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A new round of talks aimed at resolving the trade war between the US and China have started in central London.  #TradeTalks  #London #DiplomacyInAction  #US #China #Politics 🌎
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$XRP $ADA #AltcoinMarketRecovery #Recovery 🧮 Near-term steps following the shutdown end 1. Passage & signature of appropriations According to the facts: a shutdown ends once Congress passes, and the President signs, funding bills (appropriations or continuing resolutions) to fund the affected agencies. For example, in this case the Senate passed a bill to fund the government through January 30, 2026 and certain agencies for the full year. 2. Back‐paying and rehiring furloughed staff; agency restart Once funding is restored: federal employees who were furloughed are due retroactive pay, and agencies begin re-opening or scaling back contingency operations. 3. Clearing delayed services & programs Some services (food assistance programs, grants, etc.) were paused or delayed during the shutdown; they must resume and states/localities may need to catch up. 4. Monitoring for next budget battles Though the shutdown is over, the root issue (budget appropriations, continuing resolutions, policy riders) remains. Many analysts warn the underlying funding fight is not resolved. 📈 Likely crypto-market responses. ✅ Potential positive moves Improved investor risk appetite / liquidity boost When a shutdown drags on, investor confidence and liquidity can decline. The ending of the shutdown tends to remove a macro overhang, which may lead to renewed risk taking — benefiting crypto. For example: “If the U.S. government ends the shutdown, it would likely restore short-term risk appetite across markets, a positive for Bitcoin and crypto.” Dollar-liquidity tailwind Some crypto commentators note that when funding uncertainties ease (and the government’s cash-flows stabilise), there is a potential boost to dollar liquidity and hence risk assets including crypto. Regulatory and structural clarity returning While the shutdown was in effect, regulatory bodies and legislative review (including crypto/asset legislation) were stalled. Ending the shutdown means those processes can resume, reducing one layer of uncertainty for crypto markets.

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#MarketPullback #MixedSignal #FOMCMeeting $BTC #ImplicationofTradeDeal ✅ What you'd expect A Fed rate cut normally helps “risk assets” because lower interest rates mean less return from safe assets like bonds, making riskier bets more appealing. A reduction in tariffs / trade tensions tends to ease global risk, improve liquidity, and support all markets — including crypto. E.g., reports that Trump lowered U.S.–China tariffs and markets initially reacted. ❌ What’s actually happening Despite those “positive” headlines, the crypto market is not rallying — in fact, it’s pulling back. Here are the reasons: 1. The “good” was already priced in The rate cut was widely expected — so the market had likely already baked in the benefit. When there’s no further upside, price often falls. After the 0.25% cut, crypto prices still dropped because the Fed signaled further cuts are not assured. Similarly, trade/tariff improvements may have been anticipated — so the actual announcement doesn’t trigger the same boost. 2. Uncertainty and mixed signals dominate The Fed’s chair still retreated from committing to more rate cuts, which damped optimism. Even though tariffs were lowered, global liquidity concerns remain — risk-assets like crypto care more about liquidity and risk appetite than individual “nice” headlines. 3. Macro & structural pressures The U.S. dollar strength, interest rate path, and trade/liquidity issues are still weighing. E.g., crypto is still behaving like a “risky asset” exposed to macro stress. Leverage in the crypto market is still high — when risk sentiment shifts, liquidations and cascades can pull the market down quickly. The market may be in a “reset” or consolidation rather than a fresh bull run. Some alt-coins are still far below their peaks. 4. Trade & tariff developments are not fully resolved Although tariffs were “reduced”, the full implications (global trade flows, supply chains, investor confidence) haven’t fully normalized. The market may still be wary.

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#GoldenAge #USAJapan $BTC Golden Age Agreement On 27 October 2025 (Tokyo) the U.S. President Donald Trump and Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi signed a cooperation framework focused on critical minerals and rare-earth elements key raw materials for advanced technologies. The U.S. White House describes it as part of implementing an agreement “Toward a New Golden Age for the U.S Japan Alliance”. In their joint statement, the two governments said they intend to: 1. Strengthen economic security in both countries. 2. Promote economic growth. 3. Lead toward global prosperity. The mineral-deal component is explicitly aimed at securing supply chains of rare earths and critical minerals, in light of export restrictions and supply-chain vulnerabilities (especially given China’s dominance in certain minerals) . Why this matters 1. Strategic supply-chain implications Rare earths and critical minerals are increasingly important for electronics, defence systems, renewable energy, electric vehicles, etc. The deal is a push to reduce dependence on a single supplier (particularly China) and diversify sources. For the U.S., having Japan as a partner in this supply chain resilience enhances its geopolitical posture; for Japan, it means reinforcing its role beyond being just a buyer of U.S. tech, into a more active strategic partner. 2. Geopolitical signalling By calling the relationship a “new golden age”, Tokyo and Washington are signalling a reset or an upgrade of their alliance perhaps in part as a response to rising regional tensions in the Indo-Pacific, including China’s growing influence. The timing, ahead of U.S China meetings, underscores that this is not just economic but strategic. 3. Economic & diplomatic reinforcement Beyond minerals, the agreement intends to spur growth, trade, and economic security. This is helpful for Japan (which has demographic and growth challenges) and the U.S It enhances diplomatic ties: stronger coordination, more trust, and more “connectedness

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#RateCutExpectations 🔹 1. Liquidity and Investment Flow Lower interest rates mean borrowing becomes cheaper. Investors and institutions tend to move money from low-yield assets (like bonds or savings accounts) into riskier, higher-return assets — such as stocks and cryptocurrencies. ✅ Impact: Increased liquidity and higher demand for crypto. 🔹 2. Weaker U.S. Dollar (USD) A rate cut usually leads to a decline in the U.S. dollar’s value, as lower rates reduce demand for USD-denominated assets. Since most cryptocurrencies (like Bitcoin, Ethereum) are traded against the USD, a weaker dollar pushes crypto prices upward. ✅ Impact: Bitcoin and altcoins rise as investors hedge against a weakening USD. 🔹 3. Inflation Hedge Narrative Lower rates can stimulate spending and inflation. Crypto, especially Bitcoin, is often seen as a hedge against inflation due to its limited supply. ✅ Impact: Increased institutional and retail interest in Bitcoin. 🔹 4. Market Sentiment A rate cut signals that the Fed wants to support growth and avoid a slowdown. This usually boosts investor confidence, leading to risk-on sentiment — favoring crypto, tech stocks, and growth assets. ✅ Impact: Short- to medium-term rally in crypto markets. 🔹 5. Altcoin Performance As Bitcoin rises first, altcoins usually follow. DeFi, AI, and Layer-2 tokens tend to outperform once confidence builds. ✅ Impact: Altcoin season may follow a sustained rate-cut environment.

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#CPIWatch $ENA $BTC # 🇺🇸 U.S. CPI update (amid the shutdown) The U.S. government shutdown has paused many economic‐data releases, but the CPI report is still being released for September despite the shutdown. Economist consensus: CPI for September is forecast to show about +3.1% year-on-year (compared with +2.9% in August) and about +0.4% month-on-month. Core inflation (excluding food & energy) is also expected to remain elevated (~3.1 % Y/Y) and monthly ~+0.3%. The fact that the CPI release is the only major macro release today (because of the shutdown) means markets are giving it extra weight. Implications: If inflation comes in higher than expected → less room for the Federal Reserve to cut rates → markets (stocks, crypto) could see negative reaction. If it is softer or in line → could bolster hopes for rate cuts → may strengthen risk-assets (including crypto). Because of the shutdown and data blackout elsewhere, this CPI print is a key market driver right now. What history shows Risk-assets including crypto respond strongly to inflation surprises because inflation influences Fed policy. A higher inflation print tends to increase odds of tighter policy (higher rates / fewer cuts) → that tends to hurt “risk” assets like crypto. A lower or moderate print (i.e., inflation coming in softer) can spark gains in crypto, as it raises hopes for rate cuts, increasing liquidity and risk appetite. Because this CPI is coming during a data drought (shutdown) it may cause extra volatility. What to watch right now If the CPI comes in above forecast (~3.1 % or higher), expect: Risk that crypto falls or stalls (due to higher rates or delayed cuts) USD strength (which often is inversely correlated with crypto) If CPI is in‐line or softer, expect: Potential rally in crypto, as traders may view it as enabling easier monetary policy Specific levels: Many crypto analysts were watching for breakout/support levels in the $110k–$115k range for Bitcoin depending on inflation/Rates.

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