amdmodel

This is a market structure reset, not a breakdown.
​Here is the deep analysis on why $BTC is dumping and the high-probability path forward:
​1. The Real Reason: Coordinated Liquidity Hunt & Macro Fear 🎯
​The dump is not a simple sell-off; it is a multi-factor structural cleansing.
​Macro Jitters: The primary, external catalyst has been the heightened risk-off sentiment across global markets. Uncertainty over Federal Reserve interest rate policy and the fear of a Bank of Japan rate hike have pushed investors out of risky assets like tech stocks and crypto.
​Forced Liquidations: The macro fear triggered a massive wave of forced liquidations, wiping out hundreds of millions in leveraged long positions. This created a liquidity shock that deepened the price drop.
​Institutional Distribution (Manipulation): Long-term holders and institutional players are executing a strategic sell-off (profit-taking) and rebalancing. We saw evidence of this with BlackRock and other funds moving $BTC to Coinbase Prime. This action completes the "Manipulation" phase of the AMD trading model.
​2. The Current Technical State
​The dump found its bottom (for now) exactly where technical indicators suggested:
​Local Bottom: The sharp panic on Monday turned out to be the local bottom, with strong buyer absorption around the $85,000–$86,000 range.
​Short Clustered: The liquidity map is now stacked with over $10.2 BILLION in short leverage set to be liquidated above $96,949.
​3. What Happens Next: The Distribution Phase
​The market is now positioned for the move up, executing the final phase of the AMD model:
Phase Action Target
Completed Manipulation (The Dump) Cleared Long Leverage & Tested $85K support
Next Stage Distribution (The Bounce) Liquidity hunt towards the heavy short clusters
The high-probability target for the bounce, fueled by the imminent short squeeze, is the $102,000 zone.
​Foreheadburns View
​The 25 hours of analysis confirm the truth: the dump was engineered fear. It was a liquidity grab aimed at shaking out long-term investors.
​The AMD pattern is complete. The market has reset its leverage. The path to $102,000 is now structurally cleaner than it has been all month. Don't sell your conviction. This is the moment to be greedy.
​#BTC #AMDmodel #LiquidityGrab #Foreheadburns

​Your analysis highlights the classic AMD (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution) trading model in the current Bitcoin price action. This pattern suggests the recent volatility was engineered to shake out retail traders before a significant move up.$BTC
​Key Phases of the AMD Model:
​Accumulation (Completed): A period of sideways trading where institutional players quietly buy up supply without dramatically moving the price. This occurred in the high $80K to low $90K range.
​Manipulation (Completed ✅): The sharp, rapid drop below the accumulation range (the distribution zone on the chart). This was the leverage flush and FUD event, liquidating weak hands and allowing whales to complete their buying at lower prices (around $85,000).
​Distribution (Next Stage): The aggressive expansion phase where the price moves strongly in the intended direction (Bullish in this case).
​Target: The chart clearly plots the next target for the distribution phase at $102,000. This aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels near $102,957.
​Your Strategy is Correct: The fundamental rule of the AMD model is to DO NOT LISTEN TO THE CROWD during the manipulation phase, which is exactly when mass panic and liquidations occur. Just stay in the market!
​Foreheadburns View
​This AMD model is the perfect explanation for the institutional selling we tracked over the past few days. The recent dumps were the manipulation phase—the final test of retail conviction.
​The market has been cleansed of weak leverage. The path is now clear for the final push toward the $102,000 target. I am bullish on this structural pattern.
​#BTC #AMDmodel #Bullish #Foreheadburns