$TON is currently ~82% down from last yearâs all-time high, trading at a key structural support zone between $1.20â$1.45, which historically acted as a strong demand area.
Recent Price Action:
đš Broke long-term support at $3 in September 2025, confirming the bearish trend.
đš Currently down nearly 50% from $3, indicating the market has already discounted significant downside.
đš The current consolidation near $1.20â$1.45 is a classic accumulation range for long-term strategic buyers.
Key Technical Levels:
đš Immediate Support: $1.45â$1.20
đš Critical Bullish Threshold: $1.20 (breaking below this could trigger heavy liquidation)
đš Short/Mid-Term Targets: $3.5 / $6.8
đš Long-Term Target (1â2 years): $10â$15
Market Sentiment & Structure:
đš Despite the recent downtrend, the long-term uptrend remains intact if price holds above $1.20.
đš Volume analysis shows strong accumulation at support, indicating institutional and retail interest.
đš The next 1â2 years could see a multi-bagger rally if accumulation continues and broader crypto market conditions stabilize.
Institutional Positioning:
#TON benefits from high-conviction institutional backing, reducing traditional dump risk:
đš Pantera Capital: Largest investment in 21-year history; doubled down June 2024.
đš Kingsway Capital: TON is their largest token holding; consistently accumulating.
đš Animoca Brands: Largest validator; long-term ecosystem commitment.
đš Sequoia & Benchmark: $400M round in March 2025; fresh position, no exit signals.
Key Takeaways:
đš VC Dump Risk: Extremely low; no vesting cliffs, long-term conviction.
đš Telegram Ecosystem Support: 900M+ users integrated, building real-world utility.
đš Technical Setup: Price at a strong accumulation zone, poised for a multi-year bull cycle if support holds.
Risk Management:
đš Must hold $1.20 to maintain bullish thesis.
đš Aggressive buyers may layer into $1.20â$1.45 with a tight stop below $1.20.
đš Targeting $3.5 / $6.8 / $15 over the next 1â2 years.
TON is in the late bearish cycle but showing high-conviction accumulation behavior. This is a strategic long-term entry point for investors looking for a Telegram-supported, VC-backed multi-year play.
NFA & DYOR
#CryptoPatel #tonecoin