bitcoin

In every prior Bitcoin cycle, the script was simple and brutal:
• Weekly close below the 100 SMA
• Bearish cross between 100 EMA / 100 SMA
• Then… total nuke
That pattern wiped out complacency every single time.
But here’s the uncomfortable truth:
This cycle is objectively different.
Despite volatility, $BTC has not followed the historical cascade.
No clean breakdown.
No decisive bearish confirmation.
No full structural collapse.
Instead, we’re seeing something new:
• Stronger absorption
• Faster recoveries
• Persistent institutional presence
History doesn’t repeat it adapts. And when everyone is waiting for the same textbook signal…
That’s usually when the market refuses to give it.
This doesn’t mean “number go up forever.”

It means blindly trading past cycles without context is dangerous.
The real question isn’t:
“Will BTC crash like before?”
It’s:
“What if this is the first cycle where it doesn’t?”
$BTC #bitcoin #CryptoCycle #BTC
👉 Do you still trust the old playbook or are you adjusting for a new regime?

As we move through January 2026, the crypto market is at a massive crossroads. After the historic peaks of 2025, everyone is asking: Is the "Moon Mission" still on, or is the cycle exhausted? Let’s break down the data signals we’re seeing right now at CoinDCX to help you stay ahead of the curve. 🧵👇
​🔍 1. Technical Indicators: MACD & RSI
​Bitcoin ($BTC ): Currently hovering in a consolidation range ($88k – $95k). The MACD on the weekly timeframe is showing neutral-to-flat momentum—no major bearish crossover yet, but the "buying fever" has cooled.
​RSI Check: The daily RSI is sitting around 45-50. We aren’t "oversold" yet, but we are far from the "overbought" euphoria of last year. This suggests a healthy "reset" rather than a dead-end.
​📊 2. Market Cap & Dominance
​Total Market Cap: Holding steady near $3.2 Trillion. As long as we stay above the $3T psychological support, the structural bull case remains intact.
​BTC Dominance: Sitting high at ~59%. Historically, a bull run continuation requires BTC to lead first, but for a true "Altseason," we need to see this dominance slide toward 50%.
​🔄 3. Cyclical Data: The Post-Halving Reality
​We are now deep into the post-2024 halving cycle. Historically, the second year after a halving (2026) is where we see the "Liquidity Rotation."
​Institutional Floor: Spot ETFs and corporate treasury holdings (like MSTR) are creating a much higher price floor than in 2021.
​The "Hash Ribbons": Recently flashed a buy signal, suggesting miner capitulation is over—a classic precursor to a mid-cycle rally. 💎
​🌈 4. Altseason Signs: Is it Time?
​While BTC $BTC is the king, the Altcoin Season Index is still in "Bitcoin Season" territory (around 25/100). However, keep an eye on:
​ETH/BTC Pair: Ethereum is starting to show strength on the back of staking demand.
​Narrative Shifts: Capital is rotating into AI x Crypto, RWA (Real World Assets), and Layer 2s. If BTC stabilizes, these sectors are primed for a "vertical" move.
​⚠️ The "Reversal" Risks
​Watch out for macro liquidity. If central banks pivot back to hawkishness or if BTC fails to reclaim the $100k mark soon, we could see a deeper correction toward the $75k–$80k demand zone.
​💡 Final Verdict: We aren't in a "Bear Market"—we are in a "Maturity Phase." The trend is still your friend, but selectivity is now more important than ever.
​What’s your move? Are you accumulating the dip or waiting for $100k confirmation? Let us know in the comments! 👇
​#Crypto2026 #Bullrun #Altseason #bitcoin #CoinDCX
$BTC

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) remains under heavy pressure since its October 2025 All Time High (ATH) but the BTC/GOLD ratio reveals that the real selling pressure in terms of the precious yellow metal has been boiling up for some time before that date.
In fact the ratio's last High was in August 2025, which technically was a Lower High as the true Top for BTC/GOLD's Cycle was in December 2024. Mind-blowing revelation indeed and that undoubtedly draws similarities with the previous Cycle, which also had a Double Top in 2021.
The key indicator here is the 1M RSI of the ratio. It has a Lower Lows trend-line, which has priced all Cycle bottoms since 2015. More recently (since January 2019) there is a diverging Lower Lows trend-line (dashed) also. The tight zone within those two trend-lines may be holding the key for this Cycle's bottom.
This shows that the bottom may be closer than we may expect but the last Bear Cycle showed a slowing down behavior once it approached the RSI Lower Lows and turned sideways before it finally made contact with it 6 months later. For the real BTC/GOLD price action though, the downtrend didn't slow down as much, first breaking violently below the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) and finding bottom 6 months later as mentioned just above the 1M MA100 (green trend-line).
If we have a decreasing rate on the MA bottoms, we can expect the current Cycle to bottom below the 1M MA100 this time, closer to the 1M MA150 (red trend-line).
So closer than it looks or not in terms of bottom, the Bear Cycle is entering its 2nd and final Phase.
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$BTC #BTC #bitcoin #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #signals

$BTC faced a strong rejection from the $98K zone and is now hovering near $90K after bouncing off $87K. This move has split the market — was it a healthy correction, or is another leg down still ahead? Let’s break it down simply.
Market Structure & Price Action
The rejection at $98K was no coincidence. That zone acted as a classic bull trap, pulling in late longs expecting a quick push to $100K. Once BTC lost $90K, former support flipped into resistance. As long as price remains below $90K on higher timeframes, short-term control stays with the bears. A solid 4H close back above $90K is needed to shift momentum back to the upside.
Why Did Bitcoin Drop?
This move wasn’t purely technical. Rising geopolitical tensions and fresh tariff headlines sparked uncertainty across risk assets. Algorithms reacted first, followed by emotional retail selling. Despite the negative news, the strong bounce from $87K suggests the market is treating this as short-term macro noise, not a structural breakdown.
On-Chain Reality Check
The pullback cleared excess leverage. More than $600M in long positions were liquidated in a single day, resetting open interest and removing weak hands. While leveraged traders were forced out, spot buyers stepped in aggressively around $87K — smart money buying fear.
What’s Next?
Two clear scenarios are in play:
Bullish Case
A confirmed reclaim with a strong 4H close above $90K would signal renewed strength. If buyers flip this level back into support, BTC could move quickly toward $94K due to thin resistance above.
Bearish Case
Continued rejection at $90K would likely push price back to retest the $87K demand zone. This level remains crucial for maintaining the broader bullish structure.
Final Thoughts
Leverage has been flushed. Fear-driven news is largely priced in. Now the market waits for confirmation. Don’t chase moves — let price confirm direction. Patience here will outperform prediction.
Click here to trade $BTC 👇$BTC
#StrategyBTCPurchase #BTCVSGOLD
#bitcoin #BTC #BitcoinDunyamiz

Bitcoin has proven itself as the king of crypto over the past decade, with its price heavily influenced by halving events that reduce supply and often trigger bull runs. Let’s take a look at the last 10 years and the major milestones that shaped BTC’s trajectory.
2016 — First Halving
BTC started the year at ~$430.July 2016: First halving occurred, block reward dropped 25 → 12.5 BTC.By year-end, BTC reached ~$960, setting the stage for the 2017 bull run.
2017 — Massive Bull Run
BTC surged throughout the year.Peak: ~$19,700 in December.Investors saw massive gains as post-halving momentum carried prices to new all-time highs.
2018 — Bear Market
After the 2017 highs, BTC retraced sharply.Year-end price: ~$3,200.This period served as a market consolidation and accumulation phase.
2019 — Recovery & Consolidation
BTC rebounded and traded between ~$3,500 – $13,800.Market sentiment improved with steady accumulation by investors.
2020 — Second Halving & Bull Cycle
BTC started 2020 around ~$7,200.May 2020: Second halving, block reward cut 12.5 → 6.25 BTC.By year-end, BTC climbed to ~$28,900.The post-halving bull run continued in 2021, peaking between ~$64,800 – $68,800.
2022 — Market Correction
After the 2021 highs, BTC faced a bear market.Price ranged between ~$16,600 – $47,000.
2023 — Recovery Phase
BTC consolidated and traded between ~$16,500 – $69,000.Market saw sideways accumulation and structural recovery.
2024 — Third Halving
Block reward reduced 6.25 → 3.125 BTC.Pre-halving price: ~$28,000 – $32,000.Post-halving rally (~12 months later): ~$58,000 – $60,000.
2025–2026 — Current Market
BTC is trading around $92,000, showing healthy consolidation near major support/resistance zones.The market has demonstrated structural strength, maintaining gains after the 2024 halving.
Key Takeaways
BTC halvings historically trigger long-term bull cycles.Short-term volatility is common around halving events and key support/resistance levels.Traders and investors should monitor critical zones to anticipate potential moves and manage risk effectively.
#bitcoin #BTC走势分析 #CryptoAnalysis #SpotTrading #CryptoMarketMoves