Jeanie牛来

Brothers! Tonight at 21:30, the CPI bombshell!
Today is the release day for the US November CPI data, which is the biggest macro event of the week! The market is super focused, as there is a government shutdown impact, and there may be gaps in the data, but the expected annual rate is about 3.1%. If it's moderate, it will be favorable for interest rate cuts, and BTC will take off directly; if it exceeds expectations, there will be significant short-term pressure. Currently, BTC is fluctuating in the range of 86k-90k, which is a sensitive period. $BTC

#CPI数据

总仓位将近7亿美金

Insider Brother is tough, #美国非农数据超预期 continues to increase positions

This door is drawn with a double kill, even the deities can't do anything, there is completely no news data, it's just a simple hard drawing

#ETH走势分析 $BTC

Tomorrow's CPI annual rate drama, will the crypto market rise or fall?
Tomorrow at 21:30 Beijing time, the U.S. November CPI annual rate will make its debut, with market consensus expecting 3.0%-3.1% (previous value 3.0%). This number will directly determine the Federal Reserve's pace of interest rate cuts in 2026 and will trigger significant volatility in the crypto market.
Above expectations (>3.1%): Inflation remains stubborn, dreams of rate cuts shattered. The dollar and U.S. Treasury yields soar, and Bitcoin may plummet 3%-8% in the short term, leading to liquidations and a market-wide drop, with altcoins suffering even more. Short-term pain, but the foundation of the bull market remains intact.
Below expectations (<3.0%): Inflation cools down, and easing measures are intensified. The dollar plunges, and funds rush into risk assets, with Bitcoin easily rising 5%-10% on the day, while ETH and SOL follow suit in a celebration, likely kicking off a new wave of upward momentum.
In line with expectations: High probability of “selling the fact,” followed by slight fluctuations leaning towards bullishness. Don't forget to keep an eye on the core CPI annual rate, as it often serves as the true barometer.
The current environment is extremely friendly to risk assets; with low or in-line expectations, bulls have a greater chance of winning. Although exceeding expectations can be frightening, it is merely short-term noise.
In the long run, the main logic of the crypto bull market is solid as a rock; this round of CPI is just a stop along the way.
Get ready to embrace tomorrow's thrilling moments! ! !#sol

#加密市场观察

This week, the cryptocurrency market will face two major events that could trigger significant volatility! The U.S. non-farm payroll data for November will be released on December 16, along with the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision on December 19.
In the current market environment, the impact of U.S. non-farm data on cryptocurrencies shows an 'abnormal' logic— the weaker the employment data, the better it is for crypto. This is because non-farm data that is weaker than expected (for example, new jobs far below 50,000 or an unemployment rate higher than 4.4%) means that the U.S. economy is cooling, which will strengthen expectations for the Federal Reserve to accelerate interest rate cuts. A low interest rate environment will drive funds into high-risk assets, and cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum often see significant increases as a result; historically, in similar scenarios, daily gains can reach 10% or more. Conversely, if non-farm data significantly exceeds expectations (new jobs over 150,000), it may lead to a cooling of interest rate cut expectations, putting strong selling pressure on the crypto market, with short-term declines possibly reaching 8-15%.
At the same time, the Bank of Japan is almost certain to raise interest rates on the 19th (from 0.5% to 0.75%), marking the highest level in thirty years. This action will boost the yen's exchange rate and accelerate the unwinding of 'carry trades,' pulling funds out of risk assets, which poses a significant negative impact on cryptocurrencies. The yen carry trade unwinding in the summer of 2024 has previously triggered a flash crash in Bitcoin.
In summary:
If the non-farm data is weaker than expected, and Japan raises interest rates slightly as anticipated, the two may partially offset each other, with the crypto market potentially showing fluctuations under high volatility, with price changes within ±8%.
The worst-case scenario is if the non-farm data is stronger than expected combined with interest rate hikes from Japan, leading to a significant decline in crypto, with a possible drop of 10-20%.
The most optimistic scenario is if non-farm data is extremely weak, and Japan unexpectedly adopts a dovish stance (not raising interest rates or signaling easing), which may lead to a strong rebound in cryptocurrencies, with weekly gains exceeding 20%.
In short, the crypto market will be extremely sensitive this week, with very high short-term volatility risks. Investors need to closely monitor the deviation between the actual non-farm numbers and expectations, as well as the hawkish or dovish tone of the Bank of Japan's post-meeting statements, and implement strict risk control. In the long term, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle remains the main driver, but the normalization of Japanese monetary policy has become a new variable that cannot be ignored. #非农 #日本加息

Brothers, I feel that if these 700 million positions are sold off along with the recent interest rate hikes in Japan, I can't imagine how much it will drop at that time #加密市场反弹

#日本加息

I believe Bitcoin will never be fully mined. #巨鲸动向 $BTC
Many people think that once 21 million coins are mined, there will be no more, but they are wrong.
Because Satoshi Nakamoto stipulated: every 210,000 blocks, the mining reward is halved.
50→25→12.5→6.25→3.125…
This continues to halve, and the newly added Bitcoin will infinitely approach zero, but will never truly stop.
It's like pouring a cup of water halfway; it will never be empty.
By the year 2140, the new addition can almost be ignored, but the system is still slowly 'squeezing toothpaste.'
So will miners continue to mine?
They will rely on transaction fees. In the future, miners' income will mainly come from transaction fees; as long as there are people using Bitcoin, mining will not stop.
Currently, about 19.68 million coins have been mined, with less than 1.32 million remaining.
The closer we get to the limit, the slower the output — but it will never reach 21 million.
This is the ultimate mathematical setting for Bitcoin's scarcity: a finite total, infinitely approaching.
The price has long been written into the code's trend.

Important information for next week:
12.16 (Tuesday) 21:30: US Nonfarm Payrolls for November
12.17 (Wednesday) 22:05: Speech by Federal Reserve officials
12.18 (Thursday) US CPI for November
12.19 (Friday) Bank of Japan monetary policy meeting
Next week is also a super central bank week, with countries and regions such as Japan, Europe, Russia, Thailand, the UK, Sweden, Norway, Mexico, and Hungary announcing their latest interest rate decisions. The core focus is the Bank of Japan monetary policy meeting, and current market predictions almost confirm a 25 basis point interest rate hike in December.
Volatility will be very high, everyone should manage their positions well.

$BTC #加密市场反弹

Every time a target is reached, there is a surge, and I don't know if this time will follow the same trend as previous cycles

#加密市场反弹

Brothers, I was optimistic about this, but this Bitcoin weekly chart makes my heart sink... This so-called 'upward channel' has been drawn from 2021 to now. It seems stable, but every time it touches the line, it feels like walking on a tightrope. The bear market in 2022 broke through it once, and in 2023, it almost broke again. Now, in 2024-2025, it has once again precisely touched the lower track, with a big blue arrow pointing downwards—this is not support at all; it is clearly a signal for accelerated decline! Historically, similar patterns have several times led to false rebounds followed by direct waterfalls: falling from a high point of over 120,000, institutions appear to be accumulating, but secretly they are unloading. With the slowdown of ETF fund inflows and tightening macro conditions, levels below 70,000, or even lower, are not just a dream. Is the bull market really over? Or is it another big trap? Old investors understand this; if we don't cut, who will? Comment below whether you are still holding positions or have already run away? Like and share to remind more brothers, don't blindly go all in anymore! 😱📉 #BTC走势分析 #加密货币 #熊市警报

The insider whale increased its holdings to 446 million, just do it

Rate cut, touchdown! Insider has increased his position to over 300 million USD, holding 101,000 ETH
Beijing time 03:00, the Federal Reserve officially announced: a 25 basis point rate cut.
The decision came as the mainstream market expected, lowering the upper limit of interest rates from 4.00% to 3.75%.
This decision, like the sound of a starting gun, injects clear liquidity expectations into the market. Cryptocurrencies, gold, and other interest rate-sensitive assets are now at the starting line for an upward trend. The gate for cheap funds has been further opened, risk appetite has risen, and the long positions previously laid out by on-chain whales are now迎来预期的东风.
However, this is just the first half.
The real direction lies in the upcoming statements.
At 03:30, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will step into the press conference. Every word he says—about the inflation path, economic outlook, and any hints about future policy pace—will determine whether this rally is a flash in the pan or the starting point of a trend.
The market holds its breath.
Will it be a dove's song, propelling asset prices to soar?
Or will it be an eagle's shadow, putting a bridle on the frenzy?
Next, everything is in Powell's hands.
Buckle up and welcome the arrival of the bull market #ETH走势分析 #加密市场反弹

Take off, brothers, buying with the insider won't be wrong 😂

Now his position has increased to 300 million US dollars, holding 89,300 ETH

Insider has increased his position again, worth 298 million dollars. He definitely knows some things #ETH走势分析

#加密市场反弹

Attention ⚠️⚠️⚠️ At 3 AM, the Federal Reserve is about to unveil its interest rate decision, and on-chain whales have already placed their bets.
Under the spotlight of the financial world, at 3 AM Beijing time, the Federal Reserve's last monetary policy decision of 2025 is set to be announced — global markets are holding their breath, and a “thriller” concerning interest rates is about to unfold.
Will there be a 25 basis point cut? Or an aggressive cut of 50 basis points? Or will they unexpectedly hold steady? This is not just a number, but a core variable that influences the nerves of the U.S. stock market, foreign exchange, commodities, and cryptocurrency markets.
Current economic data is complicated and intertwined: inflation remains stubborn, unemployment is low, while political uncertainty increases the difficulty of predictions. The mainstream market expectation is a moderate rate cut of 25 basis points, which would be the third cut of the year, aimed at balancing economic stimulus with controlling inflation.
If there is a 25 basis point cut: the stock market may see a rebound, with tech stocks and growth sectors possibly leading the charge, and the cryptocurrency market may experience heightened liquidity expectations with increased trading activity.
If there is a 50 basis point cut: it may be seen as a “bold” stimulus, and risk assets may soar quickly, but it could also trigger deeper concerns about the economic outlook.
If they hold steady: hawkish signals may lead to a sharp turn in market sentiment, with the stock market possibly experiencing significant corrections in the short term, and high volatility assets such as cryptocurrencies may face selling pressure.
Historical data shows that during the 2024 Federal Reserve rate cut cycle, Bitcoin’s price increased by over 50%, while a hawkish turn previously caused the cryptocurrency market cap to evaporate by hundreds of billions of dollars in a single day.
On-chain whales have already positioned themselves.
Before the announcement, on-chain data has shown some “whale” addresses making large directional bets, which are often viewed as indicators of market sentiment.
Tomorrow could reshape the investment landscape for 2026.
Regardless of the outcome, this FOMC decision will become one of the most influential events of the year. High-risk assets like U.S. stocks and cryptocurrencies have implied high volatility expectations, with a surge in platform orders as the bull-bear battle intensifies.
The early morning may be a point of risk explosion or the starting point of a new market trend. Buckle up for this financial rollercoaster — perhaps the script for the next wealth story is silently being written.

coin

This big brother has increased his position to 82,000 ETH.