金大川

【Jin Dachuan Announcement】Bidding farewell to the crypto world, returning to the gold industry!

Hello to all my brothers and sisters who follow me!

Today I want to tell you something important: Due to the influence of national regulatory policies, in order to move forward in a compliant and stable manner, I will temporarily suspend the market analysis, strategy sharing, and copy trading services related to the crypto industry.

Friends who know me are aware that gold is my original profession—I have been deeply involved in the precious metals market since the beginning of my career, experiencing multiple bull and bear cycles, and accumulating a set of trend judgments and swing trading logic that have been validated in real trading. Now I choose to return, which is not only a response to regulatory requirements but also a desire to bring a more mature trading system and a more stable profit logic to my partners who have always trusted me.

In the future, I will focus on real-time market interpretation of gold, outputting swing trading strategies, and synchronizing real trading performance. My past abilities in precise predictions and risk control logic in the crypto world will also be fully transferred to gold trading—the professionalism remains unchanged, and the market environment is more stable!

Thank you all for your support and companionship along the way. A new track, the same professionalism, I look forward to making money together in the gold market! All updates will be synchronized in the Moments in a timely manner, and friends who want to keep up with the rhythm of gold trading, remember to keep following me~ See you in the gold market!
$BTC $ETH $PAXG
#美SEC推动加密创新监管 #央行政策 #美联储重启降息步伐 #黄金

Current price of the basket, many, defend 4305, target above 4320
#黄金

Jin Dachuan's early morning Silk Road was extremely on point, and the defense of 4260 is completely sufficient!
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Whether in the cryptocurrency market or gold, I, Jin Dachuan, have always emphasized that the market needs supply and demand balance, and we must definitely go for the bottom later!
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From the noon price of 4272 to the highest of 4332, it has already moved out 60 typical! ​​​
$PAXG #黄金 #美国非农数据超预期 #美联储降息

Analysis of the Impact of U.S. November Non-Farm Data on International Gold Prices

1. Data Exceeds Expectations: Gold Pressured Downward

If the non-farm employment figure is announced to be 50,000 higher than expected, while the unemployment rate is below 4.4% and average hourly earnings are rising, it will signal that the U.S. labor market remains strong. This will strengthen market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates or even delay rate cuts, pushing the U.S. dollar index and Treasury yields higher. As gold is a non-interest-bearing asset, its attractiveness will decrease, and international gold prices are likely to experience downward pressure, with key support levels needing close attention.

2. Data Falls Short of Expectations: Gold Boosted Upward

If non-farm employment is 50,000 lower than expected, the unemployment rate rises, and hourly wage data is weak, it suggests signs of cooling in the U.S. job market, raising concerns about economic recession. The market will bet on the Federal Reserve speeding up rate cuts, leading to a weaker dollar index and Treasury yields, activating gold's safe-haven and anti-inflation attributes, with capital inflows driving up gold prices, and attention can be paid to the breakout of previous resistance levels.

3. Data Meets Expectations: Gold Consolidates

If non-farm data is basically in line with expectations, the labor market shows a “neutral” state, and there is no clear direction for Fed policy expectations, market bullish and bearish forces will temporarily balance. International gold is likely to be caught in a range-bound pattern, with price movements being more dominated by technical factors and other immediate news (such as geopolitical issues or U.S. dollar liquidity).

In addition, the U.S. October retail sales monthly rate, November average hourly earnings data, and other data released together will form a “data combination punch.” If there is a divergence between non-farm and consumption or wage data (e.g., weak non-farm but rising wages), the volatility and complexity of gold prices will further increase, requiring a comprehensive judgment based on multidimensional data.
$PAXG #黄金

Why wasn't I in a hurry to do the trade last night? Why did I have to make the trade early in the morning?

It seems like it's falling now, so why do I still want to leave the trade to do the other one?

Stop asking, what I said and what I drew are all very clear...
#黄金 $PAXG

As expected, the market continues to decline, reaching above the predicted support area. We are leaving the market and entering!
#黄金 $PAXG

Jin Dachuan 12.16 Gold Early Morning Thoughts

Currently, the market shows that the second dip after forming a double top structure is nearing its end. The four-hour level is still strengthening, and the support in the range of 4260-2480 is very strong. It is recommended to continue focusing on low volatility during the day, with high volatility as a supplement.

Recommendation
Focus around 4280 for low volatility, defend at 4260, target 4340-4350, and if it breaks, continue to watch 4380.

If there is resistance at 4350, then switch to high volatility, defend at 4360, target 4320-4300
$PAXG #黄金 #美联储降息

The area around 4350 is a dense zone for stocks, so this position is a key battleground that must be monitored in future market trends, and it is also a strong resistance level in the short term. From the market share perspective, the short positions still dominate, while most long positions are trapped at the peak. There will definitely be many who resist the trend, but the market needs to be supported by supply and demand relations, so the downside space will not be very large. Moving forward, we should focus on bottom-fishing for stocks!\n​$PAXG #黄金 #美联储降息

In three days, 500 reached 2000. How does this speed compare to the big pancake?
#黄金 #政策风险 $BTC $ETH $PAXG

Since Jin Dachuan switched to gold and stopped updating cryptocurrency content, many old friends have come to me to complain, saying that they have lost my direction and have no confidence in trading by themselves, making mistakes and losing money, causing anxiety. In fact, I understand your feelings of wanting me to return to the cryptocurrency space, but now the regulations are getting stricter, and the channels I previously helped connect for cashing out have all suspended cooperation. Temporarily switching to gold is really the only option.

However, let's not worry; although the gold market is different from the cryptocurrency space, the logic in the market and the methods to seize opportunities are similar - as long as you have the skills, whether it's cryptocurrency or gold, the money to be made can still be earned! Once the policies loosen up later, we can look for opportunities in the cryptocurrency space again. For now, let's thoroughly analyze the current gold market; a steady and solid approach is better than anything else.
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐
$PAXG #黄金 #GOLD

100,000 turns into 300,000, doubling the return only takes three days, it's that simple for returning players to earn gold!

Exciting opportunity, recruiting 10 players, starting at 3,000 oil, challenge for a 5x return!
$PAXG #加密市场观察 #比特币VS代币化黄金

The morning support of 89000 didn't hold, so the market trend is heading towards 85000. First, we will look at 85000 and then observe for bottom-fishing opportunities, no problem! $BTC $ETH $BNB #加密市场反弹 #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察

Powell Resignation Rumors: Is the Panic in the Crypto Circle Overdone?

This morning, the crypto market plummeted, and the rumors of "Powell's resignation" became the catalyst—but the market seems to be overreacting.

Polymarket data directly contradicts this: the probability of Powell stepping down within the year is only 3%, and this rumor is indeed a low-probability event. However, the crypto market is inherently sensitive, and a slight breeze is amplified into a "black swan" event, essentially due to excessive leverage in the previous period and already fragile confidence.

But after the panic, the logic hasn’t changed: CME interest rate futures indicate that the probability of a rate cut in March 2026 is still over 80%, and the easing cycle is only delayed; the net inflow of funds into Bitcoin spot ETFs in the past 30 days has still reached 2.2 billion dollars, and long-term institutional demand hasn’t ceased. After this plunge, the number of active Bitcoin addresses actually increased by 12% month-on-month, and bottom-fishing funds have already entered the market.

Don’t let emotions lead you astray—rumors with a 3% probability won’t create giant waves; this sharp drop in cryptocurrency prices seems more like a "false alarm washout." Hold onto your chips; the rebound may come quicker than you think.
#加密市场反弹 #美联储重启降息步伐 #特朗普加密新政 #加密市场观察
$BTC $ETH $ZEC

$ETH Jin Dachuan 12.01 Ethereum Morning Strategy
The current market is in the recovery phase after a recent pullback in late November. 2980 is the short-term key support level, which has shown a quick rebound after several tests, indicating strong buying support. The short-term moving averages are flattening, and the market is waiting for macro signals from the Federal Reserve's December interest rate meeting—if expectations for rate cuts are released, risk asset sentiment may improve, with short-term support looking at 2960 and resistance first at 3060.
It is recommended to go long around 2990-2980, with a stop at 2960 and an initial target at 3040, with a breakout target at 3070
#加密市场反弹 #ETH巨鲸增持 #ETH走势分析 #美联储重启降息步伐

$BTC Jin Dachuan 12.01 Big Pancake Morning Strategy

The current key support level is at the 90,000 mark, which is a crucial stabilization point after multiple recent dips. As long as this level is maintained, the expectation for a rebound is clear. Although it is currently in a phase of fluctuation and repair, a small support zone has formed in the 90,000-90,500 range, and the previous lower shadow has validated the buying strength of bulls, indicating that the buy signal is in the brewing stage.

It is recommended to go long around 90,500-89,800, with a stop-loss at 88,900 and a target in the 91,800-93,000 range
#加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐

My words remain unchanged here, the bullish trend will not stop! We will meet at the peak!