BlockRadar-月月

【XRP This period is quite frustrating, but it often comes before a trend reversal】

This afternoon's market is a bit frustrating, and XRP has me weighing my options repeatedly.

The price action in recent days has truly been a rollercoaster. A couple of days ago, it surged, and now it's pulled back to consolidate, hovering around the price of 1.87. I looked at the RSI, which is currently 36, not too low, but also not high, falling into that area where it's neither strong nor weak. This position tests one's mindset the most, especially for someone like me, a long-term holder of over a year, who wants to sell at every slight rise and fears missing out at every slight dip.

Rationality tells me to wait, but my hands are a bit disobedient.

Currently, it seems there are two possibilities for XRP's pullback and consolidation. One is to continue pushing down a bit more, washing out the short-term high-flying chips, bringing the RSI closer to 30, and then finding an opportunity to push upwards, after all, market sentiment hasn’t been too bad lately, and capital rotation is still ongoing. Although this approach is frustrating, once it stabilizes, it might actually proceed more steadily. The other possibility is to move sideways, neither dropping significantly nor rallying sharply, spending time within this range until the broader market gives a clearer signal to move. To be honest, I’m hesitant to heavily increase my position right now, but I’m keeping my base holdings, treating it as a phase of endurance.

In fact, I’ve always felt that XRP doesn’t behave as wildly as other small coins, but it’s also not easy to collapse. Whenever the market moves, it’s always present, just a beat slower. At this position, it’s still early to say it will break out, but I also don’t feel that the risks are particularly high. The RSI hasn’t entered the oversold territory yet, indicating that selling pressure is actually easing. As long as no black swan events occur, I don't think there will be significant issues.

Of course, the above is just my own musings, as no one knows what tomorrow will bring. But I still lean towards optimism, not because I expect a short-term surge, but because this frustrating consolidation often signals a trend reversal is coming. As for the direction, let the market decide; what we can do is not give up our chips at the last moment.

What do you brothers think? Are you still on the ride?
If you’re stuck, just consider it tuition paid to the market.
$XRP #Xrp🔥🔥

【To be honest, SOL's current price action is making me a bit restless】

The market has been overall lukewarm these past few days, and SOL hasn't really surged.

The current price is hovering around 126.15, as if waiting for some signal. The RSI has dropped to 40.5, which isn't low or high, indicating a somewhat neutral to weak sentiment. When it previously surged, I thought it could maintain an upward rhythm, but now it looks more like a pullback and consolidation, with strength weaker than expected.

Honestly, I'm a bit unsure right now. One possibility is that after this consolidation, it could attempt another high, given that the trend hasn't completely broken and the volume hasn't fully dissipated. If market sentiment warms up, SOL still has a chance to move a bit. Especially if there are on-chain data or ecosystem news to support it, we might see a sudden bullish candle breaking the deadlock. In this case, the 126 level might really hold as a short-term support area.

But we can't ignore another possibility—if the overall market continues to consolidate and funds keep shrinking, SOL will likely need to test lower levels. The 40.5 RSI looks unremarkable, but if the bears take over, it could potentially drop to 30. At that point, don’t even mention a rebound; it might again drift back down to the lower edge of the trading range for some time. Last round, I was stuck in a similar position without adjusting my strategy in time, and ended up being trapped for almost a month. I really don't want to repeat that this time.

So my current operation is to neither increase my position nor clear it; I'm just holding my base position and observing. I don’t want to miss out on potential recovery, nor do I want to stubbornly hold through a pullback when the situation is unclear. After all, SOL's fundamentals are still intact, and there are continuous ecosystem movements. I’m not worried about the long term, but I really need to be cautious about the short-term rhythm.

In summary, just because the price hasn't moved much doesn't mean a change isn't coming. I suggest everyone not to rush to conclusions but to observe trading volume and the overall market atmosphere, especially whether there are any significant anomalies in the past few days. If SOL can stabilize around 126 for two days, the bullish logic can still hold; if it breaks down directly without a rebound, then reevaluation is necessary.

Veteran experience: The quieter it gets, the more you need to keep your eyes wide open.
$SOL #SOL

【SHIB is currently stagnant, which is actually a real test for people】

To be honest, this market situation is a bit dull; that small rally in the morning quickly retracted, as if someone was choking it.

The position at 0.000008 has been stuck for almost two days, neither rising nor falling, leaving people's mentality in suspense. As an old investor, what I fear most is not a crash, but this kind of gradual stagnation, watching the candlesticks flicker in front of me, wanting to act but afraid to, worried about chasing highs and missing out.
The RSI is currently at 38.5, neither low nor high, a typical pullback consolidation area. If we say it’s going to crash, the volume hasn’t increased; if we say it’s going to rise, there’s no sign of a breakout. Overall, the market hasn’t provided much emotional support lately, and the environment is eerily quiet, with MEME coins collectively playing dead, and SHIB is no exception.

I think there are two possibilities ahead. One is to continue grinding the bottom, washing out the chips again, waiting for market sentiment to warm up, and for funds to find stories to speculate on, then SHIB, a well-established Meme with a fanbase, might bounce a bit. The other is to directly break down and explore lower levels, filling a gap or something, shaking off the uncertain ones in another round. I’ve seen both of these scenarios before, and honestly, they’re not surprising.

But personally, I’m a bit more optimistic. It’s not because the data is particularly impressive, but because this kind of quiet has lasted too long, and sudden moves can often be more intense. SHIB relies on emotion and traffic. As long as the community's voice is still there, it could be used by someone at any moment. When have the previous launches ever had clear signs? Isn’t it always a bullish candle breaking the silence, followed by the whole network shouting “SHIB is back”?

So there’s really no need to rush now. If you can hold, treat it as if you’ve bought an internet commemorative coin, it doesn’t take up much of your portfolio anyway; if you want to act, you can wait for clearer signals. In this phase, it’s not about speed, it’s about mentality. Don’t let the back-and-forth fluctuations mess with your nerves, remember your original intention for buying SHIB—it's never just for steady profits, it’s about betting on a possibility.

It’s not completely dark yet, don’t rush to turn off the lights.
$SHIB #SHİB

【Most people are still hesitating about PEPE, but I am actually more excited】

These days watching it swing back and forth, to be honest, I am not worried at all.

0.000004 at this position, not too high and not too low, the key is that the RSI is stuck at 34.1, clearly indicating that the sentiment has been suppressed a bit, but it hasn't reached the point of panic selling. You see those who chased the high are probably feeling uneasy now, but as an old holder, I am actually starting to feel a bit excited — the more this kind of silent, sideways grinding phase lasts, the more opportunities may be hidden within it.

One possibility is a real breakdown downwards. If in the next few days the continuous bearish candles swallow this small rebound, it means the market has completely given up on fantasies, and all the funds have run to hold on to someone else's leg. Then we won't hold on stubbornly; we should acknowledge it. MEME coins are essentially a game of sentiment, losing is not embarrassing. But another possibility excites me more: this wave of pullback and consolidation is actually a washout. Shaking out the weak hands, then suddenly pulling a bullish candle to break through resistance, igniting sentiment in an instant. Think about it, recently with any slight movement, PEPE can jump, indicating that the foundation is still there, and the hot money hasn't gone far.

I personally lean towards one side, but I dare not say fully.

I am not shouting bullish or bearish, but I think watching the market now is more important than blindly guessing the direction. An RSI of 34.1 is not considered deep water; if it dips further, it might really hit oversold. At that time, if it coincides with the market stabilizing, a piece of news could make it soar. MEME coins have never relied on logic to turn things around; they rely on heartbeat.

I don't have a heavy position in my account, but I have kept a small portion of my position to watch the show. I won't be greedy if it goes up, and I won't curse if it goes down; I will just wait it out. After all, in this kind of market, what counts is not speed but mentality. You see the discussions outside are getting quieter; this is the calmest before a change. If we really wait until everyone starts shouting "Wow", the flowers will have already wilted.

Being bullish does not mean acting mindlessly.
So don't rush, let the bullets fly a little longer.
$PEPE #PEPE

【Say something harsh: DOGE is not entering now, there’s a high probability of chasing highs later】

DOGE this noon was quite restrained.

To be honest, I’ve been staring at this line for almost two hours, not rushing to act. At 0.128, it's not high nor low, but you can see the RSI has dropped to 37.4, clearly a pullback. At this time, the scariest types of people are: one is the kind who just chased in a few days and got their legs broken, and the other is the one who is now too scared to enter. I belong to the middle ground, wanting to enter but also afraid of getting hit.

In this kind of market, it’s either very strong or very bad.

But this coin, you have to see what it fundamentally is — a MEME, driven by emotional madness. These days, the overall market hasn't shown much movement, and funds just sitting idle make DOGE, this old internet celebrity, the easiest to be picked up. You see it retracing without breaking support, and the volume hasn’t collapsed; it’s more like washing out the previous wave of floating profits. If it were really weak, it would have fallen down like some altcoins and wouldn’t be able to get back up.

Rationality tells me to wait, but my hands are a bit unruly.

What’s coming next is nothing more than two types of movements: one is to continue grinding, spending a few days between 0.125 and 0.13, waiting for the moving averages to catch up before choosing a direction; the other is a sudden bullish candle breaking the deadlock, charging directly towards 0.14. I've seen that kind of script many times, often happening while you’re just scrolling through a short video, and when you look back, it’s already up 15%. Don’t ask me how I know, that’s how I missed the doubling opportunity last year.

I’m not urging you to go all in; if you really want to enter, you have to control your position. But if you keep waiting for a “confirmation signal,” waiting for some breakout with volume, or for the RSI to go above 50, you might only end up waiting for a chasing high position. The most ruthless part of this market isn't the crash; it's watching it rise right in front of your eyes while you still think “it hasn’t bottomed” and dare not act.

Recently, several big influencers have been talking about DOGE making a comeback, and community enthusiasm is warming up again. I can't say it will definitely take off, but having more observation at this position is better than completely getting off. After all, this is DOGE, not some obscure small coin; as long as there’s a little wind or movement, the entire market will tremble.

So I’ll say something harsh: if you don’t enter now, you’ll probably have to chase highs later. Believe it or not, I’ve held my bottom position, whether to add depends on whether it can stabilize at 0.13 tonight.
$DOGE #DOGE

【Most people are still hesitating about ETH, but I am actually more excited】

I watched ETH for a while, and the structure is more stable than I imagined.

Recently, most people are still hesitating, feeling that the rise is not exciting enough, or worrying that a pullback will cause it to drop further. But I am actually more excited. It’s not that I want to rush in immediately, but the rhythm of this pullback and consolidation makes me feel that this wave is more solid than before. Current price 2920.79, RSI at 35.9, not strong, but not weak either, just stuck at a position that is neither here nor there, as if waiting for some signal.

One possibility is to continue to move sideways, or even slightly probe again, shaking out those uncertain chips. This kind of movement is quite common, especially in the context where the sentiment hasn't fully caught up in the past few days, the main force may not be in a hurry to push it up. As long as the key support isn't broken, this kind of consolidation is actually a good thing. Another possibility is a sudden increase in volume pushing it up, after all, the RSI hasn't entered the oversold zone and has turned around, indicating that the selling pressure is actually weakening. If market sentiment warms up and funds return to look for core assets, targets like ETH will not be left behind.

My own view is that there is no need to be fixated on the fluctuations for one or two days at this stage. You see it drop, it seems scary, but the lows are actually slowly rising. The trading volume hasn’t expanded to the level of panic selling; it’s more of a healthy turnover. At this time, instead of sitting on the sidelines and lamenting, it's better to think about whether you have a plan for phased positioning.

Of course, I also understand that this is not an environment for blindly rushing in like a one-sided bull market. Being slightly bullish doesn’t mean going all in recklessly. I have managed my position well, leaving some maneuvering space. If it really breaks out, I won’t expect to eat it all at once; if it dips again, I would be happy to pick up some cheap goods.

After all, I still believe in the fundamentals and ecological resilience of ETH. No one can predict short-term movements, but grinding at this position makes me more willing to stay in the market and observe. Anyway, the boat is already on the water, whether the wind is strong or weak, we have to experience it. Everyone shouldn’t be too anxious; the market always starts in hesitation.
$ETH #ETH

【The less people talk about BTC, the more I feel I can't ignore it】

I stared at BTC for a while during the day, and the structure is more stable than I imagined.

Recently, the circle has been unusually quiet, the groups are deserted, and even Weibo has fewer calls. But the less people talk, the more I feel I can't ignore it. The current price is hovering around 85893, looking lukewarm, but the RSI is stuck at 40.8, which is neither weak nor strong, as if waiting for some signal. The pullback and consolidation have lasted for a few days now; there has been no rush to crash down, nor has there been a surge, this kind of tug-of-war is understood by old investors — it's either building momentum or luring in more buyers.

One possibility is that, after this consolidation, it can push up again. Although the trading volume hasn't increased, the selling pressure during the decline isn't severe, indicating that the chips are relatively stable. Moreover, the market sentiment hasn't collapsed in the past few days, and there haven't been any black swan events. If the main force really wants to make a move, it is entirely possible to push again during this consolidation. Especially since the RSI hasn't entered the oversold zone and has stabilized in advance, it indicates that buying is actually quietly catching up.

However, another possibility cannot be ignored. Prolonged stagnation can lead to problems, especially during this seemingly stable yet directionless phase. Once there is a disturbance in the external environment, or if on-chain data suddenly shows significant selling pressure, it could directly break the balance and drop to fill the gap. Market confidence is already fragile, and if a key level breaks, it could trigger a chain reaction. Therefore, even if I tend to be bullish, I don't dare to be too aggressive in positioning.

My own approach is to hold onto the base position, trying a small amount in short positions to earn some pocket money and then exit, without being greedy. If there’s a real breakthrough or a breakdown, then consider adjusting. The current market is not suitable for heavy bets on direction; it feels more like a test of patience. Sometimes, the most dangerous thing is not a crash, but when you think you are safe, the market suddenly turns.

In summary, don’t let your guard down just because no one is talking. The quieter it is, the more you need to watch the order book. After all, whether in a bull or bear market, the ones who truly make money are often those who observe silently.
$BTC #BTC

【Watched XRP for half a day, this trend doesn't look like something retail investors would easily walk out of】

I haven't finished my breakfast yet, and this K-line of XRP has already caught my attention.

I originally thought today would be another slow boil, but the early surge and retreat actually had some flavor to it. The position at 1.88 is holding steady, unlike the soft and weak appearance from a few days ago. I've been staring at the RSI for a long time, it's at 38.6, not low and not high, just right in a position where it can breathe. To be honest, I don't think this kind of pullback and consolidation is something retail investors can achieve—it's too orderly, like someone is controlling the pace.

It's false to say I'm not conflicted.

One possibility is a real pullback. If the market sentiment continues to weaken and Bitcoin takes another dive, XRP will likely dip down as well, testing the support at 1.80 or even 1.75. In this case, the volume will probably not increase, just a gradual decline combined with sideways movement, testing your patience. At this time, don't rush to bottom fish; seasoned investors know that the more it looks like an 'opportunity', the easier it is to get trapped.
The main force could have left long ago, actually.

But another possibility that excites me more: wash trading. Look at the recent K-lines, every time it breaks below the short-term moving average, it immediately pulls back; the bears don't dare to push down too deep. Moreover, every time the price drops, the volume decreases, but during rebounds, the volume increases—this isn't a typical main force adjustment method? If we see a strong bullish candle tonight or tomorrow that reclaims 1.90, then this consolidation can be considered complete, and I see 2.0 is not a dream.

I'm not calling out trades, just reflecting after watching the charts for a long time. I used to love chasing surges, but now I prefer watching this kind of 'quiet' trend. The calmer it appears on the surface, the stronger the undercurrents are. Right now, I’m holding my position without making any moves on additional purchases; I haven't decided whether to add to my position yet, just waiting for a signal—either a breakdown to clear out and escape, or a volume breakout to follow along.

Speaking of which, Ripple's lawsuit seems to have turned the page, and its fundamentals are much stronger than many air coins. When the market really takes off, it can't always stay at the bottom. It just depends on whether the main force wants to wash for a couple more days or simply push up decisively. Let’s not guess the direction; let's just act on the signals. Brothers need to judge for themselves, don't follow blindly, after all, everyone's boat size is different, and when the storm comes, being able to withstand it is the most important.

Sometimes it's not really a technical issue; it's a mindset issue.
$XRP #Xrp🔥🔥

【Most people are still hesitant about SOL, but I'm even more excited】

This morning, I took a quick glance at the market, and the recent movement of SOL has woken me up quite a bit.

To be honest, I've been watching SOL since 2018, when it was still called the 'Ethereum killer.' It later plummeted, and I got stuck several times. But this time is different; at least it feels different. The price is currently hovering around 126.5, which looks lukewarm. The RSI has also dropped to 43.9, not strong but not weak either, more like it's catching its breath. Many people are starting to panic, wondering if it's going to crash back to zero, but the more I look, the more excited I become.
It would be a lie to say I'm not conflicted.

You see, there was a surge to over 150 before, with volume keeping pace. Although it didn't directly break the previous high, it also didn't collapse. Now this pullback seems to be washing out the profits from those who chased the highs, while institutions are quietly accumulating. On-chain data shows that large addresses haven't moved much, and the staking rate is steadily rising. This kind of consolidation feels more like building momentum rather than peaking.

Of course, I'm not saying it's going to explode immediately. There's also the possibility of a different scenario—if the overall market turns bearish and BTC starts to drop, SOL will likely follow and test support at 110 or even 100. In that case, short-term sentiment will definitely be pressured, especially for those heavily leveraged friends, who probably have to endure a few sleepless nights again.

Being bullish doesn’t mean going in without thinking.

But I lean more towards the first scenario: after digesting sideways, it will continue upward. Why? Because the ecosystem is genuinely starting to grow. Recently, projects on Arbitrum have begun migrating to the SOL chain, not just slogans, but real capital and users are flowing. The NFT market is warming up, with a bunch of new wallets minting on Telegram. This isn't pure speculation; it's supported by real activity.

So at this position, I’m not using leverage, nor am I going all in, but I will slowly pick up some spot. I'm not afraid if it drops; I'll dollar-cost average; and if it rises, I won't be greedy, just holding my core position. What do seasoned investors fear the most? It's not losing money; it's missing out on a market that truly belongs to them. For this round with SOL, I don't want to be a bystander anymore.

What about you? Are you still waiting for a lower position, or have you quietly started accumulating? Let's chat in the comments.
$SOL #SOL

[Most people are still hesitant about SHIB, but I'm even more excited.]

Before I even finished breakfast, this SHIB candlestick chart had already jolted me awake. With a fried dough stick between my chopsticks, eyes glued to the screen, watching the slightly protruding bullish candlestick, I suddenly felt much more at ease. The price of 0.000008 isn't too high, but it's not too low either; after all, I held on from 0.000002 all the way down to 0.00002 in the last round. Experienced investors know that at times like this, it's either a sell-off or a major move.

The current trend is clearly a pullback and consolidation. The volume hasn't increased much, but it hasn't collapsed either, very similar to how Dogecoin traded sideways back in the day. The RSI is stuck at 43, neither overbought nor oversold, as if waiting for someone to make a decision. To be honest, I have two premonitions: one is that it will continue to consolidate at the bottom, waiting a few more days to shake out those who couldn't hold on, and then suddenly a big bullish move will sweep them away; the other is that it might experience another shallow drop, hitting around 0.000007 to fill the gap, scaring away the last batch of wishful thinking investors, and then rebounding.

My rational mind tells me to wait, but my hands are a bit disobedient.

I'm not giving trading signals, nor do I dare to advise anyone to go all in. After all, playing MEME coin is like gambling on one's temperament; it relies on conviction and timing. But I'm actually more excited—not because a surge is imminent, but because this quiet is so much like the calm before the storm. Look at the community; although the noise isn't as explosive as before, the discussion hasn't stopped. Jokes are still being posted, memes are still being shared, and some people are even calculating when SHIB will get a "second boost" in Vitalik Buterin's wallet. This unwavering determination is precisely the spark.

And don't forget, the SHIB ecosystem hasn't been idle lately either: Layer 2 launch, consistent burn data, and occasional airdrop surprises… While not as legitimate as Bitcoin, its strength lies in the fact that "people are still willing to believe." With more people believing, the price naturally has potential.

So, do you think I'll sell? No. My position is already set; whether it goes up or down is up to fate. I just feel that when most people are hesitant, saying "this thing is outdated," that's often the signal that it's about to move. I'm not a bullish warrior, just an old-timer who can't bear to delete anything from my watchlist, quietly watching and patiently waiting. I don't want to miss this opportunity.

$SHIB #SHİB

【The less people talk about PEPE, the more I dare not ignore it】

Breakfast is not finished yet, and PEPE's K-line has already lifted my spirits. With chopsticks holding a youtiao, my eyes fixed on my phone, I watch that little green candle gently step on it and bounce back up, just like me being pulled repeatedly when I was stuck after chasing the high back then. 0.000004, this price still looks so unreal, like someone casually sneezed out this number, but it’s precisely this "joke coin" that always seems to twitch unexpectedly when I think it’s about to cool down.
Will you try a trade at this position?

To be honest, scrolling through WeChat Moments and group chats, almost no one is mentioning PEPE anymore. The brothers who used to flood the screen with "PEPE GOD" and "into the psychiatric hospital" have either moved on to new Meme battlefields or quietly deleted their favorites. The quieter it gets, the more restless I become—this pattern is too familiar; every time the market collectively forgets about it, it always manages to resurrect from the grave. Look at this consolidation pattern; the volume hasn’t really increased, but it hasn’t collapsed either, and the RSI is stuck at 40.7, neither hot nor cold, as if waiting for someone.

One possibility is that it may really settle down and fall into silence. After all, there’s no fundamental support, no team rallying the troops, and no new memes to back it up; faith alone can’t hold it up for long. If the market takes another dive, it’s highly likely to break down with it, and then it’s the old script of "goodbye, never to be seen again". But another possibility… I’m actually a bit afraid of missing out. What if one day a big Twitter account suddenly posts a dog emoji with the caption "PEPE revival," and then the whales quietly start buying, emotions suddenly ignite, and this line unpredictably shoots up? MEME coins have never been a place of logic; they’re about heartbeat and coincidence.

I’m not calling for a long or short; my instincts as an old trader tell me: don’t get off the train easily, and don’t bet heavily. Leave some position to act as a lookout. Sometimes the most dangerous thing isn’t the crash; it’s waking up one morning to find PEPE has doubled again, and you deleted it from your favorites because it was "too boring". That feeling of missing out is more painful than being stuck. So, the less people talk about it, the more I dare not ignore it.
$PEPE #PEPE

[If ETH really wants to move, this period might be crucial]

The first thing I do when I wake up is check ETH, and this period is somewhat intriguing.

At the position of 2945, neither up nor down, it feels like a piece of phlegm stuck in the throat, unable to be spat out or swallowed. RSI 40.7, neither strong nor weak, just hovering around the boundary line between bulls and bears. To be honest, this kind of market is the most frustrating, especially for those who have experienced the past two years of 'a big bullish candle, and countless troops come to meet,' now looking at the K-line feels like watching an electrocardiogram, fearing it might suddenly stop.

But looking closely at the daily line, this recent pullback is actually quite healthy. It hasn't broken the previous low, and the volume hasn't significantly increased; it looks more like the main force is washing the market, inviting those who hand over their chips at the slightest wind to get off the bus. If it can stabilize at the psychological barrier of 2900, the probability of pushing up to 3000 or even testing 3100 is quite high. After all, the Ethereum ecosystem hasn't been idle lately, Layer 2 is getting busier, and although the ERC-404 concept is making a lot of noise, it also shows that the market still has imagination.

Of course, I'm not blindly optimistic. Another possibility must also be guarded against — if BTC suddenly goes haywire and drags down the entire market, ETH is very likely to be dragged down to retest the support at 2800. Especially if the Fed releases hawkish statements again, tightening liquidity expectations, altcoins will be the first to suffer. So don't rush to heavily bottom-fish; it's always wise to keep some dry powder.

This is how I do it: I've kept my base position unchanged; that's faith; I recently added a little as it dropped, but not much, just consider it a salary for patience. Anyway, as long as ETH's fundamentals remain intact, the staking yield is still there, and developers are still writing code, then short-term fluctuations can be regarded as a free roller coaster experience ticket.

Ultimately, in this kind of volatile market, what matters is not speed but mentality. Don't let the fluctuations of one or two days keep you up at night, and don't go all in just because someone in the group shouts 'take off.' When it really moves, there will definitely be a significant volume breakthrough of the range, and it won't be too late to chase then. For now, just do your job, do your work, and let the K-line create its own market.

Let's encourage each other, brothers. As long as we are alive, there is a chance to double.
$ETH #ETH

【To be honest, DOGE's current behavior makes it hard for me to sit still】

The first thing I do when I wake up is check DOGE, and this segment is quite intriguing.

Would you take a shot at this position? It's been hovering around 0.129 for almost two days, neither up nor down, reminiscent of my ex-girlfriend's attitude before the breakup—neither saying to go nor to stay. The RSI is stuck just above 40, neither oversold nor strong, it’s just a “cooling-off period.” To be honest, the position I currently hold was accumulated last year at 0.06, and I didn’t dare to sell everything during the few spikes; now watching it sway here makes me a bit anxious.

This position carries a lot of gaming implications.

One possibility is: this pullback is actually a washout. Look, the previous spike to 0.15 was too heated, with Musk tweeting and the whole world following suit, even the pancake vendor downstairs was asking, “Can Dogecoin still surge?” In times like this, who would the main force wash if not you? Now it’s consolidating with reduced volume, as if waiting for the moving averages to catch up; if it can stabilize at this small platform of 0.125 next, and then produce a bullish candle, it could lead to another short squeeze. After all, the essence of MEME coins is not technology, but belief + hype, as long as the topic continues, the dog can run.

But we also have to guard against another possibility—it really might go back to fill the gap at 0.11. Recently, the overall market has been sluggish, with BTC hovering around 90,000, and funds are a bit weak. DOGE itself doesn’t have any actual ecological support, relying purely on sentiment; once the market turns conservative, it’s the first one to crash. Moreover, you see the big dogs on-chain have been quiet lately, with no new wallets coming in to accumulate, which indicates that currently more retail investors are pulling each other, and without a leader, breaking through is tough.

So my current strategy is: do nothing. Keep the base as a commemorative coin; happy if it rises, consider it a collection if it drops. If it really breaks downwards, I might move some small money to short and play a rebound; if one day Musk suddenly tweets something crazy like “Doge to the moon with Tesla,” then don’t hold back, going crazy together is the greatest respect for Dogecoin.

It’s not true that I'm not tangled up.

In short, playing DOGE is like raising a mischievous dog; the more anxious you are, the more it lies down, the more relaxed you are, the more it brings the ball back. It all depends on whether it wants to run this time or not.
$DOGE #DOGE

【Most people are still hesitant about BTC, but I'm actually more excited】

I glanced at the market this morning, and BTC's recent movements have made me more alert.

I've looked at this K-line back and forth several times.

To be honest, I can't even remember how many times I've watched Bitcoin oscillate between 80,000 and 90,000. In the past, I would have already lost my mind during such fluctuations, cutting losses and then chasing, only to get trapped again—a typical retail investor's three-act play. But now I'm actually a bit excited—it's not because I want to go all in, but because this kind of 'no up, no down' market often hides the signs of a big move to come.
A rational analysis takes five minutes, while FOMO takes three seconds.

You see, the price is currently stuck at 85887, with an RSI of 43.5—not strong, not weak, as if waiting for some signal. One possibility is a continued pullback to test the psychological levels of 82,000 or even 80,000, shaking out those who recently jumped in with leverage, completing a healthy adjustment. This scenario would scare away quite a few people, especially those still on the sidelines, who might think, 'It's over, the bull market is gone.' But experienced investors know that in a real bull market, it doesn't just go up all the time. There should be corrections, and those corrections allow it to go further.

Another possibility is that it stays around here, using time to exchange for space, slowly cleaning up the chips, and then one day suddenly breaks out with a strong upward movement, catching everyone off guard. Just like last October, when no one thought it could break 70,000, but then a piece of news shot it up. Currently, market sentiment isn't as cold as it seems; I've looked around at on-chain data and spot ETF inflows, and the fundamentals are still there.

So do you think I'm bullish right now? I lean towards being bullish, but I'm not placing any bets. After all, no one knows if there will be a black swan event tomorrow, like a country suddenly cracking down on cryptocurrencies, or if the U.S. stock market crashes, bringing down sentiment. But I've kept a base position in my account, so I'm not worried if it drops, and I won't regret not going all in if it rises. At this position, rather than staring at the K-line every day, it’s better to look more at the macro environment and read up on the underlying logic of the projects.

Ultimately, the cryptocurrency market is not about how much you earn in a moment, but about how long you can survive.

This consolidation might just be giving us old investors another opportunity to get on board.

Don't rush, the good show may only just be beginning.
$BTC #BTC

【After watching the market for so many years, XRP rarely gives me this feeling】

Whether to chase at this position is actually quite a test of character.

Those who are still scrolling through the market in the early morning are basically not here just for the excitement.

At this moment, flipping through the candlestick chart, my fingers unconsciously move along, as if counting heartbeats. XRP is currently 1.92, which doesn't seem high or low, but there's an indescribable tension—like a taut string, you don't know which way it will be plucked, but you can feel it is about to snap.

To be honest, I was a bit anxious during this recent pullback consolidation. A while back when it shot up to 2 bucks, the guys in the group were all shouting, "Ripple has won big," but once the excitement passed, the price gradually ground down. But this time is different; the volume hasn’t increased much, but the downtrend has clearly softened. You see, the RSI is now 42.4, neither oversold nor strong, just stuck at this indecisive point, as if waiting for someone to make a decision.

One possibility is to continue sideways for a few days, then probe down to around 1.85 for support, washing out those who chased the highs. After all, the news from the SEC is still hanging in the balance, and every little change can trigger a few red candles. If it really follows this path, it's not necessarily a bad thing; at least it can clean up the chips more thoroughly, making it easier to lift later.

But the other possibility, I am genuinely looking forward to—stabilizing quietly like this, and then one morning you wake up to find it has already stood back at 2.05. Not that crazy surge, but steady progress, like the rhythm before the breakthrough last November. The current consolidation might just be building up some emotions, waiting for the market's attention to shift back.

To be honest, I've been watching this position for a while.

I'm not calling for a long or a short; seasoned traders know that the closer you get to such a critical point, the more you need to keep your hands steady. But I have to say, the feeling XRP gives me recently doesn’t resemble a pure harvesting move. It has temperament and patience, just like Ripple, the company that has been fighting lawsuits without ever conceding defeat, persisting to the end.

Whether to chase at this position is actually quite a test of character.

So don't rush, eat when you need to, sleep when you need to; watching the market isn't as good as watching your heart. As long as your base position is still there, and the rhythm is right, just leave the rest to time. After all, we have endured more than just this night.

$XRP #Xrp🔥🔥

【If SOL really wants to move, this part might be crucial】

Those who are still monitoring the market at dawn are basically not here just to watch the excitement.

At this moment, those focusing on SOL probably have something in mind. The position at 126.7 is neither too high nor too low, but it is quite frustrating. The RSI has just crossed 43, neither strong nor weak, a typical corrective rhythm. I glanced at the hourly chart, and these candlesticks are a bit hesitant, as if waiting for some signal.

One possibility is that it really wants to go up. If the main force wants to move, it’s likely they won’t give too many people a chance to enter. Right now, if it stays flat for a while, it could wash out a batch of floating capital, and then a strong bullish candle could break the previous high, which is not impossible. Especially if Bitcoin stabilizes and doesn’t crash, SOL, with its ecosystem and liquidity, can easily attract funds. I remember last year, before that surge, it also hesitated for two days and then suddenly broke out. So those holding a base position shouldn’t panic too much; if it really wants to move, this period of consolidation might actually be the last low-cost zone.

But we can’t ignore another possibility—what if it’s just a rebound? After all, the broader environment hasn’t completely warmed up, and if there’s tightening from the Federal Reserve, any coin would shake a bit. If the trading volume doesn’t keep up in the next few days and the MACD starts to diverge again, this pullback might not be over yet. It might even touch 120 or even 115. At this time, chasing highs should be done with caution, as it’s easy to get caught.

I personally lean slightly bullish, not out of blind optimism, but because I see on-chain data and staking ratios; SOL's fundamentals are actually much stronger than in the first half of the year. Applications are also rising, the NFT market is warming up, and projects like Jito are pushing new initiatives. But being slightly bullish doesn’t mean heavily investing; positions still need to be controlled. Especially since the market has been changing rapidly, yesterday there was collective celebration, and today everyone could be eating noodles.

So, don’t listen to anyone shouting “it’s bound to rise” or “I’ll never sell at this price”; these are just emotional statements. We veterans have survived to this point not because we can predict perfectly, but because we leave ourselves some room. Let’s see if the support at 120 can hold, and the resistance to watch first is 132. In this middle range, those who are trading can trade, and those who are observing can observe; don’t let yourself be too passive.

Market sentiment is more real than indicators.

In short: there are always opportunities, but the capital is limited.
$SOL #SOL

【After watching the market for so many years, SHIB rarely gives me this feeling】

Those who are still watching the market late at night are basically not just here for the excitement.

Especially those who have been keeping an eye on SHIB, who hasn't rolled in from that wave of dog coin frenzy in 2020? Now at this price—0.000008, it looks like pocket change, but do you know, I stared at the candlestick chart for two hours last night and suddenly felt a bit dazed: this trend, why does it look so much like the time it took off at the end of May last year?

It's not a call for investment, nor is it a pie-in-the-sky prediction, just an intuition from an old investor. RSI is at 45, neither strong nor weak, just stuck in a halftime position. The volume hasn't collapsed, and the daily line has tested 0.0000078 several times without breaking, as if someone is supporting it from below. You say it's dead, it insists on taking a breath; you say it's alive, yet it remains stubbornly inactive. But the more it is like this, the more one must keep their eyes open.

The first possibility: it continues to dawdle. Moving sideways, washing back and forth, throwing off all those waiting to chase the breakout, then pulling up a small bullish line to test the resistance. This kind of movement is the most torturous, suitable for long-term investors to slowly accumulate, while short-term traders have probably been shaken out to cut losses. But if the overall market stabilizes, and Bitcoin doesn't suddenly go haywire, SHIB will likely take a leap or two on an emotional wave—after all, when Musk sneezes, the whole Meme circle catches a cold.

The second possibility: it directly drops a bit, breaking through 0.0000076, scaring out the last wave of stop-loss orders, then coming back with a long lower shadow. This is called a "stop-loss trap," specially designed to treat those who don't believe in the trend. If it truly breaks this line, it may actually be the time for heavy investment. I can't say it will surge to 0.00001, but a rebound of 15%–20% shouldn't be too much to ask, right?

Rational analysis for five minutes, FOMO for three seconds.

After all, SHIB is no longer the silly dog that purely gambled on emotions back in the day. Although it's still a meme coin, the community hasn't scattered, ShibaSwap is also evolving, and Layer 2 is being pushed. It’s not like some new coins that run away after a day of hype; it’s a veteran that has endured. So I won't sing the "must-rise anthem," but the scale in my heart has indeed slightly tilted toward the bulls recently.
You ask me if I have any? I have a little, not much, just as a way to extend my youth. After all, for us, what we're holding is not just coins, but that period of crazy yet real market years.
$SHIB #SHİB

【If PEPE really wants to move, this moment could be crucial】

At this point, seeing PEPE, it's hard to tell if I'm sleepy or more alert.

At three in the morning, flipping through candlestick charts, watching that familiar green frog avatar bouncing on the screen, I suddenly laughed—three years ago when I was a novice in the crypto world, I made it from two hundred to over twenty thousand with this thing, and then gave it all back, almost burying my principal on the mountaintop. Now it's quietly crawling back to 0.000004, as if knocking on my window: buddy, do you remember me?

To be honest, the recent trend is a bit interesting. Bitcoin is consolidating, altcoins are rotating, and MEME coins suddenly feel lively again. PEPE has seen a decrease in volume recently, appearing sluggish, but it hasn't broken the previous low; instead, after that bearish candle at 0.0000038, it formed a small doji, resembling the silence period before its launch back in the day. The RSI is at 43.9, neither strong nor weak, just at the emotional tipping point—if it drops a bit more, those cutting losses will have to queue up; if it rises a bit, those who missed out will go crazy.

One possibility is that it really wants to move. If the US stock market stabilizes tonight and funds start flowing back into high-risk assets, PEPE might ride the wave of community sentiment to hit 0.000006. Don't underestimate these 200 basis points; the last time this kind of rise happened, it only took three days. And have you noticed, people on X have recently started posting memes about "$PEPE to the moon" again, even old groups that have been silent for two years are bubbling up at midnight. This kind of mystical signal, believe it or not, but I've seen it too many times.

The other possibility is just to keep grinding. The market is lacking volume, and the big players are too lazy to touch purely emotional assets, so we’ll have to wait. 0.000004 may hold for a few days, then decline to 0.0000035, making everyone forget about it. This is also the norm, after all, PEPE is not a blockchain project; it has no dividends, no ecosystem, and survives solely on consensus and madness.

But personally... well, I'm a bit bullish. I'm not calling for a buy, nor am I promoting bottom fishing; I just feel that in times like this, holding a little as a "lottery position" is quite appealing. If it rises, don't be greedy; if it falls, it won't hurt. If it really takes off, that's a gift from fate; if not, just consider it a renewal for youth.

That said, what are we old retail investors after? Isn't it just waiting for an unreasonable surge, laughing and cursing, "Damn, this thing actually made a comeback."
$PEPE #PEPE

【ETH market feels a bit off... the main force might really take action 🔥】

Those who have stayed up all night watching the market understand that ETH's trend is the most torturous. It has been hovering around 3000 for almost two days, with the candlesticks behaving like they are cramping, not going up or down, driving people's mentality to explode. I watched from 8 PM last night to 6 AM this morning, my eyes almost going blind, just to see which way it would go. Current price is 3008, RSI stuck at 44.7, neither up nor down, reminiscent of the time I was waiting for my crush to reply to my message—anxious yet hesitant to act.

To be honest, I feel quite conflicted right now. On one hand, this pullback and consolidation looks quite healthy, with no large volume selling and no panic selling, seeming like the main force is washing out the chips. On the other hand, the market has been a bit strange lately, large orders are being absorbed slowly, and there are thick pending orders, especially at 3020 and 2980, like someone has laid an ambush in advance. As soon as you push higher, there are immediate sell orders; if you want to cut losses, someone quietly buys up the low-priced chips. This tactic… feels too much like the rhythm before last year's major rally.

I think there are two possible scenarios ahead. The first scenario is that the main force really wants to push up, and now is the last window to get on board. The RSI hasn’t entered the oversold zone yet, which means strong buying support below; once it breaks through 3050, it might head straight for 3200. After all, Ethereum's ecosystem has been continuously favorable lately, Layer 2 is active, and staking volume is also increasing, with fundamentals trending upwards—just waiting for a spark. The second scenario is that it continues to move sideways or even drops further. If BTC suddenly crashes, ETH will likely follow suit and first look for support at 2900. In this case, don’t rush to buy the dip; wait for the emotions to settle down before making a move.

If it were you, what would you do now?

Personally, I lean bullish, my position hasn’t changed, and I’ve saved some bullets for averaging down. It’s not about blindly being bullish, but I feel the market sentiment is warming up, and funds are slowly flowing back. This state of “not moving” might actually be the calm before the storm. Of course, I’m also afraid of being proven wrong, so I definitely won’t give a signal; whoever has the position is responsible. Experienced traders know that the closer you get to these critical points, the more you need to control your hands and your heart.

Brothers, what do you think? I built my base position below 3000, and now it feels a bit numb...

Sometimes it’s really not a technical issue; it’s a psychological issue.
$ETH #ETH

【DOGE has been unusually quiet lately, which makes me alert】

Those who watch the market overnight understand that DOGE's behavior is the most torturous. It neither rises nor falls, stuck around 0.13, resembling an ex-girlfriend's WeChat profile picture after a breakup—neither blocking you nor replying to your messages. Current price 0.130664, RSI 42.3, neither up nor down, even the air has started to question life.

To be honest, I've held DOGE for almost three years, from three dimes to one dime and now to this ridiculous situation, I no longer expect to get rich off it, but this recent pullback and consolidation have made me a bit restless. You see, that previous surge to 0.15, Musk's words made it explode, but once the hype passed, it shrank back to being a dog. Now it's ridiculously quiet, no one in the community is calling trades, Twitter jokes are fewer, even the KOLs who usually flood the screen are off trading new Memes. But the more it is like this, the more I feel something is off.

One possibility is that it really is going to cool down. Funds have all run to new dogs and kittens on the SOL chain, the old DOGE jokes can’t be played anymore, retail investors are retreating, and the big players are too lazy to pump it, just slowly boiling the frog, grinding it down to 0.1 or even lower. After all, the overall market sentiment is cautious now, BTC is weak after the halving, and the ETH ecosystem has no breakout points, DOGE can't be sustained for too long by faith.

But another possibility... I mean, what if one night, Musk suddenly tweets something crazy like “Doge to the moon with Tesla payment,” or some capital suddenly wants to hype nostalgia and stir up a wave of nostalgia. The RSI hasn’t entered the oversold territory yet, the 42.3 position is actually quite delicate—not weak, but not strong, just like my state after drinking two bottles of beer yesterday—still able to fight, but it depends on the opportunity.

I’m not calling for a long or a short; the instinct of an old investor tells me: don’t get off the train, but also don’t increase your position. Hold some base assets and see if there’s an emotional trigger point coming up. MEME coins have never been solvable through technical analysis; it’s about madness, it’s about craziness, it’s about that someone suddenly going nuts. The more you wait for it to die, the more likely it is to resurrect right there.

So brothers, do your work if you need to, sleep if you need to, don’t stare at that horizontal line every day. With coins like DOGE, it’s not about operation, it’s about mindset. If you panic, it moves; if you ignore it, it might just surprise you.
$DOGE #DOGE