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【In-depth Analysis】Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cut Expectations Fall Short: Structural Risks in Cryptocurrency Market Liquidity and Institutional Strategy Adjustment Outlook 📉
PANews reports that the Federal Reserve Chairman hinted at only one interest rate cut this year, far below the market's general expectation of three. This signal is undoubtedly a wake-up call for the cryptocurrency market, which relies on macro liquidity drivers. The weakening expectation of hot money inflows means that the market's capacity to bear high-risk assets will be tested. From a technical perspective, this may lead to a rapid depletion of liquidity in some overvalued altcoins, forcing institutions to reassess their risk exposure. We will see funds concentrating on a few protocols with strong fundamentals and clear value capture mechanisms. Scholars, how do you think this macro shift will reshape the flow of funds in DeFi?🤔 #Macroeconomics #流动性分析
PANews reports that the Federal Reserve Chairman hinted at only one interest rate cut this year, far below the market's general expectation of three. This signal is undoubtedly a wake-up call for the cryptocurrency market, which relies on macro liquidity drivers. The weakening expectation of hot money inflows means that the market's capacity to bear high-risk assets will be tested. From a technical perspective, this may lead to a rapid depletion of liquidity in some overvalued altcoins, forcing institutions to reassess their risk exposure. We will see funds concentrating on a few protocols with strong fundamentals and clear value capture mechanisms. Scholars, how do you think this macro shift will reshape the flow of funds in DeFi?🤔 #Macroeconomics #流动性分析
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💰 The Era of Huge Losses for the Federal Reserve Ends After Three Years! Is This a Major Positive for the Cryptocurrency Market?
It has been three years, and the Federal Reserve has finally ended its continuous losses! It has returned to profitability since early November, and the scale of deferred assets has decreased for the first time. The key reason is the interest rate cuts—rates have dropped from a peak of 5.5% to 3.75-4%, significantly reducing banks' interest expenses on reserves.
This is not only a change in accounting items but also an important signal of a shift in monetary policy:
✅ Reduced operational pressure on the Federal Reserve
✅ Further opening of interest rate cut space
✅ Continued improvement in the global liquidity environment
For the cryptocurrency market, this means:
🔥 A rebound in traditional funds' risk appetite
🔥 Market liquidity is supported
🔥 A more favorable macro environment for crypto assets
Historical experience shows that interest rate cut cycles are often a good period for the performance of risk assets. Although the Federal Reserve will not directly purchase cryptocurrencies, a loose monetary environment creates favorable conditions for the entire crypto market.
#美联储降息周期 #宏观经济 #降息期待 #加密市场 #流动性分析
It has been three years, and the Federal Reserve has finally ended its continuous losses! It has returned to profitability since early November, and the scale of deferred assets has decreased for the first time. The key reason is the interest rate cuts—rates have dropped from a peak of 5.5% to 3.75-4%, significantly reducing banks' interest expenses on reserves.
This is not only a change in accounting items but also an important signal of a shift in monetary policy:
✅ Reduced operational pressure on the Federal Reserve
✅ Further opening of interest rate cut space
✅ Continued improvement in the global liquidity environment
For the cryptocurrency market, this means:
🔥 A rebound in traditional funds' risk appetite
🔥 Market liquidity is supported
🔥 A more favorable macro environment for crypto assets
Historical experience shows that interest rate cut cycles are often a good period for the performance of risk assets. Although the Federal Reserve will not directly purchase cryptocurrencies, a loose monetary environment creates favorable conditions for the entire crypto market.
#美联储降息周期 #宏观经济 #降息期待 #加密市场 #流动性分析
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Brothers, at 00:30, Old K's phone was awakened by community messages.
Looking at the market, $BTC was directly smashed through the 65000 mark by a large bearish candlestick, and the screen was filled with question marks of "who is dumping the market"; many people panicked.
But to be honest, Old K has to say: where is the conspiracy? There was no sudden black swan, it was just that two "money siphons" started up together, which caused BTC to drop!
The first machine: the U.S. Treasury's "bond siphon"
In order to fill the funding gap in the TGA account, the Treasury overnight sold 163 billion in bonds. What does this mean? Investors have to "tear down the east wall to make up the west wall," moving over 170 billion in funds from the risk asset pool to buy bonds.
But to be honest, Old K has to say: where is the conspiracy? There was no sudden black swan, it was just that two "money siphons" started up together, which caused BTC to drop!
The first machine: the U.S. Treasury's "bond siphon"
In order to fill the funding gap in the TGA account, the Treasury overnight sold 163 billion in bonds. What does this mean? Investors have to "tear down the east wall to make up the west wall," moving over 170 billion in funds from the risk asset pool to buy bonds.
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