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warsh
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Rate Cuts Are Dead for 2026.CPI Runs Hot. FED
Bitcoin Holds 80,600 Like a Rock.
April CPI printed at 3.8 percent headline and 2.8 percent core. Both
numbers came in above expectations. Treasury yields jumped. Stock
futures fell. Bitcoin dipped to 80,463 and then recovered to 80,739.
Down less than half a percent. The macro headwind that should have
crushed risk assets only nudged Bitcoin. That is relative strength.
That is accumulation in action.
The seasonally adjusted figure met expectations at 0.6 percent. That
gives the Fed a small off-ramp. The language at the June meeting is
likely to stay neutral rather than hawkish. Rate cuts are off the table
for 2026. The market already knew that. The CME FedWatch tool had
priced a low probability of cuts before September for weeks. The CPI
print is confirmation, not a surprise.
Kevin Warsh takes the Fed chair this week. The transition from Powell
is complete. The tone from day one is expected to be hawkish. The
market will watch his first statement closely. The macro environment
is now one of sustained higher rates with a central bank focused on
inflation control. Bitcoin is holding 80,000 anyway.
The Iran ceasefire is holding. The Defense Secretary confirmed it.
That removes one geopolitical tail risk. ETH/BTC hit a 10-month low.
Capital is rotating into Bitcoin, not Ethereum. The risk appetite is
selective, not broad-based. GameStop bidding 56 billion dollars for
eBay is the kind of headline that reminds everyone the corporate
world is just as chaotic as crypto.
The global crypto market cap is 2.68 trillion, down 0.8 percent. SAGA
is up 52 percent. GTC up 35 percent. RIF up 27 percent. The
speculative edge is still alive. The market is not panicking. It is rotating.$SOLV
$SAGA
#BTC #CPI #Fed #Warsh
Bitcoin Holds 80,600 Like a Rock.
April CPI printed at 3.8 percent headline and 2.8 percent core. Both
numbers came in above expectations. Treasury yields jumped. Stock
futures fell. Bitcoin dipped to 80,463 and then recovered to 80,739.
Down less than half a percent. The macro headwind that should have
crushed risk assets only nudged Bitcoin. That is relative strength.
That is accumulation in action.
The seasonally adjusted figure met expectations at 0.6 percent. That
gives the Fed a small off-ramp. The language at the June meeting is
likely to stay neutral rather than hawkish. Rate cuts are off the table
for 2026. The market already knew that. The CME FedWatch tool had
priced a low probability of cuts before September for weeks. The CPI
print is confirmation, not a surprise.
Kevin Warsh takes the Fed chair this week. The transition from Powell
is complete. The tone from day one is expected to be hawkish. The
market will watch his first statement closely. The macro environment
is now one of sustained higher rates with a central bank focused on
inflation control. Bitcoin is holding 80,000 anyway.
The Iran ceasefire is holding. The Defense Secretary confirmed it.
That removes one geopolitical tail risk. ETH/BTC hit a 10-month low.
Capital is rotating into Bitcoin, not Ethereum. The risk appetite is
selective, not broad-based. GameStop bidding 56 billion dollars for
eBay is the kind of headline that reminds everyone the corporate
world is just as chaotic as crypto.
The global crypto market cap is 2.68 trillion, down 0.8 percent. SAGA
is up 52 percent. GTC up 35 percent. RIF up 27 percent. The
speculative edge is still alive. The market is not panicking. It is rotating.$SOLV
$SAGA
#BTC #CPI #Fed #Warsh
🚨 SENATE CONFIRMS KEVIN WARSH AS FED CHAIR – MOST PARTISAN VOTE IN HISTORY
The Senate voted 49-44 to confirm Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve chair. The vote split almost entirely along party lines. The committee vote was even more extreme: 13-11 – the first-ever party-line vote for a Fed chair in Senate Banking Committee history.
---
📊 KEY NUMBERS
Metric Data
Senate Final Vote 49-44 (only 2 Democrats voted yes, 0 Republicans voted no)
Committee Vote 13-11 (first full party-line vote)
Warsh Term Begins May 15, 2026 (4-year term)
Powell Stays As Governor until January 2028
---
⚔️ THE CONTRADICTION
Trump is screaming for 1% rate cuts. Warsh is historically hawkish. Powell stays on the board until 2028.
Markets have already priced the tension: CME FedWatch shows no rate cuts priced for all of 2026. June hold probability is 93.8%. December cut odds are just 30%.
Three regional Fed presidents just dissented against the easing bias – the most dissents since 1992. Powell stayed on the board to defend the institution's independence. Warsh walks into a Fed that is already resisting his "regime change."
---
📉 MARKET IMPACT
· Rate path: 2026 cuts are off the table. The Fed is biased toward vigilance on inflation.
· Volatility: Warsh's first policy meeting is June 16-17. The first battle will be public.
· Risk assets: Markets expected a dovish pivot. Instead, they got a hawkish Fed + geopolitical chaos.
---
🎯 BOTTOM LINE
This is no longer a policy disagreement. This is the biggest personality clash in Fed history, pushed by a president.
· If Warsh holds his ground as a hawk: Markets reprice sharply higher on rates.
· If Warsh bends to Trump's demands for cuts: Powell will dissent from the board, creating unprecedented policy chaos at the top.
Either way, volatility is the only certainty. This is peak chaos trade territory.
Thoughts to ponder their is saying "Those Who Make Appointments With.Tommorow Are Likely To.Fail Today "
$SPY $QQQ $BTC
#Fed #Warsh #Powell #RateCuts #Volatility #ChaosTrade
---
The Senate voted 49-44 to confirm Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve chair. The vote split almost entirely along party lines. The committee vote was even more extreme: 13-11 – the first-ever party-line vote for a Fed chair in Senate Banking Committee history.
---
📊 KEY NUMBERS
Metric Data
Senate Final Vote 49-44 (only 2 Democrats voted yes, 0 Republicans voted no)
Committee Vote 13-11 (first full party-line vote)
Warsh Term Begins May 15, 2026 (4-year term)
Powell Stays As Governor until January 2028
---
⚔️ THE CONTRADICTION
Trump is screaming for 1% rate cuts. Warsh is historically hawkish. Powell stays on the board until 2028.
Markets have already priced the tension: CME FedWatch shows no rate cuts priced for all of 2026. June hold probability is 93.8%. December cut odds are just 30%.
Three regional Fed presidents just dissented against the easing bias – the most dissents since 1992. Powell stayed on the board to defend the institution's independence. Warsh walks into a Fed that is already resisting his "regime change."
---
📉 MARKET IMPACT
· Rate path: 2026 cuts are off the table. The Fed is biased toward vigilance on inflation.
· Volatility: Warsh's first policy meeting is June 16-17. The first battle will be public.
· Risk assets: Markets expected a dovish pivot. Instead, they got a hawkish Fed + geopolitical chaos.
---
🎯 BOTTOM LINE
This is no longer a policy disagreement. This is the biggest personality clash in Fed history, pushed by a president.
· If Warsh holds his ground as a hawk: Markets reprice sharply higher on rates.
· If Warsh bends to Trump's demands for cuts: Powell will dissent from the board, creating unprecedented policy chaos at the top.
Either way, volatility is the only certainty. This is peak chaos trade territory.
Thoughts to ponder their is saying "Those Who Make Appointments With.Tommorow Are Likely To.Fail Today "
$SPY $QQQ $BTC
#Fed #Warsh #Powell #RateCuts #Volatility #ChaosTrade
---
🌙 MONDAY DONE. FOUR DAYS LEFT.
Here is your week at a glance.
TODAY HAPPENED:
. Strategy resumed BTC buying
after Q1 earnings blackout ended
. SOL surged to $95 on Alpenglow
100x finalization improvement
. BTC held $80K for 7 straight days
. 12-year dormant whale moved 500 BTC
WHAT IS COMING:
TOMORROW TUE MAY 12:
U.S. April CPI — 8:30 AM ET
This is the inflation number the
Fed watches most closely.
Hot = no cuts. Cool = cuts possible.
THURSDAY MAY 14:
Clarity Act Senate markup.
Most important crypto regulation
vote in U.S. history.
White House target: July 4 passage.
FRIDAY MAY 15:
Kevin Warsh becomes Fed Chair.
First Fed Chair to invest personally
in crypto and DeFi projects.
Historic transition of power.
ALSO WATCHING:
. Iran peace talks — stalled
. Strategy BTC buys this week
. SBR announcement weeks away
This is the week.
"Five days can change a market's
direction for the next six months.
The investors who understand what
is happening this week will be
positioned for what comes after."
— Jack
📩 jackdailycryptobrief.beehiiv.com
⚠️ Educational only. Not financial advice. DYOR.
#bitcoin #BTC #ClarityAct #Warsh
#JackDailyBrief #BinanceSquare
#May2026 #CryptoEducation #dyor
$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
Here is your week at a glance.
TODAY HAPPENED:
. Strategy resumed BTC buying
after Q1 earnings blackout ended
. SOL surged to $95 on Alpenglow
100x finalization improvement
. BTC held $80K for 7 straight days
. 12-year dormant whale moved 500 BTC
WHAT IS COMING:
TOMORROW TUE MAY 12:
U.S. April CPI — 8:30 AM ET
This is the inflation number the
Fed watches most closely.
Hot = no cuts. Cool = cuts possible.
THURSDAY MAY 14:
Clarity Act Senate markup.
Most important crypto regulation
vote in U.S. history.
White House target: July 4 passage.
FRIDAY MAY 15:
Kevin Warsh becomes Fed Chair.
First Fed Chair to invest personally
in crypto and DeFi projects.
Historic transition of power.
ALSO WATCHING:
. Iran peace talks — stalled
. Strategy BTC buys this week
. SBR announcement weeks away
This is the week.
"Five days can change a market's
direction for the next six months.
The investors who understand what
is happening this week will be
positioned for what comes after."
— Jack
📩 jackdailycryptobrief.beehiiv.com
⚠️ Educational only. Not financial advice. DYOR.
#bitcoin #BTC #ClarityAct #Warsh
#JackDailyBrief #BinanceSquare
#May2026 #CryptoEducation #dyor
$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
📌 IMPORTANT CORRECTION FIRST.
Yesterday I stated the Clarity Act
markup was Monday May 11.
That was WRONG. I apologize.
THE CORRECT DATE:
Senate Banking Committee markup
is THURSDAY MAY 14.
Source: CoinDesk confirmed May 9.
"Senate Banking Committee will
meet on Thursday May 14 to consider
the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act."
Always verify before you act on
any information — including mine.
NOW — HERE IS WHAT THIS WEEK LOOKS LIKE:
TUESDAY MAY 12:
U.S. April CPI inflation data.
8:30 AM ET.
THURSDAY MAY 14:
Clarity Act Senate markup.
Most important crypto regulation
vote in U.S. history.
FRIDAY MAY 15:
Kevin Warsh becomes Fed Chair.
Bitcoin believer leads global
monetary policy.
Three historic events in four days.
I will cover each one in detail
every single morning this week. 📊
⚠️ Educational only. Not financial advice. DYOR.
#ClarityAct #Bitcoin #BTC #Warsh
#JackDailyBrief #BinanceSquare
#CryptoRegulation #May2026
$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
Yesterday I stated the Clarity Act
markup was Monday May 11.
That was WRONG. I apologize.
THE CORRECT DATE:
Senate Banking Committee markup
is THURSDAY MAY 14.
Source: CoinDesk confirmed May 9.
"Senate Banking Committee will
meet on Thursday May 14 to consider
the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act."
Always verify before you act on
any information — including mine.
NOW — HERE IS WHAT THIS WEEK LOOKS LIKE:
TUESDAY MAY 12:
U.S. April CPI inflation data.
8:30 AM ET.
THURSDAY MAY 14:
Clarity Act Senate markup.
Most important crypto regulation
vote in U.S. history.
FRIDAY MAY 15:
Kevin Warsh becomes Fed Chair.
Bitcoin believer leads global
monetary policy.
Three historic events in four days.
I will cover each one in detail
every single morning this week. 📊
⚠️ Educational only. Not financial advice. DYOR.
#ClarityAct #Bitcoin #BTC #Warsh
#JackDailyBrief #BinanceSquare
#CryptoRegulation #May2026
$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
⚖️ Warsh vs. Powell: The "Crypto-Savvy" Fed Era Begins! 🚀🏛️
The biggest shift in global finance is here. On May 15, 2026, Jerome Powell officially steps down as Fed Chair, handing the reins to Kevin Warsh—the most "crypto-savvy" leader in Federal Reserve history.
🔥 What’s Trending on Binance Square
The Transition Vote: Senate confirmation is expected as early as Wednesday, May 13, with a 95.8% probability of approval.
"Digital Gold" Pivot: Unlike Powell, who viewed $BTC as a "speculative asset," Warsh sees it as a legitimate macro asset and a monitor for inflation.
The $100K BTC Catalyst: Analysts suggest Warsh’s "integration and innovation" approach could push Bitcoin toward $100,000, fueled by institutional adoption.
The Powell Twist: In a rare move, Powell plans to stay on the Board of Governors until 2028, acting as a "stability anchor" during the handover.
📊 Market Impact & Technicals
Historical Warning: Every Fed Chair transition since 2014 has triggered a Bitcoin sell-off (ranging from 60% to 86%).
Current Price Action: $BTC is currently hovering near $80,397.
Key Resistance: Traders are watching if BTC can break its October 2025 highs or if it will test the $78K–$80K support as Warsh takes over.
Policy Shock: Warsh favors private stablecoins over CBDCs and advocates for "breaking some heads" to reform Fed bureaucracy.
🎯 The Master Strategy
Warsh is a monetary hawk who wants to shrink the Fed’s balance sheet while potentially lowering rates—a "paradoxical" move that could reprice everything from the Dollar to DeFi.
Is this the start of a "Productivity Bull Market" or a liquidity trap? 🎢📈
#Powell #Warsh #FedChair #Bitcoin100K #BinanceSquare #MacroUpdate2026 #CryptoNews
The biggest shift in global finance is here. On May 15, 2026, Jerome Powell officially steps down as Fed Chair, handing the reins to Kevin Warsh—the most "crypto-savvy" leader in Federal Reserve history.
🔥 What’s Trending on Binance Square
The Transition Vote: Senate confirmation is expected as early as Wednesday, May 13, with a 95.8% probability of approval.
"Digital Gold" Pivot: Unlike Powell, who viewed $BTC as a "speculative asset," Warsh sees it as a legitimate macro asset and a monitor for inflation.
The $100K BTC Catalyst: Analysts suggest Warsh’s "integration and innovation" approach could push Bitcoin toward $100,000, fueled by institutional adoption.
The Powell Twist: In a rare move, Powell plans to stay on the Board of Governors until 2028, acting as a "stability anchor" during the handover.
📊 Market Impact & Technicals
Historical Warning: Every Fed Chair transition since 2014 has triggered a Bitcoin sell-off (ranging from 60% to 86%).
Current Price Action: $BTC is currently hovering near $80,397.
Key Resistance: Traders are watching if BTC can break its October 2025 highs or if it will test the $78K–$80K support as Warsh takes over.
Policy Shock: Warsh favors private stablecoins over CBDCs and advocates for "breaking some heads" to reform Fed bureaucracy.
🎯 The Master Strategy
Warsh is a monetary hawk who wants to shrink the Fed’s balance sheet while potentially lowering rates—a "paradoxical" move that could reprice everything from the Dollar to DeFi.
Is this the start of a "Productivity Bull Market" or a liquidity trap? 🎢📈
#Powell #Warsh #FedChair #Bitcoin100K #BinanceSquare #MacroUpdate2026 #CryptoNews
The most powerful seat in global finance is changing hands this week.
Not next quarter. Not after the next election.
This week.
Jerome Powell the man who engineered the most aggressive rate hiking cycle in a generation officially exits on May 15.
And his replacement could be confirmed as early as tomorrow.
Kevin Warsh. Trump's hand-picked nominee. A man whose entire nomination was framed around one promise:
Lower rates. Faster.
Think about the weight of this transition for a moment.
Powell spent four years being the most hawkish voice in the room. He held rates higher for longer while the entire market screamed at him to pivot. He didn't flinch.
Warsh walks in with a completely different mandate.
Trump didn't nominate him to maintain the status quo. He nominated him to deliver the "regime change" he's been demanding publicly for months. Lower borrowing costs. Looser financial conditions. A Fed that moves when the White House wants it to move.
That word regime change isn't casual political language.
It's a signal to every bond trader, every currency desk, and every risk asset on the planet that the framework is shifting.
Dollar. Rates. Equities. Crypto.
Everything gets repriced when the Fed's posture changes at the top.
And this week on top of CPI, PPI, retail sales, and six Fed officials speaking the Senate votes on who controls the most important lever in global finance.
Powell built the wall.
Warsh was hired to tear it down.
Markets are about to find out if that's bullish or a warning.
#FederalReserve #Powell #Warsh #Macro #Bitcoin
Not next quarter. Not after the next election.
This week.
Jerome Powell the man who engineered the most aggressive rate hiking cycle in a generation officially exits on May 15.
And his replacement could be confirmed as early as tomorrow.
Kevin Warsh. Trump's hand-picked nominee. A man whose entire nomination was framed around one promise:
Lower rates. Faster.
Think about the weight of this transition for a moment.
Powell spent four years being the most hawkish voice in the room. He held rates higher for longer while the entire market screamed at him to pivot. He didn't flinch.
Warsh walks in with a completely different mandate.
Trump didn't nominate him to maintain the status quo. He nominated him to deliver the "regime change" he's been demanding publicly for months. Lower borrowing costs. Looser financial conditions. A Fed that moves when the White House wants it to move.
That word regime change isn't casual political language.
It's a signal to every bond trader, every currency desk, and every risk asset on the planet that the framework is shifting.
Dollar. Rates. Equities. Crypto.
Everything gets repriced when the Fed's posture changes at the top.
And this week on top of CPI, PPI, retail sales, and six Fed officials speaking the Senate votes on who controls the most important lever in global finance.
Powell built the wall.
Warsh was hired to tear it down.
Markets are about to find out if that's bullish or a warning.
#FederalReserve #Powell #Warsh #Macro #Bitcoin
🚨🇺🇸 HISTORIC TURN AT THE FED: WARSH NEW CHAIR AMID POLITICAL TENSIONS AND MARKETS ON ALERT 🇺🇸🚨
The U.S. Senate is gearing up to vote on the appointment of Kevin Warsh as the 17th Chair of the Federal Reserve, marking one of the most controversial moments in the recent history of the central bank. A former executive at Morgan Stanley and ex-Fed Governor, Warsh is expected to secure confirmation after a Banking Committee vote that passed narrowly 13-11, strictly along party lines: an unprecedented event, as all previous nominations had bipartisan support.
The nomination comes in a highly charged political environment. Donald Trump has openly pushed for a drastic rate cut down to 1%, from the current 3.5%, while the Justice Department even initiated and then withdrew an investigation into Jerome Powell, fueling suspicions of institutional pressure to expedite the leadership change.
Markets are already moving ahead, pricing in the so-called "Warsh Trade": a potential pivot towards a more aggressive stance ahead of the crucial June FOMC meeting.
However, the real historic element is something else. Powell has confirmed he will remain on the Board of Governors until 2028, continuing to vote alongside his successor.
An unprecedented situation that opens new scenarios for Fed governance and the balance between monetary policy and political pressures.
#BREAKING #Fed #Powell #Warsh #MarketImpact
The U.S. Senate is gearing up to vote on the appointment of Kevin Warsh as the 17th Chair of the Federal Reserve, marking one of the most controversial moments in the recent history of the central bank. A former executive at Morgan Stanley and ex-Fed Governor, Warsh is expected to secure confirmation after a Banking Committee vote that passed narrowly 13-11, strictly along party lines: an unprecedented event, as all previous nominations had bipartisan support.
The nomination comes in a highly charged political environment. Donald Trump has openly pushed for a drastic rate cut down to 1%, from the current 3.5%, while the Justice Department even initiated and then withdrew an investigation into Jerome Powell, fueling suspicions of institutional pressure to expedite the leadership change.
Markets are already moving ahead, pricing in the so-called "Warsh Trade": a potential pivot towards a more aggressive stance ahead of the crucial June FOMC meeting.
However, the real historic element is something else. Powell has confirmed he will remain on the Board of Governors until 2028, continuing to vote alongside his successor.
An unprecedented situation that opens new scenarios for Fed governance and the balance between monetary policy and political pressures.
#BREAKING #Fed #Powell #Warsh #MarketImpact
🚨🇺🇸 The Senate voted to wrap up discussions on the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next head of the Federal Reserve. $RIF
Warsh is expected to be confirmed for the position later this week. Jerome Powell's term ends on May 15. The former president #TRUMP predicts that #Warsh will start aggressively slashing interest rates. $SAPIEN
However, analysts are cautioning that significant rate cuts due to rising inflation could be a risky move. $SAHARA
#FedChairTransitionNears #news #BinanceOnline
Warsh is expected to be confirmed for the position later this week. Jerome Powell's term ends on May 15. The former president #TRUMP predicts that #Warsh will start aggressively slashing interest rates. $SAPIEN
However, analysts are cautioning that significant rate cuts due to rising inflation could be a risky move. $SAHARA
#FedChairTransitionNears #news #BinanceOnline
$STRK
$GALA
$TIA
warsh is officially the choice for fed chair after trumps latest comments during the signing ceremony. trump made it clear that jerome powells decision to stay on the board doesn't matter because the priority is getting warsh confirmed and cutting rates immediately.
this move has shifted market expectations toward a much more dovish federal reserve. warsh has a reputation for wanting to act fast which is exactly what risk assets like bitcoin and stocks want to hear. the previous higher for longer narrative is being replaced by expectations of a liquidity surge this summer.
if the senate confirms him next week we could see a massive rotation into riskier positions. the market is already front running the idea of cheaper money and less restrictive policy. everything depends on how fast the transition happens after may 15.
#fed #warsh #trump #crypto #macro
$GALA
$TIA
warsh is officially the choice for fed chair after trumps latest comments during the signing ceremony. trump made it clear that jerome powells decision to stay on the board doesn't matter because the priority is getting warsh confirmed and cutting rates immediately.
this move has shifted market expectations toward a much more dovish federal reserve. warsh has a reputation for wanting to act fast which is exactly what risk assets like bitcoin and stocks want to hear. the previous higher for longer narrative is being replaced by expectations of a liquidity surge this summer.
if the senate confirms him next week we could see a massive rotation into riskier positions. the market is already front running the idea of cheaper money and less restrictive policy. everything depends on how fast the transition happens after may 15.
#fed #warsh #trump #crypto #macro
The US Senate plans to vote on May 11 to appoint Kevin Warsh as the new head of the Fed, who will replace Jerome Powell on May 15 and lead the charge for aggressive rate cuts under Trump's economic policy.
The transition to Warsh, a supporter of dovish monetary policy, could trigger a sharp rally in risk assets (BTC, NASDAQ) on expectations of cheap liquidity. However, this also carries the risk of long-term inflationary pressures due to the Fed's loss of political independence.
#Fed #Powell #Warsh #InterestRates #MarketPivot
The transition to Warsh, a supporter of dovish monetary policy, could trigger a sharp rally in risk assets (BTC, NASDAQ) on expectations of cheap liquidity. However, this also carries the risk of long-term inflationary pressures due to the Fed's loss of political independence.
#Fed #Powell #Warsh #InterestRates #MarketPivot
HASSETT SAYS CUTS COMING. MARKET SAYS NOT SO FAST.
White House's Hassett just doubled down on rate cuts this year once Warsh takes over. Sounds bullish — but the tape tells a different story.
The Reality:
CME FedWatch just slapped 94.1% odds on no rate cuts in June, 5.9% for a 25 bps cut and basically zero for anything bigger. By December, market pricing shows a 72.6% probability that the Fed does absolutely nothing this year — zero cuts — and a staggering 16% probability we actually see a hike.
Here's the contradiction loud and clear: Hassett is openly betting his credibility that Warsh will quickly deliver easier policy. Analysts point out that Hassett is viewed as the more dovish candidate, while Warsh has a track record as more hawkish — meaning high rates could persist longer under his leadership.
What This Means for Traders:
· Liquidity isn't coming back until Warsh actually proves he's willing to cut — talk is cheap.
· Markets are pricing Warsh as a hawk, not a dove. It's his actions after taking the chair that matter, not Hassett's optimism.
· Until the Senate confirms Warsh and the Fed signals a real pivot, rate-cut euphoria is just noise.
Bottom line: The market is pricing cuts as a long shot not the base case. Reports of easy money are greatly exaggerated. Watch the confirmation vote. Until then, trade the pricing floor, not the headline hype.
$BTC
#FED #ratecuts #Warsh #Hassett
#Liquidity
White House's Hassett just doubled down on rate cuts this year once Warsh takes over. Sounds bullish — but the tape tells a different story.
The Reality:
CME FedWatch just slapped 94.1% odds on no rate cuts in June, 5.9% for a 25 bps cut and basically zero for anything bigger. By December, market pricing shows a 72.6% probability that the Fed does absolutely nothing this year — zero cuts — and a staggering 16% probability we actually see a hike.
Here's the contradiction loud and clear: Hassett is openly betting his credibility that Warsh will quickly deliver easier policy. Analysts point out that Hassett is viewed as the more dovish candidate, while Warsh has a track record as more hawkish — meaning high rates could persist longer under his leadership.
What This Means for Traders:
· Liquidity isn't coming back until Warsh actually proves he's willing to cut — talk is cheap.
· Markets are pricing Warsh as a hawk, not a dove. It's his actions after taking the chair that matter, not Hassett's optimism.
· Until the Senate confirms Warsh and the Fed signals a real pivot, rate-cut euphoria is just noise.
Bottom line: The market is pricing cuts as a long shot not the base case. Reports of easy money are greatly exaggerated. Watch the confirmation vote. Until then, trade the pricing floor, not the headline hype.
$BTC
#FED #ratecuts #Warsh #Hassett
#Liquidity
🚨 POWELL'S TIME AS FED CHAIR IS RUNNING OUT $OSMO
Jerome Powell's term as Fed Chair officially ends on May 15.
$LAYER At the same time, the U.S. Senate is expected to vote on Kevin Warsh on May 11, the final step to confirm Trump's pick for the role.
If approved, Warsh could take over before Powell steps down, signaling a potential shift towards a regime of lower interest rate policies. $TRUTH
#news #Fed #Jerome_Powell #USAdds115kJobs #Warsh
Jerome Powell's term as Fed Chair officially ends on May 15.
$LAYER At the same time, the U.S. Senate is expected to vote on Kevin Warsh on May 11, the final step to confirm Trump's pick for the role.
If approved, Warsh could take over before Powell steps down, signaling a potential shift towards a regime of lower interest rate policies. $TRUTH
#news #Fed #Jerome_Powell #USAdds115kJobs #Warsh
🗳️ END OF WEEK QUESTION.
This week had 7 major institutional
developments in crypto.
Next week has 2 potentially
historic events:
MAY 11: Clarity Act Senate markup
If Senator Tim Scott schedules it
and it passes — July 4 target
for full passage is confirmed.
MAY 15: Kevin Warsh becomes Fed Chair
Bitcoin believer leads global
monetary policy for first time ever.
My question for you:
Which event will have a BIGGER
impact on BTC price?
Comment below 👇
A) 📜 Clarity Act Senate markup passes
= Institutions unlock immediately
= BTC pumps toward $90K-$100K
B) 🏦 Warsh becomes Fed Chair May 15
= Markets celebrate Bitcoin believer
= BTC breaks $85K on the news
C) 🕊️ Iran peace deal confirmed
= Oil falls to $80-85
= Fed can cut rates
= BTC targets $95K-$100K
D) 📊 All three happen together
= "Rocket ship" as White House said
= $100K+ this month
Drop your answer. 👇
I cover all of these every morning.
⚠️ Educational only. Not financial advice. DYOR.
#bitcoin #BTC #CLARITYAct #Warsh
#JackDailyBrief #BinanceSquare
#Poll #CryptoEducation #May2026
#Iran #DYOR
$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
This week had 7 major institutional
developments in crypto.
Next week has 2 potentially
historic events:
MAY 11: Clarity Act Senate markup
If Senator Tim Scott schedules it
and it passes — July 4 target
for full passage is confirmed.
MAY 15: Kevin Warsh becomes Fed Chair
Bitcoin believer leads global
monetary policy for first time ever.
My question for you:
Which event will have a BIGGER
impact on BTC price?
Comment below 👇
A) 📜 Clarity Act Senate markup passes
= Institutions unlock immediately
= BTC pumps toward $90K-$100K
B) 🏦 Warsh becomes Fed Chair May 15
= Markets celebrate Bitcoin believer
= BTC breaks $85K on the news
C) 🕊️ Iran peace deal confirmed
= Oil falls to $80-85
= Fed can cut rates
= BTC targets $95K-$100K
D) 📊 All three happen together
= "Rocket ship" as White House said
= $100K+ this month
Drop your answer. 👇
I cover all of these every morning.
⚠️ Educational only. Not financial advice. DYOR.
#bitcoin #BTC #CLARITYAct #Warsh
#JackDailyBrief #BinanceSquare
#Poll #CryptoEducation #May2026
#Iran #DYOR
$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
Sky DEX_Insight:
Hope your post gains strong traction on the feed and reaches wide visibility.Strong insight this isn’t obvious to most. I've followed Hope your post gains strong traction on the feed
📋 THIS WEEK IN REVIEW.
May 4-8, 2026.
What happened this week:
MONDAY: BTC broke $80K . Short squeeze
TUESDAY: Strategy Q1 . 89,600 BTC added
WEDNESDAY: Oil crashed 8% . Iran deal close
S&P 500 + Nasdaq hit record highs
THURSDAY: White House . July 4 Clarity target
SBR announcement . weeks away
BNY Mellon . Bitcoin custody Abu Dhabi
A16z . $2.2B crypto fund raised
FRIDAY: Jobs report . Iran deal response pending
BTC holding $80K . Consolidating
THE SEVEN INSTITUTIONAL MOVES:
. A16z: $2.2B crypto fund ✅
. BNY Mellon: BTC confirmed + Abu Dhabi ✅
. Western Union: Solana stablecoin live ✅
. DTCC: Blockchain tokenization work ✅
. Strategy: Q2 buying resumes next week ✅
. White House: SBR weeks away ✅
. White House: Clarity Act July 4 ✅
NEXT WEEK IS EVEN BIGGER:
. May 11: Clarity Act Senate markup
. May 15: Warsh becomes Fed Chair
THIS WEEKEND WATCH:
. Iran response to 14-point MOU
. Oil price direction
. Any Trump statements on Iran
"Seven institutional moves in
five days. That is the foundation
being poured for the next phase."
— Jack
📩 jackdailycryptobrief.beehiiv.com
⚠️ Educational only. Not financial advice. DYOR.
#Bitcoin #BTC #JackDailyBrief
#BinanceSquare #WeeklyReview
#ClarityAct #Warsh #May2026
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
May 4-8, 2026.
What happened this week:
MONDAY: BTC broke $80K . Short squeeze
TUESDAY: Strategy Q1 . 89,600 BTC added
WEDNESDAY: Oil crashed 8% . Iran deal close
S&P 500 + Nasdaq hit record highs
THURSDAY: White House . July 4 Clarity target
SBR announcement . weeks away
BNY Mellon . Bitcoin custody Abu Dhabi
A16z . $2.2B crypto fund raised
FRIDAY: Jobs report . Iran deal response pending
BTC holding $80K . Consolidating
THE SEVEN INSTITUTIONAL MOVES:
. A16z: $2.2B crypto fund ✅
. BNY Mellon: BTC confirmed + Abu Dhabi ✅
. Western Union: Solana stablecoin live ✅
. DTCC: Blockchain tokenization work ✅
. Strategy: Q2 buying resumes next week ✅
. White House: SBR weeks away ✅
. White House: Clarity Act July 4 ✅
NEXT WEEK IS EVEN BIGGER:
. May 11: Clarity Act Senate markup
. May 15: Warsh becomes Fed Chair
THIS WEEKEND WATCH:
. Iran response to 14-point MOU
. Oil price direction
. Any Trump statements on Iran
"Seven institutional moves in
five days. That is the foundation
being poured for the next phase."
— Jack
📩 jackdailycryptobrief.beehiiv.com
⚠️ Educational only. Not financial advice. DYOR.
#Bitcoin #BTC #JackDailyBrief
#BinanceSquare #WeeklyReview
#ClarityAct #Warsh #May2026
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
Thursday May 7 — 8:30 AM ET
🔴 Initial Jobless Claims
Forecast: ~200K · Prev: 189K
Weekly check on layoffs — last week's 189K was the lowest since 1969 showing a very healthy labor market. A spike above 210K would signal cracks starting to appear. 💼
Thursday May 7 — 2:00 PM ET
🔴 FOMC Meeting — Kevin Warsh's FIRST as Fed Chair 🔥
Forecast: Hold at 3.50–3.75%
This is the most watched event of the week — Warsh takes the podium for the first time. Every word will be analyzed for clues on where rates go next under new leadership. Expect big volatility between 2PM–3PM. ⚡
#FOMOalert #Inflation #LaborMarket #JobsReport #Warsh
🔴 Initial Jobless Claims
Forecast: ~200K · Prev: 189K
Weekly check on layoffs — last week's 189K was the lowest since 1969 showing a very healthy labor market. A spike above 210K would signal cracks starting to appear. 💼
Thursday May 7 — 2:00 PM ET
🔴 FOMC Meeting — Kevin Warsh's FIRST as Fed Chair 🔥
Forecast: Hold at 3.50–3.75%
This is the most watched event of the week — Warsh takes the podium for the first time. Every word will be analyzed for clues on where rates go next under new leadership. Expect big volatility between 2PM–3PM. ⚡
#FOMOalert #Inflation #LaborMarket #JobsReport #Warsh
⚠️ TRUMP SIGNALS HUGE FED SHIFT! ⚠️
This statement on Kevin Warsh has the markets buzzing. Warsh is a known quantity with deep ties. If he gets a look-in, expect major monetary policy swings. This is not noise; this is a massive signal for risk assets. Watch the macro environment closely.
• Warsh praised by Trump.
• Potential Fed Chairman candidate discussed.
• High volatility incoming.
#CryptoNews #MacroShift #TrumpEffect #Warsh #PolicyWatch 🚨
This statement on Kevin Warsh has the markets buzzing. Warsh is a known quantity with deep ties. If he gets a look-in, expect major monetary policy swings. This is not noise; this is a massive signal for risk assets. Watch the macro environment closely.
• Warsh praised by Trump.
• Potential Fed Chairman candidate discussed.
• High volatility incoming.
#CryptoNews #MacroShift #TrumpEffect #Warsh #PolicyWatch 🚨
Trump chooses Kevin Warsh.. the new president of the Federal Reserve
supports interest rate cuts
agrees with Trump regarding tariffs
and this way we can say goodbye to gold bye bye
$BTC
+0.95%
$PAXG
#Warsh
#USPPIJump
#CZAMAonBinanceSquare #PAXGUSDT #PAXG
supports interest rate cuts
agrees with Trump regarding tariffs
and this way we can say goodbye to gold bye bye
$BTC
+0.95%
$PAXG
#Warsh
#USPPIJump
#CZAMAonBinanceSquare #PAXGUSDT #PAXG
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