oilprices

1. Ceasefire Calms the Storm
Markets rallied today after a fragile ceasefire between Israel and Iran took hold, relieving geopolitical pressure on oil supplies and risk assets. Oil prices stabilized, lifting investor sentiment across both equities and cryptocurrencies.
2. Bitcoin Approaches $107 K
Bitcoin ($BTC ) surged past $107,000, approaching its previous all-time high (~$108.8 K) amidst the broader rally. The catalyst? Renewed risk-on appetite, supportive macro forces, and institutional investments (wallets like spot ETFs maintaining strong inflows).
3. Crypto Stocks Outperform
Equity stocks tied to crypto, namely Coinbase and Robinhood, posted strong gains (+7% and +4%, respectively), outpacing broader indices, as enthusiasm for crypto rebounds.
4. Options and On‑Chain Insight
Options Flow: Bitcoin’s $14 billion options expiry saw a spike in put-call ratio—signaling caution—but overall flows remain bullish in the near term.DeFi Health: High-risk DeFi loans have fallen by $242 million over two weeks, suggesting reduced liquidation risk—a positive sign for stability.
5. Crypto Treasury Moves
Metaplanet issued $515 million in equity to support ventures, including bitcoin exposure.The Blockchain Group raised $4.8 million in an at‑market equity issuance as part of its $BTC treasury strategy.Green Minerals, an Oslo deep-sea mining firm, bought its first $BTC ($420,000), signaling broader corporate adoption.
6. Powell in the Spotlight
Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress—both the House and upcoming Senate sessions—is set to shape market expectations  . Powell cautioned against early rate cuts, emphasizing patience until clearer impacts on inflation emerge.
What’s at stake: Investors are watching closely to see if Powell’s tone shifts toward dovish guidance, which could spur a stronger crypto rally—or remains cautious, potentially cooling recent highs.
Market Outlook
Bitcoin trajectory: If it holds above $107,000 and breaks past the $108.8 K resistance, a fresh high could be imminent.Macro support: The ceasefire initially gave markets a boost, but Powell’s testimony and U.S. rate policy could become the next key driver.Risks: Escalating geopolitical tensions, dovish Fed signals cooling off, or shifts in institutional flows could cap near-term gains.
In Summary
A geopolitical ceasefire has triggered a broad risk-on rally, sending Bitcoin toward the $107 K milestone. Institutional flows, strong DeFi fundamentals, and rising corporate BTC treasuries add fuel. Yet, all eyes remain on Powell’s forthcoming remarks, which may be the next turning point. Sustaining above key technical levels could bring Bitcoin back toward ATH territory—with fresh highs potentially within reach.

#GlobalMarket #Ceasefire #MiddleEast #Geopolitics
#OilPrices

Crude oil markets today offer a real-world physics lesson: supply shocks and forecast gluts creating price inertia.
Oil prices didn’t move much—Brent at $66.15 and WTI at $63.14—despite a surprise build in inventories and production forecasts that dial in a supply-heavy outlook into 2026. On top of that, a leak on a major Texas pipeline pushed local crude premiums higher, hinting at logistical pressure despite otherwise sluggish demand.
What You Should Be Watching
EIA Inventory Report: A surprise drop could spark a rally; another build could reinforce the “oversupply” narrative.
1. US–Russia Talks: Any breakthrough—or escalation—could realign expectations around oil sanctions or flows.
2. Pricing Outlook: Discounted forecasts from the EIA suggest that traders should prepare for pressure, not pop, in crude pricing over the coming months.
Bottom line: Oil’s holding pattern today reflects a balancing act—supply logistics adding temporary support, while structural oversupply keeps rally courage in check.
#CrudeOil #WTI #OilPrices #EIA #OilInventory #EnergyMarkets #BinanceInsights #Write2Earn #CommodityTrading #OilGlut #PipelineNews

President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that Russia’s economy “stinks” and claimed that falling oil prices would crush Vladimir Putin’s war machine.“Putin will stop killing people if you get energy down another $10 a barrel. He’s going to have no choice because his economy stinks,” Trump said during a live interview on Squawk Box. He made it clear that he believes oil revenue is the backbone of Russia’s war in Ukraine, and if it dries up, the war ends.This is part of Trump’s long-running one-man feud with Putin, who has refused to even acknowledge Trump’s existence for over a month. Putin hasn’t responded once, not even with a passing comment. Instead, it’s been Dmitry Medvedev, his closest confidant and former president, doing the talking, on X no less.Medvedev called Trump’s demands dangerous and said they’re pushing the U.S. closer to war with itself. He also reminded the world that Putin doesn’t see Trump as an equal, so he will never take the bait.Trump cuts deadline, threatens tariffs, deploys subsTensions between Washington and Moscow got worse when Trump shortened the timeline for a Ukraine peace deal. Last Monday, he announced that the original 50-day window was now less than two weeks. If Putin doesn’t agree to stop the war, Trump plans to slap harsh secondary tariffs on countries still trading with Russia. It’s his way of forcing others to choose sides.Medvedev responded quickly. “Each new ultimatum is a threat and a step towards war,” he wrote on X. “Not between Russia and Ukraine, but with his own country.” Trump followed up on Friday by saying he had ordered two U.S. nuclear submarines to be moved to “the appropriate regions,” clearly referring to Russian-controlled waters.Trump has also been attacking New Delhi and PM Narendra Modi for buying discounted Russian oil and reselling it for big profits. “India has not been a good trading partner,” he said Tuesday on CNBC. “So we settled on 25%, but I think I’m going to raise that very substantially over the next 24 hours, because they’re buying Russian oil, they’re fueling the war machine, and if they’re going to do that, I’m not going to be happy.”Kremlin press secretary Dmitry Peskov told reporters that Trump’s tariff threats were just “attempts to force countries to stop trade relations with Russia.” He also backed India directly, saying sovereign countries “have the right to choose their own trade partners.”Russian economy under pressure, but not brokenOil prices are falling, though, and that’s a problem for Putin. On Tuesday, Brent crude dropped 83 cents to $67.92 a barrel. West Texas Intermediate went down 87 cents to $65.41. This came after OPEC and its partners announced on Sunday that they would increase output, which made markets worry about weakening demand.Russia’s finance ministry is already bracing for less revenue. It expects oil and gas income this year to be 24% lower than previously estimated. The ministry cut its oil price forecast from $69.70 to $56 per barrel. It also raised next year’s budget deficit target from 0.5% of GDP to 1.7%.Russia’s own Economic Development Ministry sees slower growth ahead. They project the economy will expand by only 2.5% this year, down from 4.3% in 2024. Inflation is officially sitting at around 10%, but independent analysts believe it’s higher—possibly over 15%. Food and production costs have soared. Putin even admitted the situation was “alarming.”The International Monetary Fund added more bad news in July. They revised Russia’s 2025 GDP growth down to 0.9%, from 1.5% in April. That change came after data showed weak retail activity and reduced industrial output.Despite all this, the Russian economy hasn’t been stunted, though sanctions have clearly slowed it down. Domestic pressures have increased. Oil revenue is down. Growth is falling. But the Kremlin hasn’t shown any signs of panic.Trade with countries like India and China continues. Putin hasn’t blinked. And Trump is still waiting for a reaction that hasn’t come, and probably never will.Cryptopolitan Academy: Coming Soon - A New Way to Earn Passive Income with DeFi in 2025. Learn More
#TrumpOnRussia
#RussiaEconomy
#OilPrices
#PutinWarEffort
#GlobalPolitics