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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Criptopen:
🤯😭🤮🤧 Não se assustem postagem é de MAIO 2024, ele compartilhou errado, 😎😅😁 . Rompendo 95k vamos para👆👆👆👆👆rumo um novo topo.
🚨 WARNING: A BIG STORM IS COMING!!
Countries are DUMPING US Treasuries like never before.
Europe dumped $150.2 BILLION - the BIGGEST SELL since 2008
China dumped $105.8 BILLION - the BIGGEST SELL since 2008
India dumped $56.2 BILLION - the BIGGEST SELL since 2013
This matters because Treasuries are the base of the whole system.
When big players sell Treasuries, bond prices drop and yields go up.
When yields go up, the cost of money goes up.
When the cost of money goes up, liquidity gets tighter.
And when liquidity gets tighter, risk assets start choking.
Let me explain this in simple words.
Stocks and crypto do not live in a vacuum.
They are built on cheap funding + easy liquidity.
So when bonds get hit, it is not “boring bond stuff”.
It is collateral getting weaker.
Banks, funds, and market makers all use Treasuries as the cleanest collateral.
If that collateral drops, they cut risk.
That is when selling spreads across everything.
And the order is always the same.
BONDS move first.
STOCKS react later.
CRYPTO gets the violent move first.
My advice is simple.
Be extremely careful with leverage right now.
Watch Treasury yields, because that is where the storm shows up first.
I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH.
#TrumpCancelsEUTariffThreat #WriteToEarnUpgrade #squarecreator #Squar2earn #btc
$BTC
$SOL
$ETH
Countries are DUMPING US Treasuries like never before.
Europe dumped $150.2 BILLION - the BIGGEST SELL since 2008
China dumped $105.8 BILLION - the BIGGEST SELL since 2008
India dumped $56.2 BILLION - the BIGGEST SELL since 2013
This matters because Treasuries are the base of the whole system.
When big players sell Treasuries, bond prices drop and yields go up.
When yields go up, the cost of money goes up.
When the cost of money goes up, liquidity gets tighter.
And when liquidity gets tighter, risk assets start choking.
Let me explain this in simple words.
Stocks and crypto do not live in a vacuum.
They are built on cheap funding + easy liquidity.
So when bonds get hit, it is not “boring bond stuff”.
It is collateral getting weaker.
Banks, funds, and market makers all use Treasuries as the cleanest collateral.
If that collateral drops, they cut risk.
That is when selling spreads across everything.
And the order is always the same.
BONDS move first.
STOCKS react later.
CRYPTO gets the violent move first.
My advice is simple.
Be extremely careful with leverage right now.
Watch Treasury yields, because that is where the storm shows up first.
I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH.
#TrumpCancelsEUTariffThreat #WriteToEarnUpgrade #squarecreator #Squar2earn #btc
$BTC
$SOL
$ETH
$BTC BREAKING MARKET UPDATE
$BTC trading near 89k zone
Market in consolidation mode
Strong support 88k 85k
Resistance zone 92k 95k 100k
If 88k holds upside continuation possible
Breakout above 92k can trigger strong bullish move
If 85k breaks downside pressure may increase
High volatility expected manage risk carefully
#btc #StrategyBTCPurchase
$BTC trading near 89k zone
Market in consolidation mode
Strong support 88k 85k
Resistance zone 92k 95k 100k
If 88k holds upside continuation possible
Breakout above 92k can trigger strong bullish move
If 85k breaks downside pressure may increase
High volatility expected manage risk carefully
#btc #StrategyBTCPurchase
$BTC against the backdrop of Trump's speech and various comments, caused a shake-up within the range of 87,800-90,300, but the price is consolidating below key resistance within the current downtrend
The downtrend may continue if Bitcoin consolidates below 90K. There is a chance of this happening as there is still no fundamental support for the market. Everyone is talking about the "CLARITY Act" on cryptocurrencies, but there is no date for its signing, and there are rumors that the process may be postponed until late winter or mid-spring, leaving the market without a bullish driver.
The market is experiencing a phase of struggle for the 90K resistance zone. Bears are stubbornly resisting, forming a false breakout and consolidation below resistance. The structure could be broken if there is an impulsive breakout of the 90,500 zone and the bulls are able to keep the price above this zone, but the bears have formed a fairly strong resistance zone.
Resistance levels: 90,400, 91,400
Support levels: 87800, 85000
I do not rule out another attempt to retest the 90350 zone, but if the bears keep the price below 90K, the market will have no chance for growth. In this case, a pullback to 89K - 88K can be considered.
#btc #bitcoin #TrendingTopic
The downtrend may continue if Bitcoin consolidates below 90K. There is a chance of this happening as there is still no fundamental support for the market. Everyone is talking about the "CLARITY Act" on cryptocurrencies, but there is no date for its signing, and there are rumors that the process may be postponed until late winter or mid-spring, leaving the market without a bullish driver.
The market is experiencing a phase of struggle for the 90K resistance zone. Bears are stubbornly resisting, forming a false breakout and consolidation below resistance. The structure could be broken if there is an impulsive breakout of the 90,500 zone and the bulls are able to keep the price above this zone, but the bears have formed a fairly strong resistance zone.
Resistance levels: 90,400, 91,400
Support levels: 87800, 85000
I do not rule out another attempt to retest the 90350 zone, but if the bears keep the price below 90K, the market will have no chance for growth. In this case, a pullback to 89K - 88K can be considered.
#btc #bitcoin #TrendingTopic
BLACKROCK MOVES $603 MILLION IN BITCOIN AND ETHEREUM TO COINBASE
BlackRock has deposited 3,970 Bitcoin worth $356.7 million and 82,813 Ethereum valued at $247.1 million into Coinbase, according to onchain data.
The transfer suggests ongoing portfolio rebalancing, custody management, or ETF related activity as institutional participation in crypto markets continues to scale. Large movements to regulated exchanges like Coinbase are often associated with liquidity management or operational flows rather than retail selling.
Analysts say the transaction highlights the growing role of traditional asset managers in crypto market structure, reinforcing that Bitcoin and Ethereum are now deeply embedded within institutional investment pipelines.
#Ethereum #WEFDavos2026 #CPIWatch #btc
The transfer suggests ongoing portfolio rebalancing, custody management, or ETF related activity as institutional participation in crypto markets continues to scale. Large movements to regulated exchanges like Coinbase are often associated with liquidity management or operational flows rather than retail selling.
Analysts say the transaction highlights the growing role of traditional asset managers in crypto market structure, reinforcing that Bitcoin and Ethereum are now deeply embedded within institutional investment pipelines.
#Ethereum #WEFDavos2026 #CPIWatch #btc
$BTC was born in 2009.
Quiet. Ignored. Almost forgotten.
“They called it dead.”
“A scam.”
“Going to zero.”
Banks fought it.
Governments tried to ban it.
Media laughed at it.
Yet every crash made it stronger.
$1 → $100 → $1,000 → $10,000 → $100,000
Because Bitcoin isn’t a company.
It isn’t a country.
It’s an idea.
And ideas can’t be stopped. 🚀
#BTC100kNext? #btc #bitcoin
Quiet. Ignored. Almost forgotten.
“They called it dead.”
“A scam.”
“Going to zero.”
Banks fought it.
Governments tried to ban it.
Media laughed at it.
Yet every crash made it stronger.
$1 → $100 → $1,000 → $10,000 → $100,000
Because Bitcoin isn’t a company.
It isn’t a country.
It’s an idea.
And ideas can’t be stopped. 🚀
#BTC100kNext? #btc #bitcoin
$BTC has never moved in a straight line.
Each cycle came with deep pullbacks:
2013 saw an ~87% drop
2017 corrected over 80%
2021 wasn’t much different
Still, in 2025, a small bounce is enough for people to shout “moon.”
Being cautious gets mocked.
Being reckless gets praised — until it doesn’t.
The truth is simple:
No one shares profits with you.
No one takes responsibility for your losses.
So trade based on your own conviction.
If it works, the reward is yours.
If it fails, the lesson is also yours.
Do your own research. Stay disciplined.
#btc
Each cycle came with deep pullbacks:
2013 saw an ~87% drop
2017 corrected over 80%
2021 wasn’t much different
Still, in 2025, a small bounce is enough for people to shout “moon.”
Being cautious gets mocked.
Being reckless gets praised — until it doesn’t.
The truth is simple:
No one shares profits with you.
No one takes responsibility for your losses.
So trade based on your own conviction.
If it works, the reward is yours.
If it fails, the lesson is also yours.
Do your own research. Stay disciplined.
#btc
$BTC shows signs of significant bearish momentum, indicating a potential downward trajectory. Key support levels appear vulnerable, setting the stage for a move toward 87,953.00. This target represents a critical juncture where we may see either a strong rebound or a further breakdown. Traders should watch for increasing volume on the descent to confirm the move. As always, manage risk accordingly in these volatile conditions.#btc
While the crowd gets caught up in the noise of daily candles, Bitcoin is quietly tightening its coil.
Rather than fading away, $BTC is currently consolidating in its narrowest range since July. With Bollinger Bands compressed to under $3,500, the market isn't losing steam—it's building pressure.
The Macro View
• Bullish Confirmation: 10X Research indicates that Bitcoin has already flipped into a formal bullish trend.
• The Volatility Rule: History shows that compressions this tight rarely end with a whisper; they are almost always the precursor to a violent, explosive breakout.
• The "Boredom" Trap: Retail traders are losing patience, selling early, and exiting their positions.
This is the classic "calm before the storm" phase. While the impatient step aside, the stage is being set for the next major leg up.#btc
Rather than fading away, $BTC is currently consolidating in its narrowest range since July. With Bollinger Bands compressed to under $3,500, the market isn't losing steam—it's building pressure.
The Macro View
• Bullish Confirmation: 10X Research indicates that Bitcoin has already flipped into a formal bullish trend.
• The Volatility Rule: History shows that compressions this tight rarely end with a whisper; they are almost always the precursor to a violent, explosive breakout.
• The "Boredom" Trap: Retail traders are losing patience, selling early, and exiting their positions.
This is the classic "calm before the storm" phase. While the impatient step aside, the stage is being set for the next major leg up.#btc
$BTC 📈
So we got a local #bitcoin pump up to $91,000!
From here they should already start slowly turning back down. Be careful.
#btc #BTC☀ #BTC走势分析 #Write2Earn
So we got a local #bitcoin pump up to $91,000!
From here they should already start slowly turning back down. Be careful.
#btc #BTC☀ #BTC走势分析 #Write2Earn
Recent Trades
3 trades
BTC/USDT
Almazov trader:
False pump.
$BTC BITCOIN IS SETTING UP A DOUBLE FAKEOUT.
First:
break above resistance (~$96k)… then rejected.
Now:
price is back at the rising trendline support.
Bullish fakeout case:
$BTC reclaims the trendline and squeezes back up.
Bearish case:
We likely revisit the range lows.
Markets love trapping both sides.
#btc
First:
break above resistance (~$96k)… then rejected.
Now:
price is back at the rising trendline support.
Bullish fakeout case:
$BTC reclaims the trendline and squeezes back up.
Bearish case:
We likely revisit the range lows.
Markets love trapping both sides.
#btc
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