佩佩是佩佩

$ETH
There are prototypes in the trend:
Prototype 1: Bullish pullback supports the 618 golden ratio trend.
Prototype 2: There is support at the bottom (trend line), and there is a pressure support swap above; it was originally pressure, now after breaking through, it has made 3 pullbacks to the original pressure, leading to a pressure support swap trend.
Here, the hourly trend shows 3 instances of touching the bottom without breaking, which are: 2875, 2870, 2880, three instances of bottoming out and rebounding (similar to a head and shoulders bottom structure).
There is a bullish expectation trend.
Defense: 2850
Pressure: 3033 (first pressure), 3133 (second pressure)

币圈稳赚不赔的主体
1、做市商，提供流动性
2、做U商，交易U赚差价
3、meme项目方，发币收割一波
4、各大主流交易所，提供服务赚手续费

因此大部分玩家，有渠道有资金有技术后，都会朝着前三个发展

PTB has basically reached the position it ideally wants.

It has increased by 60%, the target is to see 0.007, currently at 0.0065, the highest reached 0.0068,

preparing to take profits and run. Final profit is 3300 dollars. As the market rises, the margin keeps increasing. Yesterday it was 380u, today it reached 440u, the more it rises, the more margin there is. The more it falls, the less there is,

so family members, going long always earns more than going short. However, the space is always consumed the fastest, it might rise for two days. But it can drop in 10 minutes.

Profits taken, selecting the next doubling coin.

Should I buy the dip, hold or swing trade?

My own method is to divide the positions into 3 parts:

1. Investment: Can increase by 3-5 times or more over 3-5 years, but uncertain within 3-6 months
2. Speculation: Can increase by 50% within 3-6 months, uncertain long term, sell to cash when the target is reached
3. Cash: Includes stablecoins, US Treasuries, NASDAQ, industry beta, can cash out at any time for living expenses

Every time I want to act, I ask myself, which category does this operation belong to?

Set a ratio for each part that suits you best. For example, if my $BTC investment position has already reached its limit, when I want to buy the dip, I need to check if there is still room in the speculation position. If there is, I will set a sell strategy while buying; if the speculation position is also full, it indicates that I should first increase the cash ratio.

Anything that does not fit into the above 3 categories is being liquidated, and I will not touch it again in the future. Less is more.

The data has come out today, and the prices are struggling. The news is quite neutral, and it can be interpreted in various ways.

However, I feel that this situation should stabilize or perhaps rebound a bit tonight; we will have to see how things unfold later.

After all, from a fundamental perspective, it is not that the "economy is deteriorating," but rather that high interest rates are becoming untimely. This is precisely the kind of data that can force the Federal Reserve to adopt a more dovish stance:

An increase in the unemployment rate ≠ recession, but it means that the cost of continued tightening is rising.

The probability of interest rate cuts is increasing, and it is expected that the anticipation for rate cuts remains. The data feedback will first be felt by the dollar, while gold will respond first. $BTC is the last asset to be revalued.

The downward space is beginning to be supported by macro forces, but whether it can be sustained is uncertain, as there is still a lot of uncertainty.

Four clear statements:

① There are no failures in my life, because I either succeed or grow.

② There are no enemies in my life, only teachers, so I either gain or learn.

③ There are no paths in my life that are walked in vain; if I'm right, I celebrate, and if I'm wrong, I remember.

④ I will not be troubled by anyone or anything; I allow everything to happen, and everything that happens will ultimately benefit me.

PTB entered today,

I believe everyone has made money, right?

The increase is 40%, shouldn't the return rate be 800%?

Why is it only 570%? I don't understand,

Brothers who are in, give a thumbs up.

In today's cryptocurrency market, many people find it difficult, and indeed it is difficult. Retail investors have been repeatedly harvested this year, with a cycle of crashing, cutting losses, and then pumping up. The tricks are repetitive but still effective.

But why are there still people making money?

Because the market is no longer what it used to be. The leaders have changed; institutions like BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, and Fidelity have entered the market with huge capital, like elephants breaking into a living room, rewriting the rules.

Even the Ethereum Foundation has started to do swing trading. If you still cling to the old thinking of "holding without action and enduring losses," losses are inevitable.

This round of increases is driven by Wall Street, and the rhythm is different from before. A rate-cutting cycle is about to arrive, the global regulatory framework is gradually clarifying, and ETFs are continuously being launched—everything is attracting long-term institutional funds to enter the market.

The next wave of market trends will be driven by institutional asset reallocation, rather than the collective frenzy of retail investors. Therefore, what you need to do is not to chase rising prices or panic, but to see clearly who is leading the market.

Choose key targets, develop phased plans, seize turning points in the market, and calmly ambush.

The market is always changing, but opportunities always appear after the washout. Whether you can reach that moment depends not only on your understanding but also on whether your mindset can remain stable.

Set aside the noise, refine your character. The more intense the institutional washout, the larger the subsequent space often is. In times of crisis, the next ticket to tomorrow often hides within.

Stay clear-headed, stay patient. Bull markets do not emerge amidst noise; they brew in places where no one cares.

PTB chased in and has risen nearly 20 points,

You can set a stop loss above the opening price,

Feeling great. 20 points in 20 minutes.

Chasing the gainers list of ptb.. current price 0.00408,

market cap is small enough. Trading volume has clearly increased.

Set a 10% stop loss, target looks at 0.007 here,

come witness the rise of PTB.

Three methods to lock in the bottom points of this month's big BTC pullback:

A. Currently within the 20-day adjustment range of the 45-day line adjustment cycle, with the Bollinger Band bottom near 80085. The 20-day EMA is 52, corresponding to a price of 74965. Therefore, after breaking 80k, lock in the bottom: 74965

B. The 45-day line level has a dead cross, with the Bollinger Band middle track at 77250.

C. The 0.618 position of the pullback at the 45-day line level:

126208-48888 = 77,320

77320*0.618 = 47,783.76

126208-47783 = 78,425 (the golden ratio point of the pullback)

PS: Adding the lowest point of April 7 this year, 74666, which is very close to the 20-day EMA of 52. Therefore, it can be predicted that the bottom range in December can be locked at these three points: 78425, 77250, 74666.

What exactly happened?

Sorry, I passed out again this morning when I opened Binance.

Why is everyone saying it will rise, yet it keeps falling?

ASTER has actually reached 0.79.

Now the meme in the market can rise by 12% and make the news
It shows how poor the liquidity is
Miss the old knockoffs
Although there are also zero-value projects
But encountering high-quality leaders and making 5 to 10 times the profit is really not uncommon
The risk-reward ratio is extremely good
Now entering the market to play with knockoffs and memes
You can only make a few dozen points
But the drop can really be 5 to 10 times the drop

ZEC last entered the market with good friends, targeting 470, and it just reached it!

Then a drop and pullback adjustment occurred near 470, and it is back around the last entry position, can it rise again?

Two positions worth paying attention to below, at 388 and 368, are worth a gamble to enter!

Contracts are the most addictive things in the crypto world, yet they can also bring people back to reality.

They seem fair, but in reality, they are cruel.
Behind every multiple of leverage lies an amplification of risk.
Every liquidation is someone else footing the bill.

For newcomers, contracts are not an opportunity, but a trap.
They were meant to be tools for hedging risk,
not chips for gambling.

Currently, the JELLY price has slightly retraced by about 8%. It is recommended to adjust the stop-loss to near the cost price to lock in risks. Altcoins often experience significant volatility, and when there are profit opportunities, it is advisable to prioritize setting a break-even stop-loss. The original target remains unchanged; just be patient and wait. The final outcome will be one of two: either exit at break-even or welcome a round of considerable profits.
Looking forward to the subsequent movements and performances of the main funds.

2025.12.15 Early Week BTC/ETH Market Analysis
Reviewing the weekend trends, investors who previously followed the advice to exit after breaking even and wait for a pullback to build long positions have seen the recent market dip validate the effectiveness of the strategy. The trading perspective is crucial—if the direction is temporarily inconsistent, one should prioritize exiting when a break-even opportunity arises and wait for the market to dip before re-entering. When the market does not provide an opportunity to go short in line with the trend, capturing long opportunities after a pullback is also a viable option.
BTC Market
Key Support: 87250–88035 / 82845
Recent Resistance: 92228 / 96422 / 102400
The second low-buying position suggested over the weekend is around 87250, primarily observing whether the 87250–88035 range can form effective support. The early morning market dipped to a low of 87500 before quickly rebounding, with the trend highly consistent with that support range. If long positions have already been established near 88035, there is over a 1000-point profit margin.
ETH Market
Key Support: 2850 / 2749
Recent Resistance: 3400 / 3600
Ethereum has recently performed slightly better than expected. The weekend analysis mentioned that if a deep spike occurs, in extreme cases, one could look for long opportunities near 2945, but the actual lowest only retraced to 3022, failing to break below the 3000 mark. The current price has rebounded to around 3125.
For the BTC and ETH long positions entered last Friday night, if exited as planned during Saturday's early session at break-even and re-entered at a lower position, one should currently be in a profitable state. If not exited yet, it remains advisable to consider exiting first as it returns to the cost vicinity. In the afternoon to evening, one can again focus on pullback opportunities, but it must be clear: market opportunities, while often present, do not exist at all times. Avoid excessive confidence and frequent trading, and rationally wait for key signals to appear.
Today's Operational Suggestions
If there is a surge in the early session, it is not advisable to chase the market. Focus on whether the market can stabilize. In the evening, attention should be paid to the North American market before and after opening, as the interaction of the Asian, European, and American market sessions generates long and short signals. Although there is operational space for both sides, since the current price has returned to the weekend consolidation area, if considering building long positions, it is recommended to wait for the price to confirm support through a pullback before re-entering.

#BTC走势分析

Actually, this year I seized a few big opportunities with the s-chain, but I really lost a lot on the bsc, basically just making money and not selling until it goes to zero. Buying is just a gamble on whether it will rebound or not on alpha. The analysis of the s-chain is from the perspective of the coin, while the bsc is completely analyzing cz. Maybe the times have changed, and I am old, so I deserve to lose money. I still haven't researched cz enough.