$TON

Deep analysis of the TON/USDC 4H 📈 Price & Trend

The price is at $2.945, up ~7.7% in this session. After a long sideways phase, it broke upward from the Bollinger Band middle (around $2.81) and is testing the upper band now at ~$2.95.

On the 4H timeframe, this breakout with strong volume suggests bullish momentum starting to build after weeks of compression.

The last major low was $2.605, and the previous local high was $3.699.

Key levels to watch:

•Resistance: $3.03 → $3.27 → $3.70

•Support: $2.81 → $2.60

🔮 Bollinger Bands

Bands were tight → indicating low volatility → and now price is pushing the upper band with strength. This often signals the start of a larger move up, but if it fails to hold above $2.95–$3.03, it may re-test $2.81 or even lower.

📊 Volume

Volume has spiked sharply on this move up, which confirms buying pressure. Earlier sideways action was on low volume — typical before a breakout.

⚡ MACD

MACD is crossing above the signal line from below, with histogram flipping positive — a bullish sign. Momentum is just starting, and there’s room to climb further before it gets overheated.

🔎 Stochastic (KDJ)

KDJ shows the %J line > %K > %D and near ~80 zone — so it’s approaching overbought but not extreme yet. Short-term pullback possible after this push, but trend still upward.

📌 Prediction

Based on this chart:

•In the short term (1–2 days), price can test $3.03. If broken, it can target $3.27 or even $3.50+ as momentum builds.

•But if it fails to close above $3.03 and sellers step in, a pullback to $2.81–$2.85 zone is likely.

•Given the volume + MACD + breakout, bias is bullish unless it falls back below $2.81.

🚨 Summary

✅ Breakout confirmed above Bollinger mid-band

✅ Strong volume supports move

✅ MACD and KDJ turning bullish

⚠️ Near resistance & slightly overbought → expect some pullback/consolidation soon

🎯 Outlook:

🔵 Bullish as long as it stays > $2.81.

🟢 Targets: $3.03 → $3.27 → $3.50

🔴 Stop if closes below $2.81