fxce
49,311 views
51 Discussing
Hot
Latest
See original
EU Imposes 25% Tariff on USA Goods: A Negative Shock to Financial Markets
On April 2, 2025, after the European Commission President's proposal of "0% to 0% tariff" was rejected, the EU imposed a 25% tariff on many products from the USA, including almonds, orange juice, soybeans, steel, aluminum, tobacco, and yachts, in response to President Trump's tariffs. This move, although defensive in nature, is causing negative impacts on the global financial market.
Analysis: Escalating Trade War
Analysis: Escalating Trade War
See original
Trade War Cools, But U.S. Bond Interest Rates Are Trump's 'Nightmare'?
On 13/05/2025, the story of trade tensions gradually cools due to conciliatory moves from the Trump administration, but a new challenge arises: U.S. government bond interest rates continue to climb, putting significant pressure on the president. Is this a difficult puzzle for the U.S. economy? Let's analyze in detail.
Context: Bond Refinancing with High Interest Rates
In 2025, the United States must refinance about $9 trillion in maturing government bonds, accounting for 25% of the total federal debt currently at $36.8 trillion. Previous debts were issued at an average interest rate of about 2.7%, but given the current situation, refinancing rates could reach 4.45%. This raises annual interest costs from $245 billion to over $500 billion—nearly doubling—creating a massive financial burden on the federal budget.
Context: Bond Refinancing with High Interest Rates
In 2025, the United States must refinance about $9 trillion in maturing government bonds, accounting for 25% of the total federal debt currently at $36.8 trillion. Previous debts were issued at an average interest rate of about 2.7%, but given the current situation, refinancing rates could reach 4.45%. This raises annual interest costs from $245 billion to over $500 billion—nearly doubling—creating a massive financial burden on the federal budget.
See original
Gold and Bitcoin: A Strategic Reserve Duo for the New Financial Era
As geopolitical tensions and global financial volatility escalate, a clear trend is forming: nations and major organizations are gradually shifting their reserves from traditional assets to gold and Bitcoin (BTC) – decentralized assets that are less dependent on the USD.
🔶 Gold continues to assert its safe-haven status
China has just announced that it has increased its gold reserves for the sixth consecutive month, raising the total value to 243.6 billion USD. This move not only reflects the need to protect national assets in the context of the trade war with the United States but also aligns with the global trend: central banks around the world have increased gold purchases fivefold since 2022.
🔶 Gold continues to assert its safe-haven status
China has just announced that it has increased its gold reserves for the sixth consecutive month, raising the total value to 243.6 billion USD. This move not only reflects the need to protect national assets in the context of the trade war with the United States but also aligns with the global trend: central banks around the world have increased gold purchases fivefold since 2022.
See original
Bitcoin Rises as Japan Loses Lending Position: Investment Opportunities!
After 34 years, Japan cedes its position as the largest lending country in the world to Germany, due to strong exports and the euro appreciating against the yen (May 27, 2025). With the EURJPY exchange rate moving sideways in the range of 154.5–166.6 since August 5, 2024 (data from #FXCE ), Bitcoin is becoming an attractive option for investors amid financial instability.
Economic context and crypto opportunities
Germany surpasses Japan thanks to a strong euro and cash flow from exports, while Japan's foreign assets increase due to a weak yen and investments in the USA and UK in finance, insurance, and retail. Japan's loose monetary policy, with low interest rates, leads to capital flowing abroad, making the financial system fragile. The EURJPY exchange rate stabilizes in a large price range reflecting cautious sentiment, pushing investors to seek Bitcoin and gold for hedging. With 2.4 million BTC in the hands of organizations (BitcoinTreasuries.NET), Bitcoin is increasingly seen as a safe asset.
Economic context and crypto opportunities
Germany surpasses Japan thanks to a strong euro and cash flow from exports, while Japan's foreign assets increase due to a weak yen and investments in the USA and UK in finance, insurance, and retail. Japan's loose monetary policy, with low interest rates, leads to capital flowing abroad, making the financial system fragile. The EURJPY exchange rate stabilizes in a large price range reflecting cautious sentiment, pushing investors to seek Bitcoin and gold for hedging. With 2.4 million BTC in the hands of organizations (BitcoinTreasuries.NET), Bitcoin is increasingly seen as a safe asset.
See original
Gold Reaches Historic Peaks: What Will Happen to the Crypto Market If Gold Continues to Rise?
Gold has just set a historical peak of $3,004.94/ounce (data from #FXCE ), marking an important milestone in a volatile global economic context. With gold continuing its upward trend, many investors are questioning: How will this impact the cryptocurrency market, especially Bitcoin?
1. Gold and Bitcoin: Competing Hedge Assets?
Both gold and Bitcoin are seen as hedges against inflation and economic risk. When gold prices rise sharply, it indicates that investors are seeking safety in traditional assets rather than in riskier assets like stocks or crypto.
1. Gold and Bitcoin: Competing Hedge Assets?
Both gold and Bitcoin are seen as hedges against inflation and economic risk. When gold prices rise sharply, it indicates that investors are seeking safety in traditional assets rather than in riskier assets like stocks or crypto.
See original
Trump's Liberation Day April 2: Financial markets prepare for a tariff earthquake.
Global financial markets are anxiously awaiting an event that could change the international trade landscape: April 2 – when President Donald Trump's administration announces a series of new tariffs. Dubbed by Trump as "Liberation Day," this reciprocal tariff policy could have far-reaching impacts on the economy, from traditional goods to the crypto market.
See original
The Looping Strategy Brings Gold into Crypto: Investors Earn 22% Amid Market Volatility
When financial markets are unstable, gold once again becomes a safe haven for investors. However, instead of simply buying and holding gold in the traditional way, a financial strategy from the DeFi world is being applied to maximize profits. The 'looping' strategy with gold has yielded returns of up to 22% since January 8, even as Bitcoin has dropped 10% during the same period.
See original
USDT Surpasses 150 Billion USD: Tether Reshaping the Stablecoin Game with Absolute Power?
On May 13, 2025, Tether – the organization behind the world's largest stablecoin USDT – officially surpassed the milestone of 150 billion USD in circulation, reinforcing its position as the 'king' in the industry. With impressive profits and the shift to TRON, will Tether reshape the future of digital finance? Let's analyze in detail.
USDT Sets a Historic Milestone of 150 Billion USD
Tether has just marked a new milestone as the total circulating amount surpasses 150 billion USD – the highest ever. CEO Paolo Ardoino confirmed this information on X earlier this week, marking a significant advance after the company earned over 1 billion USD in operating profit in Q1 2025, continuing the growth momentum from the second half of 2022. This breakthrough not only demonstrates scale but also affirms the attractiveness of USDT in the decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem and global payments.
USDT Sets a Historic Milestone of 150 Billion USD
Tether has just marked a new milestone as the total circulating amount surpasses 150 billion USD – the highest ever. CEO Paolo Ardoino confirmed this information on X earlier this week, marking a significant advance after the company earned over 1 billion USD in operating profit in Q1 2025, continuing the growth momentum from the second half of 2022. This breakthrough not only demonstrates scale but also affirms the attractiveness of USDT in the decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem and global payments.
See original
U.S. Confident in Controlling Public Debt: USDX Near Bottom, How Will Crypto Be Affected?
Overview
The U.S. Secretary of the Treasury recently affirmed that the issue of public debt does not lie in the absolute figure but in management, stressing that the debt-to-GDP ratio is an important indicator. With the USDX exchange rate dropping to 98.8, near the bottom of 97.91 (April 21, 2025), the financial and crypto markets, especially Bitcoin (108,904 USD, CoinMarketCap, May 26, 2025), may face volatility. This article summarizes the Secretary's detailed views, their impact on the U.S. economy, the influence on crypto, and lessons for investors.
The U.S. Secretary of the Treasury recently affirmed that the issue of public debt does not lie in the absolute figure but in management, stressing that the debt-to-GDP ratio is an important indicator. With the USDX exchange rate dropping to 98.8, near the bottom of 97.91 (April 21, 2025), the financial and crypto markets, especially Bitcoin (108,904 USD, CoinMarketCap, May 26, 2025), may face volatility. This article summarizes the Secretary's detailed views, their impact on the U.S. economy, the influence on crypto, and lessons for investors.
See original
Wall Street Warns of Increasing Recession Risks – Alarming Signs for the Crypto Market?
Large Banks Warn of Increasing Recession Risks
The financial market is signaling that the risk of recession is becoming increasingly tangible as uncertainties related to tariffs and signs of economic weakening spread across Wall Street. According to an analysis model from #JPMorgan Chase & Co., the probability of a recession priced by the market has risen from 17% at the end of November to 31% on March 5. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs also raised its recession risk forecast from 14% to 23% since January.
The financial market is signaling that the risk of recession is becoming increasingly tangible as uncertainties related to tariffs and signs of economic weakening spread across Wall Street. According to an analysis model from #JPMorgan Chase & Co., the probability of a recession priced by the market has risen from 17% at the end of November to 31% on March 5. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs also raised its recession risk forecast from 14% to 23% since January.
See original
CME Group Launches XRP Futures: New Momentum for the Crypto Market in 2025?
On April 25, 2025, CME Group – the largest derivatives exchange in the world – announced that it will launch XRP futures on May 19, following the introduction of Solana futures the previous month. This move not only marks a new advancement for XRP but also promises to bring positive momentum to the cryptocurrency market. Can XRP continue to shine amid fierce competition? Let's analyze in detail.
See original
Gold Rises Again After Adjustment: A Step Towards a New Wave?
The gold market starts the new week with a slight increase after the first decline of 2025. Amid concerns about the economy as US President Donald Trump prepares to impose heavy import tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, money flows are seeking gold as a safe haven asset.
Gold prices recover after a week of adjustment
According to data from the exchange #FXCE , gold opened at 2,873 USD/ounce, creating an increase of 14 USD compared to last week's closing price. After a 2.7% decrease last week due to profit-taking pressure, gold is currently trading around 2,870 USD/ounce, indicating that investor sentiment still leans towards holding this precious metal.
Gold prices recover after a week of adjustment
According to data from the exchange #FXCE , gold opened at 2,873 USD/ounce, creating an increase of 14 USD compared to last week's closing price. After a 2.7% decrease last week due to profit-taking pressure, gold is currently trading around 2,870 USD/ounce, indicating that investor sentiment still leans towards holding this precious metal.
See original
Bitcoin and Gold Soar: Will the Fed's Decision Shape the Future?
On May 6, 2025, gold prices rose to $3,434/ounce (according to #FXCE ) and Bitcoin held steady around $97,500 on Tuesday, as investors prepared for the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy decision amid geopolitical and trade tensions. Is this a signal for a surge in safe-haven assets? Let's analyze in detail.
Gold and Bitcoin Rise Ahead of Fed Decision
Spot gold rose 0.7% to $3,434/ounce, U.S. gold futures increased by 1.3%, supported by safe-haven demand from Chinese investors and central banks reducing reliance on the USD. Bitcoin fluctuated around $97,500, near the February peak, up 10% from recent lows, though still below the historic high of $108,786 (January). The two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (#FOMC ) is expected to keep interest rates steady at 4.25%-4.50% on Wednesday afternoon (U.S. time), with a speech from Chairman Jerome Powell afterward. The market is particularly attentive to signals regarding persistent inflation and declining consumer demand.
Gold and Bitcoin Rise Ahead of Fed Decision
Spot gold rose 0.7% to $3,434/ounce, U.S. gold futures increased by 1.3%, supported by safe-haven demand from Chinese investors and central banks reducing reliance on the USD. Bitcoin fluctuated around $97,500, near the February peak, up 10% from recent lows, though still below the historic high of $108,786 (January). The two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (#FOMC ) is expected to keep interest rates steady at 4.25%-4.50% on Wednesday afternoon (U.S. time), with a speech from Chairman Jerome Powell afterward. The market is particularly attentive to signals regarding persistent inflation and declining consumer demand.
See original
The Swiss National Bank should buy Bitcoin – the question is no longer whether to do so, but how much
In a notable comment, Dr. Luzius Meisser, a reputable expert in the field of digital finance in Switzerland, has called on the Swiss National Bank (#SNB ) to consider strengthening its reserves with Bitcoin, rather than relying on traditional assets like government bonds.
He emphasizes that Bitcoin is not only a hedge asset but also a 'resilient' tool suitable for the digital age, where central banks are increasingly influenced by political factors. According to Meisser, unlike programs affected by politics, Bitcoin is a neutral asset, not subject to manipulation, and can help strengthen the independent role of the SNB.
He emphasizes that Bitcoin is not only a hedge asset but also a 'resilient' tool suitable for the digital age, where central banks are increasingly influenced by political factors. According to Meisser, unlike programs affected by politics, Bitcoin is a neutral asset, not subject to manipulation, and can help strengthen the independent role of the SNB.
See original
Trump continues to attack Fed Chairman Powell: "Total idiot", calls for aggressive interest rate cuts
President #DonaldTrump just posted a lengthy article sharply criticizing the Chairman of the Federal Reserve (Fed) – Jerome Powell. In it, Trump claims that Powell "publicly hates Trump" and should never have been appointed, let alone reappointed under President Biden.
Trump asserts: "If Powell lowers interest rates to a reasonable level of 1-2%, America could save up to $1 trillion a year." He argues that Powell's continuous "complaining about costs" is unreasonable in the current context because "we hardly have inflation, and the U.S. economy is doing very well."
Notably, Trump also warns that if #Powell does not act, he may "change his mind and fire" Powell when his term ends.
📉 Meanwhile, data from #FXCE shows that the U.S. Dollar Index (USDX) has sharply declined by 12%, from 110.15 on January 13, 2025, to 97.61 on June 12, 2025 – indicating significant downward pressure on the USD amidst expectations of lower interest rates in the future.
In the short term, Trump's statements may exert additional pressure on the Fed, but in the long term, lowering interest rates – if it occurs – will be a positive signal for investment markets, including crypto, as cheaper borrowing costs will stimulate capital flow into high-risk assets like Bitcoin and altcoin.
However, investors still need to be cautious of political factors and macro data that could unexpectedly affect the prices of digital assets.
President #DonaldTrump just posted a lengthy article sharply criticizing the Chairman of the Federal Reserve (Fed) – Jerome Powell. In it, Trump claims that Powell "publicly hates Trump" and should never have been appointed, let alone reappointed under President Biden.
Trump asserts: "If Powell lowers interest rates to a reasonable level of 1-2%, America could save up to $1 trillion a year." He argues that Powell's continuous "complaining about costs" is unreasonable in the current context because "we hardly have inflation, and the U.S. economy is doing very well."
Notably, Trump also warns that if #Powell does not act, he may "change his mind and fire" Powell when his term ends.
📉 Meanwhile, data from #FXCE shows that the U.S. Dollar Index (USDX) has sharply declined by 12%, from 110.15 on January 13, 2025, to 97.61 on June 12, 2025 – indicating significant downward pressure on the USD amidst expectations of lower interest rates in the future.
In the short term, Trump's statements may exert additional pressure on the Fed, but in the long term, lowering interest rates – if it occurs – will be a positive signal for investment markets, including crypto, as cheaper borrowing costs will stimulate capital flow into high-risk assets like Bitcoin and altcoin.
However, investors still need to be cautious of political factors and macro data that could unexpectedly affect the prices of digital assets.
See original
ECB cuts interest rates for the 9th time: Positive signals for the Crypto market amidst the global economic context
The European Central Bank (ECB) continuing to cut interest rates for the 9th consecutive time is creating a notable macroeconomic context that indirectly affects the cryptocurrency market. The ECB just announced a further 25 basis point cut, bringing the deposit rate down to 2% from 2.25% in April. This is a consistent move since September 2023, with the refinancing rate also reduced from 2.4% to 2.15%.
See original
Short-term economy faces instability: Stellantis halts production due to surge in U.S. tariffs
The automotive group Stellantis has just announced a temporary halt of operations at its plants in Canada 🇨🇦 and Mexico 🇲🇽 in response to the new 25% tariff imposed by President Trump on imported cars.
The plant in Canada, which produces the Chrysler Pacifica and Dodge Charger Daytona EV, will be closed for 2 weeks.
The plant at #mexico , which specializes in assembling the Jeep Compass and Jeep Wagoneer S EV, will cease operations for the entire month of April, starting Monday.
This action has led to thousands of employees being temporarily laid off and highlights the significant pressure that the supply chain and global manufacturing industry are facing amid rising trade tensions.
In this context, concerns about a short-term recession are becoming increasingly evident, especially as #USDX has decreased from 103.3 to 101.3 after the tariff information was announced (data from #FXCE ), reflecting investors' unease about the economic outlook of the U.S. and globally.
📉 The production stagnation not only affects the automotive industry but also poses a risk of spreading to other sectors, creating a wave of economic instability in the near future.
The automotive group Stellantis has just announced a temporary halt of operations at its plants in Canada 🇨🇦 and Mexico 🇲🇽 in response to the new 25% tariff imposed by President Trump on imported cars.
The plant in Canada, which produces the Chrysler Pacifica and Dodge Charger Daytona EV, will be closed for 2 weeks.
The plant at #mexico , which specializes in assembling the Jeep Compass and Jeep Wagoneer S EV, will cease operations for the entire month of April, starting Monday.
This action has led to thousands of employees being temporarily laid off and highlights the significant pressure that the supply chain and global manufacturing industry are facing amid rising trade tensions.
In this context, concerns about a short-term recession are becoming increasingly evident, especially as #USDX has decreased from 103.3 to 101.3 after the tariff information was announced (data from #FXCE ), reflecting investors' unease about the economic outlook of the U.S. and globally.
📉 The production stagnation not only affects the automotive industry but also poses a risk of spreading to other sectors, creating a wave of economic instability in the near future.
See original
Accessibility of Cryptocurrency in India: Challenges from the Wealth Gap
With a population of over 1.4 billion, India is one of the largest potential markets in the world. However, according to the latest report from venture capital fund Blume Ventures, about 1 billion Indians are unable to spend on non-essential goods and services. This poses a significant challenge for the adoption of cryptocurrency in the country.
### Consumer Market Analysis
### Consumer Market Analysis
See original
USDX Drops Below 100, Bond Yields Rise: Impact on Financial Markets
On April 13, 2025, the USDX index fell below 100, specifically from 110.15 on January 13, 2025, to 99.12 on April 11, 2025 (according to #FXCE ), indicating a weakening of the USD against major currencies such as EUR and Yen. At the same time, the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds rose above 4.4%, reflecting concerns about trade wars and decreased demand for bonds.
Impact Analysis
Fed rate cut expectations: The drop of #USDX below 100 indicates that investors expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates in the near future to stimulate the economy, especially as the U.S.-China trade war escalates (the U.S. imposes a 104% tariff on Chinese goods, according to previous articles). A weaker USD often creates opportunities for assets like gold and crypto to appreciate. The price of Bitcoin is currently stable at $79,000, while gold rose 2% in the past week (according to information from the web), demonstrating this trend.
Impact Analysis
Fed rate cut expectations: The drop of #USDX below 100 indicates that investors expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates in the near future to stimulate the economy, especially as the U.S.-China trade war escalates (the U.S. imposes a 104% tariff on Chinese goods, according to previous articles). A weaker USD often creates opportunities for assets like gold and crypto to appreciate. The price of Bitcoin is currently stable at $79,000, while gold rose 2% in the past week (according to information from the web), demonstrating this trend.
See original
FED reveals important changes regarding inflation target – USDX surges
In a statement on May 15, Chairman of the FED Jerome Powell did not present anything surprising: the FED remains committed to maintaining the inflation target at 2%. However, there is a noteworthy point that the financial community is discussing – the FED may be more flexible in its approach to this target.
Specifically, Powell indicated that the FED is considering returning to an average inflation target – meaning that inflation does not need to be exactly 2% all the time. It can be higher at times, lower at others, as long as the average reaches 2%, it is still "acceptable". This signals that the FED may keep interest rates high for a longer period or may not rush to loosen monetary policy if inflation has not stabilized.
Additionally, the FED will also consider adjusting the way it communicates policy to align with the actual context and avoid misunderstanding in the market.
Another notable point is that recently, the USDX (US Dollar Strength Index) has surged significantly, from 97.91 on April 21 to 101.97 on May 12 according to data from 21197799363. This reflects market expectations that the FED will continue to maintain a tight monetary policy, at least in the short term.
Relation to crypto: The FED's maintenance of high interest rates and more flexibility with the inflation target could lead to significant volatility in the cryptocurrency market. A stronger USD typically puts downward pressure on the prices of Bitcoin and altcoins in the short term. Investors need to closely follow policy statements from the FED to adjust their strategies accordingly.53443379379
19751403476
In a statement on May 15, Chairman of the FED Jerome Powell did not present anything surprising: the FED remains committed to maintaining the inflation target at 2%. However, there is a noteworthy point that the financial community is discussing – the FED may be more flexible in its approach to this target.
Specifically, Powell indicated that the FED is considering returning to an average inflation target – meaning that inflation does not need to be exactly 2% all the time. It can be higher at times, lower at others, as long as the average reaches 2%, it is still "acceptable". This signals that the FED may keep interest rates high for a longer period or may not rush to loosen monetary policy if inflation has not stabilized.
Additionally, the FED will also consider adjusting the way it communicates policy to align with the actual context and avoid misunderstanding in the market.
Another notable point is that recently, the USDX (US Dollar Strength Index) has surged significantly, from 97.91 on April 21 to 101.97 on May 12 according to data from 21197799363. This reflects market expectations that the FED will continue to maintain a tight monetary policy, at least in the short term.
Relation to crypto: The FED's maintenance of high interest rates and more flexibility with the inflation target could lead to significant volatility in the cryptocurrency market. A stronger USD typically puts downward pressure on the prices of Bitcoin and altcoins in the short term. Investors need to closely follow policy statements from the FED to adjust their strategies accordingly.53443379379
19751403476
Login to explore more contents