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Whales Sell, ETF Hype Builds — Can #Solana Hold $200?
Whale wallets move over $240 million in SOL to exchanges, raising sell pressure concerns.
Optimism grows as Solana ETF nears launch — potentially offsetting whale activity.
SOL price hovers above key $190–200 support; holding this zone could trigger the next rally toward $260.
Solana (SOL) is currently caught between two opposing forces: whale wallets transferring large amounts of tokens to exchanges, and growing optimism surrounding the soon-to-launch SOL ETF.
The key question arises amid short-term sell pressure and improving macro sentiment: Can SOL hold the $190–200 support zone to ignite a new bullish wave?
Whale Sell-off or Portfolio Rebalancing?
Recent on-chain data shows notable movements in Solana holdings. Forward Industries reportedly transferred around $192 million worth of SOL to Coinbase, while Galaxy Digital moved 250,000 SOL (≈$50 million) to Binance. Such large deposits are often interpreted as potential selling signals from institutional or whale investors.

However, optimism is building around the upcoming SOL ETF, which could counter selling pressure. 21Shares has filed a Form 8-A(12B) with the US SEC, the final step before the ETF can officially go live. If approved, this could channel new institutional inflows into Solana, helping absorb some of the market’s supply from whales.
Support Test, Price Gaps, and The Next Move for SOL
From a technical standpoint, SOL has broken out of an 18-month reaccumulation range, roughly $100–200 since mid-2023. It successfully retested $190 and now trades above $200. This lays the groundwork for a potential move toward higher resistance levels. Analyst Ali sees $260 as the next key target.

Applying Elliott Wave theory, another analyst interprets the recent pullback as a corrective wave 2, suggesting that wave three could soon follow with strong upside potential. The $190–200 range is an ideal entry zone for long-term accumulation. If SOL breaks above $287, it could confirm a breakout to $550 and above, extending Solana’s uptrend.
As noted by BeInCrypto, if SOL consolidates above $190 and builds strength within the $172–197 area, it could mark a promising accumulation phase. Still, traders must monitor the $215–224 zone, which is now acting as critical short-term resistance.
Another analyst’s contrasting view highlights something about ETH and SOL. While ETH has already filled its fair value gaps, signaling potential sideways movement, SOL still has an unfilled gap around $204–210. This positions SOL as a stronger short-term candidate.
“SOL, on the other hand, hasn’t filled the gap yet, making it likely a better bet than ETH for short-term trades,” the analyst commented.
In summary, the bullish scenario for SOL hinges on its ability to hold $190–200, fill the $204–210 gap, and break above $260, especially if ETF-driven institutional demand materializes. Conversely, if whales continue offloading positions, SOL could revisit the $100–150 accumulation range before mounting its next significant rally.
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Analysts suggest that the recent Fed rate cut might signal a market reversal rather than an altcoin season, affecting Solana (SOL) and XRP prices.
The recent Federal Reserve rate cut has sparked discussions in the cryptocurrency community, with contrasting views on its implications. While some experts anticipated the move would usher in a new altcoin season, others, like prominent crypto analysts, argue it may instead signal a broader market reversal.
Bitcoin and Altcoin Dynamics
Following the Fed's decision to reduce rates by 25 basis points, Bitcoin's price briefly fell to $109,000. Although Bitcoin (BTC) has shown resilience, consistently pushing higher, many altcoins, including Solana (SOL) and XRP, have struggled to maintain similar momentum. According to CryptoNews, these altcoins remain significantly below their previous highs from 2021.
Analysts suggest that the end of quantitative tightening in December could inject fresh liquidity into the market. However, they caution against expecting an immediate altcoin rally, pointing to past instances where initial optimism led to short-lived pump-and-dump cycles.
Solana and XRP Price Outlook
For Solana (SOL) and XRP, the current market phase may represent a period of consolidation. SOL is reportedly trading within key support and resistance levels, potentially positioning it for a breakout towards the $210 to $225 range. Meanwhile, XRP is testing a major support level around $2.60, with the potential for a short-term dip to $2.40 if support fails. Nonetheless, analysts maintain a bullish outlook, anticipating that the rate cut could eventually trigger a broader market rally.
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Analysist told Cointelegraph in July that whales and treasury companies stacking BNB, along with regular token burns, were sending the coin’s price higher.
BNB, the native token of the BNB Chain —a layer-1 blockchain created by crypto exchange Binance — has reached a new all-time high amid plans for upgrades and a broader market rally.
The token reached $1,111.90 for the first time on Friday, after rising more than 7.4% in the last 24 hours and surging 17.5% for the week, according to data aggregator CoinGecko.
It also comes as more treasury companies have been stacking BNB. Soon after the coin’s all-time high in July, analysts told Cointelegraph that treasury buying, along with regular token burns, had contributed to its price gains, with more room to grow.
Asset manager Standard Chartered predicted in May that the token would reach a peak of $1,275 in 2025, based on its expected gain in tandem with Bitcoin and Ether
The rest of the cryptocurrency market also registered gains on Friday, with the total market capitalization rising 1.6% to $4.2 trillion.
BNB Chain metrics rise as well
Along with the token price, BNB Chain’s total locked value (TLV) has also risen. The total number of active addresses and transaction volumes has increased over the past month, according to analytics platform DefiLlama.

The blockchain’s TLV has increased 2.5% in the last 24 hours, tapping $8.23 billion. At the same time, the number of active addresses spiked to 73.24 million last month, reaching the highest recorded level.
Transaction volumes have also been on the rise, recording the second-largest amount in September, reaching 4.34 million total. The biggest monthly transaction volume was recorded in June.
The new all-time high and growing user metrics came just days after the official X account for BNB Chain was compromised on Wednesday, when hackers posted phishing links targeting crypto wallets.
BNB upgrades on the horizon
On Wednesday, validators and builders operating on BNB Chain adopted the new minimum gas price of 0.05 gwei, which the BNB team said in an X post would result in faster and cheaper trading for users.

“Next step for wallets, CEXs and trading platforms: To adopt 0.05 gwei to align with the network and keep BNB Chain the most attractive home for onchain activity,” the team said.
In its outlook for the remainder of 2025 and 2026, the BNB team stated that plans are also in place to increase the block gas limit from 100 million to 1 billion, aiming to meet user demand and ensure smooth activity across decentralized applications.
Meanwhile, in 2026, there is an intent to develop a blockchain architecture capable of processing 20,000 transactions per second with confirmation times of under 150 milliseconds.
There are also plans for native privacy features, upgradable virtual machines and more user-friendly tools for next year.
Two major upgrades already went live in 2025
Earlier this year, BNB Smart Chain’s Maxwell upgrade went live in June, which was geared toward creating faster blocks, better validator coordination and smoother network performance. It also sparked speculation that a rally could be around the corner.

In April, the Lorentz Hard Fork went live, reducing block times and introducing enhanced validator networking to make the chain more suitable for latency-sensitive applications.
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The Most Critical Day of the Week Has Arrived: October Fed Interest Rate Decision Expected Today for #Bitcoin and #Altcoins! – Trump Targets Powell Again Beforehand! Here's Everything You Need to Know!
The Fed's October interest rate decision on Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and the speech of Fed Chair Jerome Powell are awaited.
All eyes around the world, including Bitcoin, gold, and global markets, are once again focused on the FED's interest rate decision.
As market activity increases ahead of the FED's interest rate decision, investors are searching for answers to the question, “What will the FED interest rate decision be this month?”
Despite the limited data release due to the recent government shutdown in the US, it is considered certain that the FED will reduce its policy rate.
At this point, the FED's 25 basis point cut tonight is priced in at 99.9%, while leaving interest rates unchanged is priced in at only 0.1%.
When Will the October Fed Interest Rate Decision Be Announced?
The FED will announce its October interest rate decision on October 29, 2025 at 21:00 Turkish time.
Following the decision, FED Chairman Jerome Powell will make oral statements regarding both the economic outlook and the future of monetary policy at 21:30.
What was the FED's September Interest Rate Decision?
In September, the Fed lowered its policy rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4-4.25%, in line with expectations, marking its first rate cut of the year. This was the first time the Fed had made a decision to cut interest rates in 2025.
What are the FED Expectations?
The Fed is expected to continue the interest rate cuts it initiated in September in October.
At this point, the FED is expected to lower the policy rate to the 3.75%-4.00% range following the latest inflation data.
Jefferies global economist Mohit Kumar said that while a rate cut is considered a certainty, he expects Fed Chair Jerome Powell to adopt a cautious stance on the issue after the FOMC meeting today.
Apart from this, Morgan Stanley economists also predict that the Fed will make a 25 basis point cut today.
Finally, analyst firm QCP Capital said the Fed was preparing to make a 25 basis point move due to the data outage, but that didn't leave Powell much room for new guidance. Analysts say the lack of official data since the US government shutdown has effectively forced the Fed to act blindly. Without inflation or labor pressure, any policy readjustment would be premature.
Trump Criticizes Powell Ahead of Fed Decision!
US President Donald Trump took aim again just hours before the Fed's decision, criticizing Jerome Powell for being slow to cut interest rates.
In his speech in Gyeongju, South Korea, Trump stated that the Fed has been slow to cut interest rates, saying, “We will not have a Fed that raises interest rates because they are worried about inflation three years from now.” Trump stated that he expects the economy to grow by 4% in the first quarter of 2026 and argued that current monetary policy is negatively impacting the business environment.
The Most Critical Day of the Week Has Arrived: October Fed Interest Rate Decision Expected Today for #Bitcoin and #Altcoins! – Trump Targets Powell Again Beforehand! Here's Everything You Need to Know!
The Fed's October interest rate decision on Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and the speech of Fed Chair Jerome Powell are awaited.
All eyes around the world, including Bitcoin, gold, and global markets, are once again focused on the FED's interest rate decision.
As market activity increases ahead of the FED's interest rate decision, investors are searching for answers to the question, “What will the FED interest rate decision be this month?”
Despite the limited data release due to the recent government shutdown in the US, it is considered certain that the FED will reduce its policy rate.
At this point, the FED's 25 basis point cut tonight is priced in at 99.9%, while leaving interest rates unchanged is priced in at only 0.1%.
When Will the October Fed Interest Rate Decision Be Announced?
The FED will announce its October interest rate decision on October 29, 2025 at 21:00 Turkish time.
Following the decision, FED Chairman Jerome Powell will make oral statements regarding both the economic outlook and the future of monetary policy at 21:30.
What was the FED's September Interest Rate Decision?
In September, the Fed lowered its policy rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4-4.25%, in line with expectations, marking its first rate cut of the year. This was the first time the Fed had made a decision to cut interest rates in 2025.
What are the FED Expectations?
The Fed is expected to continue the interest rate cuts it initiated in September in October.
At this point, the FED is expected to lower the policy rate to the 3.75%-4.00% range following the latest inflation data.
Jefferies global economist Mohit Kumar said that while a rate cut is considered a certainty, he expects Fed Chair Jerome Powell to adopt a cautious stance on the issue after the FOMC meeting today.
Apart from this, Morgan Stanley economists also predict that the Fed will make a 25 basis point cut today.
Finally, analyst firm QCP Capital said the Fed was preparing to make a 25 basis point move due to the data outage, but that didn't leave Powell much room for new guidance. Analysts say the lack of official data since the US government shutdown has effectively forced the Fed to act blindly. Without inflation or labor pressure, any policy readjustment would be premature.
Trump Criticizes Powell Ahead of Fed Decision!
US President Donald Trump took aim again just hours before the Fed's decision, criticizing Jerome Powell for being slow to cut interest rates.
In his speech in Gyeongju, South Korea, Trump stated that the Fed has been slow to cut interest rates, saying, “We will not have a Fed that raises interest rates because they are worried about inflation three years from now.” Trump stated that he expects the economy to grow by 4% in the first quarter of 2026 and argued that current monetary policy is negatively impacting the business environment.
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#Cryptocurrency #FedMeeting $XRP
$BNB #CRYPTOMININGFIRM
$BTC