goldmanmorganeach$100minspacexipofees

$BNB
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We are still sitting in a $315 million negative ETF hole for the week, so the June 12 inflow print is not some clean reset. It helps, sure. SoSoValue has $85.85 million coming back into spot Bitcoin ETFs on June 12, highest since March 14, all 13 U.S.-traded Bitcoin ETFs positive, IBIT taking $57 million, Fidelity another $18 million, and $BTC lifting from around $62,000 to $64,000 after the SpaceX IPO went live. But that same screen still has the June 8 to June 11 outflow damage sitting there, and BTC only trades at $64,153 on June 13, up 1.12% in 24 hours with $19 billion in volume, after already getting dragged below $59,000 on June 5.
People are already trying to front-run the double bottom because the one-week chart has support around $60,000 and price is no longer falling in a straight line. That is where the desk gets messy. The pattern needs three straight weekly closes above $60,000 before it deserves real respect, and the $83,000 neckline is still far enough away that treating it like a live target feels premature. If BTC gets to $83,000 and then makes three weekly closes above it, yes, the measured move is 38% and the path points toward $115,000. Until then, it is a drawing on a chart while everyone keeps glancing at ETF flow sheets to see if June 12 was real demand or just relief from a bad headline cycle.
The SpaceX IPO explanation still feels too convenient. The IPO launched on June 12, the same day ETF inflows came back, and Standard Chartered had already said Bitcoin could reach $100,00 before 2026 ends while arguing that retail liquidity pressure from the SpaceX IPO had eased. Sygnum Bank is not buying that causal chain. Their read is that the IPO had nothing to do with the BTC drawdown, and exchange balances do not show significant selling that would prove holders dumped Bitcoin to chase something else. That matters because if the selloff was not really SpaceX rotation, then the bounce cannot be priced as “SpaceX pressure solved.” It is just BTC crawling back after a liquidity scare while the market looks for a better excuse.
SOPR is the one on-chain read that keeps the bottom argument alive. It has reached the same level it hit in 2023 before Bitcoin bounced, and CryptoQuant analysts frame this zone as where weak hands usually exit before stronger hands start driving the next move upward. Useful signal, but not enough by itself. SOPR can say the market is washed out while the ETF sheet still says the week is negative and the chart still says $60,000 has to hold through actual weekly closes. OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs are also sitting out in late 2026, with Sygnum saying those deals “will reshape where capital sits,” so the liquidity rotation question does not disappear just because SpaceX is no longer the active panic point.
Stops stay under the $60,000 structure. No chase into $64,153 unless the weekly close does the work.
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