📊 Market Check – July 5, 2025

🇺🇸 Trump unexpectedly announced new tariff letters late Thursday — just after market close, ahead of the long weekend. Timing was surgical: minimal short-term shock, but long-term implications remain.

📉 Futures reacted fast — S&P -40pts — but the goal seems clear: cool the market without crashing it. Expect media to downplay the news by Monday.

📌 S&P futures hit 6223.75, now pulling back just below the breakout zone.

📌 BTC hovering around 108–110K, still respecting short-term trendlines.

📌 USDT Dominance stuck mid-range: the battle is on.

👁️‍🗨️ We maintain our scenario:

• A short bear market rally into mid-July, possibly pushing BTC back to 112–113K, maybe 115K.

• Then real downside resumes, targeting 93K and 89K.

📊 Current Exposure (July 5):

• Longs: 18.65% (large cap)

• Short BTC: 11.25%

• Cash: 70.10% – we’re liquid and patient.

⚠️ Our conviction remains high: risk/reward is skewed short for the coming weeks.

🧠 Stay tactical. Don’t chase. Let the market come to our levels.

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