#JPY #BTC The JPY remains weak against the US dollar: the exchange rate USD/JPY is around 155 ¥ per 1 USD.
Over the past month, the Yen has weakened roughly 0.8%, and over the past 12 months, it’s down ~2.8%.
Weakness in JPY has been driven by the interest-rate differential between the Bank of Japan (BoJ), which has maintained very low rates, and the Federal Reserve raising rates — a common driver of currency carry-trade flows.
📉 Risks & forecast
According to recent reporting, the yen’s persistent weakness is being called a “ticking time bomb.” The yen’s depreciation is straining Japan’s purchasing power abroad and inflation domestically, even though it hasn’t translated into sustained economic growth.
That said, any narrowing in yield differentials — for instance if BoJ starts hiking rates — or a shift away from carry-trades could trigger a rebound.
Bottom line: JPY remains weak in the short-term. The outlook depends heavily on global interest rate moves and any policy changes by BoJ, so volatility and risk of abrupt reversals remain high.
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₿ Bitcoin (BTC) — recent moves & what’s next
📈 Recent price action & context
As of now, BTC is trading around US$91,000–92,000, having recently bounced from a dip below US$88,000.
This rebound comes after a sharp drop from its all-time high (over US $126,000 in October 2025).
On technicals: some short-term charts show bullish signs, but longer-term moving averages remain weak.
⚠️ Key headwinds & bullish catalysts
Risks / bearish pressure:
ETF demand has cooled, and macroeconomic uncertainty remains high — both weighing on crypto sentiment.
Some analysts warn that if BTC fails to break decisively above ~US$100,000, it could slip back toward ~US$82,000–88,000.
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