澜铄

Three insights that helped me turn my fortunes in the cryptocurrency world

1. The mindset of hitting zero

What is most feared in the cryptocurrency world is not losing money, but being unable to afford the loss. If you are not mentally prepared for hitting zero, don't talk about turning things around. Only those who can withstand the worst outcomes deserve the best returns.

2. The mindset of slowing down

All my poor decisions were made when emotions were running high. Liquidating, going all in, bottom fishing, chasing highs—none of these were done with a calm mind. The ones who truly make big money are not the sharpest-eyed, but the steadiest-handed.

3. Being in cash is also a position

Being in cash is not wasting the market opportunity, but rather the strongest chip. The ability to enter and exit, to attack and defend, is true control. I once thought being fully invested was brave; now I understand that having the courage to be in cash is maturity.



If you are also on the path to turning things around, keep these three pieces of advice handy, they might come in useful.

Share in the comments where you are at this step, and let's get through this together.

1. Bitcoin (BTC): The short-term bearish trend is clear, and after a weak rebound, there is still downward pressure. From a technical perspective, the daily EMA indicators are bearish, the MACD green bars continue to lengthen, and the KDJ has a death cross pointing downward. Although there is short-term support near $85,000, and the four-hour chart shows that it is in an extremely oversold area with weak rebound demand, the rebound momentum is insufficient, and the rebound target focuses on the $87,500 - $88,000 range. Macroeconomically, the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike expectations remain, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut benefits have been realized, making it difficult to provide upward momentum for the market. If the $85,000 support level is broken, it will trigger a new round of adjustments, potentially dropping to the $84,500 or even $82,000 range; if the resistance at $88,000 can be broken, it may temporarily alleviate the downward trend, but the difficulty of breaking through is very high.

2. Ethereum (ETH): The trend is weaker than Bitcoin, and the battle for support levels is crucial. The technical perspective is also bearish, with the daily Bollinger Bands opening downward, the price running near the lower band, and the MACD maintaining a death cross pattern below the zero line. Although the RSI indicator has exited the oversold range and has a technical repair demand, the rebound strength is limited, and short-term resistance is concentrated in the $3,020 - $3,050 range. Its key support at $2,960 is close to being broken, and if it subsequently falls below this level and cannot quickly recover, it is likely to drop to the lower Bollinger band at $2,830, or even approach $2,700. However, the network performance improvements brought about by the Fusaka upgrade, as well as the bullish positions laid out by institutions earlier, may provide some support during the decline, preventing an extreme crash.

In addition, the market panic after the liquidation of contracts across the network has not yet calmed down, and retail investors' stop-loss exits are still ongoing. It is difficult to see a large influx of capital in the short term to reverse the trend; it is likely that there will only be small fluctuations, making it hard to see a trend reversal. $BTC
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According to Lookonchain monitoring, a certain whale (0x5D2F) shorted 1,232 BTC (worth 108.63 million USD) with 20x leverage, and currently has over 28.7 million USD in unrealized profits. They have also placed limit orders between 75,819 USD and 79,919 USD to take profits. $BTC

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#加密市场回调 As of October 29, 2025, at 6:48 AM, the price of ETH is $3,995.35, down $134.64 from the previous day, a decrease of 3.26%. From a short-term technical perspective, the trend of ETH is leaning towards a decline.

The 4-hour candlestick chart shows a slight drop in price compared to October 28, 2025, at 00:00, with the last candlestick being a bearish candle, and the closing price is lower than the opening price. The MACD histogram remains negative and is gradually lengthening, indicating strong bearish momentum, while the KDJ indicator is neutral with a value of 51. Additionally, both price and trading volume are declining, indicating a lack of market activity, which also reflects a cautious market sentiment.

However, there is uncertainty in the market trend; if ETH can break through the upper resistance level of $4266.0, it may reverse the downward trend. The above content is based on publicly available data and does not constitute investment advice.

[Standard Chartered Bank expects Bitcoin to briefly drop below $100,000 before hitting a new high] On Wednesday local time, Geoff Kendrick, Global Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered Bank, stated that as investors react to trade conditions, Bitcoin may briefly drop below the $100,000 mark before reaching a historical high. In the report, he indicated that a drop below $100,000 is almost inevitable, but the duration of the decline may not be long. He reiterated that the price target for Bitcoin by the end of this year remains $200,000, implying a potential doubling in the coming months. As of the time of writing, Bitcoin is priced at approximately $107,900, down about 12% from its historical high of $126,000 over the past 16 days, affected by a sell-off driven by "tariff pressure and panic sentiment." Kendrick pointed out that if Bitcoin's price drops back into the five-digit range, it could be the last time it falls below the psychological level of $100,000, but no one can accurately predict where it will drop before finding a bottom. Historically, October and November are usually the strongest months for Bitcoin, with average increases of 19.8% and 46% respectively since 2013, giving rise to the term "Uptober," but the market structure has significantly changed in recent years. Since peaking two weeks ago, Bitcoin briefly fell to $104,800, and after the U.S. White House announced the implementation of "reciprocal" tariffs in April this year, it also dipped to $76,300. Kendrick's report noted that gold has outperformed Bitcoin in recent months, but this Tuesday, the trend seems to have turned, with gold recording its largest single-day drop in over a decade. He mentioned that the sharp drop in gold coincided with a strong rebound in Bitcoin during the day, possibly reflecting a "sell gold, buy Bitcoin" behavior, and expects that this type of capital flow will increase in the medium term, helping to form a bottom for Bitcoin. Several analysts stated on Tuesday that with the easing of geopolitical tensions and strong third-quarter earnings from U.S. stocks, Bitcoin has recently outperformed gold. One analyst mentioned that the inflation data to be released this Friday could be a key variable affecting market direction.
Welcome everyone to discuss in the comments!!!$BTC