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Japanese bond yields are now moving in ways that almost never happen in a strong economy.

The 10Y, 20Y, 30Y, and even 40Y bond yields have reached their highest levels this century.

But why should you care?

For decades, Japan was the world’s cheapest source of money.

Rates were near zero, sometimes even negative. Global investors borrowed yen and poured that capital into stocks, commodities, and risk assets everywhere.

That cheap funding was one of the hidden engines behind global market highs, and now that engine is breaking.

Right now, Japan is facing:
• A collapsing birth rate
• A shrinking future workforce
• The highest debt-to-GDP ratio on Earth

When growth potential falls and debt stays massive, bond buyers lose confidence and start to sell.

And when they sell, yields explode higher.

That is exactly what is happening now.

But this money is not disappearing. It is rotating.

The capital leaving Japanese bonds is moving straight into gold and silver.

That is why precious metals and Japanese yields are rising almost together. Investors are exiting government debt and hiding in hard assets.

But this phase will not last forever.

If yields keep rising:
• The Bank of Japan will be forced to stop tightening
• Bond buying will restart
• Yield suppression will return

And we have started to see the carnage from Japan’s rising bond yields.

The S&P 500 recently erased more than $1.3 trillion in market value, largely because of fears linked to Japan’s bond market stress.

This is because Japan is not a regional issue. It is a global liquidity fault line.

And what will happen when the BOJ steps in?

• Yields will stabilize
• The rush into gold and silver will peak
• Metals will likely form a blow-off top
• Capital will rotate again into risk-on assets

And that is when I will start going in heavily, while others will wait for an even bigger crash.
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