US economic data is strong: High growth, tight labor market, stable inflation
On January 22, 2026, the US released a series of important economic data, showing that the economy remains very robust:
Initial Jobless Claims (week ending January 18):
Forecast: 209 thousand
Actual: 200 thousand → Lower than forecast, proving that the labor market is still very tight, with few people losing jobs.
Q3 2025 GDP (final revision):
Forecast: 4.3%
Actual: 4.4% → Growth higher than forecast, confirming that the US economy continues to be strong.
Core PCE Prices Q3 2025 (core inflation - Fed's preferred measure):
Forecast: 2.9%
Actual: 2.9% → Stable inflation, no surprise increase, helping the Fed maintain flexibility.
Summary: Strong growth + sustainable labor + well-controlled inflation. This is the ideal “soft landing” scenario that the market expects – the economy does not decline, inflation does not surge.
Impact on the market & crypto:
Short term: Positive signals, supporting risk-on.
$BTC may continue to stabilize or rebound slightly around 90,000 USD after a rebound from 87k.
Long term: The Fed may maintain higher interest rates than expected (fewer cuts), but avoid extreme “higher for longer”. Liquidity remains abundant, benefiting risky assets if there is no new macro shock.
Retail investors: This is good data for market sentiment. Monitor Treasury yields and Fed reactions to assess sustainable upward momentum or just a short pump. Keep tight risk management in mind!
#FedPolicy