đť
$KAITO Short-term bearish, potential oversold bounce
Timeframes: 1H & 4H
đš Market Structure
KAITO has broken its prior higher-low structure, printing a sharp impulsive sell-off from the 0.74 supply zone down to 0.54, confirming a bearish market structure shift (BMS). The move invalidated the previous consolidation range and flipped trend control firmly to sellers.
đš Key Support & Resistance
Support:
0.54 â 0.53 â Current demand / daily low & reaction zone
0.48 â HTF demand (last major base)
Resistance:
0.58 â 0.60 â Breakdown level / minor supply
0.64 â 0.67 â Strong supply & prior range high
0.74 â Major HTF rejection zone
đš Volume & Order Flow
High sell volume confirms panic distribution, likely driven by policy shock + whale activity
Order book shows ask pressure still dominant, though bids are slowly rebuilding near 0.54
Selling momentum is decelerating â selling exhaustion possible
đš Indicators Snapshot
RSI: Deeply oversold (below lower Bollinger Band)
EMAs: 7 < 25 < 99 â Bearish alignment
MACD: Expanding negative histogram â trend still bearish
đŻ Trade Scenarios
Aggressive Counter-Trend short (Scalp / Relief Bounce):
Bearish Continuation (Safer Play):
Sell on rejection: 0.58 â 0.60
Stop: Above 0.63
Targets:
0.54
0.50
0.48
đ§ Summary
KAITO remains structurally bearish after a fundamental shock, but extreme oversold conditions suggest short-term bounce potential. Trend traders should favor selling rallies, while aggressive traders can scalp rebounds with tight risk.
â ď¸ Volatility remains elevated â manage position size strictly.
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