#river RIVERUSDT (Perp) – 1H Chart Complete Analysis
Current Price: ~45.48
Trend Context:
Overall structure is still higher high – higher low from 21.88 → 66.07
But after the top (66), market is in a corrective / ranging phase
1) Moving Averages Insight
MA(7): 40.96
MA(25): 43.25
MA(99): 41.91
Price is:
Above MA(25) & MA(99) → bullish support zone
MA(7) crossing up again → short-term bounce strength
➡ Bias: Pullback bullish, not full trend reversal yet.
2) Structure & Market Behavior (SMC View)
Major High: 66.07
Major Low: 21.88
After ATH:
Sharp sell → Break in Momentum
Formed range base between ~39 – 49
Now price is building a higher low near 39–41 zone
➡ This looks like accumulation / re-distribution.
3) Key Support & Resistance
Strong Supports:
41.5 – 39.0 → Demand + MA(99) + liquidity grab zone
36.5 – 34.0 → Last bullish base
30.6 → Extreme support (range low)
Resistances:
48.8 – 50.5 → Range high / sell zone
58.5 – 60.0 → Major supply
66.0 → ATH & heavy sell wall
4) Order Blocks (Approx Zones)
Bullish OB (Buy Zones):
41.0 – 39.5
36.8 – 35.2
Bearish OB (Sell Zones):
49.0 – 51.5
58.0 – 61.0
5) Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
Bullish FVG: 40.5 – 42.0
(Already respected → good sign)
Bearish FVG: 49.2 – 52.0
(Likely magnet if price breaks 47 clean)
6) Volume & Sentiment
Big volume spike on drop from 66 → distribution confirmed
Recent candles: decreasing sell volume
Long/Short:
L: 46%
S: 54%
➡ Crowd slightly short → bullish fuel if 47 breaks
7) Trade Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Preferred)
If price holds above 41–42:
Entry Zone: 42 – 45
SL: 38.8
TP1: 49.5
TP2: 58
TP3: 65+
🔴 Bearish Scenario
If price breaks and closes below 39:
Short Entry: 38.5 – 39
SL: 42.2
TP1: 34.5
TP2: 30.6
8) Final Bias
Short term: Bullish bounce
Mid term: Range → breakout pending
Invalidation: Daily close below 39
Summary
✔ Trend still bullish (higher TF)
✔ Price above key MAs
✔ Accumulation signs
⚠ Still inside range (39–49)