avax

Avalanche (AVAXUSD) has been trading within a 2-year Channel Down which made a Lower Low bottom 3 weeks ago. The price has since then traded sideways, potentially in an attempt to price a technical Support base.
If the market doesn't break below this, there are high probabilities to see this pattern initiating a new Bullish Leg. The previous two Bullish Legs showed a declining rate on their rallies with the first hitting the 0.786 Fibonacci level but the second being only able to hit the 0.68 Fib.
If this decreasing rate continues, we shouldn't go much further than the 0.5 Fib this time. With the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1M MA50 (red trend-line) posing as the two main Resistance levels of this Bear Cycle, we place our Target below at $20.000.
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Since October 2023 AVAX produced three bullish waves. The shortest one lasted 119 days, four months. The longest one lasted 175 days, six months. We are about to see a new bullish wave.
The shortest wave was a lower high, and thus the short duration. It was part of a broader bearish move. The last bullish wave lasted 168 days but was much smaller than the previous two. The first wave was the strongest and longest between October 2023 through March 2024. From a long-term perspective, we can see the bullish trend ended in March 2024. We are about to see the biggest wave since the last bull market, starting around September 2020 and ending in November 2021.
The fourth wave of the previous bull market ended in July 2021. Here a major support level was established. When the bear market hit bottom, it was at the same level as the fourth wave of the previous bull market. When the current bearish cycle reached bottom, it was again at the same level from the previous bear market and bull market fourth wave. These levels can be seen grey on the chart: July 2021, Sept. - Oct. 2023 and Oct. 2025.
Here goes the repeating dates again. The Cryptocurrency market tends to turn bullish late in the year, this is a repeating pattern. This pattern repeats so often that you can bet on it. It happens all the time.
Avalanche is set to enter a strong bullish period next. The long-term support has been activated and confirmed, $8.52, trading action only lasted a few hours around this level. Prices are low now at $14+. This means that buyers were ready and present and wouldn't let the market trade too low for too long, a few hours at most.
Now a higher low has been confirmed after three weeks of no new lows. This week starts green, clearly signaling that the market is ready to grow. There is no going back now. We can expect massive growth after a very strong period of bearish action.
Just as AVAX was producing lower highs for months and months and months, it will now reverse course and produce higher highs for years to come.
Long-term targets can be found on the chart.
We are looking at bottom prices, one of the best possible entries before the start of the next bullish wave. Current prices won't be available for long, this is the fourth week that AVAXUSDT trades this low, a long time to buy and take action. You've been warned.
Namaste.

✅ Trade here on $AVAX

Avalanche (AVAX) is currently trading around $14.50, consolidating in a tight range after a period of sideways movement. Over the past month, AVAX has shown relatively low volatility, bouncing between roughly $13.50 and $15.20, reflecting a cautious market sentiment amid broader crypto uncertainty. The current price is still far below its all-time high of $144.96, but the network continues to build strong fundamentals that long-term investors should not overlook.
From a technical perspective, short-term price forecasts suggest AVAX could test the $14.80–$15.10 range in the coming weeks if bullish momentum returns. However, sentiment remains slightly bearish for now, supported by a Fear & Greed Index reading in the “fear” zone and a relatively low number of green days over the last 30 sessions. That said, the price is holding above key support near $13.50, which indicates underlying demand is still present.
Looking at 2025, analyst expectations vary widely. Some project a conservative range of $13.50–$14.60 by year-end, while more optimistic models suggest AVAX could reach $18–$75 if broader market conditions improve, especially around the expected Bitcoin halving cycle tailwind. The divergence in forecasts highlights one key truth: AVAX’s next major move will likely depend on macro crypto trends, Bitcoin’s direction, and on-chain adoption rather than isolated price patterns.
On the fundamental side, Avalanche has been quietly strengthening its position in the ecosystem. The network has seen growing activity in DeFi and institutional-grade real-world asset (RWA) tokenization projects, which are expanding its utility beyond speculative trading. Partnerships with traditional finance players and increased adoption of subnets for enterprise use cases are positive signals for long-term value accrual. These developments may not move the price dramatically in the short term, but they lay the groundwork for stronger demand in the next bull cycle.
For Vietnamese individual investors, here’s how to approach AVAX right now:
1. Short-term (1–3 months): Treat AVAX as range-bound. Consider using volatility to your advantage—accumulating near $13.50–$14.00 and taking partial profits near $15.00–$15.50 if the price tests resistance. Avoid over-leveraging in this choppy environment.
2. Medium-term (6–12 months): If Bitcoin enters a strong post-halving bull run in 2025, AVAX could see significant upside, potentially testing $20–$30 or higher depending on market momentum and ecosystem growth. Keep an eye on network metrics like active addresses, subnet activity, and TVL in Avalanche-based DeFi protocols.
3. Long-term (2026–2030): Avalanche remains one of the most technically robust Layer 1 platforms with strong institutional interest. If the project continues to capture market share in DeFi, RWAs, and enterprise blockchain use, multi-year price targets in the $50–$100+ range become more plausible in a strong bull environment.
Key risks to monitor:
- Prolonged bearish macro conditions (tight monetary policy, risk-off sentiment).
- Increased competition from other Layer 1 platforms.
- Regulatory uncertainty in major markets.
Bottom line: AVAX is not making headlines right now, but it’s building quietly behind the scenes. For Vietnamese investors, this phase offers a chance to accumulate at relatively low prices with a clear plan. Focus on dollar-cost averaging, keep risk management tight, and stay updated on both on-chain data and broader crypto market trends.

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$AVAX