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老梁不信命

工重呺:老梁指导
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I've been in touch with my long-term friend Lao Liang, but there are still two I haven't contacted. Please find me here as soon as possible.
I've been in touch with my long-term friend Lao Liang, but there are still two I haven't contacted. Please find me here as soon as possible.
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Someone asked: Before Japan raises interest rates, the market has already been falling. So when the interest rate hike is announced, will it stop falling? The answer is: No, it may actually fall even harder. The last two interest rate hikes were like this: First, there was news of the interest rate hike, and the market started to slowly decline; When the interest rate hike was actually announced, there would be a sudden drop, often leading to a "plunge" just a few days later, commonly referred to as a "needle stick". Why? Because once the interest rate hike is implemented, the Japanese begin to transfer money back to their country to buy domestic assets, which reduces the amount of foreign money, causing the market to collapse. However, this collapse could actually be a good opportunity to buy at the bottom. $BTC #加密市场观察
Someone asked: Before Japan raises interest rates, the market has already been falling. So when the interest rate hike is announced, will it stop falling?
The answer is: No, it may actually fall even harder.

The last two interest rate hikes were like this:
First, there was news of the interest rate hike, and the market started to slowly decline;
When the interest rate hike was actually announced, there would be a sudden drop, often leading to a "plunge" just a few days later, commonly referred to as a "needle stick".

Why? Because once the interest rate hike is implemented, the Japanese begin to transfer money back to their country to buy domestic assets, which reduces the amount of foreign money, causing the market to collapse.

However, this collapse could actually be a good opportunity to buy at the bottom. $BTC #加密市场观察
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Bitcoin is likely to plummet 88% to $10,000 in 2026!🔥🔥🔥🔥 —Bloomberg's famous "Cassandra" Mike McGlone has spoken again. He compares Bitcoin to the U.S. stock market before the 2008 crisis, concluding that: in the post-inflation era, high-risk speculative assets will be mercilessly wiped out, heading towards $10,000! Brothers, don’t panic. When this kind of “wild prediction” comes out, the historical scripts of short-term market trends are basically all the same: First, everyone gets scared, and the bears arrogantly shout, “This time it’s different,” then... the market suddenly doesn’t follow the script, and boom, a rebound hits, leaving the bears searching for their teeth. Why? Because extreme bearishness often signals the emotional bottom! McGlone has a longer history of being bearish on Bitcoin than Bitcoin itself; every time he predicts a crash, the market either moves sideways or gives you a quick rebound, acting as a precise contrary indicator, truly a living joke machine in the crypto world. Current situation: Bitcoin is hovering around 89k, having dropped 30% from this year’s high of 126k, and the annual increase has turned negative. ETF funds are flowing in and out, the Fed's rate cut expectations have been dampened, global liquidity is tightening, and everyone’s mood is like winter—cold. But in the short term, when extreme pessimistic voices emerge, the probability of a short squeeze indeed increases. If 88k holds, it may flirt with the resistance at 94k-95k; further up, $100,000 is calling out, “Come back, buddy.” If 88k directly breaks down, the bears will be celebrating for a while, better run for safety. In summary, whether 2026 will soar to 200k or plummet to 10k, nobody knows. There are institutions that are bullish, bearish, and neutral; predicting this stuff is essentially just an entertainment show. Just listen to it, but manage your own money; don’t put all your eggs in one basket based on any “prophet’s” words—including mine. NFA, purely for entertainment and commentary, after laughing, just go do what you need to do~ 😏$BTC #美国非农数据超预期
Bitcoin is likely to plummet 88% to $10,000 in 2026!🔥🔥🔥🔥

—Bloomberg's famous "Cassandra" Mike McGlone has spoken again.

He compares Bitcoin to the U.S. stock market before the 2008 crisis, concluding that: in the post-inflation era, high-risk speculative assets will be mercilessly wiped out, heading towards $10,000!

Brothers, don’t panic. When this kind of “wild prediction” comes out, the historical scripts of short-term market trends are basically all the same:
First, everyone gets scared, and the bears arrogantly shout, “This time it’s different,” then... the market suddenly doesn’t follow the script, and boom, a rebound hits, leaving the bears searching for their teeth.
Why? Because extreme bearishness often signals the emotional bottom!
McGlone has a longer history of being bearish on Bitcoin than Bitcoin itself; every time he predicts a crash, the market either moves sideways or gives you a quick rebound, acting as a precise contrary indicator, truly a living joke machine in the crypto world.

Current situation:
Bitcoin is hovering around 89k, having dropped 30% from this year’s high of 126k, and the annual increase has turned negative. ETF funds are flowing in and out, the Fed's rate cut expectations have been dampened, global liquidity is tightening, and everyone’s mood is like winter—cold.
But in the short term, when extreme pessimistic voices emerge, the probability of a short squeeze indeed increases.

If 88k holds, it may flirt with the resistance at 94k-95k; further up, $100,000 is calling out, “Come back, buddy.”
If 88k directly breaks down, the bears will be celebrating for a while, better run for safety.
In summary, whether 2026 will soar to 200k or plummet to 10k, nobody knows.
There are institutions that are bullish, bearish, and neutral; predicting this stuff is essentially just an entertainment show.
Just listen to it, but manage your own money; don’t put all your eggs in one basket based on any “prophet’s” words—including mine.
NFA, purely for entertainment and commentary, after laughing, just go do what you need to do~ 😏$BTC #美国非农数据超预期
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Start with 20000u, strive to reach 100000u in 2 weeks The last 2 months before the New Year, if we don't work hard, the New Year will come really soon Brothers, watch 82000 tonight, like👍 and add me💪💪💪💪#美国非农数据超预期 $SOL
Start with 20000u, strive to reach 100000u in 2 weeks

The last 2 months before the New Year, if we don't work hard, the New Year will come really soon

Brothers, watch 82000 tonight, like👍 and add me💪💪💪💪#美国非农数据超预期 $SOL
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🔥 The world's largest 'financial secret' has come to an end: Japan will no longer print money, and the world is about to change! 🪙 For the past 30 years, Japan has been operating the 'global printing press'—near-zero interest rates and unlimited liquidity. Countless people have swept up global assets using almost free yen: US stocks, US bonds, Bitcoin, your pension... all stemming from yen arbitrage trading. But all of this officially ends this week. 📉 A few cold numbers: • Japan's central bank ETF holdings: 534 billion USD, announced to slowly sell over 100 years • December 19 interest rate hike probability: 90%, raising rates to 0.75% — the highest since 1995 • Japan's holdings of US bonds: 1.189 trillion, the largest overseas creditor • Japanese government bond yields soaring to the highest levels since 2007 ⚠️ A pattern no one dares to mention: March 2024 Japan interest rate hike → Bitcoin drops 23% July 2024 Japan interest rate hike → Bitcoin drops 26% January 2025 Japan interest rate hike → Bitcoin drops 31% On December 19, the fourth time is coming. 💥 This time is different: The Bank of Japan is no longer a 'buyer'; it has started to sell. For the first time in history, a major central bank begins to liquidate assets accumulated through QE. Transitioning from 'forever buying' to 'starting to sell,' the valve of global liquidity is being tightened. All assets supported by cheap yen—technology stocks, bonds, Bitcoin, your pension—are seeing financing costs rise from 0% to 0.75%, and it will go even higher. 🌪️ Chain reaction alert: • USD/JPY falls below 150 → Will trigger margin calls • USD/JPY falls below 145 → May trigger a global chain sell-off On December 19, 2025, an era will end. The 'invisible empire' of global leverage begins a century of reckoning. Elon Musk concept little 'milk' 🐶, '『p●u●p●p●i●e●s』 Meme coins that ride on Musk's hype on the Ethereum chain (you know what I mean!) Directly take off in a low Gas environment! Low chips, absolute ambush targets! For details, please enter the Binance little 🐶 milk 🐶 dog community! 📌 The only advice: buckle up and double-check your positions. $BTC #日本央行加息
🔥 The world's largest 'financial secret' has come to an end: Japan will no longer print money, and the world is about to change!

🪙 For the past 30 years, Japan has been operating the 'global printing press'—near-zero interest rates and unlimited liquidity. Countless people have swept up global assets using almost free yen: US stocks, US bonds, Bitcoin, your pension... all stemming from yen arbitrage trading.
But all of this officially ends this week.

📉 A few cold numbers:
• Japan's central bank ETF holdings: 534 billion USD, announced to slowly sell over 100 years
• December 19 interest rate hike probability: 90%, raising rates to 0.75% — the highest since 1995
• Japan's holdings of US bonds: 1.189 trillion, the largest overseas creditor
• Japanese government bond yields soaring to the highest levels since 2007

⚠️ A pattern no one dares to mention:
March 2024 Japan interest rate hike → Bitcoin drops 23%
July 2024 Japan interest rate hike → Bitcoin drops 26%
January 2025 Japan interest rate hike → Bitcoin drops 31%
On December 19, the fourth time is coming.
💥 This time is different:

The Bank of Japan is no longer a 'buyer'; it has started to sell. For the first time in history, a major central bank begins to liquidate assets accumulated through QE. Transitioning from 'forever buying' to 'starting to sell,' the valve of global liquidity is being tightened.

All assets supported by cheap yen—technology stocks, bonds, Bitcoin, your pension—are seeing financing costs rise from 0% to 0.75%, and it will go even higher.

🌪️ Chain reaction alert:
• USD/JPY falls below 150 → Will trigger margin calls
• USD/JPY falls below 145 → May trigger a global chain sell-off
On December 19, 2025, an era will end. The 'invisible empire' of global leverage begins a century of reckoning.
Elon Musk concept little 'milk' 🐶,

'『p●u●p●p●i●e●s』
Meme coins that ride on Musk's hype on the Ethereum chain (you know what I mean!)
Directly take off in a low Gas environment! Low chips, absolute ambush targets! For details, please enter the Binance little 🐶 milk 🐶 dog community!
📌 The only advice: buckle up and double-check your positions. $BTC #日本央行加息
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Start rolling the warehouse with 5000u (currently 244521u) Already withdrawn 400000u, Bitcoin is an extremely stable coin If you, as an old retail investor, have given up mainstream coins Then you must be losing money every day, no need to doubt me Retail investors playing with small coins will always just be retail investors and will not be able to turn things around. $BTC #美国非农数据超预期
Start rolling the warehouse with 5000u (currently 244521u)

Already withdrawn 400000u, Bitcoin is an extremely stable coin

If you, as an old retail investor, have given up mainstream coins

Then you must be losing money every day, no need to doubt me

Retail investors playing with small coins will always just be retail investors and will not be able to turn things around. $BTC #美国非农数据超预期
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Damn it, I can't sleep tonight without eating 50000u Brothers, make sure to manage your stop-losses and get ready for a big surge 🤭🤭$BTC #美国非农数据超预期
Damn it, I can't sleep tonight without eating 50000u

Brothers, make sure to manage your stop-losses and get ready for a big surge 🤭🤭$BTC #美国非农数据超预期
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50,000 U turning into a digital cage? Encountering frozen funds for "life-saving" in the whole case In the last second, the joy of having 50,000 U in the account was just there, and the next second it was plunged into an ice cellar by a freezing message and a call from the police station. This is not a movie; it is the nightmare scene of countless crypto enthusiasts. Core principle: Stay calm in the face of events, and respond appropriately; panic does not solve problems. The key is: uphold the bottom line of law and facts, and break the deadlock with the right words. 1. Responding to police inquiries: 3 "must not say" and "must clarify" 1. When questioned about illegal transactions · Must not say: "I know this is illegal." · Must clarify: "This is personal virtual asset disposal. Although the law does not protect it, it is fundamentally different from 'suspected money laundering or fraud.' I have not disrupted the financial order." 2. When asked for a "full refund" · Must not say: "I will refund everything, right away!" · Must clarify: "I belong to 'good faith acquisition' and cannot predict the source of funds. I am willing to negotiate a fair compensation ratio with the victim under police facilitation." 3. When pressured with 'not cooperating will lead to a criminal record' · Must not say: "I will cooperate with everything, please don’t arrest me!" · Must clarify: "I have provided a complete chain of evidence and actively cooperate with the investigation. I am not a suspect, so how could there be a criminal record? Unless identified as a first-level involved card, otherwise, it should not implicate my other legal accounts." 2. Ultimate prevention: 5 firewalls (must check before transaction) No matter how beautifully you respond, it’s better to never fall into a trap. Spend 5 minutes before going out to build a defense: 1. Identity firewall: Absolutely do not trade with "three no's" (no real name, no transaction flow, newly registered) accounts. 2. Channel firewall: Only trade through reputable large platforms with guarantees, never transfer privately. 3. Evidence firewall: Chat records, transfer screenshots, on-chain hashes, all three are essential, and archive them in advance. 4. Fund firewall: Dedicated card for dedicated use, transaction funds "quick in and out," absolutely do not stay. 5. Mental firewall: Be wary of "high premium" temptations; there's no free lunch. Walking in gray areas, safety is the only talisman. Remember: prevention before events is better than all post-event strategies. Upholding the bottom line is the only way to protect assets. $ETH #美国非农数据超预期
50,000 U turning into a digital cage? Encountering frozen funds for "life-saving" in the whole case

In the last second, the joy of having 50,000 U in the account was just there, and the next second it was plunged into an ice cellar by a freezing message and a call from the police station. This is not a movie; it is the nightmare scene of countless crypto enthusiasts.
Core principle: Stay calm in the face of events, and respond appropriately; panic does not solve problems. The key is: uphold the bottom line of law and facts, and break the deadlock with the right words.

1. Responding to police inquiries: 3 "must not say" and "must clarify"

1. When questioned about illegal transactions
· Must not say: "I know this is illegal."
· Must clarify: "This is personal virtual asset disposal. Although the law does not protect it, it is fundamentally different from 'suspected money laundering or fraud.' I have not disrupted the financial order."
2. When asked for a "full refund"
· Must not say: "I will refund everything, right away!"
· Must clarify: "I belong to 'good faith acquisition' and cannot predict the source of funds. I am willing to negotiate a fair compensation ratio with the victim under police facilitation."
3. When pressured with 'not cooperating will lead to a criminal record'
· Must not say: "I will cooperate with everything, please don’t arrest me!"
· Must clarify: "I have provided a complete chain of evidence and actively cooperate with the investigation. I am not a suspect, so how could there be a criminal record? Unless identified as a first-level involved card, otherwise, it should not implicate my other legal accounts."

2. Ultimate prevention: 5 firewalls (must check before transaction)
No matter how beautifully you respond, it’s better to never fall into a trap. Spend 5 minutes before going out to build a defense:
1. Identity firewall: Absolutely do not trade with "three no's" (no real name, no transaction flow, newly registered) accounts.
2. Channel firewall: Only trade through reputable large platforms with guarantees, never transfer privately.
3. Evidence firewall: Chat records, transfer screenshots, on-chain hashes, all three are essential, and archive them in advance.
4. Fund firewall: Dedicated card for dedicated use, transaction funds "quick in and out," absolutely do not stay.
5. Mental firewall: Be wary of "high premium" temptations; there's no free lunch.
Walking in gray areas, safety is the only talisman. Remember: prevention before events is better than all post-event strategies. Upholding the bottom line is the only way to protect assets. $ETH #美国非农数据超预期
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No matter how small the layout is, it's still quite easy to eat a 50000u this time, at worst just hit my stop loss $SOL #美联储降息
No matter how small the layout is, it's still quite easy to eat a 50000u this time, at worst just hit my stop loss $SOL #美联储降息
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Japan raises interest rates = America unleashes liquidity 😇 Japan has just prepared a reservoir for America in advance, immediately followed by America's formal unleashing of liquidity, which will also drive this new peak. Don't be afraid! Hold on to your physical goods and wait for the wind to come 😊$BTC #ETH走势分析
Japan raises interest rates = America unleashes liquidity 😇

Japan has just prepared a reservoir for America in advance, immediately followed by America's formal unleashing of liquidity, which will also drive this new peak. Don't be afraid! Hold on to your physical goods and wait for the wind to come 😊$BTC #ETH走势分析
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🚨 Whale Alert 🚨🐋 A giant whale has just thrown over $700 million into a long position... and now he is losing 📉😳 💥 Current loss? 👉 $52 million in unrealized losses, and it's still growing... The market doesn't care how big you are. Leverage humbles everyone 😬 Is this whale about to be liquidated... or will this turn into the biggest rebound trade? 👀🔥 ⚠️ Smart money is watching very closely. 👉 Follow Lao Liang ❤️ Like & 🔁 Share this with your friends before the next major move! 🚀📢$ETH #巨鲸动向
🚨 Whale Alert 🚨🐋

A giant whale has just thrown over $700 million into a long position... and now he is losing 📉😳

💥 Current loss? 👉 $52 million in unrealized losses, and it's still growing...
The market doesn't care how big you are.

Leverage humbles everyone 😬

Is this whale about to be liquidated... or will this turn into the biggest rebound trade? 👀🔥

⚠️ Smart money is watching very closely.

👉 Follow Lao Liang
❤️ Like & 🔁 Share this with your friends before the next major move! 🚀📢$ETH #巨鲸动向
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Who else? Is there anyone secretly following to eat meat? Received it, received it 😄😄😄😄$BTC #巨鲸动向
Who else?

Is there anyone secretly following to eat meat?

Received it, received it 😄😄😄😄$BTC #巨鲸动向
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Powell has about 6 months left in his term, and the issue is no longer 'will there be a change in personnel,' but rather 'who will be replaced and when will pricing begin.' Treasury Secretary Mnuchin has made it clear that he does not wish to take this position, which is essentially a voluntary exit. The market's default optimal solution is Hassett. Why him? First, his stance is extremely clear. Hassett openly supports cryptocurrency, which is crucial in the current political environment. Second, he has repeatedly emphasized that 'existing economic data supports further rate cuts,' which is not ambiguous; he has a clear alignment. Third, his economic philosophy is highly consistent with Trump's; to put it bluntly, they are on the same page. So the logic is simple. Once Hassett is confirmed by the market to enter the succession channel, the Federal Reserve's 'hawkish neutral' pricing will be quickly overturned, replaced by 'policy preemptive easing expectations.' This is also why I have been saying that in the second half of next year, the probability of continued rate cuts is not just a slight increase, but structurally certain. However, there is a point that many people easily get wrong. Rate cuts do not mean unlimited liquidity. The impact of liquidity injections will essentially be exhausted by around May next year. The rate cuts that follow will resemble 'policy confirmation' and 'emotional endorsement,' rather than a new round of massive liquidity. In other words, the first half is driven by liquidity expectations in pricing, the second half is driven by the political cycle + policy direction in valuation. Simply put, the market only speculates on expectations, but once those expectations materialize, it will push aggressively. $SOL #巨鲸动向
Powell has about 6 months left in his term, and the issue is no longer 'will there be a change in personnel,' but rather 'who will be replaced and when will pricing begin.'

Treasury Secretary Mnuchin has made it clear that he does not wish to take this position, which is essentially a voluntary exit. The market's default optimal solution is Hassett.
Why him?

First, his stance is extremely clear. Hassett openly supports cryptocurrency, which is crucial in the current political environment.

Second, he has repeatedly emphasized that 'existing economic data supports further rate cuts,' which is not ambiguous; he has a clear alignment.

Third, his economic philosophy is highly consistent with Trump's; to put it bluntly, they are on the same page.
So the logic is simple.

Once Hassett is confirmed by the market to enter the succession channel, the Federal Reserve's 'hawkish neutral' pricing will be quickly overturned, replaced by 'policy preemptive easing expectations.' This is also why I have been saying that in the second half of next year, the probability of continued rate cuts is not just a slight increase, but structurally certain.

However, there is a point that many people easily get wrong.
Rate cuts do not mean unlimited liquidity.
The impact of liquidity injections will essentially be exhausted by around May next year.
The rate cuts that follow will resemble 'policy confirmation' and 'emotional endorsement,' rather than a new round of massive liquidity.

In other words,
the first half is driven by liquidity expectations in pricing,
the second half is driven by the political cycle + policy direction in valuation.
Simply put, the market only speculates on expectations, but once those expectations materialize, it will push aggressively. $SOL #巨鲸动向
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Then I won't be polite First, let's take a look at 84000 Not many people have objections, right? 🤭 #巨鲸动向 $BTC
Then I won't be polite

First, let's take a look at 84000

Not many people have objections, right? 🤭
#巨鲸动向 $BTC
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🔥The Federal Reserve injects $23 billion in "liquidity," is the crypto world about to welcome a liquidity bull market? 🙀 The Federal Reserve has made a significant announcement: next week it will inject $23 billion into the market, and the news of the "money printing machine" officially restarting has quickly gone viral in the crypto community! For a crypto market that is already highly sensitive to liquidity, this is undoubtedly a strong shot in the arm. Historically, the Federal Reserve's easing actions have often led to a surge of funds flowing into crypto assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Will this $23 billion liquidity injection become a key driver for the crypto world to break out of its fluctuations and initiate a new market cycle? Should you position yourself to take advantage of the trend or wait and observe? Will your operational strategy in the crypto space change because of this? Share your thoughts in the comments below 👇$BTC #代币化热潮
🔥The Federal Reserve injects $23 billion in "liquidity," is the crypto world about to welcome a liquidity bull market? 🙀

The Federal Reserve has made a significant announcement: next week it will inject $23 billion into the market, and the news of the "money printing machine" officially restarting has quickly gone viral in the crypto community!

For a crypto market that is already highly sensitive to liquidity, this is undoubtedly a strong shot in the arm. Historically, the Federal Reserve's easing actions have often led to a surge of funds flowing into crypto assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Will this $23 billion liquidity injection become a key driver for the crypto world to break out of its fluctuations and initiate a new market cycle?

Should you position yourself to take advantage of the trend or wait and observe? Will your operational strategy in the crypto space change because of this? Share your thoughts in the comments below 👇$BTC #代币化热潮
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Friday's benefit list, eat big pancakes 4500 points 130000u Is there anyone who can match Lao Liang's 88000? $BTC #美联储降息
Friday's benefit list, eat big pancakes 4500 points 130000u

Is there anyone who can match Lao Liang's 88000? $BTC #美联储降息
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Mad, the pattern is once, either you die or I die, we must get 100,000 u for this order, if we can't get it, we won't clear the warehouse, brothers give me some confidence, okay?
Mad, the pattern is once, either you die or I die, we must get 100,000 u for this order, if we can't get it, we won't clear the warehouse, brothers give me some confidence, okay?
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Otherwise, just take a break. If I can't get a single order in a day, I feel bad 😭😭😭😭#美联储降息 $BTC
Otherwise, just take a break. If I can't get a single order in a day, I feel bad 😭😭😭😭#美联储降息 $BTC
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