline, with the moving averages turning upward, and a rebound is expected to continue.
If it can break through 234.8 with increased volume in the medium term, there will be an opportunity to strengthen further; if it faces resistance again, the market is likely to maintain a range of fluctuations.
Operational suggestions:
Short-term traders
Can enter positions lightly above 230 on dips, targeting the 232.5—234.8 range.
If it breaks below 230, it will be necessary to stop loss and exit to prevent another decline to 227.
Medium-term investors
It is recommended to pay attention to the breakout situation of 234.8; once broken and stabilized, positions can be gradually increased.
If the market repeatedly faces resistance, patiently wait for a pullback to confirm support before intervening.
Summary: After completing a phase of stabilization after being pressured at low levels, it has now shown a rebound trend, but the resistance above still needs attention. The key in the short term lies in whether it can break through the 232.5—234.8 range; if successful in breaking with increased volume, it will open up further upside potential; if blocked and falls back, the oscillation pattern will continue.
Welcome to follow Brother Hao from the Cryptocurrency Learning Society, where you can watch live trading, learn and communicate, and have a clear direction and strategy for the market. Regardless of the market style, knowing in advance allows you to master it better in time!
The Cryptocurrency Learning Society only engages in live trading, and the team still has positions available, so hurry up to get on board.
Analysis by Brother Hao on the evening of October 3: Short-term fluctuations stabilize, accumulating strength to break through key resistance.
From the perspective of five-minute K-line, the price peaked at 234.77 on October 3 and then fell under pressure, reaching a low of 227.42. Subsequently, a contraction in volume occurred with fluctuations, gradually showing a rebound from the low. Currently, the SOL price is around 231.31, showing signs of low-level stabilization.
Highest point: 234.77
Lowest point: 227.42
Current price: 231.31
Short-term support: 230.00, 227.40
Short-term resistance: 232.50, 234.80
Technical analysis:
Moving average trends
MA(7) has crossed above MA(30) again, forming certain bullish signals in the short term.
The price is running above the moving average support, indicating some rebound momentum.
Trading volume
The volume was significantly increased when probing the bottom near 227.42, indicating active funding support below.
The trading volume weakened during the rebound phase, and there is still a lack of sustained volume breakout momentum in the short term.
Key intervals
The upper range of 232.5—234.8 is strong resistance; if effectively broken, it will open up space to impact 236—238.
The lower range of 230 serves as short-term support; if broken, it may retest the 227 area.
Trend judgment:
In the short term, SOL has completed initial stabilization after a rapid decline, with the moving averages turning upward, and a rebound is expected to continue.
If it can break through 234.8 with increased volume in the medium term, there will be an opportunity to strengthen further; if it faces resistance again, the market is likely to maintain a range of fluctuations.
Operational suggestions:
Short-term traders
Can enter positions lightly above 230 on dips, targeting the 232.5—234.8 range.
If it breaks below 230, it will be necessary to stop loss and exit to prevent another decline to 227.
Medium-term investors
It is recommended to pay attention to the breakout situation of 234.8; once broken and stabilized, positions can be gradually increased.
If the market repeatedly faces resistance, patiently wait for a pullback to confirm support before intervening.
Summary: After completing a phase of stabilization after being pressured at low levels, it has now shown a rebound trend, but the resistance above still needs attention. The key in the short term lies in whether it can break through the 232.5—234.8 range; if successful in breaking with increased volume, it will open up further upside potential; if blocked and falls back, the oscillation pattern will continue.
Welcome to follow Brother Hao from the Cryptocurrency Learning Society, where you can watch live trading, learn and communicate, and have a clear direction and strategy for the market. Regardless of the market style, knowing in advance allows you to master it better in time!
The Cryptocurrency Learning Society only engages in live trading, and the team still has positions available, so hurry up to get on board.
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$ETH
Brother Hao's evening review on October 7:
Breaking through the upper Bollinger band, the bullish momentum is strong. After experiencing fluctuations and consolidation, ETH showed a clear upward trend this evening. As seen in the chart, the price has been fluctuating upwards from below 4700, quickly rising after breaking through the middle Bollinger band, with a peak reaching 4749.96 USD, forming a strong short-term breakout.
Technical Analysis
Bollinger Bands (BOLL)
The current candlestick is operating near the upper Bollinger band, indicating that short-term funds are pushing upwards strongly, with the price trending along the upper band, characteristic of a typical bullish trend extension phase.
The middle band support level is around 4714 USD. If it can stabilize above the middle band, there is still short-term potential for further gains.
MACD Indicator
The MACD yellow and white lines have formed a golden cross upwards, and the red momentum bars continue to expand, indicating that bullish momentum is strengthening. If the red bars continue to increase, ETH is expected to maintain upward momentum and test the pressure range of 4750–4780 USD.
Trading Rhythm
During the upward trend, the trading volume has increased synchronously, indicating that the breakout is valid and not a false push. There are clear signs of short-term fund involvement.
Operational Strategy Suggestions
Short-term Strategy:
On a pullback to the 4720–4725 USD range, one can lightly position for long trades, targeting 4760–4780 USD; place a stop-loss below 4705 USD.
Defensive Strategy:
If the price falls below the middle Bollinger band (around 4714), then short-term long positions should exit and observe to prevent getting trapped in a pullback.
Trend Outlook
ETH is currently in the continuation phase of an hourly upward trend. Short-term pullbacks do not alter the medium-term bullish structure. As long as the price remains above 4700, the market is expected to further test the 4800 round number.
Summary:
Short cycle bullish signals are evident, with MACD resonating upwards with the Bollinger Bands, but caution is needed for potential brief spikes and pullbacks near the upper band. Controlling position size and trading with the trend are key to current operations.
Feel free to follow Brother Hao from the Coin Study Club for real-time learning and exchange, and gain clarity on market direction and strategies. No matter the market style, knowing in advance allows for better mastery of timing. The team also has positions available for entry!
Brother Hao's evening review on October 7:
Breaking through the upper Bollinger band, the bullish momentum is strong. After experiencing fluctuations and consolidation, ETH showed a clear upward trend this evening. As seen in the chart, the price has been fluctuating upwards from below 4700, quickly rising after breaking through the middle Bollinger band, with a peak reaching 4749.96 USD, forming a strong short-term breakout.
Technical Analysis
Bollinger Bands (BOLL)
The current candlestick is operating near the upper Bollinger band, indicating that short-term funds are pushing upwards strongly, with the price trending along the upper band, characteristic of a typical bullish trend extension phase.
The middle band support level is around 4714 USD. If it can stabilize above the middle band, there is still short-term potential for further gains.
MACD Indicator
The MACD yellow and white lines have formed a golden cross upwards, and the red momentum bars continue to expand, indicating that bullish momentum is strengthening. If the red bars continue to increase, ETH is expected to maintain upward momentum and test the pressure range of 4750–4780 USD.
Trading Rhythm
During the upward trend, the trading volume has increased synchronously, indicating that the breakout is valid and not a false push. There are clear signs of short-term fund involvement.
Operational Strategy Suggestions
Short-term Strategy:
On a pullback to the 4720–4725 USD range, one can lightly position for long trades, targeting 4760–4780 USD; place a stop-loss below 4705 USD.
Defensive Strategy:
If the price falls below the middle Bollinger band (around 4714), then short-term long positions should exit and observe to prevent getting trapped in a pullback.
Trend Outlook
ETH is currently in the continuation phase of an hourly upward trend. Short-term pullbacks do not alter the medium-term bullish structure. As long as the price remains above 4700, the market is expected to further test the 4800 round number.
Summary:
Short cycle bullish signals are evident, with MACD resonating upwards with the Bollinger Bands, but caution is needed for potential brief spikes and pullbacks near the upper band. Controlling position size and trading with the trend are key to current operations.
Feel free to follow Brother Hao from the Coin Study Club for real-time learning and exchange, and gain clarity on market direction and strategies. No matter the market style, knowing in advance allows for better mastery of timing. The team also has positions available for entry!
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$ETH
Brother Hao's Morning Analysis October 2: After experiencing a surge in volume yesterday, ETH reached a high of $4378 during the session, then faced downward pressure, dropping to a low of $4284. However, it still maintains a high-level consolidation pattern overall. As of the time of writing, the price has returned to around $4349, showing certain recovery momentum in the short term.
Form Structure
Recently, ETH has been operating in the range of $4300—$4380, maintaining an overall box consolidation pattern.
The support line at $4280 has received support multiple times, indicating that funds are clearly accumulating in this area.
Moving Average System
The short-term moving average MA7 has turned up again, and the price has stabilized above MA30, with short-term rebound momentum gradually recovering.
The medium-term moving averages continue to maintain a bullish arrangement, and the trend has not been damaged.
Key Support and Resistance
Lower Support: $4300—$4280 range. If this level is lost, it may retest $4250 or even $4200.
Upper Resistance: $4378, which is the recent high. After breaking through, it may aim directly for the $4400 or even $4450 range.
Volume Performance
The upward phase is accompanied by increased volume, while the volume significantly decreases during the pullback, indicating limited active selling pressure.
If the current rebound can continue to increase in volume, it will increase the probability of breaking the upper limit ($4378).
Trend Judgment
Short-term: ETH shows a rhythm of “rising high and falling back—consolidation—rebound again,” currently in the rebound confirmation stage.
Medium-term: As long as $4280 holds, the bullish structure remains intact, and the market still has the potential for a second upward surge.
Operational Suggestions
Short-term traders:
Focus on the $4300 support. If it holds, consider buying low, targeting $4370—$4380;
If it breaks through $4378 with volume, consider going long, looking toward $4400-4450.
Medium-term traders:
Patiently wait for a breakout of the range. Be cautious if it falls below $4280;
Breaking through and stabilizing at $4378 means a new round of upward movement may begin.
Summary:
ETH's consolidation above $4300 is at a critical trend point. Whether the market can break through $4378 will determine whether the subsequent action continues with strong upward momentum or maintains a range-bound consolidation.
Feel free to follow Brother Hao from the Cryptocurrency Study Society for real-time learning and exchanges, where you can gain clarity on market direction and strategy. Regardless of market style, being informed in advance allows for better mastery of timing!
【The above analysis and strategies are for reference only. Please bear the risk yourself. The article review and release may be delayed, and the strategies may lack timeliness. Specific operations should be based on real-time strategies.】
Brother Hao's Morning Analysis October 2: After experiencing a surge in volume yesterday, ETH reached a high of $4378 during the session, then faced downward pressure, dropping to a low of $4284. However, it still maintains a high-level consolidation pattern overall. As of the time of writing, the price has returned to around $4349, showing certain recovery momentum in the short term.
Form Structure
Recently, ETH has been operating in the range of $4300—$4380, maintaining an overall box consolidation pattern.
The support line at $4280 has received support multiple times, indicating that funds are clearly accumulating in this area.
Moving Average System
The short-term moving average MA7 has turned up again, and the price has stabilized above MA30, with short-term rebound momentum gradually recovering.
The medium-term moving averages continue to maintain a bullish arrangement, and the trend has not been damaged.
Key Support and Resistance
Lower Support: $4300—$4280 range. If this level is lost, it may retest $4250 or even $4200.
Upper Resistance: $4378, which is the recent high. After breaking through, it may aim directly for the $4400 or even $4450 range.
Volume Performance
The upward phase is accompanied by increased volume, while the volume significantly decreases during the pullback, indicating limited active selling pressure.
If the current rebound can continue to increase in volume, it will increase the probability of breaking the upper limit ($4378).
Trend Judgment
Short-term: ETH shows a rhythm of “rising high and falling back—consolidation—rebound again,” currently in the rebound confirmation stage.
Medium-term: As long as $4280 holds, the bullish structure remains intact, and the market still has the potential for a second upward surge.
Operational Suggestions
Short-term traders:
Focus on the $4300 support. If it holds, consider buying low, targeting $4370—$4380;
If it breaks through $4378 with volume, consider going long, looking toward $4400-4450.
Medium-term traders:
Patiently wait for a breakout of the range. Be cautious if it falls below $4280;
Breaking through and stabilizing at $4378 means a new round of upward movement may begin.
Summary:
ETH's consolidation above $4300 is at a critical trend point. Whether the market can break through $4378 will determine whether the subsequent action continues with strong upward momentum or maintains a range-bound consolidation.
Feel free to follow Brother Hao from the Cryptocurrency Study Society for real-time learning and exchanges, where you can gain clarity on market direction and strategy. Regardless of market style, being informed in advance allows for better mastery of timing!
【The above analysis and strategies are for reference only. Please bear the risk yourself. The article review and release may be delayed, and the strategies may lack timeliness. Specific operations should be based on real-time strategies.】
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$ETH Hao Ge Evening Analysis October 1: A strong rally appeared during the session, with prices rising sharply from the 4137 line to 4329 USD, an increase of nearly 200 points, accompanied by increased trading volume, indicating that capital concentrated to push forward.
Technical Analysis:
The breakout pattern saw ETH break through the previous horizontal range with volume around 16:30, leading to a rapid upward trend, briefly piercing the 4329 high. Subsequently, prices entered a sideways consolidation, indicating a battle between bulls and bears at high levels.
Moving Averages
The short-term moving average (MA7) gradually flattened after the rise, with prices consolidating in the 4290—4310 range, but as time passed, the MA30 gradually suppressed the market, causing the evening trend to shift downward.
Key Support and Resistance
Upper Resistance: The 4329 line is a strong pressure zone in the short term; if it cannot break through, a local double top pattern will form.
Lower Support: The current key level is in the 4270—4280 area; if it breaks, there is a risk of retracing to the 4180 support line.
Volume Comparison
A huge volume accompanied the breakout, but the volume in the subsequent consolidation range continued to shrink, indicating insufficient upward momentum. If it cannot break through 4329 with accompanying volume, the market is likely to enter a retreat or a longer period of consolidation.
Trend Judgment:
Short-term: Currently, ETH is in a consolidation phase after a high pullback, with bears gradually taking the initiative, showing a weak short-term trend.
Medium-term: As long as the 4180 support holds, the bullish structure remains intact, and there is still hope for a second upward attack during the consolidation.
Trading Suggestions:
Short-term traders: Focus on the 4270 support; if it holds, consider buying low, targeting above 4300; if it breaks 4270, stop-loss promptly to avoid the risk of retracing to 4180.
Swing traders: Patiently wait for directional choice; if volume supports a breakout at 4329, it is expected to open up upward space to 4400; if it breaks below 4180, be cautious of accelerated pullbacks.
Welcome to follow the Cryptocurrency Study Society Hao, where you can learn and exchange in real-time trading, and gain clarity on market direction and strategies. Regardless of market style, knowing in advance allows you to better grasp the timing! The Cryptocurrency Study Society only engages in real trading, and the team has positions available for quick entry.
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Who understands! My best friend is losing money and wants to close her account, six months later she takes me out for champagne to show off...
This broken market is just harvesting retail investors! I directly canceled my account!” Six months ago at two in the morning, my best friend woke me up with her crying voice, the background sound was her crunching on instant noodles – 20,000 principal entered the market, three months later it was down to just 600, the account balance cleaner than her noodle soup.
As a result, last week during afternoon tea, she flaunted her new bag and showed me her phone screen: the 150,000 figure dazzled my eyes, and when ordering, she boldly shouted, “Caviar tart with champagne, today I’ll pay.” As an analyst who has monitored the market for 6 years and seen thousands of retail investors go from riches to rags, I immediately pressed her for the secret, only to find that 90% of people lose money, not because the market lacks opportunities, but because they treat 'investing' like a 'blind gamble'.
As a result, last week during afternoon tea, she flaunted her new bag and showed me her phone screen: the 150,000 figure dazzled my eyes, and when ordering, she boldly shouted, “Caviar tart with champagne, today I’ll pay.” As an analyst who has monitored the market for 6 years and seen thousands of retail investors go from riches to rags, I immediately pressed her for the secret, only to find that 90% of people lose money, not because the market lacks opportunities, but because they treat 'investing' like a 'blind gamble'.
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“This broken market is just about cutting leeks! I’m directly canceling my account and running away!”
Half a year ago at 2 a.m., my hard-headed girlfriend squatted next to the community trash can sending me a voice message, with background noise mixing her sobs and the selling sounds of oden from the convenience store downstairs. At that time, she had invested 20,000 as her capital in the crypto circle and lost it down to just 600U in three months. Her account balance was even more miserable than her paycheck at the end of the month; she couldn’t even afford to buy a pancake with an egg from downstairs.
Last week we had afternoon tea, and this sister was carrying a new-style vegetable basket. She raised her hand and ordered caviar tart with champagne, telling me, “Celebrating my account breaking 150,000 U.” As a seasoned crypto analyst who has been watching the market for 5 years and has seen thousands of retail investors go from ecstasy to collapse, I immediately pressed her coffee cup and interrogated her for the secret - it turns out that 90% of people lose money in the crypto market, not because there are no opportunities, but because they treat “investing” like “blindly gambling in a casino game”!
Last week we had afternoon tea, and this sister was carrying a new-style vegetable basket. She raised her hand and ordered caviar tart with champagne, telling me, “Celebrating my account breaking 150,000 U.” As a seasoned crypto analyst who has been watching the market for 5 years and has seen thousands of retail investors go from ecstasy to collapse, I immediately pressed her coffee cup and interrogated her for the secret - it turns out that 90% of people lose money in the crypto market, not because there are no opportunities, but because they treat “investing” like “blindly gambling in a casino game”!
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爆仓3次后悟了：合约里的“止损陷阱”，才是韭菜和大佬的分水岭
凌晨两点的电脑屏幕前，我盯着弹出的“强制平仓”提示，第三次把泡面汤溅到了键盘上。那年我炒加密资产刚满5年，合约账户里的1万个价值单位，在我硬扛了72小时后，像被太阳晒化的冰淇淋连个渣都没剩。
现在回头看，当时的自己就是典型的“合约莽夫”：涨了觉得能上天，跌了坚信会反弹，别人劝我设止损，我拍着桌子喊“这是洗盘！熬过去就是翻倍！”结果呢？翻倍没来，账户先“翻了车”。如今靠着一套被粉丝笑称“笨到抠脚”的策略年入七位数，再被问“扛单还是止损”，我只会反问：“你是想当赌徒，还是想做长期玩家？”
先泼盆冷水：90%的新手都在犯一个致命错误把止损当成“割肉认输”，把扛单当成“逆向投资”。这根本不是选择题，而是认知题。我用三次爆仓换来的第一个干货结论：止损不是让你少赚钱，而是让你别没命。
第一次爆仓是2018年，我抱着“币圈永远涨”的幻想，在回调时加了5倍杠杆。当时账户浮亏20%，朋友疯狂发消息让我砍仓，我却盯着K线图给自己画饼：“之前也跌过这么多，第二天就反弹了”。结果等来的不是反弹，是瀑布式下跌，等系统自动平仓时，我看着归零的账户，第一次体会到“心脏停跳3秒”的感觉。
后来我才明白，新手对止损的第一个误解，就是“怕止损后涨回来”。但你有没有算过概率？10次扛单里，可能有1次真的反弹让你赚了，但剩下9次只会让你从“小亏”变“爆仓”。就像我第三次爆仓时，明明看到跌破了关键支撑位，却总觉得“这是主力诱空”，硬生生把1万价值单位扛到归零，那段时间吃泡面都只敢放半包调料包。
真正的止损，是给你的账户装“安全气囊”，而不是“刹车”。这里分享我现在在用的“动态止损法”，亲测能把爆仓概率降到10%以下，纯干货无套路：
1. 别设“死止损”，要跟“活趋势”：新手总爱设固定比例止损，比如亏5%就砍，结果经常被主力“扫止损”。我现在会把止损线绑在20日均线或者近期震荡区间的边缘，趋势不变就拿着，一旦跌破关键位置，不管多心疼都立刻离场。就像开车时看到红灯要停，而不是盯着仪表盘算“再开50米会不会被拍”。
2. 止损前先“算赔率”：开仓前先问自己两个问题：“这单最多能亏多少？”“赚的时候能赚多少？”如果赔率低于1:2，比如亏1万只能赚1.5万，直接放弃。我现在开仓，必须满足“亏1块能赚3块”的条件，哪怕错过一些机会，也比瞎操作爆仓强。
3. 把“扛单瘾”当成敌人：每次想扛单的时候，我就打开手机里的“爆仓纪念相册”里面存着三次爆仓的截图，还有当时吃泡面的照片。人都有侥幸心理，但合约市场里，侥幸就是“自杀”。实在忍不住就减仓，把仓位降到“就算爆仓也不心疼”的程度，总比全仓归零强。
昨天还有粉丝跟我说，扛单扛到失眠，问我该不该割。我没直接回答，而是给他发了我第一次爆仓后的日记：“今天亏光了所有积蓄，但我终于明白，在这个市场里，活着比什么都重要。”
炒加密资产10年，我见过太多一夜暴富的神话，也见过太多凌晨三点删交易记录的崩溃。合约不是赌场，止损也不是认输，而是对自己的钱负责。
欢迎关注币学研习社浩，可以看实盘学习交流，还能市场清楚方向和策略，无论市场是什么风格，能提前知道才有时间去更好的掌握，战队还有位置上车速来！#加密市场观察 $ETH
$SOL
现在回头看，当时的自己就是典型的“合约莽夫”：涨了觉得能上天，跌了坚信会反弹，别人劝我设止损，我拍着桌子喊“这是洗盘！熬过去就是翻倍！”结果呢？翻倍没来，账户先“翻了车”。如今靠着一套被粉丝笑称“笨到抠脚”的策略年入七位数，再被问“扛单还是止损”，我只会反问：“你是想当赌徒，还是想做长期玩家？”
先泼盆冷水：90%的新手都在犯一个致命错误把止损当成“割肉认输”，把扛单当成“逆向投资”。这根本不是选择题，而是认知题。我用三次爆仓换来的第一个干货结论：止损不是让你少赚钱，而是让你别没命。
第一次爆仓是2018年，我抱着“币圈永远涨”的幻想，在回调时加了5倍杠杆。当时账户浮亏20%，朋友疯狂发消息让我砍仓，我却盯着K线图给自己画饼：“之前也跌过这么多，第二天就反弹了”。结果等来的不是反弹，是瀑布式下跌，等系统自动平仓时，我看着归零的账户，第一次体会到“心脏停跳3秒”的感觉。
后来我才明白，新手对止损的第一个误解，就是“怕止损后涨回来”。但你有没有算过概率？10次扛单里，可能有1次真的反弹让你赚了，但剩下9次只会让你从“小亏”变“爆仓”。就像我第三次爆仓时，明明看到跌破了关键支撑位，却总觉得“这是主力诱空”，硬生生把1万价值单位扛到归零，那段时间吃泡面都只敢放半包调料包。
真正的止损，是给你的账户装“安全气囊”，而不是“刹车”。这里分享我现在在用的“动态止损法”，亲测能把爆仓概率降到10%以下，纯干货无套路：
1. 别设“死止损”，要跟“活趋势”：新手总爱设固定比例止损，比如亏5%就砍，结果经常被主力“扫止损”。我现在会把止损线绑在20日均线或者近期震荡区间的边缘，趋势不变就拿着，一旦跌破关键位置，不管多心疼都立刻离场。就像开车时看到红灯要停，而不是盯着仪表盘算“再开50米会不会被拍”。
2. 止损前先“算赔率”：开仓前先问自己两个问题：“这单最多能亏多少？”“赚的时候能赚多少？”如果赔率低于1:2，比如亏1万只能赚1.5万，直接放弃。我现在开仓，必须满足“亏1块能赚3块”的条件，哪怕错过一些机会，也比瞎操作爆仓强。
3. 把“扛单瘾”当成敌人：每次想扛单的时候，我就打开手机里的“爆仓纪念相册”里面存着三次爆仓的截图，还有当时吃泡面的照片。人都有侥幸心理，但合约市场里，侥幸就是“自杀”。实在忍不住就减仓，把仓位降到“就算爆仓也不心疼”的程度，总比全仓归零强。
昨天还有粉丝跟我说，扛单扛到失眠，问我该不该割。我没直接回答，而是给他发了我第一次爆仓后的日记：“今天亏光了所有积蓄，但我终于明白，在这个市场里，活着比什么都重要。”
炒加密资产10年，我见过太多一夜暴富的神话，也见过太多凌晨三点删交易记录的崩溃。合约不是赌场，止损也不是认输，而是对自己的钱负责。
欢迎关注币学研习社浩，可以看实盘学习交流，还能市场清楚方向和策略，无论市场是什么风格，能提前知道才有时间去更好的掌握，战队还有位置上车速来！#加密市场观察 $ETH
$SOL
See original
Trading Cryptocurrency for 10 Years: After Making 1,200,000, I Sealed My Wallet; These 3 Truths Hurt More than Liquidation
“Teacher, is it better to be fully invested or short?” At 3 AM, when my private messages were blowing up, I was staring blankly at the cold wallet's locked position record of 1,200,000, enough for a down payment on a school district house back home, but I had physically “frozen” it. As a seasoned veteran in the crypto scene for 10 years, this was the most money I've made and also the most scared I've ever been; the story begins with the “rebellious operation” from that night of FTX.
That day, the entire crypto community was rallying behind a “leverage god.” In the live stream, he was pounding the table shouting: “ETH 8,900 USD is the bottom, I'm fully invested with leverage, those who follow me will feast!” The comment section was flooded with “war gods,” but I coldly laughed at the screen, knowing this guy had just deleted his trading records the week before for holding on against the trend, and now he was back playing the “savior.”
That day, the entire crypto community was rallying behind a “leverage god.” In the live stream, he was pounding the table shouting: “ETH 8,900 USD is the bottom, I'm fully invested with leverage, those who follow me will feast!” The comment section was flooded with “war gods,” but I coldly laughed at the screen, knowing this guy had just deleted his trading records the week before for holding on against the trend, and now he was back playing the “savior.”
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Cryptocurrency Pitfall Avoidance Guide: My 3-Year Experience from Losing My Deposit to Stable Profits
Woken up at 2 AM by a liquidation message, watching my account balance drop from six digits to three.
This is my daily life in the first year of entering the circle. Every time we talk about the embarrassing moments of being a newbie in the community, there are always a bunch of people chasing after me asking: 'Bro, how did you survive?' Today, I will reveal my survival rules, all of which are lessons learned the hard way. Newbie friends, don't be the 'ATM' of the market anymore!
As a cryptocurrency analyst who has been watching the market for 3 years, I've seen too many magical scenes: some people make money by luck, only to lose it all by skill; some treat the 'big shots' calls as divine orders, and in the end, they have nothing left of their principal. In fact, the market is never short of opportunities; what it lacks is the brains to avoid pitfalls. These four iron laws helped me survive 3 rounds of bull and bear markets, and I now pass them on to you unchanged.
This is my daily life in the first year of entering the circle. Every time we talk about the embarrassing moments of being a newbie in the community, there are always a bunch of people chasing after me asking: 'Bro, how did you survive?' Today, I will reveal my survival rules, all of which are lessons learned the hard way. Newbie friends, don't be the 'ATM' of the market anymore!
As a cryptocurrency analyst who has been watching the market for 3 years, I've seen too many magical scenes: some people make money by luck, only to lose it all by skill; some treat the 'big shots' calls as divine orders, and in the end, they have nothing left of their principal. In fact, the market is never short of opportunities; what it lacks is the brains to avoid pitfalls. These four iron laws helped me survive 3 rounds of bull and bear markets, and I now pass them on to you unchanged.
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炒币 8 年爆仓 3 次我悟了,95% 的人亏在心态，不是技术.
刚进币圈那会，我也是个疯狂盯盘的 “赌徒”K 线红了就狂喜加仓，绿了就慌到深夜割肉，跟风追过暴涨山寨，迷信过 “大神” 晒单，结果 3 次爆仓把本金亏得只剩零头！直到第 8 年，我才彻底明白：币圈盈利哪是靠预测涨跌？分明是场 “心态修行赛”，技术顶多算个辅助工具！
今天把我用血泪堆出来的干货掏给你们，不管是刚入门的小白，还是被割怕了的老韭菜，看完这篇至少少走 3 年弯路！
一、心态才是盈利核心：95% 的人栽在这 4 个坑
很多人总纠结 “学不会 K 线”“找不准买点”，但我见过太多技术流高手，最后栽在 “心态” 上！币圈盈利的真相是：5% 靠技术分析，95% 靠心态驾驭 ,贪婪、恐惧、从众、浮躁，这四个 “心魔” 不除，再牛的交易系统都是白搭！
贪婪：别把 “运气” 当 “实力”我当年爆仓，全是因为贪！明明持有主流币赚了 20%，非要等 “翻倍再卖”，结果行情急转直下，从盈利变亏损，最后硬扛爆仓。后来才懂：币圈合理年化就是 10%-20%，30% 以上就是高风险，50% 以上纯属刀口舔血！那些晒单炫耀 “一周翻倍” 的，要么只晒盈利不晒亏损，要么就是 P 图割韭菜 ,你的钱是自己的，不是用来攀比的，落袋为安才是真赚钱。恐惧：回调不是末日，是机会！新手最怕回调，一看到币价跌就慌着割肉，结果割在最低点；老韭菜更怕踏空，涨一点就追，追在最高点。其实回调是好事啊！就像水果放久了要去皮，回调是在挤泡沫、修正价值，让真正优质的项目浮出水面。我现在反而盼着回调，只要看好的项目基本面没变化，回调就是 “捡便宜” 的机会记住：恐惧源于无知，建立清晰的进出场规则，用策略代替情绪，才能把恐惧变成敬畏。从众：80% 的亏损都是 “跟风” 来的币圈永远是二八法则，赚钱的永远是少数人！数据显示，80% 的散户亏损都源于追逐热点山寨币 , 当菜市场大妈都在讨论某个币，当头部交易平台首页轮番推荐，当社群里全是 “暴富神话”，这不是机会，是危险信号！我当年跟风买过一个热度超高的山寨币，开盘就涨，结果买完就跌，三天亏了 70%。后来才悟：真正的机会藏在无人问津的角落，在分歧中孕育，在共识中消亡,底部形成于沉默，顶部构筑于狂热。浮躁：熬得住寂寞，才能赚得到钱克服了贪婪恐惧，还会遇到更隐蔽的敌人 —浮躁！明明在底部建仓，却因为短期震荡提前离场，结果错过翻倍行情；明明在顶部逃顶，却因为 “怕踏空” 又冲进去，最后被套。我见过太多人，今天学这个交易法，明天试那个指标，频繁换仓、追涨杀跌，最后竹篮打水一场空。其实优质项目的价值需要时间沉淀，就像比特币历经十数次腰斩依然屹立，真正的投资大师，都是在无人问津时播种，在万众瞩目时收获。
记住：投资就像读书锻炼，不是看一天书就有成就，跑一天步就会瘦。做对的事，然后耐心等待，这就是真理。
二、3 分钟吃透 K 线：小白也能看懂的 “行情密码”
心态是内功，技术是外功 内功修炼好了，外功才能发挥作用！很多人觉得 K 线复杂，其实我总结下来，核心就 3 点：实体、影线、形态，3 分钟就能懂，再也不会被 K 线 “骗” 了！
K 线本质：就是多空打架的 “战绩图”K 线又叫蜡烛图，一根蜡烛就代表一段时间的涨跌：
红色（阳线）：收盘价＞开盘价，买家赢了，币价涨了；绿色（阴线）：收盘价＜开盘价，卖家赢了，币价跌了；上影线：多空打架的 “天花板”，越长说明上涨时阻力越大；下影线：多空打架的 “地板”，越长说明下跌时支撑越强。简单说：实体越长，趋势越明确（大阳线 = 买家疯狂，大阴线 = 卖家凶残）；影线越长，多空越纠结（上影线长 = 涨不动了，下影线长 = 跌不动了）。
5 个关键 K 线形态：看完就知道该买该卖不用记一堆复杂形态，掌握这 5 个就够了，小白也能直接用：
十字星：实体极小，上下影线差不多长→多空打平手，行情要变盘（涨多了可能见顶，跌多了可能见底）；锤头线：下影线超长，实体小→跌到地板有人抄底，可能反转（适合抄底）；吊颈线：下影线超长，但出现在连续上涨后→主力拉高出货，快跑；红三兵：连续三根小阳线→趋势向上，跟上；黑三鸦：连续三根小阴线→趋势向下，躲远点。
实战小技巧：胜率翻倍的 “秘诀”光看 K 线不够，还要结合这 2 点：
看量能：K 线大涨 + 成交量暴增→真突破，可跟进；K 线大涨 + 成交量萎缩→拉高出货，快跑；找关键位：支撑位（多次跌到反弹的位置）可抄底，压力位（多次涨到被砸的位置）慎追高。提醒一句：单根 K 线别乱猜，至少看 3 根组合！比如 “早晨之星”（跌→小星→涨）是反转信号，但单根小星啥也说明不了。
三、我用 8 年总结的 10 条 “保命规矩”：条条都是血泪史
最后给你们上硬菜！这 10 条规矩是我爆仓 3 次后总结的，现在每天交易前都会看一遍，至少帮我避开了无数坑：
主流币是锚，山寨币是赌：比特币定大盘方向，以太坊偶尔领涨，山寨币全看主力脸色，涨得快跌得更快，新手别碰；稳定币异常波动 = 警报：突然涨溢价，先看大盘是不是要跌，别傻乎乎追多；凌晨 2 点是 “收割窗口”：主力专挑大家睡熟时插针，睡前必须挂好止损，别抱侥幸；早盘 6-7 点定方向：持续跌可轻仓抄底，持续涨别追，大概率回调；美盘 17 点后盯紧盘：波动会翻倍，要么盯盘，要么减仓；周五多变局：可能赚大钱，也可能亏光，周五下午提前减一半仓；长针行情是 “筛选器”：出长上影或长下影，别慌，反向开单胜率能到 75%；离线钱包是 “保命钱”：盈利超本金 25%，立刻提一部分到离线钱包交易平台不是银行，风险随时在；5 倍以上杠杆 = 赌命：杠杆越高容错率越低，10 倍杠杆开合约，基本是等着被爆仓；长线比短线稳：拿住优质主流币 2-3 年，收益能吊打 98% 的短线玩家 , 别天天盯盘，越盯越乱。
结尾：你的心态，决定你的盈利上限
炒币这行，技术可以学，策略可以练，但心态修炼没有捷径，只能靠经历和反思。我见过太多人，学了一堆技术，却管不住自己的手，最后还是亏；也见过有人，技术一般，但心态稳、守规矩，反而赚得盆满钵满。
如果你现在还在被心态困扰，还在跟风追涨杀跌，那就关注洋洋我们一起学习交流。
欢迎关注币学研习社浩，可以看实盘学习交流，还能市场清楚方向和策略，无论市场是什么风格，能提前知道才有时间去更好的掌握，战队还有位置上车速来$BTC
$ETH
#加密市场反弹
今天把我用血泪堆出来的干货掏给你们，不管是刚入门的小白，还是被割怕了的老韭菜，看完这篇至少少走 3 年弯路！
一、心态才是盈利核心：95% 的人栽在这 4 个坑
很多人总纠结 “学不会 K 线”“找不准买点”，但我见过太多技术流高手，最后栽在 “心态” 上！币圈盈利的真相是：5% 靠技术分析，95% 靠心态驾驭 ,贪婪、恐惧、从众、浮躁，这四个 “心魔” 不除，再牛的交易系统都是白搭！
贪婪：别把 “运气” 当 “实力”我当年爆仓，全是因为贪！明明持有主流币赚了 20%，非要等 “翻倍再卖”，结果行情急转直下，从盈利变亏损，最后硬扛爆仓。后来才懂：币圈合理年化就是 10%-20%，30% 以上就是高风险，50% 以上纯属刀口舔血！那些晒单炫耀 “一周翻倍” 的，要么只晒盈利不晒亏损，要么就是 P 图割韭菜 ,你的钱是自己的，不是用来攀比的，落袋为安才是真赚钱。恐惧：回调不是末日，是机会！新手最怕回调，一看到币价跌就慌着割肉，结果割在最低点；老韭菜更怕踏空，涨一点就追，追在最高点。其实回调是好事啊！就像水果放久了要去皮，回调是在挤泡沫、修正价值，让真正优质的项目浮出水面。我现在反而盼着回调，只要看好的项目基本面没变化，回调就是 “捡便宜” 的机会记住：恐惧源于无知，建立清晰的进出场规则，用策略代替情绪，才能把恐惧变成敬畏。从众：80% 的亏损都是 “跟风” 来的币圈永远是二八法则，赚钱的永远是少数人！数据显示，80% 的散户亏损都源于追逐热点山寨币 , 当菜市场大妈都在讨论某个币，当头部交易平台首页轮番推荐，当社群里全是 “暴富神话”，这不是机会，是危险信号！我当年跟风买过一个热度超高的山寨币，开盘就涨，结果买完就跌，三天亏了 70%。后来才悟：真正的机会藏在无人问津的角落，在分歧中孕育，在共识中消亡,底部形成于沉默，顶部构筑于狂热。浮躁：熬得住寂寞，才能赚得到钱克服了贪婪恐惧，还会遇到更隐蔽的敌人 —浮躁！明明在底部建仓，却因为短期震荡提前离场，结果错过翻倍行情；明明在顶部逃顶，却因为 “怕踏空” 又冲进去，最后被套。我见过太多人，今天学这个交易法，明天试那个指标，频繁换仓、追涨杀跌，最后竹篮打水一场空。其实优质项目的价值需要时间沉淀，就像比特币历经十数次腰斩依然屹立，真正的投资大师，都是在无人问津时播种，在万众瞩目时收获。
记住：投资就像读书锻炼，不是看一天书就有成就，跑一天步就会瘦。做对的事，然后耐心等待，这就是真理。
二、3 分钟吃透 K 线：小白也能看懂的 “行情密码”
心态是内功，技术是外功 内功修炼好了，外功才能发挥作用！很多人觉得 K 线复杂，其实我总结下来，核心就 3 点：实体、影线、形态，3 分钟就能懂，再也不会被 K 线 “骗” 了！
K 线本质：就是多空打架的 “战绩图”K 线又叫蜡烛图，一根蜡烛就代表一段时间的涨跌：
红色（阳线）：收盘价＞开盘价，买家赢了，币价涨了；绿色（阴线）：收盘价＜开盘价，卖家赢了，币价跌了；上影线：多空打架的 “天花板”，越长说明上涨时阻力越大；下影线：多空打架的 “地板”，越长说明下跌时支撑越强。简单说：实体越长，趋势越明确（大阳线 = 买家疯狂，大阴线 = 卖家凶残）；影线越长，多空越纠结（上影线长 = 涨不动了，下影线长 = 跌不动了）。
5 个关键 K 线形态：看完就知道该买该卖不用记一堆复杂形态，掌握这 5 个就够了，小白也能直接用：
十字星：实体极小，上下影线差不多长→多空打平手，行情要变盘（涨多了可能见顶，跌多了可能见底）；锤头线：下影线超长，实体小→跌到地板有人抄底，可能反转（适合抄底）；吊颈线：下影线超长，但出现在连续上涨后→主力拉高出货，快跑；红三兵：连续三根小阳线→趋势向上，跟上；黑三鸦：连续三根小阴线→趋势向下，躲远点。
实战小技巧：胜率翻倍的 “秘诀”光看 K 线不够，还要结合这 2 点：
看量能：K 线大涨 + 成交量暴增→真突破，可跟进；K 线大涨 + 成交量萎缩→拉高出货，快跑；找关键位：支撑位（多次跌到反弹的位置）可抄底，压力位（多次涨到被砸的位置）慎追高。提醒一句：单根 K 线别乱猜，至少看 3 根组合！比如 “早晨之星”（跌→小星→涨）是反转信号，但单根小星啥也说明不了。
三、我用 8 年总结的 10 条 “保命规矩”：条条都是血泪史
最后给你们上硬菜！这 10 条规矩是我爆仓 3 次后总结的，现在每天交易前都会看一遍，至少帮我避开了无数坑：
主流币是锚，山寨币是赌：比特币定大盘方向，以太坊偶尔领涨，山寨币全看主力脸色，涨得快跌得更快，新手别碰；稳定币异常波动 = 警报：突然涨溢价，先看大盘是不是要跌，别傻乎乎追多；凌晨 2 点是 “收割窗口”：主力专挑大家睡熟时插针，睡前必须挂好止损，别抱侥幸；早盘 6-7 点定方向：持续跌可轻仓抄底，持续涨别追，大概率回调；美盘 17 点后盯紧盘：波动会翻倍，要么盯盘，要么减仓；周五多变局：可能赚大钱，也可能亏光，周五下午提前减一半仓；长针行情是 “筛选器”：出长上影或长下影，别慌，反向开单胜率能到 75%；离线钱包是 “保命钱”：盈利超本金 25%，立刻提一部分到离线钱包交易平台不是银行，风险随时在；5 倍以上杠杆 = 赌命：杠杆越高容错率越低，10 倍杠杆开合约，基本是等着被爆仓；长线比短线稳：拿住优质主流币 2-3 年，收益能吊打 98% 的短线玩家 , 别天天盯盘，越盯越乱。
结尾：你的心态，决定你的盈利上限
炒币这行，技术可以学，策略可以练，但心态修炼没有捷径，只能靠经历和反思。我见过太多人，学了一堆技术，却管不住自己的手，最后还是亏；也见过有人，技术一般，但心态稳、守规矩，反而赚得盆满钵满。
如果你现在还在被心态困扰，还在跟风追涨杀跌，那就关注洋洋我们一起学习交流。
欢迎关注币学研习社浩，可以看实盘学习交流，还能市场清楚方向和策略，无论市场是什么风格，能提前知道才有时间去更好的掌握，战队还有位置上车速来$BTC
$ETH
#加密市场反弹
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From yen rate hikes to mine closures, why is Bitcoin still falling?
85,000 bitcoins is not the bottom! Three major risks are yet to explode, and buying the dip now is like catching a falling knife.
Bitcoin has fallen below 85,000, and Ethereum has lost the $3,000 mark, with mining stocks plummeting over 10% in a single day. After the rate cut, the market instead crashed. Are you unable to resist buying the dip again? Hold on to your wallet! As an analyst who accurately predicted the sharp decline after three rate hikes in 2024, I’ll say this: this round of decline has just begun, and entering the market now is like jumping into a fire pit!
1. The 3 deadly pits you should avoid the most right now.
Don't be misled by the inertia of thinking that 'rate cuts must lead to increases.' After the Federal Reserve's first rate cut, the market focus has shifted to the rate cut path in 2026, while the current probability of a rate cut in January is only 22%. Instead, it may recover liquidity through balance sheet reduction, and the combination of 'nominal easing + actual tightening' is most harmful to risk assets.
Bitcoin has fallen below 85,000, and Ethereum has lost the $3,000 mark, with mining stocks plummeting over 10% in a single day. After the rate cut, the market instead crashed. Are you unable to resist buying the dip again? Hold on to your wallet! As an analyst who accurately predicted the sharp decline after three rate hikes in 2024, I’ll say this: this round of decline has just begun, and entering the market now is like jumping into a fire pit!
1. The 3 deadly pits you should avoid the most right now.
Don't be misled by the inertia of thinking that 'rate cuts must lead to increases.' After the Federal Reserve's first rate cut, the market focus has shifted to the rate cut path in 2026, while the current probability of a rate cut in January is only 22%. Instead, it may recover liquidity through balance sheet reduction, and the combination of 'nominal easing + actual tightening' is most harmful to risk assets.
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$ETH
12.16 Hao Ge's ETH Analysis at Noon:
1. Trend Conclusion
4H: Bearish trend not over
Below 3000 is weak, rebounds are opportunities
3120 must hold for a stronger discussion
2. Key Price Levels
Resistance: 3000–3050 / 3120
Support: 2870 / 2800
3. Entry Plan
Preferred: Short on rebound
Entry: 3000–3050
Stop Loss: 3120
Target: 2900 → 2800
Alternative: Light position bottom fishing
Entry: 2850–2880
Stop Loss: 2790
Target: 2980–3000
Welcome to follow the Coin Study Research Society, you can learn and communicate with live trading, and have a clear understanding of the market direction and strategies. No matter what style the market is, knowing in advance allows for better mastery. The team still has spots available, come quickly! #BinanceABCs
12.16 Hao Ge's ETH Analysis at Noon:
1. Trend Conclusion
4H: Bearish trend not over
Below 3000 is weak, rebounds are opportunities
3120 must hold for a stronger discussion
2. Key Price Levels
Resistance: 3000–3050 / 3120
Support: 2870 / 2800
3. Entry Plan
Preferred: Short on rebound
Entry: 3000–3050
Stop Loss: 3120
Target: 2900 → 2800
Alternative: Light position bottom fishing
Entry: 2850–2880
Stop Loss: 2790
Target: 2980–3000
Welcome to follow the Coin Study Research Society, you can learn and communicate with live trading, and have a clear understanding of the market direction and strategies. No matter what style the market is, knowing in advance allows for better mastery. The team still has spots available, come quickly! #BinanceABCs
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Dear ones, has the main plan's long strategy reached the take-profit position? The second plan's high short has also reached the stop-loss position. Analysis is not based on hindsight $ETH
#BinanceABCs
#BinanceABCs
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
12.15 Brother Hao's ETH Analysis at Noon:
1. Overall Trend (Conclusion First)
4H: Fluctuating Weakly, Not a Bull Market
Below 3250 = Rebound
3000–3050 = Strong Support
2. Key Ranges
Resistance: 3180–3250
Support: 3060–3080 / 3020–3050
3. Entry Plan
Main Plan
Pullback for Long
Entry: 3060–3080 (Limit 3020–3040)
Stop Loss: 2990
Target: 3120 → 3180 (Reduce Position)
Short-term Long (Light Position)
Condition: Stabilize at 3150 for 15 Minutes
Entry: 3155–3170
Stop Loss: 3120
Target: 3220–3250
High Position Short (High Risk-Reward Ratio)
Entry: 3230–3280
Stop Loss: 3320
Target: 3120 → 3050
4. Position Rules
Single Risk ≤ 3% Do Not Chase Up, Do Not Fully Invest
5. Remember in One Sentence
Do not look for a bull below 3250, do not look for a crash above 3000, only trade based on the range position.
Welcome to follow Brother Hao from Coin Study Society, you can learn and communicate with real trading, and clearly understand the market direction and strategies. No matter the market style, knowing in advance gives you time to better grasp it. The team also has positions ready to enter quickly! #ETH走势分析
{future}(ETHUSDT)
12.15 Brother Hao's ETH Analysis at Noon:
1. Overall Trend (Conclusion First)
4H: Fluctuating Weakly, Not a Bull Market
Below 3250 = Rebound
3000–3050 = Strong Support
2. Key Ranges
Resistance: 3180–3250
Support: 3060–3080 / 3020–3050
3. Entry Plan
Main Plan
Pullback for Long
Entry: 3060–3080 (Limit 3020–3040)
Stop Loss: 2990
Target: 3120 → 3180 (Reduce Position)
Short-term Long (Light Position)
Condition: Stabilize at 3150 for 15 Minutes
Entry: 3155–3170
Stop Loss: 3120
Target: 3220–3250
High Position Short (High Risk-Reward Ratio)
Entry: 3230–3280
Stop Loss: 3320
Target: 3120 → 3050
4. Position Rules
Single Risk ≤ 3% Do Not Chase Up, Do Not Fully Invest
5. Remember in One Sentence
Do not look for a bull below 3250, do not look for a crash above 3000, only trade based on the range position.
Welcome to follow Brother Hao from Coin Study Society, you can learn and communicate with real trading, and clearly understand the market direction and strategies. No matter the market style, knowing in advance gives you time to better grasp it. The team also has positions ready to enter quickly! #ETH走势分析
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While the crypto community is still focused on K-lines, the geopolitical landscape has turned upside down; China's hard power hides great opportunities.
While we are still red-eyed from the fluctuations of Bitcoin's two decimal places, a big fireworks show has already erupted on the global geopolitical chessboard. Macron just concluded his visit to China with the French delegation, and Japan, South Korea, and the Netherlands collectively lost control of their 'emotional management', especially Japan, whose situation is even more awkward than buying a worthless coin!
As an old hand who has been watching the cryptocurrency market and its connection to the global economy for ten years, I dare say this wave is not just simple diplomatic niceties, but a signal of the global powers 'realigning'. The fact that China can become the center stage of this grand drama is not luck; it is the inevitable result of 'hard power foundation + soft power appeal'. This logic is exactly the same as how we evaluate cryptocurrency projects based on underlying technology + community consensus.
As an old hand who has been watching the cryptocurrency market and its connection to the global economy for ten years, I dare say this wave is not just simple diplomatic niceties, but a signal of the global powers 'realigning'. The fact that China can become the center stage of this grand drama is not luck; it is the inevitable result of 'hard power foundation + soft power appeal'. This logic is exactly the same as how we evaluate cryptocurrency projects based on underlying technology + community consensus.
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A viral sensation in the crypto community! A small shop owner made eight figures in a bear market using a "soy sauce selling mentality"—a simple 4-step method that even beginners can copy!
The same question that gets bombarded with questions every day is back: "Is there any way to make a living in the crypto world without betting on price fluctuations?" I'm sick of seeing too many newbies rush in with the fantasy of "getting rich overnight," only to be fleeced with nothing but their underwear! Today, I have to be frank: Don't believe in those "quantitative analysis tools" and "insider information." Last year, I met a small shop owner who used a method simpler than accounting to earn eight figures in a bear market—more impressive than me, an analyst for eight years!
I've been in the crypto world for eight years, going from losing my entire down payment following so-called "big shots'" recommendations to consistently outperforming the market. It wasn't through any advanced techniques, but rather thanks to a boss named Lao Lin who enlightened me. Lao Lin used to run a small shop downstairs from my apartment, and his business was phenomenal—he always stocked the perfect amount of discounted eggs that Aunt Wang loved and the spicy strips that middle school students clamored for. He never stocked too much or too little, knowing the neighborhood's needs better than the neighborhood committee.
I've been in the crypto world for eight years, going from losing my entire down payment following so-called "big shots'" recommendations to consistently outperforming the market. It wasn't through any advanced techniques, but rather thanks to a boss named Lao Lin who enlightened me. Lao Lin used to run a small shop downstairs from my apartment, and his business was phenomenal—he always stocked the perfect amount of discounted eggs that Aunt Wang loved and the spicy strips that middle school students clamored for. He never stocked too much or too little, knowing the neighborhood's needs better than the neighborhood committee.
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From contract liquidation to resource games: The protracted Russia-Ukraine war, who is swimming naked and who is stockpiling?
Don't just stare at the K-line fluctuations! The ongoing 'perpetual contract' battle next door between Russia and Ukraine has been going on for nearly two years, which is even more thrilling than staying up late watching the market. One side has lost all their capital, while the other seems to have floating profits but is burning through their margin. Understanding this game of chess is more useful than catching ten short-term opportunities!
Let's first talk about how tragic Ukraine's 'liquidation order' is. Initially shouting 'high leverage to resist losses', the result now is that they are about to lose their shorts. The core 'asset package' of territory has directly shrunk by one-fifth. The four eastern provinces, like Crimea, have been 'secured' by the Russian side, and 80% of the coastline has been lost, equivalent to having half of their 'trading ports' shut down.
Let's first talk about how tragic Ukraine's 'liquidation order' is. Initially shouting 'high leverage to resist losses', the result now is that they are about to lose their shorts. The core 'asset package' of territory has directly shrunk by one-fifth. The four eastern provinces, like Crimea, have been 'secured' by the Russian side, and 80% of the coastline has been lost, equivalent to having half of their 'trading ports' shut down.
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From 3U to six figures, I have stripped away the 'cheat codes' of crypto short-term trading.
Don't scroll away! If the numbers in your crypto account are still fluctuating like an 'ECG,' and you have a five-figure principal wanting to double it within the year, this content will save you three years of detours. After all, my experience of losing from 3U to just the transaction fees and crying in front of the candlestick chart is much more real than those 'master classes.'
To be honest, it's too easy for newcomers in the crypto circle to fall into traps: either they follow 'insider news' on social media and chase highs, only to be treated as 'the bag holder' as soon as they enter; or they leverage contracts recklessly, getting forced liquidated with a small fluctuation, then turning around to curse the market for 'harvesting leeks.' I went through this too, until I lost my living expenses down to two digits, and finally understood: short-term trading is not about 'gambling,' but about making money through rules.
To be honest, it's too easy for newcomers in the crypto circle to fall into traps: either they follow 'insider news' on social media and chase highs, only to be treated as 'the bag holder' as soon as they enter; or they leverage contracts recklessly, getting forced liquidated with a small fluctuation, then turning around to curse the market for 'harvesting leeks.' I went through this too, until I lost my living expenses down to two digits, and finally understood: short-term trading is not about 'gambling,' but about making money through rules.
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The cryptocurrency world is in turmoil! Thirteen government departments have joined forces; this isn't a "ban," it's a "reshuffling."
The community exploded at 3 a.m.! Some people posted screenshots of regulatory documents with trembling hands, some shouted "the bull market is coming" and frantically added to their positions, and some stared blankly at 1.9 million yuan of unclaimed overseas assets. What are people in the crypto circle panicking about for the past two weeks of collective insomnia?
First, a key point for newcomers: This isn't a minor "window guidance" action; it's a coordinated effort by 13 core departments to apply the brakes, and 7 major industry associations to issue simultaneous statements. The document title might seem daunting, but as a veteran who's been watching the crypto market for eight years, I dare say the essence of this move isn't "market annihilation," but rather drawing a "life-or-death line" for the industry.
First, a key point for newcomers: This isn't a minor "window guidance" action; it's a coordinated effort by 13 core departments to apply the brakes, and 7 major industry associations to issue simultaneous statements. The document title might seem daunting, but as a veteran who's been watching the crypto market for eight years, I dare say the essence of this move isn't "market annihilation," but rather drawing a "life-or-death line" for the industry.
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