XRP has entered a recovery phase after defending the $2.00 psychological support with strength. Buyers stepped in aggressively once the price stabilized, allowing XRP to reclaim $2.020 and $2.050 and shift back into a more constructive short term structure. This move mirrors the broader market, where Bitcoin and Ethereum also bounced from key support zones. With XRP now trading above $2.060 and the 100 hour simple moving average, the momentum has begun tilting in favor of buyers once again.
However, the climb upward is facing immediate resistance. XRP is struggling to break through the $2.10 zone, which aligns with the 23.6 percent Fibonacci retracement of the decline from $2.2130 to $1.990. In addition, a connecting bearish trendline sits directly overhead at $2.090. This trendline has repeatedly rejected upward attempts and now represents the first major obstacle that must be cleared for continuation
At this stage, an important question naturally emerges.
Is this rebound a genuine bullish reversal or just a temporary reaction?
XRP’s indicators lean toward a constructive recovery. The MACD is increasing in the bullish zone, suggesting renewed positive momentum. The RSI sits above 50, indicating that buyers are gaining control rather than losing steam. Most importantly, the price has reclaimed the 100 hour simple moving average, a key sign that underlying structure is stabilizing. These elements support the idea that XRP is not simply bouncing but potentially preparing for a broader upward move.
If the price breaks above $2.10 and clears the trendline resistance at $2.090, the next major level stands at $2.1250. A close above this resistance would be considered a technical confirmation of bullish strength. Beyond that level, $2.160 becomes the next target, aligning with the 76.4 percent Fibonacci retracement of the previous decline. Breaking through $2.160 would likely accelerate momentum and open the door to higher resistance levels at $2.220, $2.280, and $2.350.
This leads to a second critical question.
What conditions must be met for XRP to enter a sustained bullish phase?
A decisive daily close above $2.1250, followed by stability above $2.160, would create the foundation for a trend continuation. These levels are tied to both structural resistance and liquidity zones that historically produce strong momentum. If XRP can flip these levels into support, the chart transitions from recovery into expansion, allowing the price to test higher targets more confidently.
Despite the improving signals, downside risks remain in play. If XRP fails to break through the $2.10 resistance, it could fall back toward initial support at $2.050. Losing this level would shift short term sentiment and expose the $2.00 support. A close below $2.00 would significantly weaken the bullish structure and may trigger a deeper correction toward $1.9650. Further downside from there could test the $1.920 region, a critical support zone that must hold to avoid a broader downtrend.
Here another essential question comes into focus.
Where is the invalidation point for the bullish scenario?
A break and close below $2.00 would be the clearest sign that the recovery has failed. Under this level, momentum weakens sharply, and sellers regain full control. The next defensive zones sit at $1.9650 and $1.920, and losing them could push XRP toward $1.850. At that point, the bullish narrative collapses and the market shifts toward a bearish continuation pattern.
For the moment, however, XRP maintains a constructive structure. MACD momentum continues rising. RSI remains stable above 50. The price holds above the 100 hour simple moving average. These ingredients suggest that XRP is preparing for another attempt at the $2.10 barrier. The chart is tightening, volatility is compressing, and the market appears ready for a directional move.
XRP now stands at a decisive junction. A breakout above $2.10 could unlock the path toward $2.1250, then $2.160, and potentially $2.220. A rejection could send the price back toward $2.050 and $2.00. With key indicators supporting the bullish case, the market is watching closely to see whether XRP can finally push through resistance and shift into a stronger recovery.
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