卓远日记

8 Years in the Cryptocurrency Market: The Core Principles from 250,000 to Tens of Millions

I transitioned from gold to the cryptocurrency market 8 years ago, starting with a principal of 250,000, which dropped to a minimum of 50,000, and ultimately grew to tens of millions through reinvesting. I once achieved a 400-fold return in 4 months (single wave of 40 million), and now I own 5 properties. Behind this is 3,000 days of practical experience, and the following 10 iron rules are key: achieving unity of knowledge and action is essential for consistent profits:

1. Capital Management: Keep reserve funds, capture major rises once a year, and avoid being fully invested.
2. Enhance Understanding: Engage in real trading with actual money; experiencing pressure is essential to understanding trading.
3. Timely Profit Taking: Withdraw when there’s a price spike the next day after good news to avoid price declines.
4. Holiday Strategy: Reduce positions or refrain from trading before holidays to prevent being controlled by market manipulators.
5. Medium to Long-term Holding: Maintain sufficient liquid funds, sell on rises and buy on dips to lower costs.
6. Choose Quality Cryptocurrencies: For short-term trades, select those with high trading volumes and avoid those with poor liquidity.
7. Understand Market Trends: Gradual declines followed by mild recoveries or sharp declines followed by quick rebounds.
8. Strict Stop Loss: Immediately cut losses if the direction reverses, prioritizing the protection of principal.
9. Use Technical Tools: For short-term trading, observe 15-minute candlestick charts and use tools like KDJ to identify entry points.
10. Focus on a Few Skills: Master several technical analysis methods that suit you.

The cryptocurrency market, like other investments, requires overcoming the barrier of “seven losses, two breakevens, and one profit.” Stick to a trading system and you can walk steadily and earn for a long time. $BTC $ETH

If you have any questions, feel free to ask. I will help you analyze whether it is necessary to wait or to stop loss #币安HODLer空投SAPIEN $ZEC

ETH
Currently still fluctuating within a sideways range, last night's surge only barely touched the resistance level of 2980, failing to achieve an effective breakthrough before retreating again. The intraday rebound resistance remains unchanged, still closely watching the 2980-3015 range; as long as this resistance range is not broken, the overall rebound strength will be limited. The key defensive support below looks towards 2880, and once this position is lost, the market is likely to start a new round of downward trend, with lower target supports successively at 2800, 2700, and 2600. If the market strongly breaks through the resistance level of 3015, the rebound resistance above can further be looked at around 3100. #美国非农数据超预期 $ETH $BTC

Good afternoon, brothers! This market performance is indeed disappointing; every time there is a rebound, it quickly falls back as soon as it touches the peak. The upper resistance level has not even reached the expected level, and the level of frustration is at an all-time high. The big coin surged to over 88000 and then turned down. Today's trading strategy remains focused on short positions—after all, the downtrend is not yet over. The stop-loss for short positions can be set right at the rebound resistance zone. Currently, the smaller time frame has broken down again, and the key rebound resistance is seen at the 87300-88000 range. As long as the rebound fails to effectively break through this range, the smaller time frame is likely to continue the downtrend. Friends holding short positions can set their stop-loss in this resistance zone; the lower target support is initially set at 85000-84000. Additionally, long positions can be placed near 80500 as a backup; if the market strongly breaks through 88000, the upper resistance is still expected to be around 89500. $BTC $ETH #美国非农数据超预期

The Federal Reserve's decision combined with Trump's policy statements creates a double variable that ignites the market! Can gold bulls break through by taking advantage of this momentum?
Today, on the eve of the US market, three major events are arriving one after another, and gold safe-haven buying is about to surge.
21:15 Federal Reserve Governor Waller will deliver a key speech, focusing on the interest rate path and inflation wording—if the tone is hawkish, gold prices may drop to the 4180 level; if dovish signals are released, gold is expected to aim for new highs.
22:00 Trump will take the stage to deliver a policy speech, focusing on the policy framework and tariff measures: if the attitude is tough, rising inflation expectations will help push gold prices sharply higher; if the statements are moderate, a rebound in the dollar is likely to pressure gold prices back to around 4220.
22:05 New York Fed President Williams will deliver an opening speech at the foreign exchange conference, anchoring the direction of dollar liquidity—once dovish signals are released, market expectations for easing will rise, and gold bulls may welcome a good opportunity to increase positions.
The next day at 01:30, Atlanta Fed President Bostic will elaborate on the economic outlook; if the tone is hawkish, gold prices may face downward pressure; if the trend of economic slowdown is acknowledged, safe-haven funds are expected to provide additional momentum for gold.
#美国非农数据超预期 $ETH $BTC

Zhuoyuan 12.17 Gold Morning Review

Yesterday's spot gold showed wide fluctuations, driven by the dual forces of rising expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut and fluctuations in the US dollar exchange rate, with gold prices once surging to around $4350/ounce, just a step away from the more than seven-week high set last Friday. However, as market risk aversion quickly receded, gold prices significantly retraced most of the intraday gains, ultimately closing with a slight increase of only 0.1%, at $4304.91/ounce. The core driver of this market reversal is the substantive progress made in talks between American officials and Ukrainian President Zelensky, which directly weakened market demand for safe-haven buying. Meanwhile, global traders are focusing on the upcoming release of significant US employment data, the performance of which will be a key clue for judging the direction of the Federal Reserve's subsequent monetary policy. As of Tuesday (December 16), during the Asian market's early session, spot gold maintained a slight upward trend, trading at around $4350.92/ounce.

From a technical analysis perspective, after breaking through the symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern, gold prices continued their upward momentum, with the overall technical pattern leaning bullish. In terms of resistance above, the area around $4350/ounce constitutes a short-term pressure point; once this level is effectively broken, gold prices are expected to challenge the historical peak around $4381/ounce.

On the support side, the previously broken neck line at $4250/ounce has turned into the primary support level, followed by the 50-period simple moving average (SMA) at $4233/ounce; if gold prices further decline, the range of $4180-$4170/ounce is likely to trigger new buying power.

Momentum indicators also support the upward movement of gold prices: the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has fallen from the overbought zone near 80 to above 50, with upward momentum showing some decline; the ADX indicator hovers in the range of 20-25, reflecting that the current market trend strength is insufficient, and the market is in a consolidation phase, without forming a clear strong unilateral trend.

Go long near gold $4290-$4300. The target is $4320-$4350; a volume breakthrough would indicate a new high, and if not continued, lighten up on short positions.

The above analysis is Zhuoyuan's personal analysis; investment carries risks, and everything is subject to real transactions $BTC $ETH #美国非农数据超预期

Zhuoyuan 12.16 Gold Morning Review

Mindset is the core that influences all thoughts; it acts like an invisible filter that directly alters our perspective of the world. The same event, under a positive mindset, makes it easier for us to capture hidden opportunities and turning points; however, once ensnared by a negative mindset, our focus unconsciously shifts to the obstacles and difficulties at hand.

After the US stock market opened, it faced resistance at 4350, falling back to a low of around 4285 before starting a small rebound. After closing, it stabilized above 4300, and we observe a bearish close on the four-hour level. The MACD volume has weakened, and we should pay attention to the resistance level of 4320 at the opening. The four-hour level has once again maintained an upward trend, indicating that the upward movement has not ended. The EMA support remains at 4280, and the overall direction still revolves around the unchanged target above.

Buy near 4280-4285 for gold. Target 4320-4350; a breakout with volume indicates a new high, and if it fails to continue, consider light short positions.

The above analysis is Zhuoyuan's personal analysis. Investment carries risks; everything is subject to the actual market $BTC $XRP #BinanceABCs

The support situation of 4280 must be noted, consider taking positions primarily with light holdings. The evening review directly seals the god $BTC #BinanceABCs

Zhuoyuan 12.15 Gold Evening Review

The intraday market is rising steadily with no signs of pullback. I am Zhuoyuan, and I firmly believe that profit is the only measure of strength. My assessments are always clear and decisive, and my trading system is uniquely my own. Keep up with my pace; my historical annualized performance remains flawless. While others are already sprinting on the path to wealth, are you still hesitating at the starting line? Remember, hesitation means being out!

Anchor my strategic direction, and the path to wealth appreciation will surely be smooth and uninterrupted.

Gold faces significant resistance at the 4380 level. Although the current gold price trend is strong and tomorrow's non-farm data is about to be released, the market overwhelmingly favors a bullish outlook on the 4380 range, but risks must still be highlighted: beware of sudden market drops; the more unanimous the bullish sentiment, the more caution is required.

Although the technical aspect shows a bullish pattern, the trend often contradicts market consensus—after all, the profits of major funds come precisely from the misjudgments of most retail investors. Future operations can refer to two main strategies: first, remain in cash and wait for the non-farm data to be released before deciding to enter; second, patiently wait for the gold price to fall to the 4300-4280 range before placing long orders.

Short near 4350-4365 in gold, stop loss at 4282, target 4320-4300; if it breaks down with volume, watch the 4280 support level.

The above analysis is Zhuoyuan's personal analysis; investment carries risks, and everything is subject to actual trading $BTC #BinanceABCs

The market has currently reached a high of 4350 after opening, followed by a slight pullback. Zhuoyuan's morning expectations were very accurate. Currently, we are waiting with an empty position #巨鲸动向 $BTC

Zhuoyuan 12.15 Gold Morning Review

The tender sprouts breaking through the soil all have the ambition to reach the sky; the dormant pupae harbor the aspiration to spread their wings to the heavens. But dreams are not mere fantasies; without down-to-earth efforts, even the grandest visions will only become empty talk. Every drop of sweat is a prologue to luck; time never disappoints the dedicated dreamers. By gritting your teeth and persevering, you will ultimately be filled with your ideals! Only by giving your all can you not waste the precious years and not betray your passionate初心！

This week, we need to focus on the fundamentals: First, the delayed November non-farm payroll data will be released on Tuesday evening at 20:30; secondly, U.S. retail sales data and CPI will be published on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively; in addition, there is market speculation about the possibility of the Bank of Japan lowering interest rates by 25 basis points on Friday; finally, this week is the last week before Christmas, and the trading sentiment in the financial markets may be more complex, with volatility likely to further increase, so be sure to manage risks well.

Last week, gold prices showed a clear dual-kill trend. After a slight rise to $4283 in the morning, prices began to retreat and fell to a stable $4264. In the afternoon, bulls made another effort, first breaking through the previous trading day's high of $4287, and during the European trading session, prices surged to above $4300, then accelerated upward, reaching a peak of $4339 before adjusting.

Entering the U.S. session, gold prices first quickly dipped to $4321 and then rapidly rose again, with a peak of $4354 during the U.S. session. However, unable to stabilize at a high level, gold prices subsequently experienced a rapid plunge, erasing all intraday gains within an hour and hitting a low of $4257. There was a slight rebound at the end, ultimately closing around $4300. The daily line closed with a small bullish candle with a long upper shadow, while the weekly line showed a small bullish candle with a high and then a drop.

Buy gold around 4290-4280, stop loss at 4250, target at 4350; if it cannot stabilize, consider light short positions, and continue to look at 4380 on a volume breakout.

The above analysis is Zhuoyuan's personal analysis; investment carries risks, and everything is subject to actual trading $BTC $ETH
#美联储降息

Zhuoyuan 12.12 Gold Morning Review

Deep Analysis of Factors Driving Gold Prices Up: Three Core Logics Surface

1. The Federal Reserve is currently still focused on the "below target" inflation level, with core inflation still far from the 2% policy anchor, and the interest rate cut window has not yet arrived. In this context, gold's anti-inflation properties are highlighted, receiving strong support.

2. The strong performance of the silver market is creating a transmission effect, driving gold to start a corrective rally. At the same time, the number of initial unemployment claims in the United States unexpectedly rose, confirming a cooling labor market, which further exerts pressure on the dollar and adds bricks to gold's upward momentum.

3. The Federal Reserve announced the launch of a short-term government bond purchase program starting December 12, aimed at adjusting market liquidity. In a liquidity easing environment, the attractiveness of risk assets increases, while the dollar, as a traditional safe-haven asset, faces downward pressure, making gold a target for capital inflow.

Intraday Gold Trend Analysis

Yesterday, gold's daily line first closed with a large bearish candle, followed by a strong rebound reclaiming lost ground, with a clear trend reversal signal. If the bearish trend continues, prices should theoretically break below previous lows, but the market did not show a sustained decline; instead, it broke through multiple resistance levels, proving that the downward momentum is exhausted. After a brief pullback in the morning, it rose again in the evening, which is a typical characteristic of a bullish trend, confirming the previous bullish judgment based on the 4200 level.

From a technical perspective, gold prices have consistently remained above the 5-day moving average, indicating a solid bullish pattern. Although this pullback has disrupted short-term positioning, it lays a solid foundation for subsequent upward movement and represents a healthy adjustment within the trend. Based on the intraday rhythm, a slow decline in the morning, followed by a pullback in the afternoon, is likely to lead to a second surge in the European and American markets. Today, pay close attention to the support around the 4250 level in the morning session, while the upper resistance level is aimed at the 4300 mark.

Buy gold near 4250-4245, with a stop loss at 4235. If the target at 4230 cannot hold, consider positioning lightly for a short. If the volume breaks through, continue looking upward to 4320.

The above analysis is Zhuoyuan's personal analysis. Investment carries risks, and everything is subject to real trading. $BTC #美联储降息

Zhuoyuan 12.11 Gold Afternoon Review

In the early session, gold surged and then experienced a technical pullback, which is a common technical consolidation process after a breakout. The current price has stabilized above the key support level of 4200 and has successfully broken above yesterday's resistance level of 4230. The overall structure remains within a bullish framework.

  The technical analysis shows that 4250 has become a new key resistance level. Once it effectively breaks through, it will open up space towards 4275. The support level at 4208 resonates with the 4-hour moving average system, carrying strong technical significance. It is recommended to maintain a buy strategy on pullbacks, with 4198 as a stop point, and to build long positions near 4208.

Buy gold near 4205-4210, with a stop loss at 4195. If the target of 4250 cannot stabilize, consider positioning light short.

The above analysis is Zhuoyuan's personal analysis, investment is risky and everything is subject to actual trading $BNB #加密市场反弹

It has been made very clear, dissecting every word. Those who cannot listen must face the consequences. Chasing the peak of the mountain. Currently, the empty order has moved out to 4600 with a large space $BTC #美联储降息

Near 4180-4190, receiving more, basically in a fluctuating state during the day. After the opening of the US stock market, it fell back to 4182, providing an opportunity to get on board. Waiting for the Fed's decision on interest rate cuts to directly surge to 4247 here. Zhuoyuan's target is also only more, reaching $COAI .

Zhuoyuan 12.11 Gold Morning Review
Greed and fear are cast aside, rationally responding to the market, with stability as the priority. A calm mind leads to steady hands; follow the trend, both gains and losses are part of the learning process.

Overnight, the Federal Reserve's new round of interest rate decisions landed as expected, with a 25 basis point cut in line with market expectations. However, concerns about the current job market and inflation were also expressed, emphasizing that tariffs' impact on inflation is one-time. Trump expressed dissatisfaction with this rate cut, believing it could have been more aggressive. Thus, the overall rate cut was not as hawkish as the market had anticipated. Ultimately, the market showed a weakening U.S. dollar index, allowing gold to be supported and rise. Reviewing last night's trends, before the data was released, gold maintained a narrow range oscillation between 4190 and 4205. After the data was released, it first quickly surged to around 4219, then swiftly dropped to around 4181, and then rose again, peaking at 4238 before retreating to around 4220 and stabilizing. In the early session, it rose again and is currently around 4245, with 4220 being a key watershed for the day. The long position around 4180 yesterday has perfectly played out.

In terms of crude oil, the Federal Reserve's rate cut provided some support to crude oil, while the U.S. seizing Venezuelan oil ships also provided some speculation in crude oil, but the supply-demand conflict has not seen actual improvement. Technically, the daily trend continues to maintain a narrow range at low levels. On the four-hour level, the short-term moving averages are beginning to gradually diverge upwards, and the K-line is slowly starting to stand above. For the day, the focus remains on low long positions.

Long positions in gold around 4220-4225, with a target of 4250-4280. If it cannot stabilize, consider a light short position.

Long positions in crude oil around 58.3-58.4, with a target of 59.4-59.5. If it cannot stabilize, consider a light short position.

The above analysis is Zhuoyuan's personal analysis. Investment carries risks, and everything is subject to actual trading $PIPE #美联储降息

Good afternoon, brothers! The Bitcoin long position we've been shouting about for two days finally went up last night! This operation is not just a wild guess; the profit and loss ratio has been clearly calculated for everyone, and we have a steady grasp on it. The rebound target has now been reached, and brothers who shorted at 94000 remember to bring your stop-loss to break even, don't let the profits you have slip away.

There will be a big event at 3 AM tonight, so don't go long today. Although it still looks like a bullish market, the risk of entering now is too high; what we fear is a direct crash after the news drops. Let's patiently wait for opportunities and prepare to set up medium to long-term short positions.

Focus closely on the two support levels of 91500-90800 during the day; as long as it doesn't break down, the bullish trend remains intact. If the price rushes to the 94500-96000 range, we can first open a small short position; the maximum pressure on the monthly line is at 100000, and if it can rise to this point, we can directly increase our position and go short at the monthly line level! $PIPE #加密市场反弹

The gold price has repeatedly tested the key resistance level of 4220, and the lower point has not refreshed, showing a typical pattern of stabilization at a low level and a buildup for upward movement. The probability of a breakout to the upside in the future is relatively high. In terms of trading strategy, it is recommended to enter a long position at the current price of 4208. If it retraces to 4204, additional positions can be added, with a stop loss set at 4200 and an initial target of 4220 resistance. If there is an effective breakout, further targets can be set at 4230. $PIPE

Don't doubt that I am a concubine, remember this: whenever there's a sharp drop, it will stabilize after rising by 300 points $ETH #美SEC推动加密创新监管

Following the trend to chase the rise, at least you can hear it with two thousand points. Brothers, the space to move out is 4500 points$BTC #加密市场反弹