王建波

The bearish atmosphere in the afternoon market has significantly intensified, and the market is showing a downward pressure trend within a volatile consolidation phase. The precise alignment of trading strategies with market trends once again confirms that the professional team has a significant advantage in controlling segment profits and risk management.

From the observation of the four-hour technical pattern, the three lines of the Bollinger Bands are synchronously moving downward, with the opening shape maintaining expansion. Prices continue to operate within the downward channel, and short-term bearish momentum still holds a dominant advantage. Meanwhile, in the MACD indicator, the DIFF line and DEA line maintain a bearish arrangement below the zero axis, with a death cross pattern about to be established. The bearish momentum bars continue to shrink, indicating that the sustained withdrawal of buying power will further exacerbate market pessimism. Turning to the hourly chart, both the KD stochastic indicator and the RSI relative strength index are approaching the critical value of the oversold range. The downward price trend shows significant continuity, but caution is needed regarding the potential technical rebound risk that may arise in an extremely oversold state. $BTC #美国非农数据超预期

The market has only just emerged from a wave after a long time, and the overall volatility is still too slow. The strategy given this morning had entry points that were still a bit off, but for those who followed up in time, how comfortable were you with the approximately 2000-point space of BTC? This market rebound can still continue to short, but the volatility is still too slow. Everyone can be patient and wait a bit; the current coin price position is not particularly good. $BTC #加密市场观察

As December 2025 approaches its conclusion, the global financial market's focus is on the intensive release cycle of significant economic and financial data from the United States. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan will implement interest rate hikes on December 19, and the market has adequately priced in this expectation in advance. Currently, the price trend of crypto assets exhibits a volatile consolidation characteristic, with technical adjustments reaching critical support levels. Although the short-term remains influenced by news-related disturbances, the marginal effects of negative influences have significantly diminished. Analyzing market operational logic, the tense pattern of bulls and bears is actually a performance of momentum building after the negative factors have been exhausted. Investors are advised to closely monitor real-time dynamics, combining quantitative indicators with on-chain data changes to flexibly adjust trading strategies to seize phase-specific opportunities.

From a short-term perspective, it is still possible to position short orders relying on the upper resistance level before the interest rate hike to follow the trend. $BTC #美国非农数据超预期

Old Wang's direction of thought given yesterday is still correct, but unfortunately, the market has been sluggish for too long and has not been able to break the new high.

From the observation of the four-hour chart pattern, Bitcoin has recently formed a series of three consecutive bullish candles. After the price touched the middle band area of the Bollinger Bands, signs of weakening upward momentum have emerged. The current market overall presents a weak pattern, and the characteristics of a phase adjustment are becoming increasingly significant. From the daily chart perspective, the price continues to run along the lower track of the Bollinger channel, with the lower space gradually being released, and the lower track of the Bollinger Bands continues to dive, with signals indicating increasing bearish dominance. At the four-hour level, the three lines of the Bollinger Bands are diverging downward simultaneously, with bearish sentiment prevailing. After a brief rebound to the middle track, the price encountered resistance and fell back again, with clear lack of upward momentum. In summary, based on technical pattern analysis, it is difficult for the market to reverse its downward trend in the short term. It is expected that the subsequent trend will continue to oscillate downward, and the operational strategy should focus on risk prevention, paying attention to the critical support level break.

Operational suggestions:
Bitcoin short at 88000-88500, looking down to 86000
Ethereum short at 2980-3010, looking down to 2850
$BTC #美国非农数据超预期

12.16 Tuesday Market Review and Future Analysis of Bitcoin and Ethereum

The overall market volatility today is less than that of the previous period, with the overall coin prices allowing for back-and-forth movements in both directions; it depends on whether we can keep up with Old Wang's strategy for layout. The BTC daily market saw a slow rise from the early morning line of 85000, reaching a daily high of around 88000 when the non-farm payroll data was released in the evening, and ETH also followed Bitcoin's trend. After the U.S. stock market opened in the evening, the coin prices fluctuated back and forth; the U.S. stock market opened lower and then rebounded, but continued to decline afterward. The cryptocurrency market also fluctuated following the U.S. stock market's opening trend, but overall did not show the one-sided market that Old Wang anticipated.

From the current market situation, there are signs of a slight rebound in overall coin prices. On a daily chart level, the coin prices showed a slight rebound after touching the lower Bollinger band, and there is evident pressure above, with the Bollinger bands flattening. On the 4-hour chart, the overall coin prices are still significantly under the pressure of the middle Bollinger band, so we need to pay attention to how the coin prices perform near 89000.

In the short term, the overall coin prices are gradually testing upward, with limited pullback. From a technical indicator perspective, the 1-hour KDJ forms a golden cross above 50, the RSI is around 48.9, showing a neutral to slightly strong state, and the MACD shows a golden cross below the zero line but with weak momentum. In the future market, we can consider light positions for short-term profits! Quick in and out to secure profits is the safest strategy!

Early morning operation suggestions:
Bitcoin $BTC 86500-87000 long, target 88500
Ethereum $ETH 2900-2930 long, target 3000
#美国非农数据超预期 #王建波

Is this still not precise? Is this still not comfortable? 1700 points of space, this wave of market is still quite comfortable, right? $BTC
Follow Old Wang's thoughts, it's easy to grasp. If you can't handle it yourself, choose to follow Old Wang's real trading, opportunities are limited! Act promptly! #美国非农数据超预期

Prepare in advance, non-farm payroll is coming up, short BTC around 87500, short ETH at 2970, but remember! Light position short! Light position short! Light position short! Important things said three times, the risk of early layout is high, afraid there won't be an opportunity later, it will be aggressive, everyone consider for themselves, manage appropriate stop-loss according to your own position! $BTC #王建波

Brothers, today's market has been fluctuating all day, providing little profit margin. For those who want to layout positions, it's still the same as before; refer to Old Wang's previous thoughts, and consider entering based on key points. There's no need to be stuck in the current positions. For those who are eager to open a position, it's better to hold off.

There’s also the non-farm payroll data tonight, and volatility will likely come out early, but be cautious of both long and short positions being hit back and forth, friends. $BTC #巨鲸动向

Tonight at 21:30, the U.S. non-farm payroll report and unemployment rate data will be announced. As an important barometer of the global financial market, non-farm data influences the volatility of the cryptocurrency market through the logical chain of 'employment performance → Federal Reserve monetary policy expectations → U.S. dollar liquidity → pricing of risk assets.' Its core transmission mechanism lies in: non-farm data (new employment figures and unemployment rate) directly reflect the economic prosperity of the United States, serving as a key basis for the Federal Reserve's adjustments to interest rate policy. When the data exceeds expectations and is strong, the market will bet that the Federal Reserve will delay interest rate cuts or maintain a hawkish stance, leading to a stronger U.S. dollar and a return of funds from risk assets, negatively impacting cryptocurrencies; conversely, if the data is weak, it will strengthen expectations for interest rate cuts, driving funds toward high-volatility assets, potentially boosting cryptocurrencies.

This non-farm data is particularly special. Previously, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell hinted that earlier employment data might have a 'bias towards overestimation,' and the market is skeptical about the true resilience of employment. Current market sentiment is highly sensitive, and the data release may trigger sharp fluctuations in cryptocurrencies—if new employment is significantly below expectations, it may trigger a dual-driven market of 'risk aversion + interest rate cut bets'; if the data significantly exceeds expectations, caution is warranted against short-term selling pressure from a rebound in the U.S. dollar. It is worth noting that historical data shows that non-farm night often features a game of 'expectation trading versus reality verification,' meaning that the market may overreact in the initial phase of data release, followed by a correction based on fundamentals, hence traders should be wary of the 'buy the expectation, sell the fact' trap. $BTC #巨鲸动向

As the December 19 interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan approaches, market risk aversion towards the Nikkei index has significantly intensified, and signs of pressure on the index have become increasingly evident, with the risk of further declines gradually accumulating. Meanwhile, U.S. non-farm employment data is about to be released, and market expectations are generally optimistic. If the data performs strongly, it will further reinforce the certainty of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut path, and global asset prices may face a critical turning point.

From the current market logic, the hawkish signals released by Powell in previous speeches have not yet dissipated. If the non-farm data meets optimistic expectations, the U.S. dollar index is expected to receive support, thereby putting pressure on risk assets. It is noteworthy that U.S. stocks have recently shown signs of a weakening trend, with market sentiment being highly sensitive, just waiting for key catalysts to trigger a phase adjustment.

Focusing on the cryptocurrency sector, BTC shows a significant correlation with the Nikkei index. The overnight market continues to hover below 87000. During the Asia-Europe trading session, it is recommended to adopt a short-selling strategy on rallies, positioning in batches at resistance levels, with a target support level at 83500; for ETH, the 3000 round number has already been breached, and bearish momentum on the technical side is strong, with further exploration towards the key level of 2660 expected. In terms of operations, it is recommended to synchronously adopt bearish positioning to seize the opportunity for a trend decline.

Core trading strategies:

BTC: Position short at resistance levels upon rebound, target 83500, stop-loss reference at 88000;
ETH: Sell short based on the 3000 level, target 2660, strict stop-loss to control risk. $BTC #加密市场观察

The recent trends of BTC have sparked widespread discussions in the market about whether historical patterns will repeat. Comparing the current market with the downturn and consolidation phase from 2021-2022, there is indeed a high degree of similarity between the two phases—both experienced a brief waterfall-style crash, followed by a technical rebound, but the overall trend remains in a bearish-dominated consolidation downward pattern. This structural resemblance has kept investors highly alert regarding the subsequent market developments.

From a technical analysis perspective, the current BTC price has broken below key support levels, accompanied by an increase in trading volume, indicating a continuous release of bearish pressure. Although there have been occasional rebounds during trading, the overall rebound strength is limited, failing to form effective reversal signals. Historically, during the 2021-2022 phase, after experiencing similar crashes and weak rebounds, prices further dipped to lower ranges, and whether the current market structure has the conditions to replicate this path still needs to be verified in conjunction with on-chain data and the comparison of long and short forces.

Observing the on-chain capital flow, the frequency of large transfers and changes in exchange positions both indicate that short-term selling pressure remains at a high level, while the buying strength of bulls is relatively weak. At the same time, technical indicators like MACD and RSI are both in the bearish zone, with no obvious signs of a stop in the decline. Considering these factors, it is expected that BTC's current decline may test the support range of 80500-81500, but specific levels still need to be based on real-time trends and changes in volume.

Overall, the similarity in historical trends provides a reference framework for the current market, but changes in the market environment and fundamental factors should not be overlooked. Investors are advised to remain cautious in their operations, prioritize attention to the defense of key support levels, and flexibly adjust strategies in conjunction with on-chain data and the dynamic changes in long and short forces, avoiding blind bottom-fishing or chasing shorts. Ultimately, the unfolding of the market still needs to be based on actual trading conditions, with strict stop-loss settings to control risks. $BTC #加密市场观察

Recently, the cryptocurrency market has entered a period of adjustment. Bitcoin (BTC) has fallen from its peak of 88985 to the 86000 level, while Ethereum (ETH) has rapidly adjusted from 3177 to around 2970, showing significant short-term declines. From a technical analysis perspective, the current pullback is still in a consolidation phase, with the K-line structure displaying characteristics of a bearish arrangement, and the market has yet to release a clear signal to stop the decline.

Details on the trading board reveal key signals. BTC has effectively broken below the lower Bollinger Band on the four-hour chart, with the channel opening expanding and bearish momentum continuing to be released; on the daily chart, it is still under pressure from a downward channel, with rebound momentum lacking and sellers holding a significant advantage in the bull-bear struggle. In terms of technical indicators, although the MACD green bars show signs of shrinking, bearish momentum still dominates, and there is no clear signal to stop the decline. This intensified volatile oscillation pattern often indicates that the market is at a critical stage of brewing a new trend, and operations should be approached with caution. $BTC

Last night, the US stock market opened with a significant drop. Lao Wang mentioned that seeing 86000 would be conservative, and the price directly plummeted to around 85000 at 2:30 AM, touching the bottom before a slight rebound. Overall, after a rise in the morning session, the price has been consolidating between 89000-90000. In the evening, a US stock market opening triggered market volatility, leading to a direct drop of nearly 5000 points...

From the current market perspective, the rebound and repair after the US stock market close is not strong and has not followed the script mentioned by Lao Wang yesterday. The overall market situation is still not very good, and the price is likely to continue to break new lows. During the day, we can wait for a rebound recovery before planning for a high short position.

For BTC, we need to pay attention to the breakthrough situation at 87000 and the drop below 85000. If it breaks down, we will have to look down to 83600 here.
ETH follows BTC's trend, and focusing on shorting around the 3000 position should not be a big problem. Our target can be set around 2850.

Still the same saying, everyone should analyze the specific market conditions, set stop losses before planning, and take profits promptly when there is room for profit! $ETH #ETH走势分析

12.16 Monday Market Review and Future Analysis of Bitcoin and Ethereum

Monday's market saw an initial surge in the morning, followed by fluctuations only when the U.S. stock market opened in the evening. The short position strategy in the morning did not fully materialize, and the space provided by the long position in the evening was also quite limited.

In the evening, the overall volatility was not large, and Lao Wang's strategy did not emerge, so he decided to broadcast live to share some thoughts and directions with everyone, while also doing some short-term trading. Before the U.S. stock market opened in the live broadcast, Lao Wang mentioned that tonight's market would definitely be significant, as the daytime volatility was only present in the morning, and then BTC fluctuated in a range of 89000-90000, with not much movement. Under such circumstances, coupled with the impact of recent rate hikes, the coin price was very likely to experience a small continuation of the morning surge after the U.S. stock market opened, followed by a decline! As expected, the market was so precise; the current price orders, thoughts, and target points provided by Lao Wang in the live broadcast were all realized. In the live broadcast, BTC provided over 3000 points of space with five orders, and ETH provided over 50 points with one order, showcasing the win rate and technology!

Regarding the subsequent market, Lao Wang also stated that tonight the U.S. stock market would open high and close low, and the market would definitely continue. It just depends on the closing situation of the U.S. stock market at 5 AM Tuesday. Lao Wang expects it to provide a technical rebound recovery after an oversold condition. Of course, this is the script for tomorrow, and tonight's market remains the same, just continue to layout high short positions during the rebound! Lao Wang predicts that BTC can only drop to around 86000 tonight, and for the follow-up strategy, he suggests long positions looking at technical rebound recovery. Everyone can consider the specific market conditions and not blindly chase the bottom, but rather use their own judgment! $BTC #加密市场观察

Operation Suggestions:
Bitcoin 86000-86500 long, targeting 88000
Ethereum 2950-2980 long, targeting 3080

The US stock market will soon open, and the fluctuations tonight will be revealed later. Things are a bit slow right now, so please be patient. If you have any difficulties or questions, feel free to come to Lao Wang's live broadcast room and say $ETH #巨鲸动向 .

The current four-hour level trend shows a steady ladder-like rising rhythm, with the market having consecutively closed three bullish candles, and the price gradually testing the pressure level of the middle Bollinger Band. The overall Bollinger Band maintains a narrowing trend, reflecting that the market is in a consolidation phase, without an effective breakthrough of the current range. However, the support area below shows solid performance, and the recent pullback lows exhibit a gradually rising characteristic, indicating that the market's center of gravity is quietly shifting upward. Although the middle Bollinger Band still maintains a slow downward trajectory, the resilience of the price structure has revealed the gradual accumulation of bullish strength.

Further focusing on the one-hour level trend, the market has started a warming process after experiencing a stage of deep correction, with the current price having risen back to near the upper Bollinger Band, and the rebound highs continuing to rise, forming a pattern of small bullish gains. This structure of gradually rising lows and orderly advancing upward rhythm clearly reflects the continued accumulation of buying strength and the steady recovery of bullish sentiment.

Bitcoin is recommended to position long around 89000, targeting the 91000 level;
Ethereum can simultaneously seize the opportunity for low buying, with gradual accumulation around 3120, targeting the resistance level at 3300. $ETH #美SEC推动加密创新监管

Although the market is moving relatively slowly, an overall short-term upward trend is still visible. In the short term, everyone should follow Lao Wang's strategy to position themselves long at low prices, take profits where there is room, and accumulate positions. It's quite simple, right?

From a long-term perspective, the macroeconomic issues such as inflation that Lao Wang mentioned before have not been effectively resolved. The price of the currency will still be affected by the overall market, leading to a new round of declines in the long run. Lao Wang expects that long-term short positions can be established around 95000-97000. Friends who do not have enough positions can take this time to accumulate more positions. $BTC #巨鲸动向

Still the same, in the long run rebound to short, in the short term, you can accumulate positions by going long at a low level, and follow the trend. #巨鲸动向 $BTC

The market is currently not fluctuating much. After a surge in the morning session, it has entered a consolidation phase with limited overall pullback. In the short term, there is still room for both long and short positions. Moving forward, we hope everyone can follow the trend. The earlier high short strategy had ETH making some progress, while BTC moved in the opposite direction, which is quite regrettable. For the later market, Lao Wang has adjusted his strategy, shifting to a low long layout. The previous article has provided operational suggestions, and everyone can take a look at $BTC #王建波 .