王建波

12.16 Tuesday Market Review and Future Analysis of Bitcoin and Ethereum

The overall market volatility today is less than that of the previous period, with the overall coin prices allowing for back-and-forth movements in both directions; it depends on whether we can keep up with Old Wang's strategy for layout. The BTC daily market saw a slow rise from the early morning line of 85000, reaching a daily high of around 88000 when the non-farm payroll data was released in the evening, and ETH also followed Bitcoin's trend. After the U.S. stock market opened in the evening, the coin prices fluctuated back and forth; the U.S. stock market opened lower and then rebounded, but continued to decline afterward. The cryptocurrency market also fluctuated following the U.S. stock market's opening trend, but overall did not show the one-sided market that Old Wang anticipated.

From the current market situation, there are signs of a slight rebound in overall coin prices. On a daily chart level, the coin prices showed a slight rebound after touching the lower Bollinger band, and there is evident pressure above, with the Bollinger bands flattening. On the 4-hour chart, the overall coin prices are still significantly under the pressure of the middle Bollinger band, so we need to pay attention to how the coin prices perform near 89000.

In the short term, the overall coin prices are gradually testing upward, with limited pullback. From a technical indicator perspective, the 1-hour KDJ forms a golden cross above 50, the RSI is around 48.9, showing a neutral to slightly strong state, and the MACD shows a golden cross below the zero line but with weak momentum. In the future market, we can consider light positions for short-term profits! Quick in and out to secure profits is the safest strategy!

Early morning operation suggestions:
Bitcoin $BTC 86500-87000 long, target 88500
Ethereum $ETH 2900-2930 long, target 3000
#美国非农数据超预期 #王建波

Prepare in advance, non-farm payroll is coming up, short BTC around 87500, short ETH at 2970, but remember! Light position short! Light position short! Light position short! Important things said three times, the risk of early layout is high, afraid there won't be an opportunity later, it will be aggressive, everyone consider for themselves, manage appropriate stop-loss according to your own position! $BTC #王建波

The market is currently not fluctuating much. After a surge in the morning session, it has entered a consolidation phase with limited overall pullback. In the short term, there is still room for both long and short positions. Moving forward, we hope everyone can follow the trend. The earlier high short strategy had ETH making some progress, while BTC moved in the opposite direction, which is quite regrettable. For the later market, Lao Wang has adjusted his strategy, shifting to a low long layout. The previous article has provided operational suggestions, and everyone can take a look at $BTC #王建波 .

12.12 Friday Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Review and Future Trends

Let's review today's market. After a strong start for the U.S. stock market on Thursday evening, the market rose throughout Friday morning until it stabilized at the close of the U.S. stock market, beginning to show a pullback. However, the pullback was not significant, with the market consolidating around 92000 before the U.S. stock market opened. After the U.S. market opened on Friday, it fell again. Overall, the market from Thursday to Friday has formed a sideways S-shape, with ETH exhibiting larger fluctuations, but still largely following BTC's trend.

From the current market perspective, the coin price is expected to continue to decline tonight, and if the rebound remains weak, it is very likely to return to the consolidation area around 90000 from Thursday, to form the 'gate' mentioned by Lao Wang. If the decline is serious, it may drop back to around 89000, but the specific situation will depend on detailed market analysis.

From a technical perspective, the coin price has once again breached the middle band of the 4-hour Bollinger Bands, and this downward trend is expected to continue. The KDJ indicator shows a clear downward trend as the three lines converge, so in the short term, there is still potential for gains if one follows the trend by going short at high points. Friends with good entry points can wait to see the market dynamics, but be sure to take profits by reducing positions first. Now we need to see if tonight's downward trend will breach the daily middle band support level at 90000; if it does, Lao Wang will analyze the situation further for everyone.

Basically, the strategy now is to select good positions for shorting high and longing low in order to make quick profits. Lao Wang advises everyone to take a conservative approach to shorting high in the short term; detailed analysis can be done based on specific market conditions.

Operational Suggestions:
Bitcoin $BTC 91000-91500 short, looking to drop to 89000
Ethereum $ETH 3150-3190 short, looking to drop to 3000
#美联储降息 #王建波

$BTC The current focus of the encrypted market is concentrated on the intense game between long and short forces and the dual resonance of macro-level benefits. The continuous rise in the long-term holding ratio highlights the deepening effect of capital accumulation, building a solid support base for prices. The significant warming of expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, combined with Trump's public support for the cryptocurrency industry, forms a dual narrative of a shift in monetary policy and policy support, continuously attracting traditional capital into the market. It is worth noting that the high level of short positions suggests potential short squeeze risks in the market—once key resistance levels are effectively broken, it may trigger a short squeeze, further accelerating the upward price trend. However, caution is needed regarding short-term volatility disturbances to avoid chasing high risks, and it is recommended to rationally participate with a fixed investment mindset.

First support level 91000 (close to key defense line, with strong support)

Support range is between 91000-92000 (dense chip area, forming an important defense line)

Key resistance level is at 95000 (breaking this level may open up upward space, caution is needed for selling pressure near resistance levels)

Prices are oscillating and consolidating above the support range in the short term, showing resilience in buying below.

If 91000 support stabilizes effectively, the technical side is expected to form a "support confirmation" signal, providing a basis for rebound momentum. #美联储降息 #王建波

Old Wang's ideas presented in advance yesterday afternoon suggest that we should look for buying opportunities in response to interest rate cuts and the upward trend, as well as the macroeconomic issues such as U.S. inflation and government bonds that I mentioned at the very beginning have not been effectively resolved. The strategy of shorting at highs has been consistently emphasized. The long-time fans in the live broadcast should remember this. The high positions were also discussed with everyone. Whether you have followed Old Wang's ideas and executed his strategies depends on everyone. $BTC #王建波 #美联储降息

I haven't been analyzing the market for everyone during this period. The domestic situation has not been good recently, so I decided to take a break. I looked at the recent interest rate cuts; the high point predicted by Lao Wang happened to be reached. The macroeconomic situation I mentioned before will impact the fundamentals, and I have already discussed some issues during the live broadcasts. I believe those who can keep up with Lao Wang's thoughts for long-term layouts will definitely benefit. It’s about accumulating over time, using patience and stability to compound.

I've been resting quite a bit recently, and before the New Year, I will provide some analysis for everyone. I will soon prepare to continue analyzing the market, and it won't take too long. $BTC #王建波

After Old Wang's livestream ended, the morning market experienced a decline. The cryptocurrency prices did not rebound as Old Wang had expected, and only those friends who followed Old Wang's strategy in the livestream managed to get a little profit, which is still quite disappointing.

The morning's decline was influenced by factors such as the outlook on Japan's fiscal situation and erroneous statements made by Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, which sparked diplomatic disputes between China and Japan. This led to a significant drop in the Tokyo stock market, with the largest decline since early April of this year. At the same time, Japanese government bonds were also sold off, causing the yen exchange rate to fall.

Due to market concerns that the expansionary fiscal policies proposed by Fumio Kishida would further deteriorate the fiscal situation, Japanese government bonds faced selling pressure from investors, and long-term interest rates continued to rise. This will exacerbate the burden on public finances, and the high valuation of Japanese tech stocks, combined with the diplomatic disputes between China and Japan, has led to increased activity in the capital market's "sell Japan" trades.

This is the reason why the morning market did not perform as expected. Friends who followed Old Wang's morning strategy, don't worry. You can set stop-loss orders, wait for the market to reach the cost price before selling, and we can plan our next move when the timing is right. $ETH #王建波

Bitcoin/Ethereum technical structure maintains a bearish trend, grasping short-selling opportunities amidst oscillating declines.

Technical indicators show that Bitcoin and Ethereum's daily KDJ, MACD, and BOLL indicators continue to resonate bearishly, with the three-day moving average maintaining a strong bearish arrangement. The market's trading volume over the weekend was relatively weak, and limited fluctuations are expected. The 12-hour level also shows a bearish arrangement, with the coin price seamlessly aligned with the five-day moving average, primarily trending downward in oscillation during the early morning. Yesterday's ultra-short-term rebound completed gap repair and indicator adjustment, and the subsequent trend may continue with slight downward oscillation in a range-bound manner, with operational advice to short-sell on rebounds.
$BTC #王建波

11.25 Monday Review and Subsequent Analysis of Bitcoin and Ethereum Strategies

Old Wang only speaks with facts, because only cooperative, win-win partnerships can last long. Deception and fabrication can only last for a moment; everyone is not a fool and can terminate cooperation at any time, which is meaningless.
Whether in personal conduct or in work, integrity is the foundation. Old Wang has always adhered to his bottom line, presenting the most authentic information.
The market today can be said to have room for both bulls and bears, and the overall market is as Old Wang expected, undergoing a box-shaped fluctuation! It is exactly the same as the market at the beginning of the year! There are historical references!

After the morning surge, the market immediately faced pressure and fell back after reaching the top and bottom conversion window at around 88000. The morning session was a tug-of-war around this level, while the afternoon continued to probe downward and rebound. The market started to jump rapidly after the U.S. stock market opened in the evening, briefly touching the lower short-term support at around 85000 before rebounding for support. Currently, the coin price is slowly rising.
ETH followed the trend of Bitcoin, rising from the intraday low of 2761 to 2884 in the afternoon before falling back. In the evening, influenced by the strong opening of the U.S. stock market, it once again rebounded.

Old Wang's actual operations today also involved back-and-forth trading with both long and short positions; there was no significant opening profit. Although the layout was relatively small, there was sufficient room for movement, which can be seen in the actual trading records!

Old Wang also discussed thoughts and current price orders during the evening live stream, allowing friends in the live room to layout in advance and reap good returns!

As of now, the overall market will undergo a box-shaped fluctuation here. Old Wang has already mentioned in the live room that this range of 85000-88000 will fluctuate for a long time, and one should sell high and buy low.

On a short-term basis, this wave of trending weekly decline has entered the third cycle. The downward trend has likely completed in the short term, and the next step is to observe for a phase of rebound. If the coin price breaks through and stabilizes above 88000, Old Wang personally believes we can see rebound highs in the range of 92000-95000.

Moreover, the evening surge on Monday was also influenced by the strong opening of the U.S. stock market, which is precisely the reason why Old Wang and friends in the live room laid out trades! Therefore, our subsequent strategy in the early morning will still focus on low longs, and Old Wang here provides a low long suggestion!

Trading Suggestions:
Bitcoin 85800-86300 long, target 88000
Ethereum follows the trend of Bitcoin, and can layout long positions around 2800, target near 2900 $BTC #王建波

Trump once again wields the big stick of tariffs, where will the crypto market go? Old Wang's in-depth analysis is here!

Recently, Trump has thrown out a "bombshell" tariff policy, claiming that the tax rate will be pushed to a "historical high," causing a tremor in the global market. Investors in the crypto space can't help but ask: this tariff storm, will it bring a "tailwind" to the crypto market, or dig a "deep pit"? Today, Old Wang combines the latest macroeconomic policies to dissect the deep connections between tariffs and the crypto space, and provides individual investors with coping strategies.

Tariffs and the crypto space: coexistence of hedging and volatility
Trump's tariff policy exacerbates global trade uncertainty, and risk aversion sentiment in traditional markets is rising. Bitcoin, as "digital gold," has increasingly highlighted its hedging properties in recent years—if institutional funds flow into the crypto market to avoid risks, prices may rise. However, the interconnectivity of the market cannot be ignored: if a trade war triggers severe fluctuations in U.S. stocks and foreign exchange, the crypto market may also be affected, especially Bitcoin, which is highly correlated with the stock market, may find it difficult to remain unscathed.

Institutional movements become key indicators, and individual investors need to be wary of blindly following the trend! If giants like Grayscale and MicroStrategy use market panic to buy Bitcoin at the bottom, that would be a signal to enter the market. Recent data shows that the flow of crypto ETF funds is closely related to changes in institutional holdings. Individual investors should closely monitor on-chain data (such as MVRV, SOPR indicators) and the movements of major players, rather than blindly trusting market rumors. If institutions remain passive, individual investors should avoid rashly "taking the bait." $BTC #王建波

The morning thoughts have been shared in the live broadcast, the market is fluctuating gently, everyone be patient and wait! $ETH #王建波

11.25 Tuesday evening Bitcoin Ethereum analysis

The market has been falling continuously, contrary to Old Wang's expectations. He broadcasted for two hours and finally waited for an opportunity, but it hasn't followed the predicted path, which is quite unfortunate. The morning session also saw some losses, which is quite frustrating...

The continuous decline is not due to news impact but simply because there was too much stretching last night, leading to the price being in an overbought state before the pullback. This is something Old Wang mentioned in the live stream, but he did not expect this pullback to last so long and for the decline to extend for such a period. The European session also did not provide a significant rebound.

From the current market perspective, the price has fallen from the upper Bollinger band to the middle band due to three consecutive bearish candles on the 4-hour chart, while the middle band support at around 86000 is observed for rebound strength. Technically, the upward trend has not changed; the indicators have merely fallen from the overbought zone to a stage of competition between bulls and bears. For the future market, we will continue to predict a strong opening for US stocks tonight! The pullback is almost at its strength, and it is now possible to position in advance!

Trading suggestion:
Bitcoin 86000-86500 long, targeting 89000
Ethereum can follow the Bitcoin trend and arrange long positions around 2860, targeting 3000$BTC #王建波

Morning live broadcast current price order given! BTC can arrange long positions around 89000, ETH can follow BTC's trend and arrange long positions around 2960, target looking at 92000 and 3100$ETH #王建波

Thursday Morning Analysis of Bitcoin and Ethereum

The market trend overnight followed the strategy provided by Lao Wang, testing the support level around 89000 as expected, and then began to rally again, with the highest price reaching 90655. Overall, the strategy was quite accurate, but the market movement was relatively slow.

Currently, from the chart perspective, the 4-hour price has risen above the upper Bollinger band, and the 8-hour price has done the same, although it has not fully closed yet. In the short term, the price will definitely experience a slight pullback. Tonight, the US stock market is closed, so the overall market fluctuation will not be significant. It is particularly important to pay attention to the opening fluctuations of the Asian session in the morning and the European session at noon. As before, select good points to sell high and buy low.

Operation Suggestions:
Buy Bitcoin at 89300-89800, target 92000.
Ethereum follows the trend of Bitcoin and can build long positions around 3000, targeting 3150$BTC #王建波 .

On Friday morning, November 28, Bitcoin and Ethereum analysis

Yesterday, the overall market fluctuated relatively slowly, with the Asia-Europe session not providing much volatility. BTC rose in the early morning and continued throughout the morning until a brief pullback near 92000, after which it fell to around 91000 again before rising again, overall fluctuating back and forth between 90000 and 92000. ETH's trend was similar to that of BTC, but with smaller fluctuations.

Therefore, after providing the strategy yesterday morning, old Wang did not provide further analysis, and during the day, he used a low-fee platform with his friends from the real-time trading group to operate back and forth, but the points gained were not significant, so there was no sharing of real-time records.

After the US stock market closed last night, today is the last day of this week, and the market actions for this week will mostly conclude today.

The general strategy for the day is to first look for a pullback, and then continue to look upwards for the continuation of this upward trend. BTC needs to look at the support strength below 89000, while the upper pressure is at 92000 for operations. ETH still follows the BTC trend, with support at 2950 and pressure at the 3100 level.

In the short term, morning operations can first set up short positions to capture pullbacks, while those seeking stability can wait for the pullback to end and observe the support strength below before setting up long positions to enter the market.

Operation suggestions:
$BTC Bitcoin 89800-90300 long, looking up at 92500
$ETH Ethereum 2970-3000 long, looking up at 3100#王建波

12.1 Monday morning Bitcoin and Ethereum analysis

The general idea was discussed with everyone last night, that the market will oscillate and pull back here for a while. After a surge last night, it has been in a correction since early Monday morning, and the market is not moving quickly; the morning correction will also continue.

Here, I won't elaborate too much; I've been repeating the same things. Instead, let's analyze the technical aspects.

On the 4-hour chart, it is very clear that the BTC price is undergoing a consolidation. On the daily chart, the price is under pressure from the middle Bollinger band, oscillating in this area, trying to use time to break through the pressure of the middle band. To put it plainly, it is a horizontal movement replacing an increase! It is expected that some sudden fundamental impact will be needed to achieve an upward breakthrough.

From the technical indicators, the bullish pattern on the moving averages remains unchanged. Although there is a short-term technical correction demand on the daily chart, the moving average system always maintains a clear bullish arrangement, with moving averages of all cycles showing a stepped upward trend, forming a solid support base. The synergy between volume and price is significant, as the orderly expansion of trading volume resonates with trend momentum, further strengthening the sustainability of the upward logic. This correction is not a signal of trend reversal but a necessary energy accumulation process during the bullish-led market—serving as a reasonable verification of the healthy upward trend and demonstrating the firm control of buying power. The short-term correction has not shaken the core upward structure; instead, it provides a more cost-effective entry window for participating in the trend.

Deep technical signals indicate that the market is in a virtuous cycle stage of "oscillation accumulation - upward breakthrough." The gradient support of the moving average system effectively filters out short-term disturbances, and the volume matching verifies the substantial upward momentum. The current adjustment is essentially a self-reinforcement of the bullish pattern, rather than a sign of trend exhaustion. For everyone, positioning long orders near key support levels or using correction opportunities to optimize holding costs will become a key strategy for capturing the subsequent main upward wave.

Operational advice:
Bitcoin 89800-90300 long, targeting 92500.
Ethereum follows Bitcoin's trend; you can position long orders around 2980, targeting 3100$BTC #王建波 .

The November schedule has ended, and the sound of the sprinting horn is getting louder!
Limited-time recruitment has started!!!

Looking back at last month's market battlefield, some followed the rhythm to short-sell accurately, wildly raking in profits and successfully "reaching the shore" to unlock new earnings; while others regretfully missed out, still wandering in the volatile market in confusion. But past gains and losses are merely a prologue; at this moment, the mindset is fully reset, and gains and losses are cleared. The profit race for the second half has already been laid out, and we will sprint towards new goals with all our might, not wasting the remaining time! $ETH #王建波

The market is giving again, the live broadcast room offers opportunities for ultra-short-term trading, and short-term profit-taking is so frequent! Recovery is right now, rush in $ETH #王建波

Bitcoin and Ethereum's Short-Term Game Intensifies, Key Positions Become the Divide Between Bulls and Bears

Bitcoin: Short-Term Game Dominated by Bears
Currently, Bitcoin remains in a downtrend overall, with prices retreating from previous highs to the 93000 region before briefly stabilizing, forming a technical rebound, but it has not reversed the bear-dominated pattern. The MACD indicator shows the fast and slow lines merging, with the momentum bars alternating red and green and weak energy release, reflecting the fierce competition between bulls and bears in this area.

In the short term, attention must be focused on the 88000 support level. If it effectively breaks down, it will further open up downward space to lower levels; the 92000-92500 range will become the primary resistance level for the rebound, and breaking through it may retest the previous key pressure.

Ethereum: Key Defense Line in Oversold Area
Ethereum's four-hour level has broken below the lower boundary of the descending channel, currently engaging in a critical game around the 3000 mark. If this position is lost, it may exacerbate short-term selling pressure, but it should be noted that the current price has entered an extremely oversold area, with potential for a technical rebound.

Core support is seen at 2880, and further declines should be wary of testing risks at 2700; on the resistance side, 3180 is the short-term key target, and if successfully broken, it may aim for an assault on 3300.

Market Insights
The current crypto market remains in an adjustment cycle, and the short-term trends of Bitcoin and Ethereum are facing critical positional choices. Investors need to be cautious of rapid shifts in market sentiment, especially around important support/resistance levels, and reasonably manage positions to avoid excessive chasing of price increases or decreases. From a long-term perspective, the formation of a structural bottom still requires more validation from fundamental and monetary signals.
$BTC #王建波