inflation

In a rare move shaking global markets, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics confirmed it will NOT release the US October PPI report.

For crypto traders who rely on inflation data to predict market direction, this creates a major uncertainty shock.
PPI is one of the earliest indicators of inflation, and without it, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the broader crypto market lose a key guide for macro sentiment.
🔍 Why the Missing PPI Matters for Crypto
The Producer Price Index tracks wholesale prices before they hit consumers.

Without the US October PPI:
🔺 Market volatility spikes❓ Inflation expectations become unclear📉 Forecasting accuracy drops⚠️ Traders risk reacting late to real inflation pressureSince inflation drives Fed rate decisions, missing this report directly affects risk assets — especially BTC, ETH, and altcoins.
📉 How Crypto Markets Could React
Crypto thrives on data clarity.

But with a missing PPI report, the market enters an information vacuum, causing:Wider bid-ask spreadsSurge in trading volumeIncreased sensitivity to CPI, PMI, and Fed updatesOverreactions to next month’s dataHistorically, when macro data disappears, Bitcoin becomes extremely reactive, especially during uncertain inflation cycles.

🔎 Alternative Indicators Traders MUST Watch
Since US October PPI is unavailable, shift focus to:
📊 CPI (Consumer Price Index)📝 FOMC meeting minutes
🛒 Retail Sales💼 Employment Cost Index
🏭 Manufacturing PMI (price components)🌐 Commodity & import/export price dataThese metrics help fill the PPI gap and keep traders aligned with macro trends.
🎯 Actionable Strategy During This Data Gap
To stay safe — and profitable — during this uncertainty:
📌 Reduce position sizes
📌 Widen stop-loss levels
📌 Track crypto volatility indices (BTC.D, VIX-style indicators)
📌 Use DCA for stable long-term entries
📌 Focus on sentiment & on-chain data rather than speculation
Uncertainty creates opportunity for disciplined traders.
🧠 Conclusion: Turn Missing Data Into an Advantage
The missing US October PPI may disrupt short-term macro clarity, but it doesn’t change crypto’s long-term fundamentals.

Smart traders will:
Adapt quicklyRely on alternative macro dataStay disciplined during volatilityIn crypto, markets operate 24/7, and traders who can manage incomplete information often gain the biggest edge.
❓ Quick FAQ
📌 Why wasn’t the US October PPI released?

The BLS hasn’t provided details — possibly technical issues or data inconsistencies.
📌 Does missing PPI increase crypto volatility?

Yes. PPI influences the Fed’s inflation outlook, which directly affects BTC/ETH sentiment.
📌 When is the next PPI?

The November PPI is expected to release normally next month.
📌 Does this change Bitcoin’s inflation-hedge narrative?

No — long-term fundamentals remain intact.
#️⃣ #PPI #BTC #ETH #CryptoNewss #Inflation
$BTC
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U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said over the weekend that this year’s holiday shopping season is one of the strongest in recent years, and he believes the American economy is on track to finish the year in solid shape.
“The economy has been better than we expected. We’ve had two quarters of 4% GDP growth,” Bessent said on Face the Nation. “And despite the Schumer shutdown, we’re going to close the year with 3% real GDP growth.”

Consumer spending remains the key engine of U.S. economic performance
According to current data, U.S. GDP dropped 0.6% year-over-year during the first months of 2025, but the economy sharply rebounded in the second quarter, climbing 3.8%.
Economists and the Treasury Department are now waiting for preliminary third-quarter figures, expected on December 23. The Atlanta Federal Reserve recently estimated annualized third-quarter GDP growth at 3.5%.
Consumer spending accounts for nearly 70% of U.S. GDP, which makes a strong shopping season crucial for overall performance. Even so, sentiment among Americans remains mixed. The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index reached 53.3 in December—up 4.5 points from November, yet 28% lower than last year.
Inflation continues to pressure households. The latest available report—delayed due to the government shutdown—shows annual consumer prices rising 3%, with grocery prices up 3.1%.

Trump rejects criticism, but voters are increasingly dissatisfied
President Donald Trump has dismissed concerns about rising costs of living.

He recently described the word “affordability” as “a Democrat con job” and “a Democrat scam.”
But the public is not fully convinced. According to recent polls, two-thirds of registered voters believe the administration is falling short on the economy and cost-of-living issues, highlighting growing frustration.
Bessent responded to Trump’s remarks by arguing that the administration “inherited inflation from Biden” and that negative public sentiment is heavily influenced by media coverage. He added:
“The American people don’t realize how good they have it. Democrats created scarcity—whether in energy or through over-regulation—which led to this affordability problem. Next year, I believe we’ll move from scarcity to prosperity.”

Trade ties with China: agreements remain on track, but progress is slow
Beyond domestic issues, Washington is closely monitoring Beijing’s compliance with bilateral trade commitments.

U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said China is currently adhering to the agreements.
“With China, it’s always about verifying and monitoring commitments,” Greer said on The Sunday Briefing. “The agreements we’ve reached are specific, concrete, and easy to track—and so far, we see that China is in compliance.”
Greer stated that China has fulfilled roughly one-third of its soybean purchase obligations for the current growing season. Although Beijing placed a series of large orders in late October, the pace of purchases has since slowed.
In late October, President Trump and Chinese President Xi agreed to extend a tariff truce, roll back certain export controls, and reduce various trade barriers. Several key elements of the deal, however—such as soybean purchases, the sale of TikTok, and licensing for the export of strategic minerals—are still in progress.
On Friday, Treasury Secretary Bessent and Greer held a video call with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng. According to Xinhua, the discussion was “in-depth and constructive,” with both sides expressing a desire to maintain stable ties and address mutual concerns about trade and the economy.
Bessent noted on Sunday that he does not expect China to speed up soybean purchases, although they are still expected to be completed within the current crop season.

Summary
Despite inflation pressures and political tensions, the U.S. economy continues to show surprisingly strong momentum. Robust consumer spending supports growth, while trade relations with China remain stable for now. Bessent predicts that next year could bring “a shift toward prosperity”—yet voter sentiment remains uncertain, making economic perception a major variable for America’s political and economic trajectory.

#economy , #usa , #Inflation , #Bessent , #GlobalMarkets

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Analysis of the New York Federal Reserve's one-year inflation expectation subtly rising to 3.2%, explaining how this data point influences the Fed's stance on interest rates and its ultimate impact on market liquidity and risk assets like crypto.

Decoding the New York Fed's Signal for Monetary Policy
The Connection Between Inflation, Interest Rates, and Risk Assets
Introduction
The New York Federal Reserve's one-year inflation expectation for November subtly increased to 3.2%, slightly higher than the previous month's value of 3.24\%. While the change is minor, this specific data point is watched closely by traders because it is a key factor the U.S. Federal Reserve uses to set monetary policy, which in turn dictates the level of liquidity and risk appetite in global markets, including crypto.
🚨 The Fed, Inflation, and Interest Rates
The Fed's primary mandate is to maintain price stability (low inflation) and maximize employment. Inflation expectations—what consumers and businesses believe inflation will be—are often self-fulfilling, making this survey a powerful tool.
Higher Expectations = Policy Headwind: When inflation expectations creep up, it suggests the Fed's battle against price rises isn't over. This increases the likelihood that the Fed will maintain higher interest rates for longer or delay planned rate cuts.
Impact on Liquidity: High interest rates reduce liquidity in the traditional financial system. This tends to pull capital away from "riskier" or more speculative assets, such as stocks and cryptocurrencies, as safer, interest-bearing assets become more attractive.
The Crypto Hedge Debate: Historically, Bitcoin has been viewed by some as an inflation hedge, meaning its price should rise as inflation fears increase. However, in the current tightening cycle, crypto has often traded in line with other risky assets, falling when rates rise.
💰 The Market Implication
The modest rise to 3.2% will likely not cause an immediate market shock, but it reinforces the current narrative of 'higher for longer' interest rates. Traders should interpret this as a continued pressure point against any immediate, aggressive easing of monetary policy by the Fed.
For the crypto market, this translates to:
Sustained Pressure: A continued focus on macroeconomic fundamentals and liquidity conditions rather than pure market euphoria.
Dollar Strength: Rising rate expectations tend to strengthen the US Dollar, which historically creates headwinds for Bitcoin and Ethereum.
💡 Closing Insight & Action Tip
The path of least resistance for crypto often occurs when the market widely anticipates the Fed cutting rates, signaling future increased liquidity. This expectation data suggests that point hasn't been definitively reached yet.
Your action tip is to closely monitor the upcoming official CPI (Consumer Price Index) report. If the actual inflation number comes in significantly higher than the Fed's expectation of 3.2%, it will put immediate pressure on risk assets, requiring traders to adjust their risk exposure quickly.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Macroeconomic data influences but does not control crypto prices. Always manage your risk.
#Inflation #Fed #orocryptotrends #Write2Earn