Recent data shows that the job market has not cooled significantly, and the Federal Reserve has no urgent reason to let go. In this context, it is difficult for the market to bet on a "quick pivot to dovish."
If non-farm data remains strong, even above expectations, the consensus is that interest rate cut expectations will be delayed, and the dollar and interest rates will remain high, putting pressure on risk assets, making the rise seem more like a better position for the bears.
Even if non-farm data is not particularly impressive, as long as there is no "obvious weakening," it is also difficult for the market to experience a smooth bullish trend. In a high interest rate environment, capital prefers defense rather than chasing prices.
The most common occurrence on non-farm night is not a trend reversal, but rather a bounce followed by a pullback. The true direction often appears only after emotions are digested.
In this market situation, rather than rushing to go long, it is better to respect the trend and control positions. The market is still there, but capital needs to survive first.
The recent fluctuations in the market are actually filtering people]
The market has been quite noticeable these days Sometimes up, sometimes down It seems to have direction, but the next moment it goes the opposite way
Many people are not misreading the direction It's just that they can't hold out until the direction appears
I myself have made a few adjustments recently๐
๐น Reduce the frequency of trades In a fluctuating market, emotions can easily take over Better to do less than to get washed back and forth
๐น Cost control is more important than win rate In this kind of market What truly eats into profits is not the stop-loss But the cumulative trading costs over time
๐น Funds must remain flexible Now is not the time for a big push It's about waiting for the moment to "truly choose a side"
๐ My biggest realization recently is: The market is not that urgent The urgency is within us
My current goals are very simple ๐ Survive ๐ Wait for the trend ๐ Then take action
Some tools can help buy time in a fluctuating market Whether to use them depends on the person But at least the mindset should be stable first
$FOLKS is a bit dying, brothers! The fee has reached 1000 U, when it dropped to more than 24 it was two bucks short of my profit point, this really can't be helped๐ญ