O文

1️⃣Every day at 9:00 AM and 9:00 PM analyze cryptocurrencies
2️⃣Only to keep myself in good condition and always stay in the market,
3️⃣Maintain a reverence for the market; what this market lacks the least is opportunities!
4️⃣If you need analysis on a cryptocurrency, feel free to leave a message!

$CAKE The main force has withdrawn Waiting for the bottom to be built

I. Overall Trend Judgment (Core)

The price is currently retracing within the long-term oscillation center of $1.50 - $1.80. This is a very critical area where CAKE has previously gained support and started multiple times. The current candlestick pattern is weak, showing a tendency of continuous decline, indicating that the selling pressure from trapped positions above remains heavy, and the bulls' confidence has not yet recovered.
The mid-term trend of CAKE is bearish. It is currently in the latter half of the “value return” phase, looking for a new balance point. Although the price seems to have returned to the low before the rise, there are no clear signals of stopping the decline, and there is still a risk of inertia falling.

II. Key Price Levels

Resistance Level (Selling Pressure Area):
Short Resistance: $2.20 - $2.30. The rebound resistance area during the recent decline; if it rebounds here, short-term trapped funds will be eager to exit.
Strong Resistance: $2.50 - $2.80. The neckline area of the “M head.” Unless there is significant positive news, it will be difficult to surpass in the short term.
Support Level (Defense Area):
Lifeline: $1.50 - $1.60. The lowest point area of the terrifying long lower shadow line. If it breaks below this, it means CAKE will test the bottom again at $1.00 - $1.20.
Current Support: $1.75 - $1.80. The current consolidation position, where the bulls are trying to build a defense line.

III. Trading Volume Signal

Signal: Increase in volume during rise, decrease in volume during decline.
In October, the trading volume was enormous during the surge, but the volume during the current decline is relatively shrinking.
Interpretation: The main force has exited, and retail investors are deeply trapped. The huge volume released at high levels indicates that the main force has likely finished unloading, and the current shrinking decline is due to retail investors stepping on each other or lying flat.

IV. Trading Strategy

For Holders: Focus on defense.
Having fallen so deep, the cost-effectiveness of cutting losses is not high now.
It is recommended to firmly hold $1.50. If it does not break, patience can be exercised to wait for a rebound; if it effectively breaks below, it is advisable to exit to avoid risk of going to zero.
For Those with No Position: Wait for right-side opportunities.
Do not catch falling knives: the current trend is downward.
Strategy: Pay attention to the performance near $1.50. Only when there is a significant long lower shadow or a large bullish line with increased volume at this position is it an opportunity to build positions on the left side.
Gamble: Take a light position to aim for a rebound from $1.50 to $2.20, with a suitable risk-reward ratio.

V. Summary

CAKE is experiencing a “hangover period.” Before seeing clear signals of bottoming, it's best to watch more and act less!

$SEI Current Stage No Cure

I. Overall Trend Judgment (Core)

The current price is only $0.1064, having dropped 90% from the peak. The K-line shows a unilateral downward channel at a 45-degree angle, with long lower shadows probing for lower positions, but the rebound is extremely weak, indicating that the market is in a state of extreme pessimism.
The mid-term trend of SEI is very weak. It currently belongs to the 'garbage time' after liquidity exhaustion. The bullish defense line is retreating step by step, and the market is making its last struggle at the $0.1000 level.

II. Key Levels

Resistance Level (Sell Pressure Zone):
Short Resistance: $0.1500 - $0.1600$. A small platform bottom during the recent decline. A rebound to this point will prompt short-term holders to cut losses quickly.
Strong Resistance: $0.2000 - $0.2200$. Once the 'iron bottom', now the 'iron top'. This is a strategic stronghold that SEI must reclaim to reverse its downward trend. In the short term, this is a formidable barrier to overcome.
Support Level (Defense Zone):
Psychological Bottom: $0.1000$. The current integer level. The price is tightly adhering to this position, precarious.
Extreme Bottom: $0.0600 - $0.0800$. Lowest point area. If $0.1000 is lost, the price will head straight here in search of liquidity.

III. Trading Volume Signals

Signal: Low volume during normal times, high volume during panic spikes.
During normal declines, the trading volume is extremely low (no buyers), and only during panic spikes does it release a huge volume.
Interpretation: Lack of buying pressure. The market lacks proactive buying, and prices are mainly influenced downwards by gravity. Unless there is a strong positive stimulus, it is difficult to change this 'dull knife cutting losses' situation.

IV. Operation Strategy

For Holders: Stop-loss or switch positions.
It's painful to talk about stop-loss after a 90% drop, but the trend is indeed bad.
It is recommended to exit near $0.1500 upon rebound. Do not harbor unrealistic hopes; capital efficiency is paramount.
For Those Holding Cash: Do not catch falling knives.
Risk: The bottom below is unfathomable.
Only Opportunity: Unless you are a super short-term expert willing to risk a 10%-20% rebound near $0.1000 (quick in and out), otherwise, stay away.

V. Summary

SEI has entered the 'ICU Rescue Period', and trying to catch the bottom now is akin to picking up chestnuts from the fire!

$APT Abandoned Child Main Forces Have Withdrawn No Stop Loss Awaiting Rotation

I. Overall Trend Judgment (Core)

The current price is only $1.442, having fallen more than 90% from this year's high. The K-line shows an almost vertical one-sided decline, with hardly any significant rebound, indicating that market confidence has completely collapsed, and the bulls have no means of defense.
The mid-term trend of APT is extremely poor. It is currently at the end of the main decline wave or in an oversold bottoming period with liquidity exhaustion. Although the price looks cheap, any purchase before a stop signal appears is akin to catching a falling knife.

II. Key Levels

Resistance Level (Sell Pressure Area):
Short-term Resistance: $2.00. A recent psychological round number. If it rebounds to this level, short-term bottom-fishing funds will be eager to cut losses.
Strong Resistance: $4.00 - $5.00. The bottom of a previous half-year consolidation platform. Falling below this level means APT has entered the “Abyss Mode.” For a long time to come, this will be an insurmountable resistance.
Support Level (Defense Area):
Psychological Bottom: $1.00. There is no technical support below, only the psychological round number of $1.00.
Extreme Bottom: $0.50 - $0.80. If panic continues, the market may test this extreme low to clear the last leverage.

III. Trading Volume Signal

Signal: Continuous decline with decreasing volume.
Compared to the active trading volume at the beginning of the year, the current volume has not significantly increased.
Interpretation: Buying pressure has disappeared. This is more dangerous than a volume drop. It indicates that the main funds have retreated, retail investors are deeply trapped and “playing dead,” and the market lacks support, causing prices to continuously slide under gravity.

IV. Operational Strategy

Holders: An extremely painful decision.
It is very difficult to talk about stop-loss after a 90% drop.
Recommendation: Hold on tight. Public chain projects usually have cyclicality; now cutting losses only leaves scraps. Patiently wait for the next cycle or ecological explosion to bring a rebound.
Non-holders: Do not rush to enter the market.
Risk: The trend is downward, and no one knows where the bottom is.
Opportunity: Unless you see a massive shadow line near the price of $1.00 - $1.20 (panic selling being absorbed), do not easily intervene.
Strategy: Only invest in extremely low positions (such as near $1.00) for a rebound from overselling; do not go all in recklessly.

V. Summary

APT has fallen from “Star” to “Abandoned Child,” and the long winter is here; watch more and act less!

$NEAR It is said to be undervalued, but the trend is indeed hard to hold on to.

I. Overall Trend Judgment (Core)

Current Situation: The current price is $1.539. Although today there has been a small bullish candlestick with a +3.92% rebound, this is merely a correction after a series of sharp declines. The K-line center of gravity continues to decline, and the moving average system remains in a bearish arrangement, suppressing the bulls without any ability to fight back.
Conclusion: The mid-term trend of NEAR is extremely weak. It is currently in a buffer period after a “free fall,” with the market looking for a temporary foothold around $1.50, but the signals to stop the decline are extremely weak.

II. Key Levels

Resistance Level (Selling Pressure Zone):
Short Resistance: $1.80 - $2.00. This is the platform bottom before the recent acceleration of the decline. The current support has turned into strong resistance (top-bottom reversal). A rebound to this level will prompt those recently trapped above to rush to cut losses.
Strong Resistance: $2.50 - $3.00. The rebound peak area from September to October. Unless there is a dramatic change in fundamentals, it is absolutely impossible to surpass this in the short term.
Support Level (Defensive Zone):
Lifeline: $1.452. The intraday low, also a new low area in the past year. This is currently the only defensive point for the bulls. If it effectively breaks down, panic selling will further emerge.
Psychological Bottom: $1.000. If $1.45 is lost, there is almost a vacuum zone technically below, and one can only look at the psychological defense line at the integer level of $1.00.

III. Trading Volume Signal

Signal: Bearish decline with low volume.
There has been no significant increase in trading volume at the bottom of the chart.
Interpretation: Buying pressure is exhausted. This is scarier than a declining volume. It indicates that the market has lost interest in NEAR, and no one is willing to enter to bottom fish, causing the price to slowly slide into the abyss under gravity.

IV. Operating Strategy

Holders: Use rebounds to reduce losses.
The trend is bad, do not hold any illusions.
It is recommended to decisively reduce positions when rebounding to around $1.80 - $2.00.
Stop Loss: If it falls below $1.45, it means a new round of accelerated decline has begun; it is recommended to exit to avoid risks.
Non-Holders: Absolutely do not touch!
Risk: The bottom below is unfathomable; entering at this time is like catching flying knives.
Observation: Unless the price can return and stabilize above $2.50, it is better to watch more and act less.

V. Summary

NEAR is in a “winter period,” and any rebound at the moment should be viewed as an opportunity to escape rather than a reversal signal!

$TAO Wait and See

I. Overall Trend Judgment (Core)

Prices are approaching the starting platform of the rise in August-September this year ($220 - $240). This is the last line of defense for the bulls. If this level is breached, all previous gains will be wiped out, and it may even test the previous low.

TAO's medium-term trend is bearish. It is currently in the process of finding a bottom. Although the decline has been deep, the bottoming signal is not yet clear, and there is still a risk of further downward momentum.

II. Key Levels

Resistance Levels (Selling Pressure Zone):

Short-term Resistance: $280.0 - $300.0. The recent rebound high and psychological level during the decline. Upon rebounding to this level, those trapped above will be eager to break even.

Strong Resistance: $360.0 - $400.0. The bottom of a densely traded area. A break below this level would put TAO in a weak zone. Unless it rebounds back above $360 with significant volume, the downward trend cannot be reversed.

Support Levels (Defense Zone):

Lifeline: $220.0 - $230.0. The starting point of the September rally is around this level. Bulls must hold this level at all costs, otherwise stop-loss orders will be triggered, leading to a sharp drop.

Extreme Bottom: $160.0 - $180.0. The lowest point area. This is the "ironclad bottom" in extreme market conditions and the last line of defense for long-term funds.

III. Volume Signals

Signal: Decreasing volume during the decline, lacking support.

Compared to the active trading volume during the October rally, the current volume is shrinking.

Interpretation: Cautious buying. Although panic selling hasn't occurred on a large scale, insufficient buying pressure has caused the price to continue its downward trend. A large bullish candle with high volume is needed to confirm the entry of funds.

IV. Trading Strategy

For holders: Pay attention to the $220 level.

Selling at the current $237 level is not cost-effective.

Recommendation: Hold $220 at all costs. If it doesn't break through, a rebound from oversold levels is possible; if it breaks down decisively, it's recommended to exit the market to avoid a pullback to $160.

For those without positions: Patiently wait for a second test.

Left side: Aggressive traders can try a small position in the $220-$230 range, with a stop-loss at $210.

Right side: Wait for the price to rise above $280 again before entering the market to confirm a trend reversal.

Golden pit: If market panic causes the price to plunge to $160-$180, it presents an excellent long-term buying opportunity.

V. Summary

TAO is undergoing a "value correction," and $220 is a precipice. Do not blindly try to catch a falling knife before seeing a bottoming signal!

$TON There will always be a day to turn things around, rest assured

1. Overall trend judgment (core)

The current price is hovering around $1.495. Although it hasn't reached new lows, the rebound is extremely weak, in a “lying flat” state.
The medium-term trend of TON is very weak. It is still in the recovery period after a large-scale decline. Although the spike at $0.50 confirmed the extreme bottom, a large number of trapped positions have accumulated above $2.00 - $2.50, making it difficult to turn around in the short term.

2. Key points

Resistance level (selling pressure zone):
Short resistance: $1.80 - $2.00. The resistance area for the rebound after the recent decline.
Strong resistance: $2.50. This is an extremely important “bull-bear dividing line.” Previously, TON supported here for a long time, and after breaking down, it became an extremely heavy “ceiling.” Only standing back above $2.50 can we say TON has come back to life.
Support level (defensive zone):
Lifeline: $1.45 - $1.50. The current consolidation platform. Bulls are barely maintaining order here. If it effectively breaks down, the price will slide back to $1.00.
Extreme bottom: $0.50 - $0.60. The lowest point of that epic spike. This is the “golden pit” under extreme panic, and it is unlikely to be easily touched again.

3. Trading volume signals

Signal: Low volume during normal times, high volume during crashes.
The trading volume corresponding to that spike candlestick is huge, while the current consolidation phase has very low trading volume.
Interpretation: Liquidity exhaustion. The market is in a wait-and-see state, and both buyers and sellers are disinterested.

4. Trading strategy

For holders: Lie down and play dead.
At this point (from $7 to $1.5), cutting losses no longer makes sense.
TON, backed by Telegram, still has strong fundamentals. It is recommended to hold on and wait for future ecological benefits to bring a rebound.
For those out of the market: Left-side dollar-cost averaging.
Strategy: The current price of $1.50 actually has long-term cost-effectiveness.
Buying: You can accumulate in batches in the $1.30 - $1.50 range.
Stop loss: Wide stop loss, or no stop loss (holding long-term in spot).
Logic: Betting on the trend returning after standing above $2.50 again.

5. Summary

TON is in the “ICU,” and although it looks bad now, as long as the Telegram ecosystem is still there, it will have a day to turn things around.

$$XRP Slightly broken The next cost-effective position 1.5
1. Overall Trend Judgment (Core)

Current price $1.8594, in a weak oscillation zone below $2.00. The MACD indicator has a dead cross diverging downwards, and both the fast and slow lines have a trend of crossing below the zero axis. Although the red momentum bars have not significantly expanded, they continue to exist, indicating that the bears still dominate the current trend.
The short-term trend of XRP is bearish. Losing the protection of $2.00, the price is looking for a new balance point. The current consolidation belongs to a downward continuation; unless it can quickly recover $2.00, the adjustment will continue.
2. Key Levels
Resistance Level (Selling Pressure Zone):
Lifeline: $2.00$. Once the iron bottom, now the iron top (top and bottom switch). This is the first target for the bulls' counterattack; only by standing firm here can the short-term crisis be declared lifted.
Strong Resistance: $2.50$. The recent rebound high and the suppression point of the downward trend line.
Support Level (Defensive Zone):
Short Support: $1.80$. The lower edge of the current oscillation platform. If it breaks below here, the price will test the previous low again.
Strong Support: $1.50 - $1.60$. The acceleration platform for the main upward wave, also the structural support for this pullback. If $1.80 is lost, this is the golden position for left-side positioning.
Extreme Bottom: $1.25$. The lowest point of that long lower shadow.
3. Trading Volume Signal
Signal: Decreased volume with bearish decline.
Compared to the high transaction volume above $3.00, the current volume has significantly shrunk.
Interpretation: Buyers are on the sidelines. Although selling pressure is weakening (no one is cutting losses), more seriously, no new funds are willing to enter at the $1.80 position, and the market is waiting for lower prices.
4. Operation Strategy
Holders: Defensive.
The current position of $1.85 is quite awkward.
It is recommended to firmly hold $1.80 (daily closing price). If it effectively breaks below, it is recommended to reduce positions, buy back near $1.50, and lower costs.
Empty Holders: Patiently wait for the second exploration.
Do not rush to bottom fish: the current pattern is "boiling frogs in warm water."
Strategy: Place orders in the $1.50 - $1.60 range for ambush.
Logic: To capture a structural rebound after a large-level pullback, this position has an excellent risk-reward ratio, and the stop loss can be set at $1.40.
5. Summary
XRP is experiencing a "recession period," $2.00 is the ceiling that cannot be returned to, and $1.50 is the ideal entry point. During this period, observe more and act less!

$LINK At this stage, the main players are fully stocked. Are you buying?

1. Overall Trend Judgment (Core)

The current price is $12.26, which is in the phase of confirming support. The K-line shows a continuous arrangement of small bearish candles, and the MACD is running below the zero line, indicating that market sentiment remains weak, with bulls in a period of adjustment.
The mid-term bottom structure in LINK has formed (it is difficult to break $8.00 again), but in the short term, we still need to endure the grind of "bottoming out." The current decline is a healthy second pullback, aimed at washing out the floating capital around $15.00 above.

2. Key Levels

Resistance Levels (Selling Pressure Zone):
Short Resistance: $13.50 - $14.00. A small platform during the recent decline. If it rebounds to this level, short-term trapped funds will seek to exit.
Strong Resistance: $17.00 - $18.00. The area of the rebound's high point. This is the real dividing line between bulls and bears; breaking through it will declare the return of the bull market.
Support Levels (Defense Zone):
Lifeline: $11.00 - $11.50. A densely packed support area for recent solid K-lines. Bulls are likely to organize defense here.
Extreme Bottom: $8.00 - $9.00. The position you should buy even if you have to sell everything.

3. Volume Signals

Signal: A sharp drop with massive volume, followed by a significant decrease in volume during the pullback.
The trading volume on the day of the spike was at a historic level (panic selling was absorbed), while the volume during the current decline is very small.
Interpretation: The main players are locked in. This indicates that the main players are fully holding the chips and do not want to sell, but they are not in a hurry to push up, using time to exchange for space, wearing down the patience of retail investors.

4. Operating Strategy

For Holders: Hold firmly.
The fundamentals of the oracle leading company are solid.
Since it has withstood extreme situations like $8.00, there is no need to panic at $12.00. It is recommended to firmly defend at $11.00.
For Non-Holders: Good opportunity for left-side layout.
Strategy: The current $12.00 - $12.30 is already a relatively low position.
Buying: It is recommended to build positions in batches; if it can pull back to $11.00 - $11.50, boldly increase positions.
Target: Looking to return above $16.00 in the medium term, with a very high risk-reward ratio.

5. Summary

LINK has completed deep washing, $11.00 is the accumulation area, and $17.00 is the explosion point. Patience is more important than confidence!

$ZEC Less movement, more observation

1. Overall Trend Judgment (Core)

A typical "lower high" structure. Indicates that the selling pressure above $450 remains heavy, and the bulls are unable to recover lost ground. The current decline is testing the validity of support in the $300 - $350 range.
MACD Signal: The MACD indicator is about to form a golden cross below the zero axis, which is a potential positive signal. If the price stabilizes at the current position, it may form a "W-bottom" structure.
ZEC is currently in a weak oscillation. The previous rebound has failed, and it is now undergoing a brutal "double bottom" test. $300 is the lifeline, and $450 is the dead zone.

2. Key Levels

Resistance Level (Selling Pressure Zone):
Short Resistance: $450.00. The recent high during the rebound. A large number of short positions are stuck here. Only by breaking through this level can we confirm the end of the adjustment.
Strong Resistance: $600.00 - $650.00. The neckline of the previous head. After breaking below, this area becomes an insurmountable barrier.
Support Level (Defense Zone):
Lifeline: $350.00 - $370.00. The lower boundary of the current oscillation range. The price is testing this area. If it can hold, a short-term rebound is expected.
Extreme Bottom: $300.00. The lowest point of the previous sharp decline. This is the last defense line for the bulls. Once broken, panic selling will trigger a new round of waterfall declines.

3. Volume Signal

Signal: Rebound with decreased volume, decline with increased volume.
During the previous rebound, trading volume did not significantly increase, indicating insufficient following buying; while during the decline, volume still exists, indicating that the main capital is still washing out or distributing.

4. Operation Strategy

For Holders: Set stop-loss.
The current position of $376 is neither here nor there.
It is recommended to firmly hold $350. If it does not break, you can temporarily hold to bet on a rebound; if it effectively breaks down, it is advisable to reduce positions to avoid risks and prevent a pullback to $300 or even lower.
For Non-Holders: Wait for right-side signals.
Do not rush to catch the bottom: the current trend is weak.
Strategy: Only consider entering the market when there is a clear bullish reversal candlestick near $350, or after breaking $400.
Speculation: Lightly test long positions in the $350 - $360 range, with a stop-loss at $330 and a target looking at $450.

5. Summary

ZEC is undergoing a "bottom pressure test," with $350 on the brink and $450 out of reach. Stay observant and act less until the trend clarifies!

$BIFI This is a ghost market Bottomless

1. Overall Trend Judgment (Core)

Current Situation: The most dangerous time is recent. The price has effectively broken below the long-maintained range, currently breaking the $100 integer barrier, with the current price at $98.5. This means that the last line of defense for long-term loyal supporters has also been breached, entering the 'value destruction' deep water zone.
The mid-term trend of BIFI is extremely poor. It has shifted from 'low-level fluctuation' to 'breaking down.' Against the background of a lack of hotspots in the DeFi sector, this old DeFi coin faces the risk of liquidity exhaustion and being completely abandoned by the market.

2. Key Points
Resistance Level (Selling Pressure Zone):
Short Resistance: $120.0 - $150.0. Recently broke below the last support area. The current support has become strong resistance. If it rebounds here, the trapped chips from the past two years will weigh down like a mountain.
Strong Resistance: $300.0 - $400.0. The central point of a two-year fluctuation box. Unless the DeFi sector returns to the peak of a bull market, it is absolutely impossible to touch this level in the short term.
Support Level (Defensive Zone):
Psychological Bottom: $80.0 - $90.0. Currently just below $100, there is no technical support below, only the psychological defense line at the integer level.
Extreme Bottom: $50.0. If panic continues, the price may be halved to seek new liquidity.

3. Trading Volume Signal

Signal: Extremely exhausted, occasionally resurrecting.
Trading volume has been almost invisible for a long time, with occasional spikes like needles, usually caused by project buybacks or large players offsetting each other.
Interpretation: Liquidity crisis. The bid-ask spread for this coin may currently be very large, making it difficult to enter or exit, typical of a 'ghost market.'

4. Operating Strategy

For Holders: Stop-loss and exit.
Although it is painful, breaking below $100 is a very bad signal.
It is recommended to exit during a rebound. Do not have the illusion that this old coin in a downward channel will 'return to its peak.'
For Non-Holders: Absolutely do not touch!
Risk: This is like catching a 'falling knife,' and the knife is rusty.
Reason: Even if optimistic about DeFi, there are many newer coins with better formations to choose from. BIFI is currently a **'value trap'** in a downward trend.

5. Summary

BIFI is experiencing a 'breaking moment,' with no bottom in sight below, do not attempt to catch the bottom!

$FORM Oversold rebound

I. Overall trend judgment (core)

After experiencing an extremely low volume sideways consolidation around $0.40 for two months, the MACD indicator formed a golden cross underwater, and the red momentum bar turned green. This indicates that the bearish strength has completely exhausted, and the market is trying to organize an oversold rebound.
The mid-term trend of FORM remains weak, but there are clear signals of a stop in the short term. We are currently in the first phase of 'ruin reconstruction,' with bulls attempting to launch a counterattack based on the $0.40 level.

II. Key levels

Resistance level (selling pressure area):
Short resistance: $0.600 - $0.700. This is the first pause platform after the collapse in October. A rebound to this level will face the first resistance from short-term bottom-hunting profits and previously trapped funds.
Strong resistance: $1.000. Once a firm bottom, now a firm top. Falling below $1.00 marks the beginning of FORM's collapse, and regaining this level will require extremely large volume support, which is nearly impossible in the short term.
Support level (defensive area):
Lifeline: $0.400. The absolute floor of the past two months. The price has touched this level multiple times without breaking it, indicating that the main funds are willing to defend this area.
Extreme bottom: $0.350. If $0.40 fails, panic selling will drive the price to historical lows with no bottom in sight.

III. Volume signals

Signal: Huge volume during a crash, low volume at the bottom.
The trading volume during the crash was massive (panic selling), while the current volume, though sluggish, has slightly rebounded compared to the previous silence.
Interpretation: Selling pressure has exhausted. The sellers have sold out, and those remaining are 'playing dead.' Even a small amount of buying pressure can push the price to rebound at this time.

IV. Operational strategy

Holders: Lying down and playing dead.
After a 90% drop, cutting losses is meaningless at this point.
It is recommended to hold firmly at $0.40. The MACD golden cross is a good sign; patiently wait for a rebound to around $0.60 before considering reducing positions.
Empty holders: High risk-reward ratio speculation.
Strategy: Try light positions around the current price of $0.43.
Stop loss: Strictly set at $0.39 (break below the range).
Logic: Use 10% of the stop loss space to target 50% of the rebound space (target $0.60+), which is a typical 'picking up cigarette butts' strategy.

V. Summary

FORM is in an 'observation period,' $0.40 is the line of death, and $0.60 is the discharge point. Although the indicators have improved, remember that this is an oversold rebound, not a reversal!

$SOMI

1. Overall Trend Judgment (Core)

SOMI once had glory (rising to 1.80 - 2.00), but then experienced a brutal value destruction, with a decline of over 85%, and remained silent for several months in the bottom range of 0.2000 - 0.2500.
Current status: Current price 0.3115, the K-line shows a bearish line retreat (-3.47%). This means that the recently ignited rebound momentum has encountered resistance from the trapped positions above, and is currently undergoing a confirmation of the pullback after the breakout.
SOMI’s short-term activity is rising, but it is a high-risk “trial” market. The main force is trying to awaken the market, but the selling pressure above is heavy. Whether it can hold the 0.30 level is the key to the subsequent trend.

2. Key Levels

Resistance Level (Selling Pressure Area):
Short Resistance: 0.3500 - 0.4000. This wave's pulse high point area, also the upper edge of the range trading. The recent surge was rejected here, and it is a clear resistance level in the short term.
Strong Resistance: 0.5000 - 0.6000. A continuation platform for the downturn. If it can break through 0.40, the next target will be to test the “tombstone” position at 0.60.
Support Level (Defense Area):
Lifeline: 0.2800. The first support platform after the rise. Bulls must defend this level; if it effectively breaks down, it indicates that this wave's rally is a “trap,” and the price will return to silence.
Extreme Bottom: 0.2000. Historical iron bottom. Breaking below here means zero risk.

3. Trading Volume Signal

Signal: Growing like a bamboo shoot after rain, volume is unstable.
The recent rise has been accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume, but the subsequent decline did not show a significant reduction in volume, indicating there is still a large discrepancy, with profit-taking and stop-loss positions exiting the market.

4. Operating Strategy

Holders: Take profit and reduce positions.
If you have positioned at the bottom, you already have decent floating profits. It is recommended to take profits in batches above 0.3000.
If you are unwilling to exit, be sure to set a stop-loss at 0.2800 to prevent profit pullback.
Non-holders: Observe the strength of the pullback.
Do not chase the high! It is currently in a pullback.
Strategy: Patiently wait for the price to pull back near 0.2800 - 0.2900. If it stabilizes (shows a lower shadow or small bullish line), you can lightly speculate on a second wave of rise; if it directly breaks down, then abandon the operation.

5. Summary

SOMI is undergoing a “waking test,” at 0.28 - 0.40. The volatility of this long-term depressed currency is very fast, so do not fall in love with the battle!

$OG Consolidation Ready to take off anytime

🔥 I. Overall Trend Judgment (Core)

The current price has rebounded to $12.782, and is in the range of $11.00 - $14.00 for "refuelling in the air" or "bottoming out". Compared to the starting point, the current bottom has clearly risen, and the bulls have not completely retreated; the market is waiting for the next explosive point. The mid-term trend of OG is still active. Although it has deviated from the highest point, it has not fallen back to its original shape. It is currently in a consolidation phase under the control of the main players, with strong support around $11.00.

II. Key Levels

Resistance Level (Selling Pressure Zone):
Short Resistance: $14.00 - $15.00. This is the lower edge of the oscillation center during the recent pullback, and is also the position of the M head and shoulders line. Once it rebounds here, previous trapped positions will seek to exit.
Strong Resistance: $18.00 - $20.00. The main chip area of the last wave of rising. Unless there is a super favorable condition to support it, it will be difficult to surpass in the short term.

Support Level (Defensive Zone):
Lifeline: $10.50 - $11.00. The recent area of the entity closing low points, and also the absolute bottom of this round of adjustment. The main players have repeatedly defended here; falling below this means the end of the market.
Strong Support: $6.00 - $8.00. If $10.00 is lost, the price will return to fill the previous upward gap.

III. Trading Volume Signal

Signal: Volume increases with rises, decreases with pullbacks.
The trading volume during the rise was huge, while the volume during the current pullback phase has significantly shrunk.
Interpretation: Main players are locking positions. This indicates that the main funds have not completely exited, and the current decline is more due to retail investors' panic and profit-taking. As long as the volume does not continue to expand and kill the price, the chip structure remains healthy.

IV. Operational Strategy

For Holders: Hold patiently.
Fan tokens usually follow the rule of "not opening for half a year, once opened, it lasts for half a year".
It is recommended to firmly hold $10.50. As long as it does not break, continue to hold for a second wave; if it rebounds to $15.00 and meets resistance, consider reducing positions.
For Non-Holders: Buy at the lower end of the range.
Strategy: Gradually build positions in the range of $11.00 - $12.00.
Stop-loss: Strictly set below $10.00.
Logic: To take advantage of the main players' subsequent rise after the consolidation ends, with a very high risk-reward ratio.

V. Summary
OG is currently in a "halftime break"; once the hot spot arrives, it could take off again at any time!

$CHESS Funds have been accumulated at the bottom

I. Overall Trend Judgment (Core)

The current price has dropped to $0.03164, down about 90% from the high. This is a typical 'ankle cut', and the bullish funds have almost been completely wiped out.
A K-line with an extremely long lower shadow saw the price momentarily crash to $0.020 or even lower, before quickly recovering. This indicates that the main force has completed the cleaning of panic positions at the extreme low.
The mid-term trend of CHESS is extremely weak, but short-term signals of a stabilization have appeared. That long lower shadow likely marked the phased 'absolute iron bottom', and we are currently in the initial recovery stage of an oversold rebound.

II. Key Price Levels
Resistance Level (Selling Pressure Zone):
Short Resistance: $0.050 - $0.060. Bottom of the震荡 platform. If it rebounds to here, previous trapped positions will be eager to exit, which is the first line of resistance.
Strong Resistance: $0.080 - $0.100. Dense transaction area. Unless there is a significant positive news to support the main force's upward movement, it will be difficult to surpass in the short term.
Support Level (Defense Zone):
Lifeline: $0.028 - $0.030. Current consolidation platform area. Bulls must defend this level to confirm the validity of the bottom structure.
Extreme Bottom: $0.020. The lowest point of that long lower shadow. If it falls back here again, it indicates that the previous rebound was a false signal, and the market will completely return to zero.

III. Trading Volume Signals

Signal: Volume increase at the bottom.
Recently, during the pin insertion and rebound process, the trading volume has significantly increased compared to the previous dead period.
Interpretation: Funds are accumulating at the bottom. This kind of volume increase at the extreme low is usually a sign of main funds entering to absorb positions or retail investors panicking and cutting losses, indicating that market activity is recovering.

IV. Operational Strategy

For Holders: Stay still.
Since it has already dropped 90%, cutting losses now has a very low cost-effectiveness.
It is recommended to firmly hold $0.028. As long as it does not break this level, patiently hold on and wait for a rebound; if it rebounds to around $0.050, consider reducing positions appropriately.
For Non-Holders: Opportunity to 'pick up cigarette butts'.
Strategy: Try a small position near the current price of $0.031, with a stop loss set at $0.028.
Logic: Betting on a technical recovery after severe overselling, with a very high risk-reward ratio (limited downside, potential for doubling on the upside).

V. Summary

CHESS is currently in 'reconstruction from ruins'. Although there are signs of a rebound, it is a high-risk left-side bet, so do not heavily invest!

$SOL Picking Up Bloodied Chips

I. Overall Trend Judgment (Core)

Current Status: The price has fallen to $128.40, currently testing the strong support area of $120 - $130 formed in April-May of this year. This is a critical potential position for a "double bottom" structure. Although the K-line has recently closed with a small bullish candle, it remains under the pressure of moving averages, indicating weak resistance after a decline.

Conclusion: The medium-term trend for SOL is weak, but it has entered a high cost-performance range for the long term. It is currently at a critical juncture of a tug-of-war between bulls and bears: holding above $120 signifies a large double bottom, while failing to do so will test $100.

II. Key Levels

Resistance Level (Selling Pressure Area):
Short Resistance: $140.00 - $150.00. The lower edge of the oscillation center during the recent decline. If a rebound reaches here, short-term trapped positions will seek to exit, marking the first resistance.
Strong Resistance: $180.00. The dividing line between bulls and bears. Only by significantly increasing volume and reclaiming $180 can it be declared that the medium-term adjustment has ended, reopening the bull market rally channel.

Support Level (Defensive Area):
Lifeline: $120.00 - $125.00. The absolute bottom area from April-May. This is the Maginot line for bulls. Previously, the price rebounded significantly here, and the willingness of main funds to protect this level is very strong.
Ultimate Bottom: $100.00. A psychological barrier. If $120 is breached, panic selling will target the significant $100 level.

III. Trading Volume Signals

Signal: Decreasing Volume at the Bottom. Compared to the active trading volume at high levels, the current volume is relatively moderate.
Selling Pressure Exhaustion. Although the price is falling, there has not been a massive panic sell-off, indicating that long-term holders remain steadfast, and the market is waiting for new catalysts.

IV. Trading Strategy

For Holders: Be patient and hold.
The SOL ecosystem is strong, with no fundamental concerns.
Recommendation: Firmly hold $120.00. As long as it does not effectively break down (closing below on the daily), do not easily hand over your chips. If it rebounds to $150.00 and meets resistance, consider reducing positions in waves.

For Non-Holders: Layout for a Golden Pit.
Strategy: $120.00 - $130.00 is an excellent area for left-side entry.
Execution: Buy in batches, buying more as prices fall.
Stop Loss: Set a wide stop loss below $110.00, aiming for a mid-term return to $160+.

V. Summary

SOL is undergoing a "deep squat", with $120 as the solid bottom and $150 as the first hurdle. Now is the time to "pick up bloodied chips", not a time for panic!

$$AXL Looking for the Absolute Floor

1. Overall Trend Judgment (Core)

Current Situation: The current price is only $0.1182, having fallen more than 90% from its peak. Although the recent K-line has been consolidating at the bottom, the center of gravity is still slowly moving downwards. Previous attempts to rebound to $0.20 have all failed, indicating that the bears still control the situation, and the bulls' confidence is extremely lacking.
The mid-term trend of AXL is extremely weak. It is currently in a "liquidity black hole." Although the price seems cheap, there are no clear signals of a bottom reversal, and it is still in the process of looking for the "absolute floor."

2. Key Levels

Resistance Level (Selling Pressure Area):
Short Resistance: $0.150 - $0.160. The upper edge of the recent weak oscillation box. A rebound to this level will see short-term profit-takers choose to exit.
Strong Resistance: $0.300. A downward continuation platform in the middle of the chart. This was once the last line of defense for the bulls, but after breaking down, it has become an extremely heavy "ceiling." Only by standing above $0.30 can one say it has stepped out of the "ICU."
Support Level (Defense Area):
Lifeline: $0.110. The current area of the entity's closing low. The bulls are fiercely defending this position. If the closing price falls below $0.11, a new accelerated downward channel will be entered.
Extreme Bottom: $0.050 - $0.080. The terrifying "pin bar" low point on the right side of the chart. This is the extreme position under extreme panic and the last area for pending orders to take delivery.

3. Trading Volume Signals

Signal: Extremely low volume.
The trading volume has been in a prolonged state of gloom.
Interpretation: Forgotten by the market. Buying interest has dropped to freezing point, and selling has gradually become numb. Without the care of the main funds, the price can only drift with the tide.

4. Operational Strategy

For Holders: Extremely passive.
At the current price (down 90%), cutting losses has little significance.
It is advised to firmly hold $0.110. If it does not break, consider it as buying a long-term lottery ticket; if it effectively breaks down, it is recommended to liquidate and retain the last bit of residual value.
For Those Not Holding: Do not recommend entering.
Risk: This trend is like a dull knife cutting flesh, and it is highly likely to continue falling slowly.
Speculation: Unless you are aiming for a pin bar rebound in the $0.05 - $0.08 range, do not take delivery halfway up the mountain ($0.11).

5. Summary

AXL has become a "zombie coin," with an extremely bad trend; proceed with caution!

$ACE has been abandoned or is it extremely controlled？？？？？？？？？

1. Overall trend judgment (core)

In the past six months, the price has been suppressed below $1.00, and recently it has been in an extremely narrow range of $0.20 - $0.50 with low volatility. The K-line has almost become a straight line, and occasional spikes quickly retrace, indicating that the market is in a state of being abandoned or extremely controlled.
ACE's medium-term trend is very weak. It is currently in the 'garbage time' of liquidity exhaustion. Unless the project party takes significant action, it is difficult to rely on natural flow to create an independent market.

2. Key Points

Resistance Level (Selling Zone):
Short Resistance: $0.500$. Recently (September-October), it has been the top of multiple rebound attempts and the upper edge of the box fluctuation. Breaking through here is necessary to see a glimmer of life.
Strong Resistance: $1.000$. A continuation platform in a downtrend. Once broken, this becomes an extremely heavy 'tombstone'. It is absolutely impossible to surpass in the short term.
Support Level (Defensive Zone):
Lifeline: $0.265$. The intraday low and also the absolute floor of the recent fluctuation range. If it breaks below here, it will enter the 'zeroing' channel, and panic selling will further trample down.
Extreme Bottom: $0.200$. The last psychological defense line.

3. Trading Volume Signal

Signal: Usually a heart monitor, occasionally resurrecting.
Trading volume has been at an extremely low level for a long time. Although there were a few abrupt high-volume bars in September and November, the price did not sustain an upward trend, mostly being 'one-day wonders' or 'baiting and unloading'.

4. Operation Strategy

Holders: Extremely painful.
The current price (down 90%) makes cutting losses not very meaningful.
It is recommended to firmly hold $0.260$. If it does not break, consider it as buying a long-term lottery ticket; if it rebounds to $0.45 - $0.50, be sure to exit and switch cars.
Non-holders: Lottery-like allocation.
Heavy positions are not recommended! The time cost is extremely high.
Strategy: Only at extreme positions like $0.260 - $0.270, and if you are aiming for a rebound after a significant drop (speculative mindset), can you enter with a light position. Strict stop-loss at $0.250$.

5. Summary
ACE has become a 'sleeping zombie', $0.26 is the floor, and $0.50 is the ceiling. No volume, no volatility; unless the main force 'returns to life', it is difficult to see improvement!

$SOMI Resurrecting

I. Overall Trend Assessment (Core)

SOMI has experienced extremely crazy surges, reaching a peak price range of 1.8000 - 2.0000.
Two rounds of cliff-like declines, with a drop of more than 85% at one point.
Current Situation: The price has been oscillating in the low range of 0.2000 - 0.4000 for several months, forming an almost straight-line “ECG.”
Today's Movements: Current price 0.3137, with a +6.74% bullish line appearing during the day. This stands out in the long period of silence, indicating that there are funds testing the waters or accumulating at the bottom.
SOMI's long-term trend is extremely weak, but short-term signs of awakening have appeared. The current surge is a recovery of emotions after an oversell or a trial by the main force, and whether it can break out into an independent market depends on whether it can break through the upper boundary of the range.

II. Key Levels

Resistance Level (Selling Pressure Zone):
Short Resistance: 0.4000. The top of the two-month oscillation range. Breaking through here would signal the end of the “zombie” state and initiate a new rebound cycle.
Strong Resistance: 0.6000. A pause platform during the decline. Once broken, this level becomes strong resistance and is difficult to surpass in the short term.
Support Level (Defensive Zone):
Lifeline: 0.2800 - 0.2900. The oscillation center before today's rise. Bulls must hold this level; otherwise, today's rise would just be a “one-day tour.”
Extreme Bottom: 0.2000 - 0.2500. The historical absolute bottom. If it breaks below this level, it means the project will completely go to zero.

III. Trading Volume Signals

Signal: Normal low volume, sudden surge.
The trading volume at the bottom of the chart has been low for a long time, but today, along with the rise, there was a slight release of volume.
Interpretation: Extremely poor liquidity. This coin is usually not traded, but once a large order is bought, it will surge, and when sold, it will crash; the degree of control is extremely high.

IV. Operational Strategy

For Holders: Hold and observe.
Having survived the long winter, there’s no need to sell now that it’s rebounding.
Take Profit Target: Focus on 0.4000. If it cannot break through, it is recommended to reduce positions for trading; if it breaks through, look to rise to 0.5500.
For Non-Holders: Small position lottery.
Strategy: This coin is “either goes to zero or doubles.”
Buy: Try a light position around 0.3000.
Stop Loss: Strictly set at 0.2700. Speculate on accelerated momentum after breaking 0.4000.

V. Summary

SOMI is “resurrecting,” and such zombie coins carry extremely high risks; do not invest heavily!

$ASTER Long-term outlook is positive at 0.9, short-term no achievements

1. Overall Trend Judgment (Core)

After several rounds of decline. Especially after coming down from the mid-level high of $1.30$, the peaks have been continuously lowering, and the lows are slowly refreshing.
Current situation: The current price is $0.942$, in the low oscillation range of $0.90 - $1.00. The K-line trend is very weak, both bulls and bears lack the willingness to attack, and the market is stuck in a 'garbage time'.
The mid-term trend of ASTER is weak. Currently in a phase of being marginalized by the market, liquidity is drying up. If $0.90 breaks, it may trigger a new round of accelerated decline.

2. Key Levels

Resistance level (Selling pressure area):
Short resistance: $1.000$. A psychological integer barrier, also the upper edge of the recent oscillation box. A rebound to this level will see short-term trapped funds and profit-taking seeking to exit.
Strong resistance: $1.100 - $1.200$. A continuation platform for the decline. After breaking here, ASTER enters a 'weak zone'. Unless there is a large bullish breakout, it will be difficult to surpass in the short term.
Support level (Defensive area):
Lifeline: $0.880 - $0.900$. The area of the recent closing lows. Bulls once organized a weak resistance here. This is the last line of defense to prevent further deterioration of the trend.
Limit bottom: $0.800$. If $0.90 is lost, the lower level will directly test the previous major bottom.

3. Trading Volume Signal

Signal: Extremely low volume.
Trading volume is very sparse, not only far below the active period on the left side but even lower than the typical oscillation period.
Interpretation: No one cares. Buying interest is extremely low, and selling is also in a 'lying flat' state. This sluggish trading volume indicates that the main capital is in a dormant period, and it is difficult to see a major trend in the short term.

4. Operational Strategy

Holders: Be patient to hold or switch positions.
The current volatility is extremely low, and the holding experience is very poor.
It is recommended to firmly hold $0.88$. If it does not break, you can continue to hold for a rebound; if the rebound is blocked near $1.00$, it is recommended to decisively switch to more active hot coins.
Non-holders: Mainly observe.
No intervention is advised: the capital efficiency is too low.
Unless: You are optimistic about the long-term fundamentals of this coin, you can 'left-side lurk' near $0.90$, with a stop loss set at $0.85$, aiming for a steady rebound from an oversold condition.

5. Summary

ASTER has become 'lukewarm water', with no volume and no volatility, making it difficult to achieve significant results in the short term!