As a 5-year veteran of spot trading, after seeing the floating losses from BitMine, my biggest takeaway is not to mock Tom Lee for considering delivery jobs, but to reaffirm the hard truth: in the cryptocurrency space, the only magic weapon for survival is "de-leveraging".
Everyone is watching the excitement, let me break down the underlying "spot survival philosophy":
1. Institutions are not gods; they can also "catch flying knives".
BitMine holds 4 million $ETH, which sounds rich enough to rival nations, but with an average cost of $3,882, it is a heavy burden at the current market price. What does a floating loss of $6 billion mean? It means the entire company’s valuation is on the brink of liquidation.
My insight: Many people are superstitious about "institutional entry", believing that institutions have professional teams and unlimited bullets. But in reality, institutional funds also come with costs and pressures. Once the trend turns bad, even the largest whales become just fatter cannon fodder.
2. The dilemma of $ETH's cost-performance ratio
Currently, $ETH has dropped to $2,400, meaning it needs to rise by 60% to break even. In contrast, MicroStrategy has also touched the $76K cost line, but the consensus and elasticity of $BTC$ are clearly stronger than those of $ETH.
My insistence: This is why I have only focused on $BTC spot trading for the past 5 years. You can call me conservative, but in this era of black swans flying around, "stability" is the greatest profit.
3. A warning for spot traders: Never compare "holding positions" with institutions
CEOs may lose only their jobs or make a self-deprecating tweet about considering delivery jobs; but ordinary people who stubbornly hold full positions in this situation, or even leverage to average down profits, may end up really having to deliver food.
In summary:
Watching these giants struggle in deep waters, we should be grateful that we haven't touched contracts. The market will not show mercy just because you are an institution, nor will it bully you just because you are a retail investor. It only punishes one type of person: those who do not respect trends and lack patience.
Since BitMine has already stepped into the pit for us, we should honestly wait on the shore for a truly bottomed opportunity.
#BTC #ETH #BitMine #现货交易