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MW Trader
@Waleed-Crypto-Guru-
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⚠️ Disclaimer: Yeh analysis sirf educational purpose ke liye hai, financial advice nahi. Is video mein hum Binance Futures ke 4‑hour BTC chart ka deep technical analysis karein ge: • Descending channel breakout • MACD, RSI aur moving averages signals
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📉 ETH/USDT Perpetual Futures – SHORT Setup (5m / 15m) 📥 Entry Zone: $3,480 – $3,500 🛑 Stop-Loss: $3,600 🎯 Take-Profit Targets: • TP1: $3,420 (~1.7%) • TP2: $3,300 (~5.5%) 📊 Technical Rationale: – Trading below 20, 50, and 100 EMAs on 4H – RSI ≈ 30 (oversold, no reversal yet) – MACD bearish crossover on lower timeframes – Bollinger Bands breakdown from midline – Institutional sell pressure (volume spike on red candles) ⚠️ Risk:Reward ≈ 2.8:1 $ETH
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📉 BTC/USDT Perpetual Futures – SHORT Setup (5m / 15m) 📥 Entry Zone: $113,000 – $114,000 🛑 Stop-Loss: $116,000 🎯 Take-Profit Targets: • TP1: $110,000 (~2.6%) • TP2: $108,000 (~4.4%) 📊 Technical Rationale: – Price below 9/21/50 EMA on short-term charts – RSI < 30 (oversold but with no bullish divergence) – Bearish EMA crossover confirmed on 4H – High-volume sell-off below key $116K support – Bollinger Bands show volatility expansion on breakdown ⚠️ Risk:Reward ≈ 2.5:1$BTC
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Signal Type: Long Asset: BTC Perpetual Entry Price Range: $119,000 - $119,500 Stop Loss: $118,000 Take Profit Targets: - Target 1: $122,000 (≈2.3% profit) - Target 2: $123,000 (≈3.4% profit) $BTC
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Signal Type: Short Asset: BTC Perpetual Entry Price Range: $115,500 - $116,000 Stop Loss: $117,000 Take Profit Targets: - Target 1: $113,500 (≈2.0% profit) - Target 2: $112,000 (≈3.4% profit) Technical Analysis Rationale: Bitcoin has recently failed to reclaim its ~$116K support, and a sustained break below this level would likely accelerate selling. Traders warn that falling under $115K–$116K could push BTC toward the ~$112K area [oai_citation:10‡cointelegraph.com](https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-fills-july-cme-gap-to-the-dollar-104k-btc-price-target#:~:text=%E2%80%9CNow%20that%20the%20gap%20is,if%20%24116%2C000%20was%20not%20reclaimed) [oai_citation:11‡coindesk.com](https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/07/29/bitcoin-s-bollinger-bands-tightest-since-february-xrp-sol-establish-lower-highs#:~:text=A%20break%20below%20%24116%2C000%20would,tighter%20Bollinger%20bands%20resolve%20bullishly). The RSI (previously ~63) has already turned down from overbought levels [oai_citation:12‡decrypt.co](https://decrypt.co/333192/crypto-dogecoin-tanks-bitcoin-price-tests-support-analysis#:~:text=The%20Relative%20Strength%20Index%2C%20or,days%20without%20reaching%20overbought%20territory), suggesting waning bullish momentum. Fresh U.S. trade-tariff news has also weighed on markets – BTC dipped to roughly $114.3K amid tariff fears [oai_citation:13‡cointelegraph.com](https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-fills-july-cme-gap-to-the-dollar-104k-btc-price-target#:~:text=Bitcoin%20%28BTC%29%20hit%20new%20three,trade%20tariffs%20soured%20market%20sentiment). We look to enter short on a confirmed breakdown, set a tight stop above ~$117K (above the broken $116K zone), and target about 2–3% below the entry (near $113.5K and $112K) to capture the expected pullback.
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