🚨 January 31 on the radar
Possible U.S. government shutdown
It's not new noise, but it's a date the market tends to watch closely.
A "government shutdown" is not just about politics.
When it happens, the impact often seeps into the real economy faster than it seems.
Delayed payments.
Paused contracts.
Regulation on stand-by.
Macro data arriving late (or not arriving).
That doesn’t create immediate panic.
It creates uncertainty.
And markets hate uncertainty.
📉 Historically, when fiscal risk comes into play, the adjustment usually comes in layers:
• first bonds
• then stocks
• after that, riskier assets (commodities, crypto)
It’s not a rule. It’s an observed pattern.
📊 In the current context, we already see movements:
Metals correcting.
Indices adjusting.
Bitcoin with more volatility.
Not due to a single headline, but due to recalibration of expectations.
The key here is not to "guess what will happen."
It’s to understand how the market reacts when the scenario becomes less clear.
Complacency usually lasts…
until it stops.
Having context is not being alarmist.
It’s playing with the complete board.
ℹ️ Informational content. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to invest. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
#Macro #Mercados #EconomíaGlobal #Riesgo #Volatilidad $PEPE $WLFI