#USConsumerConfidence In January 2025, U.S. consumer confidence experienced a decline for the first time in six months, primarily due to concerns about the labor market and potential price increases stemming from proposed tariffs on imports. The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index decreased to 71.1 from December's 74.0, with 47% of consumers anticipating higher unemployment—the highest level since the pandemic recession. Additionally, one-year inflation expectations rose to 3.3% from December's 2.8%, surpassing the pre-pandemic range of 2.3%-3.0%.

In December 2024, the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index fell to 104.7 from 112.8 in November, indicating growing concerns about future economic conditions. The Expectations Index, which reflects consumers' short-term outlook for income, business, and labor market conditions, dropped to 81.1, nearing the threshold that often signals a potential recession.

Despite these declines, U.S. consumers have demonstrated resilience in the face of sustained inflation and higher borrowing costs. Retail sales during the 2024 holiday period reached $994 billion, marking a 4% increase from the previous year. Major U.S. banks reported increased earnings for the fourth quarter, with notable spikes in credit card expenditures. However, consumers remain cautious, focusing on essential purchases and adapting to higher costs.

Looking ahead, the outlook for consumer confidence in 2025 remains uncertain. While the holiday season provided a temporary boost, ongoing concerns about inflation, potential new tariffs under President Donald Trump's administration, and high interest rates may pose challenges