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12.18 Morning Yesterday, the gold market showed a fluctuating and strong pattern, with the daily line ultimately recording a bullish candlestick. Considering the silver market's performance during the same period, today's trading strategy may prioritize establishing long positions on dips. However, it is important to note that before prices effectively break through the key resistance level of 4350, caution is advised regarding the continuation of the market's fluctuating and consolidating trend. Even if this resistance level is successfully surpassed, if prior highs are not simultaneously broken, there remains a possibility of gold prices rising and then retreating.
From a support perspective, the low point of 4320 that was retraced during the early morning constitutes a key support level for the day. When prices reach this level, consideration can be given to entering long positions. If buying pressure is strong during the day, 4335 may become a temporary low; once this level is breached, we can look further down to the support area around 4329. This level also serves as the dividing line between bulls and bears for the day, and there will still be opportunities to establish long positions after reaching it.
In terms of target prices, initially, we can look towards the previous day's high near 4349. If prices break through this level, we can continue to target the range of 4360-4380; conversely, if the resistance at 4349 cannot be breached, we can rely on this level for a small stop-loss attempt to establish short positions.
Specific operational strategy: If prices first retrace to the range of 4320-4329, we can gradually build long positions; if they first surge to the range of 4360-4380, we can consider light positions for testing. $BTC $ETH $BNB
12.16 Evening
Gold price oscillation tug-of-war escalates! 4266 support versus 4330 resistance, who will dominate the short-term landscape
Yesterday, gold staged a dramatic rise and plunge, rapidly approaching the 4350 mark, and then fluctuated repeatedly in the 4330-4350 range. During the U.S. trading session, the 4348-4350 resistance level was strongly pressured, and the gold price directly broke below the key support of 4330, continuing to drop to the 4312 area.
At the end of the U.S. trading session, the market consolidated around the low of 4311-4313, with multiple attempts to break the resistance at 4327-4328 failing. Around midnight, the bears struck again, breaking through the 4300 mark in one go, with a minimum drop to 4285 before stabilizing and rising, ultimately closing near the 4300 mark.
This trend is reminiscent of last Friday—strong rise in the morning, high-level consolidation, and a plunge after confirming the peak at midnight, directly breaking below the morning's low. Today's market continues the rhythm of rising and falling from early morning, quickly rebounding after dropping to the 4271 area, exhibiting extreme oscillation characteristics of 'breaking the low leads to a surge, breaking again leads to another surge', with the range continuously adjusting in repeated tug-of-war.
The gold market experienced a rollercoaster yesterday, with prices quickly retreating after failing to break through Friday's high for the second time, dropping to a low of 4285. The daily chart ultimately formed a doji candlestick, indicating a standoff between bulls and bears. Based solely on the movement of gold itself, today's trading strategy could revolve around short-selling on rebounds, or relying on the range to buy low and sell high; however, considering the correlated movement with silver, there is a greater inclination to adopt a bullish mindset today, while also being cautious of the market continuing its oscillating rhythm.
Currently, around 4313 constitutes the intraday dividing line for bulls and bears. If this position cannot be broken through for an extended period, the gold price is likely to retreat towards yesterday's low area, with a strong support zone focused on 4275-4250; conversely, if the market can stabilize above 4313 and even reach 4317, the potential for upward rebounds may further open up, with targets looking towards the 4328-4344 range, and potentially challenging yesterday's high. From a medium-term perspective, if the gold price can effectively stabilize above the critical level of 4350, it is likely to attempt a push towards the previous high of 4380, but if it fails to break through that position on a second attempt, the market will likely turn back towards a downward adjustment.
At 4290-4285, it can be traded; if the target of 4360 is strongly broken, continue to look towards the 4390 line. If it encounters resistance again, it will trend towards 4260 smoothly. #巨鲸动向 #美联储降息 $BTC $ETH $ZEC
🔥The Four Variables of the Crypto Market Ignite Volatility! Interest Rate Cut Expectations + Tariff Benefits + Federal Reserve Leadership Change + ETH Hard Fork, Tonight Powell's Speech Determines Short-Term Direction!
1. Interest rate cut expectations are in a crazy tug-of-war! Last week, the market's probability of an interest rate cut soared from 45% to 80%, with Ethereum responding by jumping from $2800 to nearly $3100; however, this morning, a sudden piece titled 'Powell to Resign as New Federal Reserve Chair Finalized by Trump' hit the market, instantly plunging it into panic, and short-term volatility suddenly intensified.
2. Tariff benefits remain undecided! The tariff benefits promised by Trump last month have yet to materialize; if formalized in December, it will inject massive liquidity into the market, becoming a key catalyst for the strengthening of crypto assets, and current funds are closely monitoring the window for this policy to take effect.
3. Federal Reserve leadership change speeds up the pace of interest rate cuts! Trump is likely to nominate a new Federal Reserve Chair before Christmas, with the top candidate Hassett aligning closely with Trump's interest rate cut demands. His assumption of office is expected to accelerate the implementation of easing policies—interest rate cuts have always been a core benefit for the crypto market and will further activate market risk appetite.
4. Caution needed for ETH hard fork regarding 'good news is fully priced in'! The day after tomorrow, Ethereum is set to undergo a hard fork upgrade, and the market has fully speculated on this expectation, so it is crucial to be wary of the risk of 'bad news once implemented.' Maintaining a defensive mindset is of utmost importance.
Key Reminder: Powell's speech tonight will have a significant short-term impact, but the Federal Reserve is already well-prepared with response plans, and his departure will have limited influence on long-term policy direction. Currently, the liquidity in the crypto market is sluggish, even lower than during Ethereum's $1000 period. Amidst amplified volatility, it is essential to focus on core policy variables and cautiously manage the rhythm! #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH $BNB
🚀Trump finalizes the choice for the new head of the Federal Reserve, global markets welcome a "policy shift" warning!
On December 1 local time, U.S. President Trump publicly stated that he has locked in the candidate for the next chairman of the Federal Reserve, with the official nomination to be announced soon. As the "barometer" of global monetary policy, the turnover of the Federal Reserve chairman directly affects interest rate trends and the monetary supply pattern, and will also trigger a chain reaction of global risk assets. This news has instantly become the market focus.
Currently, Kevin Hassett, the director of the White House National Economic Council, is viewed as the top candidate, with his nomination probability soaring to 58%, significantly ahead of other competitors. This core aide, who is highly aligned with Trump's economic philosophy, has stated that if appointed, he will "immediately lower interest rates" and has publicly supported the Treasury Secretary's proposals for reforming the Federal Reserve mechanism. His dovish policy inclination has led to a continued warming of market expectations for easing. However, Hassett did not confirm the nomination rumors in a previous program, only emphasizing that the public can expect "lower loan rates," while the candidate list also includes current Federal Reserve governors, former governors, and executives from BlackRock among several competitors.
Behind this "leadership change storm" is the White House's urgent demand for a rate cut and the subtle game of the Federal Reserve's independence. With Powell's term ending in May 2026, Trump has repeatedly pressured for rate cuts and threatened to remove Powell. Now that the candidate has been finalized, it is interpreted as a deep intervention of political power in monetary policy. The market has already reacted: the 10-year Treasury yield has fallen below the critical threshold of 4%, hitting a new low since October, while safe-haven assets like the dollar, gold, and cryptocurrencies have seen increased volatility.
It is worth noting that there is currently a significant hawk-dove divide within the Federal Reserve, and whether to cut rates in December remains uncertain, compounded by risks like sticky inflation and a vacuum of economic data. The policy path after the new head takes office is full of uncertainty. Before the official nomination is finalized, short-term market sentiment may remain tense. This game surrounding the Federal Reserve chairman has already become a new fuse for stirring up the global financial market. #加密市场反弹 #ETH巨鲸增持 $BTC $ETH $XRP
December's Second Shot If it's irreversible, then go with the flow; if the path is blocked, take another route. All roads lead to Rome, and the path to success must be forged by oneself. #加密市场反弹 #ETH巨鲸增持 $ZEC $BTC $ASTER
The First Shot of December - Echoing Through the Clouds Woken up by the alarm in the morning, I saw I earned 4000 coins. What informs you of the turnaround is not just the cold numbers on the bank card, but also the alarm that echoes through the sky. #加密市场反弹 #香港稳定币新规 $ZEC $ETH $XRP
Global market double kill warning! Two major black swans ignite a short-seller frenzy
1. The Japanese interest rate hike storm strikes! The Bank of Japan resolutely begins its tightening cycle, causing the Nikkei index to plummet in response, and borrowing rates soar, directly draining global "yen carry trade" capital liquidity—those hot money lurking in the Japanese market have been forced to flee in a panic, and global risk assets will face the impact of capital withdrawal! 2. Powell's "early resignation" small essay continues to ferment, and market clouds are thickening ahead of Tuesday's speech! As the policy anchor of the Federal Reserve, his unexpected departure is by no means a personal event, but a heavy blow to the stability of the American financial system, and market risk aversion has entered the eve of an explosion! #加密市场反弹 #ETH巨鲸增持 $BTC $ETH $XRP
12.1 Morning Suggestion Big Pie: Short at 87800-88500, target 85000, 82000 Second Pie: Short at 2880-2950, target 2780, 2700
In this situation, there is still no stop loss, and you can still short. Here’s a phrase for you: Better to short at a high price than to be a bottom-fisher. #加密市场反弹 #香港稳定币新规 $BTC $ETH $BNB
Let go and do it, only then can you break through the gray walls of poverty. What you lack is never courage, but rather the feeling of having a determined direction. #加密市场反弹 #ETH巨鲸增持 $COAI $ZEC $ANIME