research

In the dynamic world of cryptocurrency, early discovery is synonymous with opportunity. The ability to identify promising projects during their nascent, pre-listing phases can define an investor's success. Yet, this process remains a chaotic and inefficient endeavor, reliant on navigating fragmented information across Discord, Twitter, and various data silos. @Walrus 🦭/acc is on a mission to solve this fundamental problem, aiming to build the universal search layer for on-chain assets with $WAL
Walrus Protocol envisions a future where discovering a new token is as simple and structured as a Google search. It seeks to index and standardize critical data from across decentralized exchanges (DEXs) and private markets—information on token launches, initial liquidity, vesting schedules, and team allocations. By aggregating this scattered intelligence into a single, query-able platform, Walrus empowers users to perform due diligence based on comparable, on-chain facts rather than hearsay and hype.
The utility of the $WAL token is central to this ecosystem, designed to facilitate access and governance. For retail and professional investors alike, this means a leveled playing field and reduced information asymmetry. For project teams, it provides a transparent stage to showcase their token's structure and build credibility. By bringing order to the chaos of early-stage crypto, Walrus Protocol isn't just creating a tool; it's advocating for a more informed, efficient, and transparent market. Its success would mark a significant step toward maturity for the entire asset discovery process.

#walrus #crypto #data #research #ALPHA

This edition of Top of Mind with

a 10x Research

examines Bitcoin’s growing political influence and its performance in U.S. presidencies. We take a look at Bitcoin’s strong trends in the run-up to the election, its potential impact on the 2024 election, and how rising prices are turning skeptics into advocates.


Bitcoin Politics
DR
As Bitcoin’s price surges, former skeptics like Michael Saylor and Larry Fink have become vocal advocates. Bitcoin has thrived under three U.S. presidents, and the 2025 election has the potential to be pivotal, with candidates now embracing it. Historically, Bitcoin has performed well in pre-election years, and 2024 has continued that trend. The 2024 election, shaped by key events like the debate and the Trump assassination attempt, could have a significant impact on Bitcoin, but its history suggests it will continue to thrive regardless of the election outcome.

Introduction
I am crypto only futures and spot trader with 5 years of experience. Survived the big crush of the COVID period and post-COVID, predicted the fall and shorted it till 23.000$ then I stopped trading for a while, losted part of my profit and 5 months ago bitcoin got my attention once again. I specify on shorts only, I profit on long position only on spot. MY GOAL is to make useful researches, fundamental analyzes and share it with you, hoping that I will get some of your attention in return.
Now let's comeback to Data:
This is one of my most important research work covering macroeconomics, bicoin cycles, side to side comparison, learning bitcoin patterns and other crucial aspects

Data and Analysis
What we can expect in 2024 based on past patterns. Let's break it down with some compelling insights

Pay attention to the simillarities on the table! It's crucial to understand why the cycle is so simillar in bitcoin.

Bitcoin’s Cycles and Halving Effects
Bitcoin’s market operates on a four-year halving cycle, reducing mining rewards and driving prices up. Here's a closer look at these cycles and their future implications.

Macroeconomic Shifts: 2021 vs. 2024
The economic landscape has changed dramatically from 2021 to 2024, making the latter more challenging. Here’s why:

🧧 Global Financial Stability

2021🍂
Post-COVID Recovery: Economies were bouncing back. Central banks, including the Federal Reserve, implemented QE and stimulus measures, injecting liquidity and keeping interest rates near zero. The US GDP grew by 5.7%​ (Bitcoin Magazine)​.Economic Growth: Surprisingly GDP growth was robust, driven by easing lockdowns and vaccination efforts.
2024🍃
Economic Slowdown: Global GDP growth has slowed to around 2.4% due to persistent inflation and tighter monetary policies​ (CoinGecko)​.Increased Interest Rates: Central banks have raised rates significantly to combat inflation, with the Fed’s rates at 5%, increasing borrowing costs​ (coinglass)​.

🧧 Geopolitical Tensions
2021🍂
Stable Climate: Geopolitical tensions were present but contained, allowing trade recovery.
2024🍃
Escalated Conflicts: Ongoing conflicts and economic wars have disrupted global supply chains and trade​​.Sanctions and Trade Wars: New sanctions and trade restrictions have strained international relations.

🧧 Inflation and Currency Devaluation
2021🍂
Moderate Inflation: Inflation was at 4.7%, driven by supply chain disruptions and increased demand​ (Bitcoin Magazine)​.
2024🍃
High Inflation: Inflation has surged to 8%, eroding purchasing power and increasing living costs​.Currency Weakness: Major currencies have depreciated against the US dollar, raising import costs.

🧧 Technological and Regulatory Environment
2021🍂
Regulatory Uncertainty: The crypto regulatory environment was evolving, with mixed signals from governments. Institutional interest was high​​.Tech Progress: Advancements like SegWit improved Bitcoin’s scalability​​.
2024🍃
Regulatory Clarity and Tightening: Stricter regulations have been implemented, including higher taxes and compliance measures, dampening investor enthusiasm.Technological Maturation: Innovations continue but at a slower pace, focusing more on compliance and security.
🧧 Market Sentiment and Investor Behavior
2021🍂
Bullish Enthusiasm: The market was bullish, driven by post-COVID recovery and rising crypto adoption​ (coinglass)​.Diversifying Investor Base: More institutional investors entered the market, adding stability and speculation​.
2024🍃
Bearish Caution: Sentiment is more cautious due to economic uncertainties and high inflation. Investors are wary, reducing exposure to high-risk assets like cryptocurrencies​​.Flight to Safety: Investors favor safer investments like gold and government bonds over volatile cryptocurrencies.

Final conclusion:
The macroeconomic conditions in 2024 are significantly more challenging compared to 2021. With higher inflation, intensified geopolitical tensions, stricter regulations, and a more cautious investor sentiment, the economic landscape is both volatile and uncertain. These factors make 2024 potentially tougher for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, yet also ripe with strategic opportunities for the informed investor.
Technical Analysis Summary: Watch for Bitcoin stabilizing around the 200-day moving average and RSI levels indicating oversold conditions. Key indicators such as moving averages, RSI, and volume trends will be crucial in predicting market movements.
Outlook: Based on historical trends, Bitcoin may stabilize and rise before the July FOMC meeting. This period could be a prime entry point for savvy investors. Monitoring market indicators and macroeconomic trends will be essential. Despite the broader global crisis, the crypto market might be less impacted, presenting unique investment opportunities.

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WHAT TO PREPARE TO PRACTICE RESEARCH SKILLS IN CRYPTO

Project research skills bring the best competitive advantage to each individual in the Crypto space. But I personally find that most of us are not really interested in developing research skills or rather do not know "what" to prepare to practice research. I also find that my own research skills are lacking. There are many limitations, which is very understandable because the Crypto market is so large, each different niche or project has a different way of operating.

I just discovered $BONK and it looks interesting. I like that the community is active and there are some upcoming updates that might affect price action. I am doing more research before placing a bet but this could be one to watch closely. #crypto #cryptocurrency #research #investing

Crypto Market and volatility are just synonyms. While crypto can give you never imagined returns in short time also brings some big risk factors like flash dumps and big breakdowns. 

Recently Bitcoin plunged 56,000$ all of a sudden thanks to sell off from Germany and many others bearish factors. But there's always opportunities knocking your door. These are small tips how you can chery-pick the best coins even during this bad situations.
🔼 Relative Strength (RSI) :
The RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and magnitude of recent price changes. It's displayed as a line on a scale of 0 to 100. Traditionally, an RSI above 70 indicates an overbought condition, and below 30 indicates oversold.
Then we have Sector Relative Strength Against Bitcoin. It's a intersting metrics that indicate +1.0 sector is leading the market or if it's falls below it's lagging behind the market.

🔆 Daily Active Users (DAU): 
High DAU indicates a project with a vibrant user base actively engaging with the platform. This suggests the project is solving a problem or offering a valuable service that people use regularly. Increased user activity can lead to more demand for the project's token, potentially driving the price up.

💥 Transaction Volume:
Transaction volume refers to the total amount of cryptocurrency being transferred within the project's ecosystem. High transaction volume signifies a project with a healthy level of activity and utility. More transactions often translate to increased demand for the token to facilitate those transactions, potentially causing a price rise.
✴️ Trading Volume: 
This refers to the total amount of a cryptocurrency being bought and sold on exchanges. High trading volume indicates strong market interest in the token. Active trading can bring more attention to the project, potentially attracting new investors and driving the price up.

🤖 Fees (if collected): 
Some crypto projects collect fees for transactions or services on their platform. Consistent fee collection demonstrates a sustainable revenue model, which can be a positive sign for investors. Fees can also create a demand for the token if they're required for using the platform.

🌀 Staking Stats (if available): 
Staking allows investors to earn rewards for holding a cryptocurrency. High staking participation indicates investor confidence in the project's long-term potential. Staking can also reduce the circulating supply of tokens, potentially leading to price appreciation due to increased scarcity.
⚡ Active Holders: 
This refers to the number of wallets holding a particular cryptocurrency that have recently interacted with it. A high number of active holders suggests strong community engagement and distributed ownership, which can be viewed favorably by investors. It indicates the project isn't controlled by a small group and has a broader user base.
🐠 Important Note:
These factors should be considered together, not in isolation. A strong project will typically exhibit a combination of these positive metrics. And Collect the Data For last 30-60 Days. If Any coin doing somehow positive on those metrics but continuously outperformed by market. You Must best on that. Price Action definitely Follow the On-chain Growth. 
🔼 Data Credit
> Dyor
> Token Terminal
> IntoTheBlock

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