By March 15, 2026, it is expected that the TAO token (Bittensor) will face a short-term technical correction following a significant rally driven by the Artificial Intelligence (AI) sector, with price projections ranging between $214.09 and $244 USD.
Short-term bearish estimate: CoinCodex projects a drop of 13.56% for this specific day, placing the price near $214.09 USD.
Stable growth estimate: Models based on sustained annual growth from MEXC suggest a base price of $243.71 USD.
Weekly range: The token has shown strong resistance in the $230 - $235 USD zone, a level reached on March 13 boosted by record volume.
AI Sector Momentum: TAO led a rally of AI tokens in mid-March 2026, with increases of 9% to 13% within 24 hours, driven by positive comments from industry leaders such as the CEO of Nvidia and technical advancements in Bittensor's Subnetwork 3 (Covenant-72B model).
Institutionalization: High volatility is expected due to the proximity of the deadline (March 16) for TAO ETF filings by managers like Grayscale and Bitwise.
Market Sentiment: Despite the price increase, social sentiment has shown divergences, falling to levels of 28% (fear/caution) despite the rise in network activity.
Supply Shock: The reduction of daily emissions (halving) to 3,600 TAO (down from 7,200 previously) is beginning to generate a deflationary pressure that analysts believe is not fully reflected in the current price.
Critical Levels: Psychological support remains at $200 USD. If TAO consolidates above this level, the next technical target for the rest of March is in the range of $260 - $300 USD.
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