foodprices

#cpiwatch Pakistan’s November 2025 CPI is projected between 6.3% and 7.0%, mainly driven by food inflation and supply chain disruptions.

📊 Headline Snapshot

YoY CPI: Expected at 6.3%–7.0%, compared to 6.25% in October and 4.86% in November 2024 Business Recorder ProPakistani akseer.org Karachi Stocks Investors Lounge.
MoM CPI: Projected increase of 0.8%, reflecting higher food and energy costs Business Recorder ProPakistani Karachi Stocks.
Food inflation: Key drivers include onions (+59%), chicken (+16%), meat (+15%), and fresh vegetables (+12%) Business Recorder ProPakistani Karachi Stocks.
Housing & utilities: Category rose 0.79% MoM, mainly due to electricity tariff adjustments Business Recorder ProPakistani.

🔎 Drivers of Inflation

Flood aftereffects: Crop damage continues to pressure food supplies.
Afghan border closure: Disrupted supply chains, worsening food availability.
Energy costs: Electricity charges increased ~2.8% due to tariff adjustments ProPakistani.
Mixed crop outlook: Government support measures aim to stabilize supplies, but risks remain Business Recorder.

⚖️ Market & Policy Impact

Average inflation (5MFY26): ~5.0%, down from 7.9% last year akseer.org Investors Lounge.
SBP stance: Policy rate held at 11%, reflecting caution amid flood-related risks akseer.org Investors Lounge.
Household impact: Rising food prices weigh heavily on consumer budgets, especially lower-income groups.

📝 Quick Take

CPI Watch shows inflation edging higher in November 2025, with food and energy costs as the main culprits. While overall inflation is lower than last year’s highs, supply chain disruptions and tariff adjustments keep consumer prices elevated. Policymakers face the challenge of balancing growth with inflation control.

#CPIWatch #PakistanEconomy #InflationTrends #FoodPrices #SBPPolicy

🚨 INFLATION ALERT: PAKISTAN CPI HITS 1-YEAR HIGH! 📈🇵🇰
Pakistan's inflation is back on the rise, hitting a significant milestone in October 2025. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) surged to 6.2% year-on-year, marking the highest rate in a full year, up sharply from 5.6% in September.
Key CPI Data Points
The CPI index itself climbed to 280.66 points in October, an increase from 275.60 in the previous month. This jump translates to a monthly inflation rate of 1.8% in October.
October 2025 CPI (YoY): 6.2%
September 2025 CPI (YoY): 5.6%
October 2025 CPI Index: 280.66 points
September 2025 CPI Index: 275.60 points
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Trade Disruptions: Ongoing issues, including temporary closures at the border with Afghanistan, have compounded the problem by disrupting trade and reducing the inflow of essential goods.
Sharply Rising Food Items (Monthly Increase)
The most notable price surges were seen in:
Tomatoes: Prices skyrocketed, a key driver of the overall increase.
Onions & Fresh Vegetables: Significant price hikes were also recorded.
Wheat & Wheat Flour: Prices for this essential staple also rose notably.
💰 Economic Outlook and Policy
The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) maintained its cautious stance, keeping the policy rate unchanged at 11.0% through October to support price stability. However, the unexpected acceleration in CPI, driven by these supply shocks, signals renewed challenges to macroeconomic stability. Economists are now watching closely to see if these temporary supply-side pressures ease in the coming months, or if inflation will continue its upward trend.$ETH
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#PakistanInflation #CPIUpdate #CostOfLivingCrisis #FoodPrices #MacroAlert

#cpiwatch Pakistan’s November 2025 CPI is expected to rise to between 6.3% and 7.0%, driven mainly by food inflation.

📊 Headline Numbers

CPI projection: Analysts forecast 6.3%–7.0% year-on-year inflation for November 2025, compared with 6.25% in October and 4.86% in November 2024 akseer.org ProPakistani Investors Lounge.
Monthly change: Inflation is projected to increase 0.8% month-on-month, reflecting supply chain disruptions and rising food costs ProPakistani Investors Lounge.
Food inflation: Prices of key staples surged—onions up 59%, chicken 16%, meat 15%, and fresh vegetables 12% ProPakistani Investors Lounge.

⚖️ Drivers of Inflation

Flood impact: Damage to crops and infrastructure has constrained supply, pushing food prices higher akseer.org.
Border closures: Temporary closure of the Afghan border disrupted supply chains, adding pressure on food availability ProPakistani Investors Lounge.
Policy stance: The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) kept its policy rate unchanged at 11%, citing risks to macroeconomic stability akseer.org.

💵 Market Implications

Consumer pressure: Rising food costs weigh heavily on household budgets, especially lower-income groups.
Business costs: Supply chain disruptions increase input prices for retailers and food producers.
Policy outlook: With inflation still moderate compared to last year’s highs, the SBP is cautious, balancing growth needs with inflation control.

🌍 Broader Context

Average inflation: For the first five months of FY26, inflation averaged ~5.0%, down from 7.9% in the same period last year akseer.org.
Sectoral impact: Food remains the main driver, while other categories like energy and housing are relatively stable.
Global linkages: Rising global commodity prices and regional supply chain issues continue to influence Pakistan’s CPI trajectory.

#CPIWatch #PakistanEconomy #InflationTrends #FoodPrices #SBPPolicy

🚨 Breaking: China Just Flipped the Global Inflation Story

While most countries are struggling with record-high grocery prices, China has gone the other way — food prices are actually falling.

The world’s second-largest economy is now seeing real food deflation, making it the only major nation managing this in the middle of a global inflation storm.

Here’s what’s going on:
As the U.S. and Europe work to get inflation under control, China’s consumer index shows consistent drops in the cost of food, from pork to vegetables. This shift comes from a mix of oversupply, efficient logistics, and active government efforts to manage prices. It also shows how tightly China can balance domestic demand and production — something few economies can pull off.

Why it matters:
Lower food prices mean a lower cost of living, stronger consumer spending power, and more stability at home. Globally, it highlights a widening economic gap. Western economies are tightening monetary policy, while China is easing strategically to keep growth steady.

The global ripple:
If China keeps this deflation trend going, it could shift trade patterns, impact global commodity demand, and even influence currency markets. Food exporters may feel the pinch, while import-dependent countries could see some relief.

In a world fixated on inflation, China has quietly rewritten the playbook — with strategy, precision, and control.

#ChinaEconomy #GlobalMarkets #InflationTrends #FoodPrices #EconomicShift

#CryptoVsInflation #FoodPrices #Information #crypto #Binance $BTC
A stark visual representation of our current economic reality. On the left, a substantial pile representing CRYPTO—seen by many as a hedge against volatility and a store of true value. On the right, FOOD—a necessity whose price is continuously eroding the purchasing power of our fiat currency, symbolized by a single dollar bill and a handful of coins.
As inflation reduces the value of our traditional money, the question becomes critical: Where do you choose to preserve your wealth? In a system designed to be debased, or in a decentralized, scarce asset class like Crypto?
What does this graphic tell you about the state of the market and the necessity of protecting your hard-earned assets? Share your thoughts below! 👇