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Two big things happened at the same time:
1. Trump's Plan: Former President Trump announced he wants to send letters to other countries imposing new tariffs on their goods if he wins the election. It's a "my way or the highway" approach.
2. Court's Block: Right after that, a US federal court ruled that many of the global tariffs he imposed during his last term were illegal. The court said he used a law meant for national emergencies, which doesn't actually give him the power to create taxes.

In short: A president wants to use strong tariff powers, but a court just said a president can't use powers that way. It's a big clash over how much power the president has over trade.
🧠 My Analysis & Forecast
What This Means:
This is a huge deal for power and rules. The court's decision is a check on presidential power. It says the president can't just declare an emergency to tax imports without Congress's approval. This limits what any future president (Trump or anyone else) can do on their own.
Short-Term Forecast (Next Few Weeks/Months):
a. Appeal: The current administration will almost certainly appeal this decision to the Supreme Court. So, the legal battle is just starting.
b. Market Uncertainty: News like this creates uncertainty. The stock and crypto markets don't like uncertainty. We might see some volatility as investors try to figure out what this means for future trade wars and the economy.
c. Political Talking Point: This will become a major topic in the election. Trump will call it a disaster for America's negotiating power, while his opponents will say it's a win for the rule of law.
Long-Term Forecast:
If the Supreme Court agrees with the Appeals Court: Future presidents will have much less power to impose tariffs alone. This would be a permanent shift away from aggressive, unilateral trade policies.

If the Supreme Court overturns the ruling: It would give the presidency enormous power over trade, allowing for more aggressive tariffs and potentially starting more trade wars in the future.
💡 My Advice
1. For Investors (Stocks/Crypto): Expect some short term volatility. When politicians and courts fight over trade rules, it makes the market nervous. Don't make panic moves. See this as political news that causes temporary waves, not a reason to change your long term strategy.
2. For Everyone: Pay attention to the Supreme Court. Their final decision (which could take months) will be the real game changer. It will decide the rules of trade for decades to come.
3. Understand the Impact: This isn't just about Trump. It's about how much power any president should have. This ruling is a precedent that could limit future leaders, which is a big deal for the balance of power in the U.S. government.
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According to Rania Gule, an analyst at XS.com, the U.S. Dollar’s recent price jump might be short-lived. Here is a simple breakdown of why the currency is at a crossroads:
The "Friday Test"
The future of the dollar depends heavily on this Friday’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report (a key update on U.S. jobs).
* If the jobs data is strong: The dollar might keep climbing.
* If the jobs data is weak: The dollar will likely lose its recent gains.
Why is the Dollar "Vulnerable"?
Even though the dollar has gone up slightly, the underlying economy shows signs of slowing down. Analysts call the dollar's current position "vulnerable" because:
* Weak Labor Market: If fewer people are getting jobs, the economy looks weaker, which usually hurts the currency.
* Wait-and-See Approach: Investors are currently holding onto their dollars because they are uncertain. They are waiting for clear data before making their next big move.
The Balancing Act
Right now, the market is stuck between two feelings:
* Fear: Concern that the U.S. economy is cooling off too fast.
* Safety: The dollar is seen as a "safe haven," so people buy it when they are nervous about other investments.
The Bottom Line: Don't be fooled by the dollar's small price increase this week. Unless the job numbers on Friday are surprisingly good, the dollar could quickly head back down.
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The U.S. dollar has reached a two-week peak against the euro, fueled by a shift in expectations regarding Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. As traders and investors eagerly await the release of the highly anticipated U.S. jobs report on Friday, the dollar's value continues to rise.
In recent weeks, market sentiment had suggested a more aggressive approach to rate cuts by the Fed, leading to a decline in the dollar's value. However, with the latest data indicating a more moderate approach, traders have adjusted their expectations, resulting in a surge in the dollar's value.
The EUR/USD pair has been particularly affected, with the euro falling to a two-week low against the dollar. The pair is now trading near its 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a key level of support and resistance.
The upcoming U.S. jobs report is expected to provide valuable insights into the labor market, including job additions, unemployment rates, and wage growth. This data will be closely watched by investors, policymakers, and traders, as it will influence their decisions on investments, interest rates, and monetary policies.
A strong jobs report could lead to further dollar strength, while a weak report could result in a decline. With the eurozone economy facing challenges, including low inflation and slow growth, the euro's value may continue to decline.
As the market awaits the release of the U.S. jobs report, one thing is clear: the dollar's value will be closely tied to the health of the U.S. economy. Will the jobs report provide a boost to the dollar, or will it lead to a decline? Only time will tell.
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The price of Bitcoin experienced an early weekend surge following Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium. According to the latest on-chain observation, the announcement of potential interest rate cuts has led to an increase in Bitcoin demand in the past day.
BTC Demand Sees Growth In The US — Impact On Price?
In a recent post on the X platform, CryptoQuant’s Head of Research Julio Moreno revealed that demand for Bitcoin has been on the rise in the United States in the past 24 hours. This growth came on the back of the Fed disclosing that a cycle of lower interest rates would soon commence.
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Lower interest rates by the central bank are often a welcome development for risky assets like Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency. Falling interest rates tend to diminish the profits on traditional financial instruments such as bonds, making cryptocurrencies more attractive options for investors seeking higher yields.
According to Moreno, the BTC price premium on Coinbase — the largest cryptocurrency exchange in the US — has surged to its highest level since mid-July. For context, the Coinbase premium refers to the difference between the coin’s value on Coinbase and other global centralized exchanges.

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Typically, when the BTC price premium on Coinbase is rising, it implies that there is increasing demand from US investors, as they are willing to spend more to acquire Bitcoin. As earlier explained, this heightened demand makes sense given the likelihood of interest rate cuts and less profitable traditional financial instruments.
Increasing demand is a particularly good sign for the price of Bitcoin, as it suggests that investors are positioning themselves to reap from a promising crypto future. At the same time, the growing demand and the rising price premium could result in elevated market volatility.
Furthermore, the increasing US Bitcoin demand comes just at the right time, as demand growth has remained at low levels over the past few weeks. CryptoQuant observed in a report that BTC’s apparent demand has been sluggish since April 2024 when the coin’s price was around $70,000.
According to the blockchain intelligence firm, the apparent demand needs to see some growth for BTC’s price to see some daylight. Ultimately, if the growing demand in the United States is sustained and spread to other markets, investors could see the flagship cryptocurrency return to around its all-time high.
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Bitcoin Price At A Glance
As of this writing, the price of BTC is hovering around $64,000, reflecting an over 5% increase in the past day. According to data from CoinGecko, the premier cryptocurrency is up by 7.5% in the past week.
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