#ccusdt $CC
1. Core Features of the Trend
- Trend Level: The daily level is a clear one-sided downward trend, with the price continuing to decline from the high point (0.1790), the current latest price is 0.0612, and the 24-hour decline has reached 9.33%, just touching the 24h lowest price of 0.0609, which is in an oversold state.
- Moving Average Signals: MA7 (0.0737) and MA25 (0.0914) are both above the price, and the moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, indicating that there is no rebound support in the short and medium term, and the downward momentum has not significantly weakened.
- Volume and Indicators: Overall trading volume is shrinking (current Vol is far below MA5/MA10), MACD indicator DIF (-0.0186), DEA (-0.0197) is still below the zero axis, with only a slight rebound in the MACD histogram, indicating a weak recovery after being oversold, and not a reversal signal.
2. Entry Logic (Risk Warning: Cryptocurrency contracts are high risk, the following is only a technical analysis reference)
❌ Aggressive long positions (bottom fishing) are not recommended.
- There are currently no clear stop-loss signals (such as bullish engulfing, double bottom, volume rebound, etc.), only touching short-term lows. "Bottom fishing" in a downward trend is likely to continue to be trapped by further declines.
- If you want to attempt a very small position to gamble on a rebound, it must meet: price stabilizing at 0.065 (short-term small resistance) + significant increase in trading volume, and the stop loss must be strictly set below 0.060 (breaking the 24h new low).
✅ Bearish Approach (more aligned with the trend, but beware of oversold rebounds)
- The core logic of the bearish trend is to "follow the trend", but the current price is close to the 24h new low, and directly chasing the short position carries high risk.
- A more prudent approach: wait for the price to rebound to the short-term resistance level (0.068-0.070 range, close to MA7), and when rebounding, if the volume is insufficient and the MACD fails to effectively cross above the zero axis, then consider entering a short position, with a stop loss set at 0.073 (above MA7).
3. Key Reminder
Cryptocurrency contracts come with leverage, and even in a one-sided downward trend, any gamble on a rebound must strictly control the position (recommended 10-20%), and set strict stop losses, do not hold positions.