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The K-line at three in the morning hides the anxiety you haven't spoken out loud.
How long have you hovered your finger over the 'Buy' button while staring at your phone screen?
The group has posted profit screenshots again—some flaunt their positions doubling in three days, while others say, 'If I had bought a week earlier, my mortgage would be paid off.'; the red numbers on the trading software flicker faster than your heartbeat, and a colleague at the next station secretly tells you, 'If you don't go in this time, you'll be kicking yourself at the end of the year.' You remember the regret of missing out last time, think of the new car order your friend is flaunting, and remember the thought 'Everyone else is making money, and I'm the only one missing out' is like a thorn, making you restless.
So you grit your teeth and jumped in. You didn't have time to read the project white paper, didn't calculate the risk-reward ratio, and didn't even understand whether this coin's increase was based on concept or value—only because 'you were afraid that if you waited longer, there would be no opportunity left.'
But what happened later?
Some chased to the peak, watching the K-line turn from a rocket to a waterfall, with the position numbers decreasing day by day; some leveraged their positions, getting woken up in the middle of the night by liquidation text messages, staring blankly at the 'balance zero' page; many more jumped back and forth in the fluctuations, buying only to see drops, selling only to see rises, only to discover: when it goes up, everyone is flaunting their profits; when it goes down, only the K-line keeps you company in sleeplessness.
The excitement of the crypto world never stops, there is always the next 'hundred times coin,' and new people are always shouting 'Get on board.' But you must remember: those 'missed opportunities' that make your heart race might be carefully crafted celebrations by others; those 'opportunities' that force you to act quickly might be traps waiting to harvest you.
Next time you hesitate while staring at the 'Buy' button, it might be better to close the trading software first—ask yourself: are you chasing a trend, or someone else's FOMO? Are you afraid of missing out, or regretting the impulse purchase?
What to do in a situation of extreme market panic?
Retail investors are all looking for lower positions. I can understand that when the price of BTC was at 100,000, they dared to enter the market, but I can't understand why they still hesitate at the current price of 90,000.
I checked the on-chain data, and indeed, the price has been declining for the past week, but the number of BTC in whale wallets has been increasing... I don't know why.
When BTC was at 100,000, this wave looked to 95,000; at 95,000 it looked to 92,000; at 92,000 it looked to 88,000; and when it reached 88,000, this wave looked to 85,000. You all keep waiting for lower positions...
The four-hour naked K hammer candlestick pattern combined with the daily and weekly RSI oversold signal just hit 90,000. I am bullish on a long position again. There has never been a time when bottom fishing can immediately yield profits; it's all a matter of how you manage your positions. #BTC
$BTC Market Analysis—— 12.12 Still continuing the previous viewpoint to discuss further
1) From the chart, it is very clear that it is currently testing 94 continuously. There has been a lot of selling pressure directly at 94-95. After being rejected at 94, each pullback is higher than the previous low. Moreover, this process is all about sharp rises and falls.
2) Why is this being manipulated? First: 94-95 forms a resistance, where liquidity is being built. I believe many people will take positions here at 94-95, with stop losses at 95, which has a high risk-reward ratio. Naturally, a large amount of short liquidity accumulates here. Once it breaks through 95, a lot of short stop losses will turn into fuel pushing the price up. Second: Each pullback has a higher low. This still reflects a structural view; I believe this is a very healthy upward oscillation. Currently, it hasn't dropped below the previous low, avoiding a more troubling range oscillation. It also indicates that smart money is protecting its cost—— around the average cost of 89.
Third: Why is it oscillating—sharp rises and falls? Two aspects: First, the recent liquidity is indeed very poor; since the 10.11 event, it has worsened. This decline is not only due to a reduction in participating funds but also because market makers are exiting. With poor liquidity, manipulation becomes very easy. Additionally: Making money by washing out positions through oscillation, causing retail investors to chase highs and sell lows, profiting from stop losses. Many recent market movements, in my opinion, are sometimes just to trigger liquidations, with many spikes.
3) Why am I biased towards an upward movement? First, looking at the large order statistics from 11.19 to the present, this is where buying is happening. The average buying price is at 89. This explains why there is a continuous pullback to 89, indicating a process of accumulation. Second: Currently, the macro bad news is almost over in the short term; as long as there are no recession expectations, things definitely won't get worse. Moreover, even if bad news comes out, it will likely rise first before falling, right? At least they need to sell the goods they have first. Third: Currently, there is selling pressure at 94-95, and as mentioned earlier, it is highly likely that a liquidity trap is being built here. Once the smart money withdraws their short orders, it may instead push buying orders to trigger short liquidations, leading to a rise to 10.
In summary, I believe if it oscillates above 89, then I am biased towards an upward movement. The more times 94 is tested, the greater the probability of a breakout. #BTC
Pay attention to the FOMC interest rate decision and Powell's speech at 03:00 AM
Everyone is waiting now. The Asian and European markets are currently in a narrow range, mainly waiting and observing. The real big fluctuations are likely to appear before and after the news is released. Be particularly careful, as a hawkish speech may pose a risk of a market decline. #美联储FOMC会议
The two cakes can pay attention to the hourly trend line near 3080-3100 southbound, the bottom near 2980 can be used to go long, if it breaks down, consider directly chasing short for a stable rebound before going south. #ETH
Currently, ZEC is performing strongly and has been on an upward trend. You can trade around this upward trend line, with long positions at the bottom being sufficient. If it breaks and holds above 400, we can look towards the vicinity of 450. #ZEC
Today, after finishing the big pancake, I took a short position on the second pancake, entering at 3193 and taking profit at 3135. All 3 trades won, with precise planning. Members also enjoyed the profits and it was worth staying up late to make the trades. I have gained insights from my own lack of understanding and have experienced profits reaching new highs. It is also very fulfilling to help members make money 😊😊😊#BTC #ETH
Precise layout, continuous victories, a big profit of 1000 points from short positions, transitioning from self-reliance to finding the lighthouse. Members themselves say that previously they relied on intuition for trading, but now they follow the trades and bid farewell to intuition-based entry, steadily reaping profits. #ETH #BTC
Ethereum has finally launched an independent market, exhibiting a rare strong performance in recent days. Last night, the market first experienced a deep pullback, with Ethereum's decline showing significant weakness, briefly touching the 3030 line before finding support. Overall, the downward momentum is clearly insufficient.
Entering the midnight period, the rebound quickly started, with Ethereum showing a small upward trend independently, peaking at 3240 USD, significantly outperforming Bitcoin.
Although Ethereum initially showed strong performance, it is approaching the previous resistance zone above, and the momentum for further upward movement has weakened. During the day, attention should be paid to the 3050-3080 support levels, maintaining a bullish outlook as long as the upper side remains strong. If it breaks, it may pull back to around 3000/2900 before moving up again. If it breaks the 3250 resistance, it will challenge 3400. #ETH #ETH巨鲸增持
Another order was successfully completed, but the member left early before reaching the take-profit point because they had to go to work. They made more in two trades than she did in two weeks before, and it was done by holding the position. Professional matters should be handled by professionals. Following Brother Tian to enjoy delicious food~~#BTC