๐ $BTC โ analysis for July 15, 2025
๐ฏ Current price: $116,714
๐ Daily drop: -4.6%
๐ Max/Min 24h: $122,703 / $116,250
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๐ง Technical analysis (1D)
โ Trend: still bullish ๐, but Bitcoin has clearly decided to catch its breath โ a correction followed, like after three cups of coffee without food โ๐ตโ๐ซ
๐ Price is currently above EMA(21) and EMA(50) โ structure is strong, the trend is not broken, just a bit down.
๐ข Breakthrough of $120K happened, but... we sharply fell away from $123K and are now rolling down to support $115Kโ116K โ a test of strength ๐ค๐งฑ
๐ Supports:
$115,000 (EMA 9) โ right underfoot, like a skateboard without brakes
$112,000 (EMA 21 + liquidity zone) โ if we fall there, it might be beautiful
๐ Resistances:
$121,000 โ local high, the zone 'shorting from the heart'
$123,200 โ historical maximum, from there Bitcoin shouted: 'Enough!' and went down
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๐ Indicators:
RSI (10): 65 โ โ๏ธ Neutral, but overheated
Stoch RSI: 69.2 / 84.6 โ ๐ด Overbought โ Bitcoin is full, it may deflate
Williams %R: -35.9 โ ๐ Zone of uncertainty: neither up nor down โ like a traffic jam on a Friday
EMA:
EMA(9) = $115,543
EMA(21) = $112,103
EMA(50) = $108,135
โก Price is above all โ as long as the momentum is alive, like a cat after its fifth life ๐ฑโก
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๐ Macro and news (impact on $BTC ):
1. ๐ต DXY is rising โ the dollar is flexing its muscles, and Bitcoin is nervously biting its nails
2. ๐ The stock market is falling โ inflation in the USA scared everyone, even S&P
3. ๐ผ ETF โ there is an inflow, but it's no longer a fountain
4. ๐ FRS July 17 โ waiting like for an exam: either a celebration or 'short to the max'
5. โ๏ธ Mining โ difficulty is at a record high, miners are sweating and seem to be locking in profits
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๐ง Macro conclusion:
The background is not necessarily bad, but it's not 'wow' either ๐
๐ In the short term โ we might still sneeze down
๐ In the long term โ the trend remains bullish as long as we hold key levels
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๐งฎ Conclusions on $BTC :
๐ The price corrected after the local maximum of $123,200
๐ As long as we hold $115Kโ116K โ everything is under control
๐งช Oscillators whisper: there might be one more pullback โ be ready for a false start
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โ What to do?
๐ข Option 1:
โข Waiting for a retest of the $115Kโ116K zone
โข Going LONG โ but not with the whole amount ๐
๐ด Option 2:
โข If there is a volume-less rise to $118โ119K โ
โข You can try SHORT, but a stop is mandatory โ like a helmet on a motorcycle ๐ช
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๐ฌ Summary:
Bitcoin is not dead, it just went to take a shower after the marathon. Until it starts sliding below $112K โ it's too early to panic, but keep your sneakers ready ๐