btcusdt

#Bitcoin #BTC #BTCUSDT

A second wave of a massive relief rally. Actually, a new bullish move, period. We cannot even say this is a continuation of the relief rally because the last move changed the chart structure. We are looking at the start of a new bullish phase, a new bullish wave or even a completely new bullish cycle. 2-3 months of sustained growth cannot be called a relief rally, not at this point, not after what happened. We ought to call it a bullish move, any type... Depending on how it goes (it is still too early), we will even open ourselves to new all-time highs.

Bitcoin went down today, very early to start the day, after producing the worst weekly close in its history. The chart looked awful and impossible to recover. But then something magical happened.

The April 2025 support that was supposed to break like butter ends up producing a double-bottom, as soon as this level was hit, Bitcoin is turning green again. Let's look at some numbers:

The low 7-April 2025 stands at $74,508. The current low, active now, sits at $74,612, a true double-bottom.

It is still extremely early though because we are looking at the actual 4H candle/session that produced the low—the lowest price in 301 days. But trading volume is really high on the bullish side... There is hope, and a worst possible ever situation can transform into something awesome.

Stay tuned. Make sure to follow.

Thanks a lot for your continued support.

Namaste.

✅ Trade here on $BTC

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) almost hit today (so far) its 10-month Low of the April 07 2025 Low (Support 1). It did so after a very disappointing 2-week bearish streak where it initially had a crystal clear 1D MA100 (green trend-line) rejection, followed by two on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
The pattern is technically quite similar to the January - March 2025 Channel Down correction that led to the April 07 bottom. With the 1D RSI turning massively oversold in the process, hitting the 23.50 Support, where both the November 21 2025 and February 26 2025 Lows were priced, it is possible to see a rebound to test the 1D MA50 at least, again.
Since however this is a Bear Cycle and not just a short-term correction within a Bull Cycle, we don't expect a sustainable rally like April - May 2025 but rather a prolonged sideways volatile price action, that could retest the 1D MA100 even before making a new Low and start Phase 2. For now, at least, a rebound to $87000 seems like a technical probability.
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$BTC
📉 BTC is currently moving in a strong downtrend,
continuously making lower moves and now reacting at a major order block / support zone.
🧠 Possible Scenarios:
👉 If price fails to break this marked OB / support zone,
we may see a bounce and upside move from here 📈
👉 However, if this support breaks decisively,
BTC could face a deep drop toward the $50K zone ⚠️
📌 The market is at a critical decision area —
the next major move will depend on price reaction here.
⚠️ Wait for confirmation and manage risk properly.
📚 This analysis is for educational purposes only.

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Bitcoin’s price action is sending uncomfortable déjà vu signals to seasoned market watchers. As BTC struggles to reclaim key resistance levels, an increasing number of analysts are warning that the current structure closely mirrors previous bear market phases — not the early stages of a new bull run.
🔍 Familiar Patterns Are Re-Emerging
Historically, Bitcoin bear markets follow a recognizable rhythm:
Strong initial sell-off
Sharp relief rallies that trap late buyers
Extended periods of lower highs and weak volume
Right now, BTC appears to be replaying this script almost perfectly. Each bounce is being met with aggressive selling, suggesting that distribution, not accumulation, may be underway.
📊 Technical Signals Are Flashing Red
Several bearish indicators are aligning:
BTC remains below major moving averages
Momentum indicators continue to weaken
Support levels are being tested repeatedly — a sign of exhaustion
In past cycles, this combination often preceded another leg down before a true macro bottom formed.
🌍 Macro Pressure Adds Fuel to the Fire
Beyond charts, macro conditions are amplifying downside risk:
A strong U.S. dollar is draining liquidity from risk assets
Elevated bond yields reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets like Bitcoin
Risk-off sentiment dominates global markets
Until liquidity conditions improve, Bitcoin may struggle to sustain upside momentum.
🧠 Sentiment Shift: From Hope to Caution
What’s notable is the change in tone. Earlier optimism has given way to caution as traders recognize similarities to past downturns. Historically, true bottoms form when hope disappears, not when it’s still being debated.
🎯 Key Entry & Exit Trading Zones
Bitcoin’s structure is increasingly resembling historical bear market phases, and price action is now respecting levels that traders cannot afford to ignore. Below are high-probability zones based on past cycles, liquidity behavior, and market structure.
🔴 Bearish Bias While Below Resistance
As long as BTC remains below major resistance, rallies should be treated as selling opportunities, not confirmation of a trend reversal.
📌 SHORT-TERM TRADING ZONES (Swing Traders)
🔻 Short Entry Zone (Sell the Rally)
$82,500 – $85,000
Confluence:
Prior breakdown area
Strong supply zone
Repeated rejection zone
🛑 Invalidation: Daily close above $86,500
🎯 Take-Profit Targets
TP1: $78,000 (local support)
TP2: $74,500 (range low)
TP3: $70,000–$68,500 (high-liquidity demand zone)
📉 MID-TERM BEAR MARKET STRUCTURE (Position Traders)
⚠️ Breakdown Confirmation
If BTC loses and closes below $74,000, historical patterns suggest:
Acceleration to downside
Long liquidation cascade
Volatility expansion
🟢 High-Risk Long (Counter-Trend Bounce)
Speculative Entry: $69,000 – $66,000
Only for experienced traders
Expect sharp bounces, not trend reversals
🎯 Bounce Targets:
$73,500
$76,000
🛑 Stop-loss: Below $64,500
🧠 Macro Reality Check
Until:
Dollar strength weakens
Yields cool off
Liquidity improves
Bitcoin remains structurally vulnerable. In previous cycles, the biggest losses occurred when traders assumed “this time is different.”
🧩 Trading Strategy Summary
✔ Trade levels, not emotions
✔ Respect invalidation zones
✔ Size positions conservatively
✔ Expect volatility spikes
Bear markets reward discipline, not conviction.
🔑 Final Thought
Bitcoin’s long-term story remains intact — but markets move in cycles. Right now, history suggests defense first, offense later.
🔖 Hashtags (High-Reach for Binance Square)
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #BTCanalysis #cryptotrading #bearmarket
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