gold

।। By Mahamud Mithu ।।
Gold enters 2026 after a year of record highs, with outcomes hinging on global macro risks
After a historic 2025 that saw gold achieve over 50 all-time highs and deliver returns exceeding 60%, the trajectory of the precious metal in 2026 hinges on a deeply fractured global economic landscape. The past year’s performance was buoyed by heightened geopolitical and economic uncertainty, a weaker US dollar, and strong investment momentum. Now, analysts are focused on whether persistent geoeconomic risk will continue to drive prices or if a sudden shift in policy and economic growth could trigger a significant correction.The metal’s surge in 2025, which ranks as its fourth strongest annual return since 1971, was rooted in two primary macro drivers: a supercharged high-risk global environment and US dollar weakness coupled with marginally lower interest rates. This environment fuelled a widespread push for diversification among investors and central banks, seeking stability amid lacklustre bond returns and concerns over the frothiness in equity markets.
The drivers of gold’s record rally
Analysis from the Gold Return Attribution Model (GRAM) indicates that the high-risk environment accounted for roughly 12 percentage points of gold’s year-to-date return, primarily driven by geopolitical risk. Reduced opportunity cost, stemming from a weaker dollar and lower rates, contributed another 10 percentage points
The combined effect of politics and macro uncertainty has been especially potent during the current period of renewed political volatility in the US. The combined influence of heightened geopolitical risk and US dollar weakness accounted for approximately 16 percentage points of the metal’s performance.
“The contributions of the four main factors that drive gold have been unusually balanced this year,” the World Gold Council noted, a sign of a market driven by diverse forces rather than a single catalyst. However, momentum played a larger role than in previous years, reflecting the widespread investor interest generated by gold’s robust rally.Three scenarios define the 2026 outlook
While the current gold price broadly reflects macroeconomic consensus, suggesting stable growth, minor rate cuts, and a rangebound performance, the history of the past year shows the macroeconomy rarely follows predictable paths. Analysts have mapped out three distinct scenarios for 2026, each carrying a radically different implication for gold’s price.
1. The shallow slip: Moderate gains
This scenario involves a moderate slowdown in the US economy, prompted by concerns that momentum is fading, especially if high margins contract or if a potential reset in AI expectations drags on the equity market. A softening US labour market would weaken consumer activity, prompting the Federal Reserve to cut rates beyond current expectations.
Impact on gold: This combination of lower interest rates, a weaker dollar, both of which remain cyclically high, and heightened risk aversion would be supportive. Analysts project that under this environment, gold could rise 5% to 15% in 2026. This would represent a noteworthy follow-up to 2025’s performance, potentially aided by continued strategic central bank buying and new investment entrants from markets like China and India.
#BTCVSGOLD #criptonews #USDT #Ethereum #gold

।। by Mahamud Mithu ।।
Gold might become the most expensive ever in the UAE by 2026, according to new predictions from a bank.
Gold buyers in the UAE might need to get ready for much higher prices over the next two years.A new forecast from Deutsche Bank suggests gold could rise to almost $5,000 per ounce in 2026, which is about Dh589 per gram. Even the bank’s more cautious estimate points to prices near Dh525 per gram.Deutsche Bank says gold has been performing very well and is still doing better than the US dollar.As the bank explains: "All these factors suggest we should update our 2026 forecast to $4,450 per ounce, which is higher than our previous estimate of $4,000. We also expect prices to range from $3,950 to $4,950 per ounce in 2026."
Other banks are saying the same thing.In late 2025, several top financial institutions made similar predictions, often pointing to rising global tensions, government debt, and strong demand from central banks. Goldman Sachs raised its 2026 target to $4,900 per ounce, or about Dh578 per gram, and expects central banks to continue buying a lot of gold. They also believe people will return to buying gold once interest rates go down. Bank of America expects prices to reach $5,000 per ounce, matching Deutsche Bank’s highest scenario, which would be about Dh589 per gram in the UAE. The bank says growing US deficit spending and concerns about currency stability are making more investors turn to gold. TD Securities expects $4,400 per ounce, or about Dh519 per gram, while HSBC also raised its prediction to a $5,000 per ounce peak in early 2026. This is a rare time when many of the world’s biggest banks are agreeing on the same direction, and all are expecting prices to go up.
Central banks are a big reason behind the rising prices.
Many countries are adding gold to their reserves to reduce their reliance on the US dollar and protect against global uncertainty. Deutsche Bank predicts these purchases will increase from 853 tonnes in 2025 to 1,053 tonnes in 2026. Gold demand in late 2025 was already one of the highest ever. This heavy buying means less gold is available for regular buyers, including those in the UAE. It also makes the market tighter, which usually leads to higher prices. Deutsche Bank adds: "We believe there is a good chance for another year of strong gold price growth."
While demand is increasing, supply is growing very slowly.
Global mine production is expected to rise only slightly to 3,715 tonnes in 2026, and recycled gold remains at levels lower than before.
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🔥 A silent revolution is unfolding—and the world can feel the tremors.
Russia has just shattered every modern record, pushing its gold reserves beyond a mind-bending $300 BILLION for the first time in history. 🏰💰
For months, Moscow has been quietly hoarding gold, building a colossal treasure chest while global markets watch in stunned silence. Each new shipment feels like a secret move on a global chessboard—and no one knows what the next strike will be. ♟️🪙

🪙 THE GOLDEN DOMINATION
Russia’s gold now makes up a staggering 42% of all its foreign reserves—the highest share since 1995.
That’s not just a shift…
That’s a global power play, powered by soaring gold prices and a geopolitical strategy wrapped in pure mystery. ⚡🌐
🌍 WHY THE WORLD IS NERVOUS
Economists warn:
This isn’t just Russia stacking metal…
This is Russia reshaping leverage, influence, and financial defenses in a world drowning in uncertainty. 🌪️📉
Every ounce added pushes global power balances into new, unpredictable territory.

🇺🇸 ALL EYES ON PRESIDENT TRUMP
And now comes the wild card…
What will President Trump do?
His response—whether calm or explosive—could send shockwaves across:
🔥 Gold markets
🔥 Global currencies
🔥 Crypto markets
🔥 Geopolitical alliances
One statement from Trump… and markets could erupts or melt. 📈🔥❄️
⚠️ THE WORLD HOLDS ITS BREATH
Gold is rising.
Tensions are rising.
Power is shifting.
The suspense is electrifying—and this story is only getting started. ⚡📡
#BTCVSGOLD #BinanceBlockchainWeek #TrumpTariffs #gold #GoldenEggGiveaway
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