HARD TRUTH
$AIA may visit the high only if it breaks and holds above descending structure.
Everyone saying “price will revisit the high” slow down.
Yes:
• There’s an imbalance above
• Lows are being defended
• Price is compressing into a descending trendline
But here’s the rule most traders ignore 👇
Imbalance is a MAGNET, not a PROMISE.
Right now:
• Price is STILL under descending structure
• No HTF break
• No expansion
• No confirmation
👉 Longing just because “it should go up” = gambling.
Valid bullish scenario ONLY if:
✔️ Clean 4H close above the trendline
✔️ Pullback holds above ~0.21
✔️ Volume expansion on breakout
Then → range high → imbalance → prior high.
If structure doesn’t break?
Expect chop, stop-hunts, or a sweep below demand first.
$ENSO $SOMI #AIA #AIAUSDT